Economy, Trade and Business - thread V [Archive] - Page 2

K14N

October 10th, 2008, 08:31 AM

^^ Ini tulisan dari Dahlan Iskan:

Krisis Subprime di Amerika Serikat, Kalau Langit Masih Kurang TinggiOleh: Dahlan Iskan (owner Jawa Pos Group)

Meski saya bukan ekonom, banyak pembaca tetap minta saya ''menceritakan' ' secara awam mengenai hebatnya krisis keuangan di AS saat ini. Seperti juga, banyak pembaca tetap bertanya tentang sakit liver, meski mereka tahu
saya bukan dokter. Saya coba:

Semua perusahaan yang sudah go public lebih dituntut untuk terus berkembang di semua sektor. Terutama labanya. Kalau bisa, laba sebuah perusahaan publik terus meningkat sampai 20 persen setiap tahun. Soal caranya bagaimana, itu urusan kiat para CEO dan direkturnya.

Pemilik perusahaan itu (para pemilik saham) biasanya sudah tidak mau tahu lagi apa dan bagaimana perusahaan tersebut dijalankan. Yang mereka mau tahu adalah dua hal yang terpenting saja: harga sahamnya harus terus naik
dan labanya harus terus meningkat.

Perusahaan publik di AS biasanya dimiliki ribuan atau ratusan ribu orang, sehingga mereka tidak peduli lagi dengan tetek-bengek perusahaan mereka.

Mengapa mereka menginginkan harga saham harus terus naik? Agar kalau para pemilik saham itu ingin menjual saham, bisa dapat harga lebih tinggi dibanding waktu mereka beli dulu: untung.

Mengapa laba juga harus terus naik? Agar, kalau mereka tidak ingin jual saham, setiap tahun mereka bisa dapat pembagian laba (dividen) yang kian banyak.

Soal cara bagaimana agar keinginan dua hal itu bisa terlaksana dengan baik, terserah pada CEO-nya. Mau pakai cara kucing hitam atau cara kucing putih, terserah saja. Sudah ada hukum yang mengawasi cara kerja para CEO
tersebut: hukum perusahaan, hukum pasar modal, hukum pajak, hukum perburuhan, dan seterusnya.

Apakah para CEO yang harus selalu memikirkan dua hal itu merasa tertekan dan stres setiap hari? Bukankah sebuah perusahaan kadang bisa untung, tapi kadang bisa rugi?

Anehnya, para CEO belum tentu merasa terus-menerus diuber target. Tanpa disuruh pun para CEO sendiri memang juga menginginkannya. Mengapa? Pertama, agar dia tidak terancam kehilangan jabatan CEO. Kedua, agar dia
mendapat bonus superbesar yang biasanya dihitung sekian persen dari laba dan pertumbuhan yang dicapai. Gaji dan bonus yang diterima para CEO perusahaan besar di AS bisa 100 kali lebih besar dari gaji Presiden George
Bush. Mana bisa dengan gaji sebesar itu masih stres?

Keinginan pemegang saham dan keinginan para CEO dengan demikian seperti tumbu ketemu tutup: klop. Maka, semua perusahaan dipaksa untuk terus-menerus berkembang dan membesar. Kalau tidak ada jalan, harus
dicarikan jalan lain. Kalau jalan lain tidak ditemukan, bikin jalan baru. Kalau bikin jalan baru ternyata sulit, ambil saja jalannya orang lain. Kalau tidak boleh diambil? Beli! Kalau tidak dijual? Beli dengan cara yang licik -dan kasar! Istilah populernya hostile take over.

Kalau masih tidak bisa juga, masih ada jalan aneh: minta politisi untuk bikinkan berbagai peraturan yang memungkinkan perusahaan bisa mendapat jalan.

Kalau perusahaan terus berkembang, semua orang happy. CEO dan para direkturnya happy karena dapat bonus yang mencapai Rp 500 miliar setahun.
Para pemilik saham juga happy karena kekayaannya terus naik. Pemerintah happy karena penerimaan pajak yang terus membesar. Politisi happy karena dapat dukungan atau sumber dana.

Dengan gambaran seperti itulah ekonomi AS berkembang pesat dan kesejahteraan rakyatnya meningkat. Semua orang lantas mampu membeli kebutuhan hidupnya. Kulkas, TV, mobil, dan rumah laku dengan kerasnya. Semakin banyak yang bisa membeli barang, ekonomi semakin maju lagi.

Karena itu, AS perlu banyak sekali barang. Barang apa saja. Kalau tidak bisa bikin sendiri, datangkan saja dari Tiongkok atau Indonesia atau negara lainnya. Itulah yang membuat Tiongkok bisa menjual barang apa saja
ke AS yang bisa membuat Tiongkok punya cadangan devisa terbesar di dunia: USD 2 triliun!

Sudah lebih dari 60 tahun cara ''membesarkan' ' perusahaan seperti itu dilakukan di AS dengan suksesnya. Itulah bagian dari ekonomi kapitalis. AS dengan kemakmuran dan kekuatan ekonominya lalu menjadi penguasa dunia.

Tapi, itu belum cukup.

Yang makmur harus terus lebih makmur. Punya toilet otomatis dianggap tidak cukup lagi: harus computerized!

Bonus yang sudah amat besar masih kurang besar. Laba yang terus meningkat harus terus mengejar langit. Ukuran perusahaan yang sudah sebesar gajah harus dibikin lebih jumbo. Langit, gajah, jumbo juga belum cukup.

Ketika semua orang sudah mampu beli rumah, mestinya tidak ada lagi perusahaan yang jual rumah. Tapi, karena perusahaan harus terus meningkat, dicarilah jalan agar penjualan rumah tetap bisa dilakukan dalam jumlah
yang kian banyak. Kalau orangnya sudah punya rumah, harus diciptakan agar kucing atau anjingnya juga punya rumah. Demikian juga mobilnya.

Tapi, ketika anjingnya pun sudah punya rumah, siapa pula yang akan beli rumah?

Kalau tidak ada lagi yang beli rumah, bagaimana perusahaan bisa lebih besar? Bagaimana perusahaan penjamin bisa lebih besar? Bagaimana perusahaan alat-alat bangunan bisa lebih besar? Bagaimana bank bisa lebih besar? Bagaimana notaris bisa lebih besar? Bagaimana perusahaan penjual kloset bisa lebih besar? Padahal, doktrinnya, semua perusahaan harus semakin besar?

Ada jalan baru. Pemerintah AS-lah yang membuat jalan baru itu. Pada 1980, pemerintah bikin keputusan yang disebut ''Deregulasi Kontrol Moneter''. Intinya, dalam hal kredit rumah, perusahaan realestat diperbolehkan
menggunakan variabel bunga. Maksudnya: boleh mengenakan bunga tambahan dari bunga yang sudah ditetapkan secara pasti. Peraturan baru itu berlaku dua tahun kemudian.

Inilah peluang besar bagi banyak sektor usaha: realestat, perbankan, asuransi, broker, underwriter, dan seterusnya. Peluang itulah yang dimanfaatkan perbankan secara nyata.

Begini ceritanya:
Sejak sebelum 1925, di AS sudah ada UU Mortgage. Yakni, semacam undang-undang kredit pemilikan rumah (KPR). Semua warga AS, asalkan memenuhi syarat tertentu, bisa mendapat mortgage (anggap saja seperti KPR,
meski tidak sama).

Misalnya, kalau gaji seseorang sudah Rp 100 juta setahun, boleh ambil mortgage untuk beli rumah seharga Rp 250 juta. Cicilan bulanannya ringan karena mortgage itu berjangka 30 tahun dengan bunga 6 persen setahun.

Negara-negara maju, termasuk Singapura, umumnya punya UU Mortgage. Yang terbaru adalah UU Mortgage di Dubai. Sejak itu, penjualan properti di Dubai naik 55 persen. UU Mortgage tersebut sangat ketat dalam menetapkan
syarat orang yang bisa mendapat mortgage.

Dengan keluarnya ''jalan baru'' pada 1980 itu, terbuka peluang untuk menaikkan bunga. Bisnis yang terkait dengan perumahan kembali hidup. Bank bisa dapat peluang bunga tambahan. Bank menjadi lebih agresif. Juga para
broker dan bisnis lain yang terkait.

Tapi, karena semua orang sudah punya rumah, tetap saja ada hambatan. Maka, ada lagi ''jalan baru'' yang dibuat pemerintah enam tahun kemudian. Yakni, tahun 1986.

Pada 1986 itu, pemerintah menetapkan reformasi pajak. Salah satu isinya: pembeli rumah diberi keringanan pajak. Keringanan itu juga berlaku bagi pembelian rumah satu lagi. Artinya, meski sudah punya rumah, kalau mau
beli rumah satu lagi, masih bisa dimasukkan dalam fasilitas itu.

Di negara-negara maju, sebuah keringanan pajak mendapat sambutan yang luar biasa. Di sana pajak memang sangat tinggi. Bahkan, seperti di Swedia atau Denmark , gaji seseorang dipajaki sampai 50 persen. Imbalannya, semua
keperluan hidup seperti sekolah dan pengobatan gratis. Hari tua juga terjamin.

Dengan adanya fasilitas pajak itu, gairah bisnis rumah meningkat drastis menjelang 1990. Dan terus melejit selama 12 tahun berikutnya. Kredit yang disebut mortgage yang biasanya hanya USD 150 miliar setahun langsung menjadi dua kali lipat pada tahun berikutnya. Tahun-tahun berikutnya terus meningkat lagi. Pada 2004 mencapai hampir USD 700 miliar setahun.

Kata ''mortgage'' berasal dari istilah hukum dalam bahasa Prancis. Artinya: matinya sebuah ikrar. Itu agak berbeda dari kredit rumah. Dalam mortgage, Anda mendapat kredit. Lalu, Anda memiliki rumah. Rumah itu Anda serahkan kepada pihak yang memberi kredit. Anda boleh menempatinya selama cicilan Anda belum lunas.

Karena rumah itu bukan milik Anda, begitu pembayaran mortgage macet, rumah itu otomatis tidak bisa Anda tempati. Sejak awal ada ikrar bahwa itu bukan rumah Anda. Atau belum. Maka, ketika Anda tidak membayar cicilan, ikrar itu dianggap mati. Dengan demikian, Anda harus langsung pergi dari rumah tersebut.

Lalu, apa hubungannya dengan bangkrutnya investment banking seperti Lehman Brothers?

Gairah bisnis rumah yang luar biasa pada 1990-2004 itu bukan hanya karena fasilitas pajak tersebut. Fasilitas itu telah dilihat oleh ''para pelaku bisnis keuangan'' sebagai peluang untuk membesarkan perusahaan dan meningkatkan laba.

Warga terus dirangsang dengan berbagai iklan dan berbagai fasilitas mortgage. Jor-joran memberi kredit bertemu dengan jor-joran membeli rumah. Harga rumah dan tanah naik terus melebihi bunga bank.

Akibatnya, yang pintar bukan hanya orang-orang bank, tapi juga para pemilik rumah. Yang rumahnya sudah lunas, di-mortgage- kan lagi untuk membeli rumah berikutnya. Yang belum memenuhi syarat beli rumah pun bisa
mendapatkan kredit dengan harapan toh harga rumahnya terus naik. Kalau toh suatu saat ada yang tidak bisa bayar, bank masih untung. Jadi, tidak ada kata takut dalam memberi kredit rumah.

