View Full Version : Vision 2030: Is it really possible to attain the objectives?


eboomerang
June 30th, 2011, 01:30 PM
As a Kenyan, I have been keenly following this Vision 2030 program and so far I somehow find it hard to crystallize how the objectives will be met. Especially the economic growth projections.

Some lengthy analysis behind this link:
http://wp.me/p1B0a4-U (http://wp.me/p1B0a4-U)

ernestombayo7
June 30th, 2011, 06:43 PM
I don't think its possible to achieve all the goals,but i believe 60 percent of the objectives can be achieved.It all depends on how we can handle our political problems.Kenya needs atleast 10 continuous years of political stability so as to have sustained growth momentum.We need to avoid shocks to the economy and build investor confidence.

èđđeůx
June 30th, 2011, 06:50 PM
What Kenya needs is that double digit growth, the only way to achieve the Vision. There is still 19 years left, and a lot can happen in that time span. So I wouldn't say the goals are achievable yet.

And yeah ernestombayo is right Kenya needs political stability to achieve the goals under Vision 2030. I read an article on Business Daily Africa the other day saying how Kenya needed to get through 2 more election cycles peacefully before it'd see investors fully confident in investing, etc. Would post it but I couldn't find it after I closed the tab.

Rongai
June 30th, 2011, 08:44 PM
I think growth has been happening.It seems low because it is an average of the whole country.Nairobi accounts for almost 70% of GDP and i am sure gets growth of more than 2 digits.As for the vision in my opinion Nairobi is already middle income.Whatever growth we strive for is to be higher than middle income.

Also Nairobi is stable.The chaos that occured 4 years ago were mainly upcountry and in Nairobi in certain and not all slum areas.So what do they mean we should be stable.We already are.

People are investing alot in Kenya ,who are these people who are waiting for us to be stable ,are they reading from different scripts from the numerous ones that are investing.

I think when talking vision 2030 we should be specific on where this growth should come from.Outside Nairobi.We should ask what guys in Western ,Coast ,Rift Valley ,Nyanza etc are doing to attain vision 2030.

I think these other areas are trying and might not appreciate being given deadlines .

eboomerang
July 1st, 2011, 10:16 AM
Well I don't know your professional backgrounds but it seems people have a different understanding of the term growth. I'm personally very interested in long term sustainable growth projections.

Typically most people are of the opinion that once infrastructure is in place then growth has happened or is meant to happen. Infrastructure is just one of the enablers or catalysts. Living standards are a good measure of economic growth especially in Africa. If you roll back where we were(as a country) say 30 years ago, we had good infrastructure by the standards at that time frame (it has deteriorated over time). Holding many factors constant(e.g politics) how comes we still never transformed the country? what has been holding us back?

I posted the comments below on another forum:
"If you look closely at what is going on in South Africa you will realize that having good infrastructure is not the ultimate solution. At least not for the normal citizen. Their government continues to battle alarming crime levels and trying to manage xenophobia (fear of foreigners).

It's the learned foreigners who come to seize the business opportunities while the locals get relegated to small time casual employment.

My hope is that our Kenyan government develops a more compelling vision for its people than subjecting them to small casual jobs."

Rongai
July 1st, 2011, 02:15 PM
The projects in the vision 2030 for Kenya are just flagship projects.The are meant to be an example for other regions that don't already have these projects to learn from and later develop their own.The are not on their own supposed to lead to 10% growth.

There are areas in Kenya that enrolment is 50-50 for both girls and boys.from pre-primary to tertiary.We have enough educated people who will be able to do the work,so not all will get casual work.

eboomerang
July 7th, 2011, 09:59 AM
The projects in the vision 2030 for Kenya are just flagship projects.The are meant to be an example for other regions that don't already have these projects to learn from and later develop their own.The are not on their own supposed to lead to 10% growth.

There are areas in Kenya that enrolment is 50-50 for both girls and boys.from pre-primary to tertiary.We have enough educated people who will be able to do the work,so not all will get casual work.
I understand one is entitled to their own interpretation of issues but based on your argument I'm not sure you actually see the grand picture of things. You basically think everything is ok and come 2030 Kenya will be the place to be, we shall be living "the quality life" promised in that vision 2030 (https://eboomerang.wordpress.com/2011/06/30/vision-2030-feasible/) blueprint. Well, I think you are way out there...