View Full Version : Forbes: The Exchange That Launched 1,000 Ships


Prometheus
July 16th, 2007, 12:00 PM
http://www.forbes.com/free_forbes/2007/0723/160.html?partner=yahoomag

The Exchange That Launched 1,000 Ships
Tatiana Serafin 07.23.07

Greece, Europe's New Hot Spot

With little fanfare, Greece has become one of Europe's best-performing economies and stock markets.

Greece, birthplace of the Olympics and home of ancient relics and honeymoon hideaway isles, is noteworthy for another reason. Over the past ten years its gross domestic product has grown at an annual rate of 6%, putting this economy far ahead of three of the largest European Union economies (Germany, France and Italy).

In 2000 Morgan Stanley Capital International, which tracks global stock markets via hundreds of indexes, promoted Greece out of the emerging-market category. The catalyst for this change: Greece's 2001 entry into the eurozone, which had imposed strict fiscal and monetary policies. The MSCI Greece stock index has a 12-month total return of 42%, a tad ahead of 41% for the MSCI Europe index.

Greece can now capitalize on its central Mediterranean location, says Harris Siganos, a managing director at Alpha Asset Management in Athens. One way is with ships. Over the past four years Greek shipping companies have benefited from increased trade with China and India, and freight rates have more than doubled. Today the shipping industry leads tourism in fund inflows from abroad. Greece has 3,800-plus ships of 1,000 tons or more, the largest fleet in Europe and the fifth largest in the world. Helped by cheap bank financing, shippers have at least 260 new vessels on order.

Danaos Corp., which listed on the New York Stock Exchange at the end of 2006, is the country's eighteenth-largest maritime shipper by vessel tonnage. Its container ships are less exposed to the volatility found in bulk cargo. Profit in 2006 was down 18% to $101 million, on revenue of $245 million. The company attributes the decline in part to its investment in 28 new ships, 8 of which are already under 10- to 15-year contracts.

Tsakos Energy Navigation, Greece's third-largest shipper by tonnage, trades on the New York Stock Exchange. Last year sales rose by 45% to $428 million and net by 21% to $196 million. As of March Tsakos, which specializes in the more volatile oil tanker market and recently added a liquefied natural gas carrier, had nine ships under construction.

Two of Greece's big banks, both available as American Depositary Receipts, provide exposure to southeastern Europe. National Bank of Greece is the country's largest banking group and recently made a big acquisition in Turkey. Net income for 2006 was up 23% to $758 million, 20% derived from abroad. ADRs of the Athens bank sell for 14 times their Thomson IBES 2007 consensus earnings forecast.

(Added in) National Bank of Greece in Balkans:

*89.9% of the United Bulgarian Bank (UBB).
*Majority stake in Stopanska Banka (Skopje, FYROM).
*Owns Banca Romaneasca, a Romanian bank, and holds 88.7% of shares.
*80.4% of the shares of Finansbank in Turkey.
*99.44% of Serbia's Vojvođanska Bank)

Alpha Bank, with $12.8 billion in market capitalization, has been expanding in Romania and Bulgaria. Last year 10% of net income came from abroad; the bank expects this to double in three years.

(Added in) Alpha Bank in Balkans

*A few branches in Albania
*Sole owner of Alpha bank Skopia
*Owns 63% of Alpha bank Romania
*Owns 88.64% of Alpha Bank Beograd

Consumer goods is another Greek sector with exposure to the Balkans. In the first quarter revenues at Coca-Cola Hellenic Bottling were up 18%, driven by growth in emerging markets such as Romania. With $7.4 billion in sales, Hellenic is the second-biggest Coca-Cola bottler in the world.

It controls Coca-Cola distribution in all of the former Soviet Union except the central Asian republics and all of the former communist nations of eastern Europe except Albania and eastern Germany. It is also the bottler in both the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland as well as Greece, Austria, Switzerland, Nigeria and the northern two-thirds of Italy.

Greece still cashes in on its sunny Mediterranean climate and 15,000 miles of coastline. Over 12 million tourists a year visit Greece (more than one tourist per inhabitant), contributing 17% of GDP. The government took advantage of the 2004 Olympics and its tourist traffic to open up the funding spigot for improving roads and railways.