Tapi, bank tentu punya batasan yang ketat sebagaimana diatur dalam undang-undang perbankan yang keras.

Sekali lagi, bagi orang bisnis, selalu ada jalan.

Jalan baru itu adalah ini: bank bisa bekerja sama dengan ''bank jenis lain'' yang disebut investment banking.

Apakah investment banking itu bank?

Bukan. Ia perusahaan keuangan yang ''hanya mirip'' bank. Ia lebih bebas daripada bank. Ia tidak terikat peraturan bank. Bisa berbuat banyak hal:
menerima macam-macam ''deposito'' dari para pemilik uang, meminjamkan uang, meminjam uang, membeli perusahaan, membeli saham, menjadi penjamin, membeli rumah, menjual rumah, private placeman, dan apa pun yang orang bisa lakukan. Bahkan, bisa melakukan apa yang orang tidak pernah memikirkan! Lehman Brothers, Bear Stern, dan banyak lagi adalah jenis investment banking itu.

Dengan kebebasannya tersebut, ia bisa lebih agresif. Bisa memberi pinjaman tanpa ketentuan pembatasan apa pun. Bisa membeli perusahaan dan menjualnya kapan saja. Kalau uangnya tidak cukup, ia bisa pinjam kepada siapa saja:
kepada bank lain atau kepada sesama investment banking. Atau, juga kepada orang-orang kaya yang punya banyak uang dengan istilah ''personal banking''.

Saya sering kedatangan orang dari investment banking seperti itu yang menawarkan banyak fasilitas. Kalau saya mau menempatkan dana di sana , saya dapat bunga lebih baik dengan hitungan yang rumit. Biasanya saya tidak
sanggup mengikuti hitung-hitungan yang canggih itu.

Saya orang yang berpikiran sederhana. Biasanya tamu-tamu seperti itu saya serahkan ke Dirut Jawa Pos Wenny Ratna Dewi. Yang kalau menghitung angka lebih cepat dari kalkulator. Kini saya tahu, pada dasarnya dia tidak
menawarkan fasilitas, tapi cari pinjaman untuk memutar cash-flow. Begitu agresifnya para investment banking itu, sehingga kalau dulu hanya orang yang memenuhi syarat (prime) yang bisa dapat mortgage, yang kurang memenuhi syarat pun (sub-prime) dirangsang untuk minta mortgage.

Di AS, setiap orang punya rating. Tinggi rendahnya rating ditentukan oleh besar kecilnya penghasilan dan boros-tidaknya gaya hidup seseorang. Orang yang disebut prime adalah yang ratingnya 600 ke atas. Setiap tahun orang
bisa memperkirakan sendiri, ratingnya naik atau turun.

Kalau sudah mencapai 600, dia sudah boleh bercita-cita punya rumah lewat mortgage. Kalau belum 600, dia harus berusaha mencapai 600. Bisa dengan terus bekerja keras agar gajinya naik atau terus melakukan penghematan
pengeluaran.

Tapi, karena perusahaan harus semakin besar dan laba harus kian tinggi, pasar pun digelembungkan. Orang yang ratingnya baru 500 sudah ditawari mortgage. Toh kalau gagal bayar, rumah itu bisa disita. Setelah disita, bisa dijual dengan harga yang lebih tinggi dari nilai pinjaman. Tidak pernah dipikirkan jangka panjangnya.

Jangka panjang itu ternyata tidak terlalu panjang. Dalam waktu kurang dari 10 tahun, kegagalan bayar mortgage langsung melejit. Rumah yang disita sangat banyak. Rumah yang dijual kian bertambah. Kian banyak orang yang
jual rumah, kian turun harganya. Kian turun harga, berarti nilai jaminan rumah itu kian tidak cocok dengan nilai pinjaman. Itu berarti kian banyak yang gagal bayar.

Bank atau investment banking yang memberi pinjaman telah pula menjaminkan rumah-rumah itu kepada bank atau investment banking yang lain. Yang lain itu menjaminkan ke yang lain lagi. Yang lain lagi itu menjaminkan ke yang
beriktunya lagi. Satu ambruk, membuat yang lain ambruk. Seperti kartu domino yang didirikan berjajar. Satu roboh menimpa kartu lain. Roboh semua.

Berapa ratus ribu atau juta rumah yang termasuk dalam mortgage itu? Belum ada data. Yang ada baru nilai uangnya. Kira-kira mencapai 5 triliun dolar.

Jadi, kalau Presiden Bush merencanakan menyuntik dana APBN USD 700 miliar, memang perlu dipertanyakan: kalau ternyata dana itu tidak menyelesaikan masalah, apa harus menambah USD 700 miliar lagi? Lalu, USD 700 miliar lagi?

Itulah yang ditanyakan anggota DPR AS sekarang, sehingga belum mau menyetujui rencana pemerintah tersebut. Padahal, jumlah suntikan sebanyak USD 700 miliar itu sudah sama dengan pendapatan seluruh bangsa dan negara
Indonesia dijadikan satu.

Jadi, kita masih harus menunggu apa yang akan dilakukan pemerintah dan rakyat AS. Kita juga masih menunggu data berapa banyak perusahaan dan orang Indonesia yang ''menabung'' - kan uangnya di lembaga-lembaga investment banking yang kini lagi pada kesulitan itu.

Sebesar tabungan itulah Indonesia akan terseret ke dalamnya. Rasanya tidak banyak, sehingga pengaruhnya tidak akan sebesar pengaruhnya pada Singapura, Hongkong, atau Tiongkok.

Singapura dan Hongkong terpengaruh besar karena dua negara itu menjadi salah satu pusat beroperasinya raksasa-raksasa keuangan dunia. Sedangkan Tiongkok akan terpengaruh karena daya beli rakyat AS akan sangat menurun,
yang berarti banyak barang buatan Tiongkok yang tidak bisa dikirim secara besar-besaran ke sana . Kita, setidaknya, masih bisa menanam jagung.(*)

DJ_Archuleta

October 10th, 2008, 09:31 AM

Hopefully it will end sooner or later :ohno:

DJ_Archuleta

October 10th, 2008, 09:32 AM

Indonesia suggested to adopt controlled forex regime

JAKARTA, Oct. 9 (Xinhua) -- The Indonesian government in reality continued to adhere to a free-flow foreign exchange system although it has claimed it adopted a controlled foreign exchange regime, the Antara news agency quoted President Director of the Center for Bank Crises Achmad Deni Daruri as reporting on Thursday.

"This time, the free-foreign exchange system has once again claimed a victim, namely the United States, which had adopted this system," Deni said.

The present economic crisis which was fueled by the collapse of financial institutions in the superpower nation was basically a result of a scenario President George W Bush had designed to break his political rivals economically, Deni said.

He said the large number of Indonesian economic policy-makers oriented to the US-style free-foreign-exchange system could well drag the country into an economic crisis similar to that in 1998.

According to Deni, in such a condition more profit-taking transactions would take place in the stock market while speculative buyers would not care much about factor of economic fundamentals.

Meanwhile, Bank Indonesia (central bank)'s step to raise its rate in spite of a liquidity threat, was an ironic measure, he said.

A meeting between Bank Indonesia and bankers which aimed to call the banking world to curb credit expansion would unlikely be effective in creating a condition expected by the market, he said.

Though it was reported that the banking circles responded positively to the call, it was difficult to halt the flow of credits due to increasing demand from non-trading sectors, Deni said.

DJ_Archuleta

October 10th, 2008, 09:36 AM

Indonesia to reopen battered stock market

Presenter: Claudette Werden
Speakers : Fauzi Ichsan, Senior Economist at Standard Chartered Bank Indonesia

Listen: Windows Media
ICHSAN: The Indonesian Stock Exchange is quite dominated by commodity based companies and as you are aware, commodity prices over the last few months have tanked and that has certainly affected share prices of commodity companies. Secondly there has been rumours that these shares have been pledged for collateral and expansion and those shares were pledged on the basis that if those shares come down below a certain level, then the creditors have the right to sell those shares and that is what has happened. We believe the Capital Markets Authority is trying to investigate into the issue of pledge shares because if creditors continue to sell shares of those companies which are being pledged then the equity market will be hammered further.

WERDEN: Is Indonesia facing recession?

ICHSAN: The Indonesian economy is likely to be affected by the global crisis in the second half of this year but I don't believe Indonesia will plunge into a recession for the simple reason that the pillars that support the Indonesian economy are domestic consumption and domestic investment. Consumer spending generates around 60 per cent of GDP, domestic consumption generates about 70 per cent of GDP, net exports that is to say exports minus imports only generate 8 per cent of GDP and thus global economic slowdown will hit exports but since the role of exports in generating growth is limited, therefore the impact on Indonesia will also be limited.

WERDEN: In the region who is most in danger to succumbing to this crisis?

ICHSAN: One could say there are three countries who would be less affected by the global economic slowdown in Asia, China, India and Indonesia mainly because of population, domestic market story while those smaller countries in Asia that have more export dependence on the US and the rest of the world will be hit more, so I would say Hong Kong, Singapore, Taiwan, these countries will be hit more.

WERDEN: And Japan?

ICHSAN: Japan would be hit certainly, but the rest of Asia considers Japan a first world country anyway so even though Japan enters into a major economic slowdown the impact is not as severe as in an emerging market country.

AceN

October 10th, 2008, 01:17 PM

Duh, cen gimana mekanisme nya si BUSH bisa buat kayak gitu, kan yang rugi mereka sendiri .....

AKu lebih ngerti penjelasan si DAHLAN ISKAN mengenai penyebab terjadinya krisis Amerika..

Katanya sih karena rakyatnya banyak berhutang padahal tidak memenuhi syarat. Terus banyak kredit macet jadinya bangkrut deh bank investasinya ... Gitu ... Putaran keuangan nya jadi terpotong. Padahal Bank Investasi kan biasa tuh muter-muter dan merotasikan duit masyarakat, memang High Risk, tapi also High Gain... hehehe,

Gawat juga, BEI bolak-balik ditutup gara-gara ketakutan akan pasar dunia.

Yah, memang sulit sih. Yang disampaikan Dahlan Iskan itu bener2 dengan bahasa yang simpel. Plus, mudah dimengerti.

Yah, everything is possible kan ? Apalagi kalu politik udah dicampuradukkan ama ekonomi...tapi analisis yang g sebutin juga ga sepenuhnya salah kan ?

McCain aja udah 'bunuh diri' dengan mengatakan kalo fundamental ekonomi Amerika sangat kuat, dan pada hari yang sama Lehmann Brothers dinyatakan bangkrut..mau jadi apa kalo McCain & Palin yang menang election... :nuts:

Your time is over Bush..

=NaNdA=

October 10th, 2008, 04:23 PM

^ yang gw denger sih cuma gara2 ada kredut rumah murah,, tapi pada gagal bayar..

btw, Rupiah udah hampir tembus 10.000 / dollar US ya??

DJ_Archuleta

October 10th, 2008, 04:33 PM

Penerimaan Negara Tambah Rp 200 Triliun di 2010

Pemerintah yakin penerimaan negara akan bertambah Rp 200 triliun pada 2010. Penghematan energi merupakan sumber yang paling signifikan untuk menebalkan kantong anggaran pemerintah.

Demikian disampaikan Wapres Jusuf Kalla dalam sambutan Musyawarah Nasional Himpunan Pengusaha Muda Indonesia (Hipmi) ke-13 di Grand Hyatt.

