View Full Version : Newfoundland...in Black!


samsonyuen
April 5th, 2006, 11:51 PM
From: http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20060331.wxrnfld31/BNStory/National/home
____________________________
Newfoundland in black
Province books first definitive surplus on back of offshore oil revenue

JANE ARMSTRONG
From Friday's Globe and Mail
Canada's poorest province is projecting an unqualified budget surplus for the first time in history, thanks to new royalties and corporate taxes from Newfoundland and Labrador's thriving offshore oil industry.

This year alone, the province is expecting to reap $927-million in royalties and income taxes, giving it a $6.2-million surplus. The budget forecast is predicated on oil staying above $57 (U.S.) a barrel.

"I am pleased to report that for the first time in our history, the province is budgeting a surplus on a fully consolidated basis," Finance Minister Loyola Sullivan said in his budget speech.

"I think we have turned the corner," Mr. Sullivan said. "We have enormous potential."

The province has balanced its books prior to this budget, but in the past it didn't have to account for all of its liabilities. Newfoundland has an unfunded pension liability. Now, the province is pulling in money from three Grand banks oil projects and accounting for its pension commitments.

And in a display of optimism, the government announced that it will ban deficit financing. In the future, provincial budgets must be balanced, Mr. Sullivan said.

"We will not burden our grandchildren with the consequences of our own [actions]," Mr. Sullivan said.

Though flush now with oil money, the province has still has a staggering $11.9-billion (Canadian) debt, the highest per capita in the country, calculated at $23,000 per person.

Still, the first-ever surplus represents a dramatic turnaround for Newfoundland under the Conservative government of Premier Danny Williams.

Just two years ago, Mr. Williams faced a nearly $900-million deficit and was slashing programs and public sector jobs.

Last year's budget wasn't much better, with Mr. Sullivan predicting a crippling $492-million deficit for the province in 2005-06.

That projected deficit was also eradicated by new oil money, Mr. Sullivan said, adding that the province will end this current fiscal year with a $76.5-million surplus.

Mr. Williams, who took power in 2003, can take some credit for the province's ascent from deficit. Last year, the Premier negotiated a new deal with Ottawa -- the Atlantic Accord -- that allows Newfoundland to keep a greater proportion of its offshore oil royalties without losing them in clawbacks.

Newfoundland has directed most of the $2-billion it has received under the accord toward the unfunded pension liability for the province's teachers.

Finance officials said that deal was instrumental in putting Newfoundland in the black. "I think we started to turn the corner when we landed the deal," Mr. Sullivan said. "You can have an oil industry with significant revenues, but if you receive it on the one hand and lose it on the other hand, we're not much better off in the long term."

The $5.4-billion budget includes $350-million in new money for schools, health and the arts. The province has also increased social assistance rates and poured money into improving roads, bridges and ferries. It has no tax cuts but no hikes, either, except for an increase in cigarette levies.

At the same time, the province has slashed or eliminated user fees for a range of government services. It also reduced fees parents were required to pay for their children's school books and supplies.

Despite yesterday's rosy forecast, Newfoundland still faces considerable economic hurdles. The new jobs and money from the offshore oil boom is confined almost entirely to St. John's and has done little to improve rural Newfoundland, where the unemployment rate is stuck in the double-digits.

"Rural Newfoundland is still in decline," Memorial University political scientist Stephen Tomblin said. "I don't think they [the government] have been able to deal with the problems of rural Newfoundland and I think that's going to be the biggest problem."

And despite its newfound oil wealth, Newfoundland is still losing residents as opposed to attracting them. "Even if the short term looks better," Professor Tomblin continued, "Compared to Alberta and British Columbia, where you're seeing large increases in immigration . . . I think in the long term, the problems here are going to be more substantive."

With files from CP

Long road back to black

Newfoundland and Labrador managed to post a surplus only three times it its history and even those weren't clear surpluses by today's accounting standards. The government has finally achieved what it has called its "perpetual crusade" to "catch up" with the rest of the country.

More energy in Newfoundland's revenue mix

Revised 2005-06 Estimate 2006-07
Personal income tax 16.4% 16.9%
Sales tax 12.4 12.9
Offshore royalties 9.6 13.5
Other sources 12.8 11
Equalization And offsets 24 20.4
Other federal sources 11.5 11.8
Clean slate

The province joined Confederation in 1949 with a balanced budget, no debt and an accumulated cash surplus of $40 million.

Financial crisis

Budgetary deficits ballooned out to 35% of revenues and 7% of GDP in the early 1970's. The deficit became a crisis when it hit a record $347 million in 1991.

Today's oil windfall

Offshore energy royalties are forecast at $663.4 million next year, a full 13.5% of annual revenue. The forecast is based on oil at $24 (U.S.) a barrel, under half of current prices.

'This province has been perceived as a province that's down and out. Well, not any more. We're not used to surpluses, but we better get used to it.'

Jonestowncultinpicto
April 15th, 2006, 09:12 PM
well that is great for newfoundland for sure. not to be too political here but danny williams and former premier of nova scotia john hamm should take credit for that because if they not beaten the new royality rate out of Paul Martin then the increased royalites would not be in place for that surplus to occur.
With oil at 69 dollars a barrel I would say look for a surplus next year of double.
The feds many claw back transfer payments but it is better to fight standing up then to be begging on your knees. I would love to see it happen that newfoundland was in the position to do what alberta has done . rebate money back to the people fopr taxes paid.

Keep up the good work and hopefully the increased price means more exploration and better times for the atlantic provinces with a new deal from ottawa.
jim jones

Joev
April 16th, 2006, 09:33 AM
And Danny Williams is still playing hardball with the oil companies, and taking the risk of not having the Hebron field developed.
Premier Danny Williams’ administration continues to send a strong message to oil and gas companies that sitting on offshore developments for an indefinite period isn’t a policy the provincial government supports.

In this province, Byrne said, companies have been sitting on significant discoveries for between 20 and 25 years. “They’ve warehoused commercial developments that should be now producing oil,” he said.

http://www.thetelegram.com/

Jonestowncultinpicto
April 16th, 2006, 02:51 PM
and what is your objection to danny williams doing the best he can do in the interest of the province???? The thing is if you jump at an a opportunity without careful thought or too eagar to sign a deal then you end up with the joey smallwood deal with quebec in the mid 60's which really gave away the resource of hydro electric at chruchhill falls to Hydro Quebec. If someone sits on the resource and does not develope it then I would say the people of newfoundland have the option to revoke the lease and put it in the hands of someone with the capital and the desire to develope the resource.

With Joey Smallwood's bad deal of the 60's the province of newfoundland does not have the option as it is a 99 year lease which brings peanuts compared to what hydro quebec is making selling the energy from chruchill falls to the state of new york.

Newfoundland is doing very well with the resource and will eventually become a Have province. With the vosey bay nickel deposit in the background and other resources on the books for development it is good to see a strong leader first get the royality rate for the province and second make sure that you have development but on the provinces terms.

If the resource is there and the price is high you will always have a plan b company ready to take over a lease. Considering the Asian countries of Korea and China are put over 6 billion into developing petrochemical resources in Nigeria I could see with stability problems in a Nigeria or Iran that parties further afield then this continent and the european union will be at newfoundalands door.

Even though a company I worked for was effected by the newfoundlanders leveraging the Hiberia Resource to re-open the Come by Chance refinery I still say that newfoundland has learned the lessons of those who have big promises from the rest of canada outside the maritimes. Hats off to danny williams and the people making it happen for the maximum benefit of the region and the country as a whole.
Jim jones