Two companies listed on the Athens exchange offer investors an opportunity to take part in the building boom. Hellenic (or Elliniki) Technodomiki, which posted a 38% gain in first-quarter revenue, to $242 million, has a project backlog of $5.2 billion. Lamda Development, the real estate development arm of the billionaire Latsis family, is behind the two largest shopping malls in Greece as well as office and residential complexes. The company has announced plans to invest $520 million by the end of 2008 in Greece and the Balkans. Lamda sells for 12 times its 2007 consensus earnings forecast.

http://images.forbes.com/media/magazines/forbes/2007/0723/Forbes_0723_p160_f2.gif

(Greece has 10 companies on the New York Stock Exchange, just as many as that with Italy and only 5 other countries in Europe have more: UK (48), Holland (31), France (16), Germany (15), and Switzerland (13). Greece has more than Spain (7), Russia and Ireland (5), Finland (4), Norway (3), Luxembourg (2) and Turkey, Belgium, Guernsey (British Island), and Portugal each with one.)

Current Greek companies on NYSE:

Aegean Marine Petroleum Network Inc.
Coca-Cola Hellenic Bottling Company S.A.
Danaos Corporation
Diana Shipping, Inc.
Excel Maritime Carriers Ltd.
Hellenic Telecommunication Organization S.A
National Bank Greece SA
Navios Maritime Holdings Inc.
Navios Maritime Holdings Inc.
Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited

Sodnal
July 16th, 2007, 01:53 PM
Tatiana Serafin 07.23.07


Did we somehow move forwardin time by a week?:nuts:

LEAFS FANATIC
July 16th, 2007, 04:43 PM
^^

Such incredible statistics and news and that is all you can say? Have you ever thought that the date listed is intended for the date the magazine publishes its next issue?

Anyway, it is articles like this one that will hopefully shut the mouths of the fools who state that Greece is only growing because of EU funds coming its way.

NicolasII
July 17th, 2007, 03:10 AM
Between all the doom and gloom that one sees on all the nightly news, this article is a breath of fresh air...:)

GrigorisSokratis
July 17th, 2007, 03:49 AM
Tonight I'm going to leave happy the forum with these news plus the ones regarding our healthcare position (mentioned in other thread opened today) compared to other countries. :)

Nevertheless I have to make two corrections to the above article.

The first one mentions a coastline of 15,000 miles!!! That's 24,000 kms!!! (Greece has the 9th longest coastline on earth but that number is even larger than that of the US with 19,000)

Greece has a coastline of 16,000 kms that's 10,000 miles.

The second one is the number of tourists a year visiting Greece. It mentions a something around 12 millions (well maybe that was a fact back in 2001) but according to the last figures of EOT the number of visitors in 2006 was somewhere around 17.2 millions.

So, please Tatiana let's use the correct terms and figures before throwing them into an article. ;)

Sodnal
July 17th, 2007, 04:15 AM
This article is great news and it reinforces my notions that Greece is on the cusp of an real economic expansion. It's a nation in the right place, at the right time, blessed with the right currency (finally!). Greeks no longer have to be concerned with inflation eating away at their invested capital.

Being the key entry port into the Balkans for so many raw materials and manufactured goods is a tremendous advantage for Greece. Rumania and Bulgaria are now in the EU and will be taking off, economically. FYROM has potential, if they can get some real quality leadership and get off the "tweak Greeces' nose!" kick of the current mental midget leadership. The Serbs have a strong national consciousness and they're clamoring to be part of the Balkan economic-revival. Won't be able to keep them down for long. Albania is the wild card, but they can come along for the ride or continue to flirt with a "grey" economy and organized crime issues. Either way, Greece is taking off!

The only thing that can slow the Greek economy down is a return to Socialist policies, governmental planning of the economy or significant union problems (such as the longshoremen in Thessalonika going on strike a few months ago). If that can be avoided, things will continue in great style! :banana:

Giorgio
July 18th, 2007, 04:07 PM
Amazing article!
Greece performs so well in terms of business and this article proves it.

I think Greece has the potential to become much bigger as well.

pilaf
July 26th, 2007, 07:22 PM
i didnt really like the article, it is imprecise and a bit meaningless, giving old numbers and sometimes even wrong.

Greece has definitely not grown by 6% a year but something closer to 4%. And as Grigoris mentioned the coastline and tourism figures were wrong too. Damn is it so hard to google this stuff before one writes an article?