"Tambahan penerimaan itu berasal dari penghematan energi yang kita lakukan sekarang ini," katanya.

Saat ini pemerintah memang tengah giat-giatnya melakukan penghematan energi. Sebut saja program konversi minyak tanah ke elpiji yang dilakukan dengan membagikan kompor dan tabung elpiji secara gratis.

Lalu ada juga program percepatan pembangunan pembangkit listrik batubara 10.000 MW yang dilakukan untuk mengurangi porsi pemakaian BBM sebagai bahan bakar pembangkit.

Program penghematan, lanjut Kalla, menjadi penting karena 40-45 persen anggaran negara tahun ini yang mencapai Rp 1.000 triliun digunakan untuk menutupi kebutuhan subsidi BBM dan listrik, pangan, dan cicilan utang serta bunganya.

Sehingga dengan adanya penghematan energi, maka diharapkan ada dana yang tersisa untuk investasi dan pembangunan infrastruktur di dalam negeri. Dengan begitu, bisa mendongkrak ekonomi Indonesia yang diprediksi akan melesat pada 2011.

"Tahun 2011, kita optimis pertumbuhan ekonomi akan melesat menjadi 9% dan Indonesia akan menjadi negara yang lebih terhormat di Asia," katanya.

VRS

October 10th, 2008, 05:02 PM

rupiah 9800 now....ready for another crisis..?? kita harapkan jangan sampai terjadi...
jk itu terjadi maka banyak projek2x construction n biaya hidup akan tak jalan....
krn rupiah jatuh n bunga bank tinggi....jg sampai terjadi pls....

Au_tHies

October 10th, 2008, 05:22 PM

EDITED.

DJ_Archuleta

October 10th, 2008, 06:48 PM

Indonesia far from crisis, say analysts

When the U.S. Congress approved a bailout plan last week, it was expected to ease the global financial crisis.

Fast-forward three days, and world markets, including Indonesia's, were plummeting. Coupled with the volatile rupiah, the inevitable question is raised: Will Indonesia suffer another economic crisis?

"No," is the immediate answer from economist Faisal Basri. "Indonesia's economy is stronger now because it has learned a lot from the last crisis."

In the 1997 financial crisis, Indonesia's short-term loans to foreign reserves ratio stood at 175 percent; currently, it stands at 34.5 percent, meaning the country can safely finance its short-term loans.

"Our banking sector was erratic (in 1997), it is now sturdy. Overall, even in Southeast Asia, judging from indicators such as politics and business, Indonesia is fairly stable," Faisal said Wednesday.

The global financial crisis will impact only Indonesia's currency and stock market.

"The dollar is scarce because the U.S. government is issuing treasury bonds to finance the bailout and plug its huge deficit."

His remarks echo earlier statements by President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono that Indonesia will not see a repeat of the late-1990's crisis.

The central bank is also downplaying the possibility of a crisis.

On Tuesday, it raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points for six straight months, to 9.5 percent, thus "signaling to market players that the economy is well guarded," according to Bank Indonesia senior deputy governor Miranda S. Goeltom.

Miranda said a consistent rise in the BI rate would assure the market the central bank was in control and ready to safeguard the economy.

She added BI would be in the market to monitor the volatility of the rupiah against the dollar, based on global movements.

"The weakening (rupiah) is common as long as it is orderly and on a manageable range," she said.

Still, Faisal warned, Indonesia "may eventually feel the impact of the financial crisis as the U.S. economy slows down, resulting in China shifting its export destination from the U.S. to countries like Indonesia."

How to deal with that? "Guard national borders against imports of unessential goods," he said -- the same statement made last week by acting Coordinating Minister for the Economy Sri Mulyani Indrawati.

With some people seeing opportunity at a time of crisis, Faisal said the government should start focusing on potential industries, such as those producing rattan, wood, tea, coffee, cacao and crude palm oil.

"Other countries buy raw materials from us, process and package it, then sell it at a high price. Why don't we start selling our own products?" he said.

With the real sector developing, he went on, Indonesia could have a better economy in the future, while unemployment would drop. Faisal estimated the economy would grow by 5.8 percent this year, well below the government's estimate of 6.2 percent.

He said the economy had slowed in the third quarter of 2008, as seen by a decline in exports and imports, as well as in the financial, services and telecommunications sectors.

The Institute for Development of Economics and Finance (Indef), an economic watchdog, recommended Indonesian authorities prepare a safety net in case a full-blown crisis arose.

The government needs "concrete actions" to safeguard the economy, including providing incentives for exporters and raising the deposit insurance limit from Rp 100 million ($10,325.25) to Rp 250 million, Indef economists said.

peseg5

October 10th, 2008, 08:44 PM

Yah, memang sulit sih. Yang disampaikan Dahlan Iskan itu bener2 dengan bahasa yang simpel. Plus, mudah dimengerti.

Yah, everything is possible kan ? Apalagi kalu politik udah dicampuradukkan ama ekonomi...tapi analisis yang g sebutin juga ga sepenuhnya salah kan ?

McCain aja udah 'bunuh diri' dengan mengatakan kalo fundamental ekonomi Amerika sangat kuat, dan pada hari yang sama Lehmann Brothers dinyatakan bangkrut..mau jadi apa kalo McCain & Palin yang menang election... :nuts:

Your time is over Bush..

Sorry OOT

Menurut gw Megawati aja masih lebih mending daripada Palin....kekeke Kebayang gak sih kalo si McCain mati sakit jantung, trus presidennya si Palin. Nah orang kayak dia yg memandang kebijakan luar negeri AS hanya karena bisa lihat Rusia dari Alaska... ck ck ck waduh serasa dunia milik berdua.

Nah kalo dia disuruh pegang peluru kendali nuklir... bisa2... hmmmm

teddybear

October 10th, 2008, 09:35 PM

^Itu data udah ketinggalan, entah di bulan apa thn 2008. Coba liat grafik stock seluruh dunia, rata2x turun sedikitnya 50%. IHSG puncaknya pernah mencapai 2800, sekarang cuman 1400, berarti turun setengah, so in line with other stock markets in the world.

rilham2new

October 11th, 2008, 12:46 AM

Untuk pertama kalinya aku kaget ngliat KURS BELI dan KURS JUAL IDR-USD, bedanya jauh banget ..

Sumber DETIKFINANCE subuh ini:
Kurs Beli Rp 9151
Kurs Jual Rp 10151

Kok bisa ya ??? Ada ahli ekonomi yang bisa menjelaskan di sini ??

MARINHO

October 11th, 2008, 06:26 AM

Friday, 10 October 2008 17:11:53

StockWatch (Jakarta) - Head of Capital Market and Financial Institution Supervisory Board (Bapepam LK), Fuad Rahmany, said false informations have affected the Jakarta compsite index (JCI) which has forced the market authority to suspend trading since Wednesday (8/10) of this week.

"We are searching for parties that have issued false informations intentionally with aim of driving the market down," Rahmany said in a press conference on Friday (10/10) at IDX building Jakarta.

Rahmany said Bapepam and IDX have identified some brokerage firms and institution, but he did not give details. "We cannot mention the names of the parties by now. This afternoon, we will clarify with them regarding the matter," he said.

Misleading informations also spread in global markets, and Rahmany has called the parties issuing false informations not to do that amid the less conducive market condition today for it may cause losses to all parties for the benefit of only one party. "We will take a stern action against the parties if we can find them," he warned. (Irawan/was)

MARINHO

October 11th, 2008, 06:28 AM

Friday, 10 October 2008 16:54:23

StockWatch (Jakarta) - State Enterprise Minister Sofyan Djalil said the government through the Government Investment Center (PIP) has allocated IDR4 trillion for buying back state companies' shares listed at the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX).

Sofyan Djalil said PIP will ask state investment managers to decide on state shares that are worth buying and the buyback prices/ He said the shares will be withheld for a certain period as government's additional investment in state companies, and the profit from the transaction will be kept in the state coffer.

He said further that the buyback mechanism will be left to the state companies, but the portion of buyback will be limited to maxium 30% of each company's total paid-up shares.
Currently there are 14 listed state companies, but not all of them are financially capable to buy back shares, and the State Enterprise Ministry has excluded state banking and pharmaceutical firms from the share buyback program.

He said the state companies may arrange time and set up the buyback price without having to hold AGMs, but basically the buyack is able to begin on Friday (10/10). "So basically, the program depends on the the companies' financial capabilities and cashflows," he said.

State companies likely to buy back shares are PT Aneka Tambang Tbk, PT Perusahaan Batubara Bukit Asam Tbk, PT Timah Tbk, PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk., PT Perusahaan Gas Negara Tbk., PT Semen Gresik Tbk, and PT Jasa Marga Tbk. (Herman Susanto/bw)

AceN

October 11th, 2008, 10:33 AM

Sorry OOT

Menurut gw Megawati aja masih lebih mending daripada Palin....kekeke Kebayang gak sih kalo si McCain mati sakit jantung, trus presidennya si Palin. Nah orang kayak dia yg memandang kebijakan luar negeri AS hanya karena bisa lihat Rusia dari Alaska... ck ck ck waduh serasa dunia milik berdua.

Nah kalo dia disuruh pegang peluru kendali nuklir... bisa2... hmmmm

Hahahahahahhaha, at least Palin jauh lebih enak diliat daripada Megawati laa.. :naughty:

"and I can see Russia from my house" <- :rofl:

Bokap g aja geleng2, bisa2nya McCain pilih pendamping Palin..kmaren dia blunder lagi soal minyak kan.. :nuts:

DJ_Archuleta

October 11th, 2008, 10:39 AM

^^ bedanya pallin sama megawati kayak bumi ama langit..:lol:

DJ_Archuleta

October 11th, 2008, 10:39 AM

Govt to set up law enforcement taskforce for financial sector

Jakarta, (ANTARA News) - The government plans to set up a taskforce to monitor law enforcement in the financial sector under coordination of the institutions concerned.

"We set up the taskforce that will conduct continous monitoring to promote coordinated law enforcement efforts among us," finance minister Sri Mulyani said here on Friday.

She made the statement at a press conference attended by attorney general Herdarman Supandji, national police cnief Bambang Hendarso, state enterprises minister Sofyan Djalil and deputy senior governor of Bank Indonesia Miranda S Goeltom at the finance ministry building.

Sri Mulyani said if indications were found that certain parties had acted against the law she would immediately inform law enforcers so that their legal process could be done quickly.

"Our economy must be protected for the common interest. However if anyone found exploiting conditions against the law we will without hesitation enforce the law," she said.

She said in the face of current economic upheavals various regulations in the country need to be adjusted.

"This is solely for securing our economy," she said.

She said she had invited the national police chief and the attorney general among others to give them detailed explantation on measures to be taken by the government with regard to regulation changes.

She said the government had proposed changes in the regulations such as for increasing the amount of deposit to be guaranteed and provision of financial safety net.

She said the government also proposed an amendment of the law on Bank Indonesia to make the central bank and the government more responsive in raising banking liquidity.(*)

AceN

October 11th, 2008, 10:42 AM

^^ bedanya pallin sama megawati kayak bumi ama langit..:lol:
ya iya lah, kalo itu mah bedanya 20 kilo lebih... :rofl:

DJ_Archuleta

October 11th, 2008, 10:42 AM

Observer: no sign present crisis to be repeat of 1997 meltdown

Jakarta (ANTARA News) - Economic observer Tony A Prasentyantono said here on Friday the current crisis had not yet led to a situation like in the 1997 crisis.

"I have not seen a sign showing that it is going in that direction. There is indeed the potential but I still have hope that the crisis which comes from the US will be overcome or at least mitigated," he told ANTARA News.

He said the US government would be helped by big countries in Europe, Japan, Britain and even China to overcome the challenge.

"The Chinese government which has more than US$1.6 trillion in foreign exchange reserves, for instance, is expected to help by buying T-bills to be produced by the US government to finance its US$700 billion bailout plan," he said.

He said the current crisis had to be overcome not only by the US alone but also jointly by other countries.

"If the US economy goes bankcrupt it will affect the world. Based on this assumption, I believe a deeper crisis will be prevented," he said.

He said it was hoped the crisis would also make the US unwilling to continue its wars. "This will be good for the global economy," he said.(*)

DJ_Archuleta

October 11th, 2008, 10:43 AM

ya iya lah, kalo itu mah bedanya 20 kilo lebih... :rofl:

sama kayak yg lo bilang di thread indonesia gdp, the difference between megawati and arroyo is about 20 kg..:lol:

DJ_Archuleta

October 11th, 2008, 10:44 AM

Govt to set up task force to prevent illegal goods distribution

Jakarta (ANTARA News) - The Indonesian government will set up a special task force to prevent illegal goods distribution and protect local products to make them able to compete in the domestic market, a senior trade official said here on Friday.

The director general of domestic trade, Subagyo, said "our staff will determine consumer goods which may be imported with regard to prioritizing use of domestic products. Control of entry points which are potential to be used for sending in illegal products will be tightened."

He said increased supervision on imported goods and distribution of consumer goods at home had to be done to maintain competitiveness of the local products in the face of possible flows of imported goods as a result of diversion of exports following current global crisis.

"This is part of the duty of how to make all business players willing to exploit the existing market potential at home and to prevent it from being taken over by other countries," he said.

The director of supervision of goods and services distribution, Syahrul Sampurna Jaya, said the taskforce would have members from various offices concerned.

"They come from the Drugs and Food Control Agency, the ministry of agriculture, the customs office and the police," he said.

He said he hoped the taskforce would make coordination among the offices concerned on the supervision of goods distribution more effective. "Similar teams will also be established in the regions," he said.

Syahrul said every office had already taken measures to tighten control of imported goods or goods distribution.

"The customs office has said it would close 47 ports in Batam and only two ports will be allowed for importing. They are also tightening supervision of private ports," he said.

The trade ministry, he said, is currently discussing a imported goods labelling regulation to make it easier for the customs office to prevent illegal goods from entering the country.

"We will also increase allocation of funds for the supervision of goods distribution from Rp11 billion this year to Rp20 to Rp25 billion to make us able to conduct more field inspections," he said.

The trade ministry will also increase the number of prosecutor public servants now numbering only 1,400 to control goods distribution and services.

"Their ideal number is around 14,000 for the whole country," he said.

He said the trade ministry was also just improving the ministerial decree on goods and service distribution. "The coverage will be extended to include essential goods, goods that are under trade order and goods under special supervision," he said.

So far only products that have to have SNI (National Industrial Standard) as well as drugs and foods and beverages that are put under supervision, he said.(*)

DJ_Archuleta

October 11th, 2008, 03:36 PM

South Korea, Taiwan, Indonesia Ban Short Sales as Markets Slump

(Bloomberg) — South Korea, Taiwan and Indonesia placed bans on short selling as declines in global stock markets deepened after the U.S. House of Representatives rejected a $700 billion plan to rescue the nation’s financial system.

David-80

October 11th, 2008, 06:46 PM

menurut gua semua krisis US disebabkan karena The US and its associate greedy...rakus...serakah...

ada sisi baiknya dari ini, bunga deposito naik ...ayo rame2 simpen deposito...hehe..

cheers

hellothere123

October 11th, 2008, 07:13 PM

tahun 2008 ini, Singapore merupakan negara pertama d Asia Tenggara yg memasuki masa resesi :nuts::nuts: dan makin parah aja..

diperkirakan akan bertahan ampe taun depan :bash::bash:

hellothere123

October 11th, 2008, 07:16 PM

AceN

October 11th, 2008, 09:38 PM

menurut gua semua krisis US disebabkan karena The US and its associate greedy...rakus...serakah...

ada sisi baiknya dari ini, bunga deposito naik ...ayo rame2 simpen deposito...hehe..

cheers
u share the same with me vid..

G takut sama Thailand..hari ke hari, kebuntuan politik seakan tanpa akhir..dan kejatuhan ekonomi dunia sudah menganga di depan mata. Kalau Thailand terjerembab, takutnya Indonesia & ASEAN bakal mengulangi the black tuesday 1998...

*amit..amit.....

Mimihitam

October 12th, 2008, 03:03 AM

A Solution?
Published 10/11/08 Paul Craig Roberts, former Secretary of the U.S. Treasury
E-mail - editor@economyincisis.org

Editor's Note: The following article was contributed by Paul Craig Roberts and may not reflect the views or opinions of EconomyInCrisis.org. Feedback is welcome.

Readers have been pressing for a solution to the financial crisis. But first it is necessary to understand the problem. Here is the problem as I see it. If my diagnosis is correct, the solution below might be appropriate.

Let’s begin with the fact that the financial crisis is more or less worldwide. The mechanism that spread the American-made financial crisis abroad was the massive U.S. trade deficit. Every year the countries with which the U.S. has trade deficits end up in the aggregate with hundreds of billions of dollars.

Countries don’t put these dollars in a mattress. They invest them. They buy up U.S. companies, real estate, and toll roads. They also purchase U.S. financial assets. They finance the U.S. government budget deficit by purchasing Treasury bonds and bills. They help to finance the U.S. mortgage market by purchasing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac bonds. They buy financial instruments, such as mortgage-backed securities and other derivatives, from U.S. investment banks, and that is how the U.S. financial crisis was spread abroad. If the U.S. current account was close to balance, the contagion would have lacked a mechanism by which to spread.

One reason the U.S. trade deficit is so large is the practice of U.S. corporations offshoring their production of goods and services for U.S. markets. When these products are brought into the U.S. to be sold, they count as imports.

Thus, economists were wrong to see the trade deficit as a non-problem and to regard offshoring as a plus for the U.S. economy.

The fact that much of the financial world is polluted with U.S. toxic financial instruments could affect the ability of the U.S. Treasury to borrow the money to finance the bailout of the financial institutions. Foreign central banks might need their reserves to bail out their own financial systems. As the U.S. savings rate is approximately zero, the only alternative to foreign borrowing is the printing of money.

Financial deregulation was an important factor in the development of the crisis. The most reckless deregulation occurred in 1999, 2000, and 2004. See Roberts.

Lax mortgage lending policies grew out of pressures placed on mortgage lenders during the 1990s by the US Department of Justice and federal regulatory agencies to race-norm their mortgage lending and to provide below-market loans to preferred minorities. Subprime mortgages became a potential systemic threat when issuers ceased to bear any risk by selling the mortgages, which were then amalgamated with other mortgages and became collateral for mortgage-backed securities.

Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan’s inexplicable low interest rate policy allowed the systemic threat to develop. Low interest rates push up housing prices by lowering monthly mortgage payments, thus increasing housing demand. Rising home prices created equity to justify 100 percent mortgages. Buyers leveraged themselves to the hilt and lacked the ability to make payments when they lost their jobs or when adjustable rates and interest escalator clauses pushed up monthly payments.

Wall Street analysts pushed financial institutions to increase their earnings, which they did by leveraging their assets and by insuring debt instruments instead of maintaining appropriate reserves. This spread the crisis from banks to insurance companies.

Finance chiefs around the world are dealing with the crisis by bailing out banks and by lowering interest rates. This suggests that the authorities see the problem as a solvency problem for the financial institutions and as a liquidity problem. US Treasury Secretary Paulson’s solution, for example, leaves unattended the continuing mortgage defaults and foreclosures. The fall in the US stock market predicts a serious recession, which means rising unemployment and more defaults and foreclosures.

In place of a liquidity problem, I see an over-abundance of debt instruments relative to wealth. A fractional reserve banking system based on fiat money appears to be capable of creating debt instruments faster than an economy can create real wealth. Add in credit card debt, stocks purchased on margin, and leveraged derivatives, and debt is pyramided relative to real assets.

Add in the mark-to-market rule, which forces troubled assets to be under-valued, thus threatening the solvency of institutions, and short-selling, which drives down the shares of trouble institutions, thereby depriving them of credit lines, and you have an outline of the many causes of the current crisis.

If the diagnosis is correct, the solution is multifaceted.

Instead of wasting $700 billion on a bailout of the guilty that does not address the problem, the money should be used to refinance the troubled mortgages, as was done during the Great Depression. If the mortgages were not defaulting, the income flows from the mortgage interest through to the holders of the mortgage-backed securities would be restored. Thus, the solvency problem faced by the holders of these securities would be at an end.

The financial markets must be carefully re-regulated, not over-regulated or wrongly regulated.

The trade deficit is more difficult to reduce as the U.S. has permitted itself to become dependent not merely on imports of foreign energy, but also on imports of foreign manufactured goods including advanced technology products. Steps can be taken to bring home the offshored production of U.S. goods for U.S. markets. This would substantially reduce the trade deficit and, thus, restore credibility to the U.S. dollar as world reserve currency. Follow-up measures would be required to insure that U.S. imports do not greatly exceed exports.

The U.S. will have to set aside the racial privileges that federal bureaucrats pulled out of the Civil Rights Act and restore sound lending practices. It the U.S. government itself wishes to subsidize at taxpayer expense home purchases by non-qualified buyers, that is a political decision subject to electoral ratification. But the U.S. government must cease to force private lenders to breech the standards of prudence.

The issuance of credit cards must be brought back to prudent standards, with checks on credit history, employment, and income. Balances that grow over time must be seen as a problem against which reserves must be provided, instead of a source of rising interest income to the credit card companies.

Fractional reserve banking must be reined in by higher reserve requirements, rising over time perhaps to 100 percent. If banks were true financial intermediaries, they would not have money creating power, and the proliferation of debt relative to wealth would be reduced.

The Great Depression lasted a decade because the authorities were unable to comprehend that the Federal Reserve had allowed the supply of money to shrink. The shrunken money supply could not employ the same number of workers at the same wages, and it could not purchase the same amount of goods and service at the same prices. Thus, prices and employment fell.

The explanation of the Great Depression was not known until the 1960s when Milton Friedman and Anna Schwartz published their Monetary History of the United States.
http://www.economyincrisis.org/articles/show/1908

hellothere123

October 12th, 2008, 07:56 AM

berita ttg Singapore yg merupakan negara pertama d Asia Tenggara yg memasuki masa resesi..

berikut link ny:

http://news.sg.msn.com/article.aspx?cp-documentid=1721271

@AceN: sudah dikoreksi :):)

AceN

October 12th, 2008, 08:18 AM

^^ hellothere, sorry tapi ini thread tentang ekonomi Indonesia. Kalau smua tentang Singapore, atau negara lain, cukup kasi linknya aja. Oke ? :)

DJ_Archuleta

October 12th, 2008, 04:11 PM

Analysts advise govt to end rhetoric and scare

Analysts have advised the government to stop addressing the public with rhetoric and scaring investors by summoning the police and prosecutors to help stabilize the stock market.

Economist Faisal Basri said the president had so far made normative statements on how the government would address a possible contagion of liquidity crisis and a weakening global demand for Indonesian products.

"The way I see it, the government should respond through actions not words. If the president wants to make a statement, it should be measurable and not normative," Faisal told The Jakarta Post on Saturday.

He said the government also fueled panic after making a last minute call to extend the suspension to the stock exchange after stating it would resume trading on Friday. Some investors have complained that the extension undermined their right to protect their assets and that it might ignite a rush should the market resumes on Monday.

The Indonesian Stock Exchange (IDX) has suspended trading since 11.06 a.m. Wednesday after its main index tumbled by 21 percent in mere three days, the biggest decline in Asian markets.

"The public will not be panicking if the government's actions are measurable," Faisal said

On Friday noon, Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati pleaded the public to perceive the extension as a measure to protect investors from deeper pain. However, later in the afternoon, she addressed the media while flanked by the National Police chief and Attorney General, threatening to nab anyone trying to damage the financial market by spreading rumors.

Earlier that day, the Capital Market and Financial Institution Supervisory Agency summoned brokers and financial firms allegedly responsible for spreading false information on the financial condition of several listed companies and local securities.

Hendri Saparini, an economist from a group of think tank that often found itself in opposition to the government -- Econit, said the government had pumped the market with more fear.

"The government has responded with panic policies on things that should have been addressed earlier. Indonesia's economic bubble is actually already in sight since last year. It is now too late to create a soft (economic growth) landing," she said.

She advised the government to swallow the fact that many people saw it panicking and to end all rhetoric and focus on implementation of necessary measures to calm the market.

"The government should be discreet, calm the market with policy implementation," she said.

Measures currently being developed by the government and the central bank include: cutting bank's minimum reserve requirement to encourage lending, ordering state companies to buy back shares to curb pressure on the stock market and extending guarantee on bank deposits to boost people's confidence on the banking sector.

Banker-cum-economist Fauzi Ikhsan said panicking was a global phenomenon.

"Governments, everywhere, are free to make statements. Whether the message gets heard is entirely left to the market. More important is the policy and how fast it can be implemented," Fauzi said.

He said the global liquidity squeeze, so far, had affected financial market, but would slowly trickle to the real sector. The government, he said, must focus on strengthening the real sector.

"My suggestion is to rethink the effectiveness of the government's fiscal police, expedite the absorption of state budget and provincial budget. Don't let too many provincial budgets parked at the central bank," he said. (ast)

DJ_Archuleta

October 12th, 2008, 10:48 PM

Aktivitas Ekonomi Komoditas Harus Dipratikkan

Medan (ANTARA News) - Indonesia harus terus meningkatkan aktivitas ekonomi yang berubungan dengan komoditas guna mengurangi dampak krisis finansial yang dewasa ini tengah melanda Amerika Serikat (AS).

"Sepanjang kita bisa meningkatkan aktivitas ekonomi komoditas krisis keuangan itu tidak akan banyak berpengaruh bagi Indonesia," ujar anggota DPR RI dari Partai Demokrat, Jhony Allen Marbun, di Medan, Minggu.

Ia mengakui krisis finansial di negara adidaya tersebut akan berdampak bagi banyak negara lain termasuk Indonesia. Hanya saja, karena Indonesia lebih banyak "bermain" di sektor komoditas, pengaruhnya tidak akan terlalu besar.

"Buktinya serapan APBN 2008 diperkirakan bakal mencapai 95 persen, jauh lebih baik dibanding serapan APBN 2007 yang hanya 90 persen saja. Harga minyak dunia yang terus menunjukkan kecenderungan menurun juga ikut membantu kemampuan APBN kita," ujar Wakil Ketua Panitia Anggaran DPR RI itu.

Terkait nilai tukar rupiah yang fluktuatif, menurut dia, diperkirakan tidak akan berlangsung terlalu lama, sementara pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia sendiri tetap ditargetkan mencapai 6,3 persen meski pertumbuhan ekonomi dunia diprediksi akan turun.

"Jadi sepanjang kita bisa meningkatkan aktivitas ekonomi yang berhubungan dengan komoditas, tidak ada yang perlu terlalu dikhawatirkan apalagi harus panik, meski kita tetap harus waspada," ujar Ketua DPP Partai Demokrat Bidang Organisasi, Kaderisasi dan Keanggotaan (OKK) itu.

Lebih jauh caleg DPR RI dari daerah pemilihan Sumut II itu juga menyatakan, pemerintah harus terus menggiatkan pembangunan infrastruktur yang berhubungan langsung dengan rakyat, khususnya infrastruktur yang berkaitan dengan sektor pertanian dan perikanan.

Didampingi Wakil Ketua DPD Partai Demokrat Sumut, Farianda Putra Sinik, SE, Ia juga mengimbau masyarakat di Sumut ikut berpartisipasi meredam gejolak dengan tidak mengejar keuntungan sesaat dan mengorbankan kepentingan bangsa yang lebih besar di tengah kondisi perekonomian yang terkena dampak krisis finansial global.

Sementara para pengamat juga diminta tidak memberikan komentar-komentar yang berlebihan, yang justru bisa membuat masyarakat menjadi khawatir. "Karena semua ini tanggung jawab kita bersama," ujarnya.

Ia mengaku sangat berharap APBN 2008 dan juga APBN tahun-tahun berikutnya bisa diserap seoptimal mungkin dan bahkan mendekati 100 persen.

"Karena semakin tinggi serapan terhadap APBN maka akan semakin meningkat aktivitas perekonomian di tengah-tengah masyarakat dan semua itu memiliki `multiplier effect` yang sangat penting bagi pertumbuhan ekonomi kita," ujar Jhony Allen Marbun.(*)

Mimihitam

October 14th, 2008, 02:00 AM

Indonesia as a New Democratic Power
(http://www.1ndonesia.info/2008/10/rising-indonesia/)

Newsweek
Indonesia As the New India

This stable democracy with a hot market economy resembles another Asian giant in the 1990s.
George Wehrfritz
NEWSWEEK
From the magazine issue dated Oct 20, 2008

Jakarta today could be any of Asia’s 21st-century boomtowns. The malls buzz, traffic snarls and modern office towers dominate the skyline. It all feels profoundly normal—but that’s big progress in a place that, barely ten years ago, seemed destined for ruin. Following the fall of longtime strongman Suharto, and with Indonesia reeling from the 1997-98 Asian financial crisis, many analysts feared that Asia’s third-biggest country (population: 235 million) would go the way of Yugoslavia. Instead, it has become a cohesive, robust and exuberantly democratic moderate Muslim nation. Things are so buoyant that Indonesia invites comparison to another Asian giant: India.

Both remain corrupt, chaotic and excruciatingly complex. Yet each is also an attractive emerging economy, and in India’s case, a star of the developing world. Could Indonesia be next? Its economy grew by 6.3 percent last year, the main stock exchange ranks among the world’s best performers since 2003 and last year foreign direct investment nearly tripled, to a respectable $4 billion. All of which resembles India in the 1990s, when reforms kick-started a potentially massive economy—though outsiders barely noticed until the IT sector took off and growth passed 8 percent. In Indonesia, the key sectors are energy, mining and soft commodities like rubber, palm oil and cocoa. And in an exclusive interview, President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono says he sees no inherent reason why a big democracy like his can’t grow as fast China, which has posted 10 percent growth rates in recent years.

That would put Indonesia on a lot of magazine covers. In fact, the country already looks better than India in two ways: its per capita income ($3,348) is a third higher, and thanks to Jakarta’s fiscal austerity, it now boasts one of the lowest debt ratios in the world. “After ten years of restructuring, Southeast Asia’s largest economy is in great shape,” says Nicholas Cashmore, CLSA’s country head and chief researcher in Jakarta.

Indonesia’s political turnaround has been just as dramatic as its economic one. The president, known universally as SBY, is a former general who was elected in mid-2004 and has since become the country’s most effective democratic leader. In four years, he has helped Indonesia roll up its terrorist problem and rebuild from the 2004 tsunami. Less appreciated (but more enduring), he has backed a profound political decentralization program, empowering hundreds of local administrations. Jakarta now rules by consensus, not decree. This has its downsides: it makes it impossible to railroad through big national development projects of the sort China is famous for. As SBY himself admits, “in many circumstances, we face local communities that don’t agree with government projects, so we have to convince them. I do not think the system is wrong. In a democracy like ours, change, reform and resistance are normal.”

The country’s largest parties now basically agree on economic policy and the need to reduce corruption, improve the rule of law and make government more efficient. Key democratic institutions—including a free press, impartial courts and a legislature chosen by voters—are remarkably robust, and the once all-powerful military has largely removed itself from politics. Meanwhile, regional autonomy has triggered economic booms at the periphery, in contrast to the typical Southeast Asian model. “From the U.S., the U.K. or even Hong Kong,” writes Cashmore, “it is difficult to comprehend the magnitude of Indonesia’s potential [or] appreciate just how much more there is to the country beyond Jakarta.” By his calculation, greater Jakarta now accounts for just 15 percent of Indonesia’s GDP, a relatively small share compared to other Asian capitals.

Indonesia’s accomplishments are all the more impressive when you remember how far and fast the country has come. The fall of Suharto’s New Order (a highly centralized system that vested absolute power in the dictator and his cronies) 10 years ago was accompanied by a financial meltdown so severe that the IMF had to step in. Indonesia also faced fierce separatist insurgencies, Christian-Muslim violence and Islamic extremism underscored by the 2002 Bali bombing. The country seemed to be teetering on the brink of wholesale disintegration. Yet today, as Australian National University economist Andrew MacIntyre and the Asia Foundation’s Douglas Ramage argued in a recent report, observers should start thinking of Indonesia “as a normal country grappling with challenges common to other large, middle-income, developing democracies—not unlike India, Mexico or Brazil.”

In some ways Indonesia’s democracy is even more sophisticated than those other states’. Take decentralization. Jakarta, like New Delhi, oversees national defense, internal security, finance, foreign policy and the justice system. But unlike the Indian government, Indonesia’s—thanks to two “big bang” reform packages passed in 2001 and 2006, and supported by SBY—must now coordinate most other activities through the country’s 33 provinces and nearly 500 local administrations, where popularly elected leaders make policy, manage two thirds of all civil servants and oversee everything from schools to economic development. As World Bank economists Wolfgang Fengler and Bert Hofman observe in a soon-to-be-published study, Indonesia has turned itself from “one of the most centralized countries in the world into one of the more decentralized ones.”

To see what that means on the ground, follow the money. Under a new fiscal system implemented in 2001, regions are allocated a huge slice of the country’s budget to spend more or less as they please. Poor and remote areas receive the most per capita, and those with abundant natural resources get shared extraction revenues. According to the World Bank, regional governments in Indonesia now account for 36 percent of all public expenditures, compared with an average of just 14 percent in all developing countries. And locals can promote whatever agendas they choose. “This is the real revolution,” says Erman Rahman, who heads the World Bank’s local governance initiatives in the country. Regions with proactive leaders have become laboratories of experimentation from which innovative anti-corruption, public-health and economic-growth initiatives have emerged. For his part, SBY has enabled this process by maintaining macroeconomic discipline and political stability. And his support for local autonomy has undermined separatism, extremism and communal violence.

One regional pioneer, Gamawan Fauzi, took power in West Sumatra’s Solok region in 2001 and quickly created a one-stop shop for government services, replacing an opaque and complex web of offices and brokers. Fauzi’s concept was to bring all government services under a single roof, post set fees, promote autopayment and guarantee prompt service as a means of rooting out corruption. And it has worked: the model has since been emulated across Indonesia, and Transparency International reports that corruption, while still high, has been reduced substantially.

Other local leaders have earned fame by initiating innovative new programs. Gede Putrayasa, who heads the poorest of nine regencies on the tourist island Bali, won office in 2001 on a pledge to provide universal medical insurance and free education. The latter proved relatively easy (he simply waived the 5,000 rupiah monthly fees), but improving health care without breaking the local budget was tougher. Under the old system, funds went to hospitals and local administrators, who did things like stockpile pharmaceuticals procured from companies that paid kickbacks. Putrayasa’s innovation: provide every local household free health insurance that compensates clinics for services actually provided. “There’s not a big savings,” says Putrayasa, “but everyone is covered and the efficiency is much better because there is no longer any corruption.”

Such reforms have stimulated economic growth. Putrayasa’s health-care and education initiatives (as well as a jobs program that sends underemployed rice farmers to Japan) have reduced the local poverty rate fourfold to just 5.5 percent today. Better local governance has also made Indonesia a major beneficiary of the global soft commodity boom. Together, the value of its four largest crops—rubber, coconut, palm oil and cocoa—rose from $2.3 billion in 2000 to an estimated $19 billion in 2008, CLSA calculates. That’s thanks to local leaders like Fadel Muhammad, governor of the hardscrabble province of Gorontalo on the island Sulawesi, who turned his constituents into the country’s best corn farmers by deploying teams of agricultural consultants; providing subsidized seeds, fertilizers and rental machinery to farmers; and giving cash rewards to village leaders who boost yields. Since 2002, Gorontalo’s poverty rate has shrunk from 49 to 29 percent.

Of course, decentralization has its problems. Analysts and watchdog groups say that while the number of effective leaders in the 500 local administrations has spiked from a handful to 50 or more under SBY, they are sometimes particularly effective at blocking necessary national reforms and projects. The result, says Ramage, is that progress will be “evolutionary, not revolutionary.” For example, the Trans Java highway, which would link Jakarta with Indonesia’s second-largest city, Surabaya, was launched in 2004 with a target completion date of 2009, but is still only 10 percent done because of local opposition.

Nonetheless, Indonesia has already become a beacon of stability in Southeast Asia and the Islamic world. Its antiterrorism campaign—Indonesia has shut radical madrassas, established an effective counterterrorism force and kracked down hard on suspected cells, while also avoiding human-rights abuses—is seen as a model for the region. And as the world’s most populous Muslim country, Indonesia’s democratization has implications from Morocco to Mindanao in that it exemplifies an alternative to zealotry, intolerance and extremism. “Indonesia is not immune to radicalism we see worldwide, but this is exactly why we must maintain our identity as a moderate, tolerant nation,” says Yudhoyono. “It enables us to prevent a clash of civilizations.”

SBY is likely to win re-election next year, but even if he loses, analysts don’t expect any sharp change in policy, because all the major political camps in Jakarta agree on the current reform blueprint. Even India does not enjoy that kind of stable consensus on how to catch China.

With Greg Hunt in Hong Kong
URL: http://www.newsweek.com/id/163572

Mimihitam

October 14th, 2008, 02:01 AM

Sumbar Ekspor Gambir dan Pinang

Sabtu, 11 Oktober 2008 | 15:04 WIB

PADANG, SABTU - Enam kontainer berisi gambir dan pinang dari Sumatera Barat mulai berangkat ke negara tujuan, Sabtu (11/10). Kedua komoditi ini merupakan ekspor pertama yang ditangani perusahaan daerah di bawah bendera PT Andalas Tuah Sakato (ATS).

Gambir akan diekspor ke India, sedangkan pinang ke Nepal. Bila ekspor perdana lancar, maka Sumbar mempunyai peluang meraup nilai ekspor yang lebih besar.

Direktur Utama PT ATS, Ramal Saleh, mengatakan dari sisi bahan baku, Sumatera Barat mempunyai potensi besar. Karena itu, pihaknya tidak ragu untuk mengekspor kedua komoditi itu.

Perjalanan gambir dan pinang dengan enam kontainer itu dilepas secara simbolis oleh Wakil Presiden Jusuf Kalla.

http://www.kompas.com/read/xml/2008/10/11/15045389/sumbar.ekspor.gambir.dan.pinang

Sizter85

October 14th, 2008, 03:34 AM

Selasa, 14 Oktober 2008
Properti Balikpapan Tak Pengaruh

BALIKPAPAN - Kepala Badan Perizinan dan Investasi Daerah (BPID) Balikpapan Suryanto mengatakan, investasi di Kota Minyak tak terpengaruh terhadap krisis ekonomi yang sedang dihadapi Amerika Serikat (AS). Terlebih, bagi investasi yang sudah matang, yakni mencapai 90 persen.

“Pasti ada dampak. Tapi belum kelihatan. Mungkin yang berpengaruh investasi yang masih tahap awal. Misalnya baru 10 persen,” katanya, kepada Kaltim Post, kemarin (13/10).

Investasi di Kota Minyak pada 2007 sebesar Rp 2,3 triliun. Ditargetkan akan dua kali lipat pada 2008. Yakni, sebesar Rp 5,8 triliun. Realisasinya hingga Oktober adalah sebesar Rp 2,9 triliun.

Investasi, sambungnya, masih didominasi di bidang properti. Namun, konsumen properti di kota ini membeli properti karena kebutuhan, bukan untuk disimpan sebagai aset atau harta kekayaan. Seperti warga AS. Karena itu, bisnis properti Balikpapan tetap akan menunjukkan peningkatan. Selain properti, sektor industri juga sangat potensial. Pada 2009, diperkirakan akan ada tiga perusahaan baru terletak di Kawasan Industri Kariangau (KIK) yang akan beroperasi.

Di sisi lain, penanaman modal asing (PMA) di Balikpapan masih sangat minim. Dan yang masih mendominasi adalah penanaman modal dalam negeri (PMDA). “Dubes Belanda pernah ke sini, rencananya mau berinvestasi. Tapi mereka masih lihat-lihat dulu, jenis investasi apa yang akan dikembangkan,” katanya.

“Kalau asing, baru yang dari Belanda itu,” lanjutnya.

Walaupun tak memberi pengaruh terhadap kondusivitas perekonomian kota, pemkot tetap akan menyusun langkah strategis untuk melindungi dan menarik investor sebanyak-banyaknya ke Balikpapan. Di antaranya, meningkatkan dan mempermudah pelayanan bagi investor. Serta, perbaikan infrastruktur penunjang.(far)

niroohawaii

October 14th, 2008, 04:28 AM

I dont understand Bahasa Malayu (spelling?).

Someone tell me what is Indonesia's de facto official language. Is it Dutch, English, malay?

K14N

October 14th, 2008, 05:18 AM

I dont understand Bahasa Malayu (spelling?).

Someone tell me what is Indonesia's de facto official language. Is it Dutch, English, malay?

Bahasa Indonesia (Indonesian language) is the country's official language... Foreign languages are also important in Indonesia (esp. English and Mandarin), but not considered as official languages

Sorry, OOT here Mod...

K14N

October 14th, 2008, 07:18 AM

Selasa, 14/10/2008 09:50 WIB
Laporan dari AS
3 Penghargaan Untuk Bank RI
Endang Isnaini Saptorini - detikFinance

Washington DC - Hari Columbus (hari libur tahunan di AS sebagai peringatan ditemukannya benua Amerika oleh Christopher Columbus) yang kebetulan jatuh pada hari Senin, 13 Oktober 2008, dimanfaatkan oleh majalah Global Finance untuk menganugerahkan penghargaan kepada Institusi Perbankan Terbaik dari seluruh Penjuru Dunia yang telah mereka pilih dalam kurun waktu setahun.

Indonesia meraih 3 penghargaan, yang diterima oleh Standard Chartered Bank Indonesia, Mandiri Sekuritas dan Bank Syariah Mandiri (BSM).

Para Direktur dan Pejabat Bank calon penerima award sudah berkumpul di National Press Club (NPC), Washington DC sejak sebelum pukul 09.00 waktu Washington DC untuk menerima penghargaan dari majalah perbankan tersebut.

Duduk di dereten terdepan, mengenakan dasi warna kuning, Direktur Utama Bank Syariah Mandiri, Yuslam Fauzie. Sementara duduk di paling ujung kanan ruangan yang sama, adalah Presiden Direktur Mandiri Sekuritas, Harry M. Supoyo yang kebetulan mengenakan dasi dengan warna senada.

Acara dibuka oleh Joseph D. Giarraputo, Presiden dan Publisher majalah Global Finance, dilanjutkan dengan pemberian penghargaan kepada pelaku perbankan dunia dengan kategori Best Trade Finance Providers (38 negara), Best Sub Custodian Banks (36 negara, termasuk Standard Chartered Bank-Indonesia), Best Foreign Exchange Providers (37 negara) dan Best Derivative Providers (7 negara).

Di sesi kedua, diberikan penghargaan untuk katagori Best Bank-Developed and Emerging Markets, World's Safest Banks (BNP PARIBAS, LLOYDS TSB dan RABOBANK), Best Islamic Financial Institutions (12 negara, termasuk bank Syariah Mandiri-Indonesia), Best Investment Banks (11 negara termasuk Mandiri Sekuritas-Indonesia), Best Global Banks, Best Central Bankers.

Presiden Direktur Mandiri Sekuritas, Harry M.Supoyo, sesaat seusai penerimaan penghargaan tersebut mengemukakan kebanggaanya atas prestasi yang diraih Bank Mandiri Sekuritas sebagai Bank Investasi Terbaik selama 4 tahun berturut-turut sejak tahun 2005 hingga sekarang.

"Saya percaya bahwa iklim investasi di manapun selalu mengalami naik dan turun. Kita semua harus bisa melihatnya dari sisi positif. Tidak ada seorangpun yang dapat memperkirakan sampai kapan, namun saya percaya bahwa market pasti akan membaik," ujarnya optimistis kepada Endang Isnaini Saptorini, wartawan detikcom di Washington DC.

Harry menyatakan ketidaksenangannya menyebut saat ini sedang krisis. Menurutnya, situasi saat ini lebih merupakan refleksi naik-turunnya pasar saja dan sentimen pasar dunia terhadap pasar kita. Di luar itu, secara lokal, Harry juga menganggap rata-rata performa perusahaan Indonesia sangat baik dan tidak bermasalah.

Saat ini Bursa kita relatif sudah menjadi tuan rumah di negeri kita sendiri. Terutama pada tahun 2007-2008 ini, pemain lokal (investor domestik) sudah mulai banyak dan mengendalikan pasar bursa, sementara pemain asing sebagai pengikut.

"Apabila kita ingin mendongkrak kembali angka index di bursa, tentunya para investor domestik inilah yang diharapkan memiliki kekuatan untuk memiliki kembali kepercayaan pada bursa kita. Sekali lagi, performa perusahaan-perusahaan lokal kita tidak ada masalah saat ini," tandas Harry.

Sementara Yuslam Fauzie, Presdir Bank Syariah Mandiri (BSM), didampingi oleh Staf Ahli Direksi BSM, Eka Bramantya Danuwirana, ketika ditemui secara terpisah juga menyatakan kebanggaannya sebagai penerima penghargaan untuk Islamic Financial Institution di Indonesia.

Kriteria yang membanggakannya sebagai penerima award adalah penilaian majalah ini lebih menekankan pada rating yang berarti cenderung ke manajemen resiko, kasus kredibilitas, sustainability, serta governance. Sementara unsur profitabilitasnya justru bukan merupakan unsur utama.

"Profitabilitas BSM mengalami kenaikan yang cukup besar untuk tahun 2007-2008 ini. Bulan Juli 2008 saja, laba BSM sudah mencapai angka yang sama dengan laba pada akhir tahun 2007. Namun yang paling penting, adalah pada pengelolaan laba. Karena apalah artinya laba yang banyak. Apabila tidak dikelola secara hati-hati, tidak akan ada sustain," ujar Yulam Fauzie yang menggelar konferensi pers di JW Marriot Hotel, selepas acara penerimaan award di NPC.

Penghargaan terhadap Islamic Financial Institution yang baru pertama kalinya diadakan oleh Majalah Global Finance ini, dinilai Yuslam sedikit agak terlambat, karena sebenarnya Bank Syariah sudah mulai bergerak dan tumbuh sejak 9 tahun yang lalu.

Selain dari majalah Global Finance, BSM sudah banyak menerima award sebelumnya. Di antaranya adalah STP Award 2007 (dari Citibank New York), e-Company Award 2007 (majalah Warta Ekonomi), Indonesia Best Brand Award 2007 (majalah Swa dan Mars). dan Islamic Investment Year 2007 (Karim Bussiness Consulting).

(eis/qom)

Sizter85

October 14th, 2008, 02:37 PM

Congrat ya buat Bank Mandiri Syariah-nya, Penghargaan buat Bank2 Syariah di dunia ini untuk pertama kalinya kalau tidak salah br dicetuskan, eh Bank Swasta kita sudah berhasil mendapatkanya

DJ_Archuleta

October 14th, 2008, 04:49 PM

:banana:Indonesia May Export Most Rice in at Least 50 Years :banana:

Oct. 14 (Bloomberg) -- Indonesia, the world's fourth most populous country, may export as much as 2 million tons of rice in 2009, the most in at least 50 years, as production increases because of better seeds.

The country may grow about 40 million tons next year, consume about 36 million tons and increase stockpiles by 2 million tons, Agriculture Minister Anton Apriyantono said in an interview. Exports that high would be the most since at least 1960, according to U.S. Department of Agriculture figures.

Thailand and Vietnam, the biggest suppliers, have raised export forecasts this year after farmers planted more in response to higher prices. India will probably harvest a record crop, while the Philippines may cut imports next year. Prices of the staple for about 3 billion people tumbled 36 percent from a record $25.07 per 100 pounds on April 24 and may drop further.

``Prices will fall drastically'' if Indonesia ships 2 million tons, Bhartendu Pandey, a trader at Bangkok-based Thai Maparn Trading Ltd., said by phone today. ``Thailand will produce a lot of rice next year and Vietnam is out there now.''

Indonesia would produce about 38 million tons this year and consume about 36 million tons, while government stockpiles stand at about 1.5 million tons, Apriyantono said in Jakarta yesterday. The export prediction depends on favorable weather, he said.

Safeguard Stockpiles

``It's most probable we can start exporting our rice'' next year if production targets are met, Apriyantono said. ``We'll have to be very careful'' to safeguard our stockpiles, he said, estimating exports at 1 to 2 million tons.

The shipments would come as the government prepares to hold parliamentary and presidential elections in 2009. Almost half of the country's 243 million people depend on agriculture, forestry and fisheries for a living.

``The biggest challenge for us, as always, is the prosperity of our farmers,'' Apriyantono said. Rice is grown mostly by small farmers, yet the price cannot be ``that high'' for economic reasons, he said.

Oil palm growers or rubber farmers may have at least two hectares of land. For rice, the average in Java Island is only 0.3 hectares, so it's not easy for them to increase their income, he said. The number of farmers should decline and their role change to agribusiness or other sectors, he said.

Indonesia exported 472,000 tons of rice in 1992-93, the biggest annual amount since 1960, USDA figures show.

Regular Importer

By contrast, the country has been a steady importer in the past 50 years, including purchases of 5.8 million tons in 1997- 98 and 3.7 million tons the following year at the time of the Asian financial crisis.

The global credit freeze is having its biggest impact on export markets, not on domestic consumption, Apriyantono said.

``We expect to achieve self-sufficiency in corn this year,'' he said. Corn production increased 14 percent in 2007 and 12 percent in 2008 because area and productivity increased, boosting the possibility of exports, he said.

Corn output may climb to 14.9 million tons this year from 13.3 million tons in 2007, the Central Statistics Bureau said July 1. Soybean production may gain to 723,540 tons from 592,530 tons in 2007, it said.

DJ_Archuleta

October 14th, 2008, 04:55 PM

Indonesia Stock Market Opens, Shares Stabilize

Indonesia opened its stock market after suspending trading for three days last week, with shares stabilizing after the government announced new measures to safeguard the economy. VOA correspondent Nancy-Amelia Collins in Jakarta has more.

Indonesian shares stabilized Monday, after the government announced it would raise guarantees on bank deposits up to $193,000 and make it easier for commercial banks to obtain short-term loans from the central bank. The benchmark JSX ended the day nearly one percent higher.

Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati announced the new measures, saying the government "sees a threat from the global financial crisis that could destabilize Indonesia's financial system."

Last week, the government announced initial measures to deal with the global financial crisis that include easing reserve requirements for commercial banks, making it easier for listed firms to conduct share buybacks, and easing accounting rules on the fair value of assets.

Authorities suspended share trading last Wednesday after stocks lost more than 20 percent for the shortened week.

Economist Erwan Teguh from Indonesian bank CIMB Niaga says the financial problems being experienced by Indonesia's biggest investment company, PT Bakri and Brothers, remain a concern for the Indonesian market.

"I think the key of the market remains whether there is going to be any immediate solution to the case of the Bakri group because of their debt position and that remains to be seen," he said.

PT Bakri and Brothers, says it is talking with foreign and local investors about selling some of its subsidiary company shares in a bid to settle its $1.25 billion debt.

Trading in shares of the six Bakri and Brothers subsidiaries, controlled by the family of Chief Social Welfare Minister Aburizal Bakri, have been suspended since last Tuesday, and the company has sought to extend the trading halt until its financial problems are settled.

Economist Erwin says solving the Bakri company's problems are vital to the recovery of the Indonesian market.

"Prior to being suspended, their group of companies normally occupy about a third of the daily trade," he said. "Obviously they are very, very, very critical to the daily transactions. If there is no solutions to whatever problems that they are facing at the moment, then I think it going to be very difficult to say whether the measures as taken by the government will be sufficient to stabilize the stock market going forward - even if we were able to see a continued or sustainable market elsewhere in the world."

The Indonesian government also revised its economic growth rate for 2009 about one-half point lower.

DJ_Archuleta

October 14th, 2008, 04:56 PM

Assumed inflation rate for 2009 set at 6.2%

Jakarta (ANTARA News) - The House of Representatives (DPR)`s Working Committee on 2009 Budget Assumptions and the government have agreed to set the assumed inflation rate for 2009 at 6.2 percent or down from 7.0 percent as proposed by the government because of decreasing world price of commodities, particularly oil.

The committee`s coordinator, Harry Azhar Azis, said here on Tuesday the committee and the government had also agreed to set the assumed key SBI rate for three months at 7.5 percent following the international trend.

"The price of Indonesian crude for 2009 meanwhile is set at US$80 per barrel while the exchange rate of the rupiah against the US dollar is set at Rp9.400," he said.

He said the inflation for 2009 could still decline because the figure was the result of an agreement made at the end of September while the assumption for the oil price was US$95.

"If the price of oil drops to US$80 per barrel the inflation should be lower than that," he said.

Harry said the assumption of the interest rate was set at 7.5 percent to promote the real sector to reduce unemployment and poverty.

"Bank Indonesia (central bank) actually wished the exchange rate of the rupiah was at between Rp9,300 and Rp9,700 against the dollar but we wished to strengthen the rupiah and extra effort to increase coordination from the monetary and fiscal authorities and therefore set the rate at Rp9,400," he said.

He said with the price of oil at US$80 per barrel he predicted the deficit could reach 1.2 percent.

He said in 2009 the state income was estimated to drop to Rp982.7 trillion while the state expenditure at Rp1,047.6 trillion.

Finance minister Sri Mulyani earlier proposed assumptions for economic growth 5.5 to 6.1 percent, rupiah exchange rate Rp9,500 per dollar, inflation 7.0 percent, three month key SBI rate 8.5 eprcent and Indonesian crude oil price US$85 per barrel. (*)

Zorobabel

October 15th, 2008, 10:12 AM

I can't find any press release about it, but fuel prices were lowered by about 10% today. Hopefully that means October will see month-over-month deflation.

peseg5

October 15th, 2008, 11:08 AM

I can't find any press release about it, but fuel prices were lowered by about 10% today. Hopefully that means October will see month-over-month deflation.

See below. Sorry, it's in Indonesian.

http://www.pertamina.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=4114&Itemid=33

The lowered fuel prices are for industrial usage fuel only, while for transportation usage still using fixed rate as Rp6000/litre. Note the lowest price for non subsidized Premium now reaches Rp6622 (excl tax).

DJ_Archuleta

October 15th, 2008, 04:10 PM

Indonesian trade promotion in Marseille successful

Jakarta (ANTARA News) - Indonesia`s trade promotion at the 84th Marseille International Trade Show was successful in introducing Indonesian various commodities, tourism resorts, culture and food.

During the trade fair, Indonesia`s stand coordinated by the Indonesian Consulate General in Marseille was crowded with visitors, according to a press statement of the Indonesian foreign ministry.

This year`s Marseille Trade Show was visited by at least 400,000 people and joined by 1,400 participants from 180 countries including Italy, Spain, Armenia, Senegal, China, Vietnam, Nigeria, Ghana, Morocco, Mexico, and Cambodia. Indonesia`s participation in the trade fair was the 24th this year.

Indonesia`s small-and-medium scale industries joining the 36-m2 large stand included `Manik Cantik` (silver, gem and jewelry), CV Abyra (sandals, bags, and accessories), CV Grahadika (decoration and handicraft), `Rumah Indonesia` (household decorations, batik and bags), and CV Kokulayana (clay works).

Meanwhile, two other Indonesian small-and-medium scale industries rented their own stands in the international trade fair. They were Grace Art Shop of Bali (handicraft) and Surya Pratama Jaya Mandiri (aromatic oil and balms). (*)

DJ_Archuleta

October 15th, 2008, 04:14 PM

Interest rate for 2009 set at 7.5 percent to help growth

The government and lawmakers agreed Tuesday to set the country's benchmark interest rate and inflation in the 2009 state budget at 7.5 percent and 6.2 percent, respectively.

The decision was made as part of a revision of the 2009 state budget assumptions to allow for the impact of the current financial crisis.

The revision, which the government submitted to the House of Representatives' budget committee on Monday, put economic growth at between 5.5 percent and 6.1 percent, inflation at 7 percent and the interest rate at 8.5 percent.

The proposed revision was made to better reflect the current economic state, with U.S. financial woes sending stock markets around the world tumbling and raising the prospect of a global economic downturn.

On Tuesday the budget committee decided to lower the interest rate to 7.5 percent, saying a lower rate was in line with moves by central banks worldwide as countries seek to facilitate access to credit and stimulate growth.

Bank Indonesia earlier this month raised its rate by 25 basis points in six straight months to 9.5 percent.

A lower interest rate means a low cost of borrowing, which could boost demand for bank lending among companies and individuals. Robust bank lending will eventually stimulate economic growth.

Inflation has been set at 6.2 percent, lower than the proposed 7 percent, "so that the government will have to work hard to boost the real sector", said House budget committee vice chairman Harry Azhar Aziz.

On-year inflation in October rose 12.14 percent from a year earlier, according to the Central Statistics Agency (BPS).

The revision to the economic growth assumption is still under deliberation. The proposed growth is lower than the initial assumption of 6.1 percent.

Harry said the lawmakers basically understood the reason behind the downgrade, "which required the government to work harder and build a better investment climate".

The economy probably expanded 6.3 percent in the third quarter of this year on higher domestic demand, the central bank said in its quarterly report Tuesday. The official figures on growth will be issued by the BPS later this month.

An agreement has also been reached on the oil price assumption.

The Indonesian Crude Price -- the country's benchmark oil price -- has been set at US$80 per barrel, lower than the government's proposal of $85. ICP is usually about $5 lower than global oil prices.

Another vice chairman, Suharso Monoarfa, said the U.S. demand for oil would fall because of the U.S. economic slowdown, easing pressure on global oil prices.

"The U.S. is the world's biggest consumer of oil," he said.

The budget deficit was set at Rp 71.3 trillion, or 1.3 percent of GDP.

To finance the deficit, the government has Rp 21 trillion in standby loans from the World Bank, although Suharso said the lawmakers preferred "to reduce spending by government offices and ministries".

"It is better to reduce spending than to borrow money (for deficit financing). However, we will keep signaling the market that government spending is needed (to stimulate the economy)," he said.

Go Ahead Eagles

October 15th, 2008, 07:48 PM

Sutiyoso: Krisis Keuangan Bukti Kegagalan Sistem Kapitalis

Jakarta (ANTARA News) - Sutiyoso yang sudah mendeklarasikan diri sebagai calon presiden RI untuk Pilpres 2009 menyatakan, krisis keuangan global sekarang ini tidak hanya mempertontonkan runtuhnya lembaga keuangan Amerika Serikat dan Eropa, tetapi juga menunjukkan gagalnya sistem ekonomi kapitalis.

Dalam keterangannya di Jakarta Rabu, Sutiyoso mengingatkan perlunya mewaspadai dampak negatif dari krisis keuangan global itu terhadap perekonomian rakyat mengingat lemahnya fundamental ekonomi Indonesia.

Kata Sutiyoso, fundamental ekonomi Indonesia rapuh karena 90 persen ekonomi nasional dikuasi oleh sekelompok kecil pengusaha besar, pengusaha asing, dan BUMN, sedangkan pengusaha mikro, kecil menengah dan koperasi yang jumlahnya sangat banyak hanya menguasai sebagian kecil. Pembangunan makro ekonomi tidak memberikan dampak positif terhadap pembangunan mikro ekonomi.

Seharusnya ekonomi Indonesia berazaskan keadilan yang berbentuk belah ketupat. "Ditengah yang besar yaitu pengusaha menengah yang banyak dan kuat. Sekarang ini, ekonomi kita hanya ditopang oleh sekelompok kecil pengusaha besar, pengusaha asing dan BUMN," kata dia.

Padahal menurut Sutiyoso, pengusaha asing tidak bisa diharapkan untuk menopang ekonomi Indonesia karena investasi mereka pada umumnya bersifat padat modal, teknologi, dan jangka pendek. Investasinya kurang menyerap tenaga kerja dan setiap saat mereka bisa menarik dananya karena sistem devisa bebas yang dianut Indonesia.

Kalau krisis keuangan global berlanjut, kata orang yang akrab dipanggil Bang Yos itu, maka pengusaha besar dan BUMN tidak bisa bertahan, apalagi kalau ditinggal pergi para investor asing.

Krisis ekonomi global saat ini juga pasti memukul UKM dan ekonomi kerakyatan karena sebagian produk mereka mensuplai industri besar dan sebagian lagi dijual di pasar internasional, sementara daya beli masyarakat dunia (Amerika Serikat, Eropa dan negara industri lainnya) melemah.

Koreksi Sistem Ekonomi

Menurut Sutiyoso, tesis Francis Fukuyama dalam bukunya "The End of History and Last Man" yang menggambarkan usainya perang dingin dan runtuhnya tembok Berlin 1989 merupakan kemenangan politik dan ekonomi liberal, telah dibantah oleh kenyataan krisis yang terjadi sekarang.

"Krisis ekonomi global, harus menyadarkan kita untuk melakukan koreksi total terhadap sistem ekonomi kapitalis yang kita tiru dan amalkan sampai sekarang ini. Kita harus akui, mengamalkan sistem ekonomi kapitalis lebih banyak mudaratnya bagi rakyat dan bangsa Indonesia daripada manfaatnya."

Kata Sutiyoso, dengan sistem ekonomi kapitalis, Indonesia akan semakin terkooptasi oleh berbagai kepentingan barat. Kekakayaan alam Indonesia dikuras dan pasarnya semakin dikuasai asing dan dijajah secara ekonomi, teknologi maupun distribusi sehingga kita terus mengutang setiap tahun dan saat ini menjadi pengutang yang sangat besar.

Ia menyebutkan pada tahun depan 2009, Indonesia harus membayar cicilan utang dan bunga sekitar Rp 170 triliun. Sementara hasil pembangunan hanya dinikmati sebagian kecil rakyat Indonesia. Sebagian besar rakyat kita masih hidup miskin, kurang gizi dan kurang pendidikan.

Sutiyoso menyatakan komitmennya bila memimpin Indonesia akan merubah konsep ekonomi Indonesia menjadi ekonomi belah ketupat yang berdaya saing dan berkeadilan. Ekonomi kerakyatan tumbuh dan berkembang menjadi pengusaha menengah yang kuat, solid, dan kukuh manajemen dan permodalannya, dan kekayaan alam dikelola sendiri secara profesional, transparan dan akuntabel.
(*)

Go Ahead Eagles

October 15th, 2008, 07:49 PM

APBN 2009 Akan Dikoreksi Pemerintah

Jakarta (ANTARA News) - Menteri Negara Perencanaan Pembangunan Nasional dan Ketua Bappenas Paskah Suzetta di Jakarta, Rabu, mengatakan, pemerintah akan melaksanakan koreksi APBN 2009 terutama belanja masing-masing departemen dalam rangka mengamankan kondisi ekonomi tahun 2009 sebagai dampak krisis ekonomi.

"Agar defisit tidak terlalu melebar dengan sangat terpaksa anggaran belanja masing-masing departemen akan dipotong 15 persen," katanya.

Menurut Paskah yang ditemui usai membuka seminar mengenai air minum mengatakan, keputusan yang memberatkan itu terpaksa diambil setelah melalui rangkaian konsultasi dengan Menteri Keuangan Sri Mulyani Indrawati.

Kontan pernyataan Paskah ini membuat terkaget-kaget pejabat di lingkungan Departemen Pekerjaan Umum yang mengadiri kegiatan seminar mengingat serangkaian sasaran sudah disiapkan penerima APBN nomor dua setelah Departemen Pendidikan Nasional.

Menteri Pekerjaan Umum Djoko Kirmanto salah satunya yang juga ikut terkejut mendengar pernyataan rekannya yang baru saja kembali dari pertemuan Washington dengan IMF dan Bank Dunia.

"Saya langsung kirim layanan pesan pendek ke semua dirjen begitu Pak Paskah menyampaikan hal tersebut karena pasti akan ada penyesuaian sasaran sangat signifikan dibanding sebelumnya," ujar Menteri PU.

Menurut Menteri PU, semula anggaran yang dialokasikan tahun 2009 sekitar Rp35 triliun dengan adanya pemotongan 15 persen berarti yang diterima Rp30 juta kurang sedikit atau ada Rp5 triliun yang harus dipangkas.

"Kami akan memprioritaskan proyek-proyek yang sensitif bagi ekonomi dalam arti menyerap tenaga kerja dalam jumlah besar serta dapat memperlancar aktivitas perdagangan antar daerah," kata Menteri PU.

Sebelumnya anggota Komisi V DPR-RI yang membidangi infrastruktur sekaligus panitia anggaran Enggartiasto Lukita menyarankan, agar anggaran tidak perlu dikoreksi karena di tengah krisisi ini harus diciptakan peluang pekerjaan untuk memacu pertumbuhan ekonomi.

"Kalau melihat defisit APBN yang dipakai saat ini 1,7 persen sebenarnya sangat memadai mengingat posisi saat ini masih 1,2 sampai 1,3 persen, akan tetapi untuk tahun 2009 memang masih harus dilihat," ujar dia.(*)

Go Ahead Eagles

October 15th, 2008, 07:52 PM

Sektor Finansial Agar Tak Panik Hadapi Krisis Global

Jakarta (ANTARA News) - Pemerintah diminta tetap mampu menjaga agar sektor finansial tidak panik, sehingga dampak buruk krisis keuangan di AS dan Eropa dapat diredam, kata Direktur Lembaga Penelitian Ekonomi dan Manajemn (LPEM) UI Chatib Basri.

Chatib mengemukakan hal tersebut dalam diskusi bertajuk "Krisis Keuangan di AS: Dampaknya Bagi Ekonomi Dunia, Bisnis dan Indonesia", di Jakarta, Rabu malam.

"Tidak satu negarapun yang bisa tahan terhadap situasi dari `financial turbulance` di AS dan Eropa, akan tetapi kalau direspon dengan cara yang tepat, tidak panik serta dan didukung fundamental ekonomi yang kuat maka dampaknya terhadap Indonesia bisa sangat minim," ujarnya.

Ia menjelaskan, dalam kondisi krisis keuangan global dan ditambah penurunan harga komoditi saat ini, ekspor Indonesia diperkirakan akan menurun yang akhirnya bakal menekan pertumbuhan.

Sementara kebutuhan dana besar oleh AS untuk menginjeksi sistem keuangannya, akan memicu percepatan arus modal keluar (capital outflow) dari negara ekonomi sedang berkembang (emerging market) seperti Indonesia.

"Kalau ini terjadi (arus modal keluar) maka akan menekan mata uang negara yang bersangkutan dan pertumbuhan juga akan menurun," ujarnya.

Menurut Chatib, antisipasi yang dilakukan pemerintah saat ini sudah pada jalur yang benar seperti menjamin dana tabungan nasabah di bank dari Rp200 juta menjadi Rp2 miliar.

"Langkah ini yang tepat membuat masyarakat tidak panik, sehingga tidak ada alasan atau rumor bahwa suatu bank akan kolaps karena `rush` (penarikan dana besar-besaran-red) ," katanya.

Selain itu, kebijakan pemerintah membuat Perpu Jaringan Pengaman Sektor Keuangan (JPSK) menjadi sangat penting karena pemerintah memiliki alat atau payung untuk selalu siap sewaktu-waktu mengatasi krisis likuiditas.

Selanjutnya kebijakan Bank Indonesia dengan melonggarkan likuiditas juga membuat bank itu bisa lebih gampang dalam menghadapi situasi.

Tetapi, ujarnya, yang juga tidak kalah penting harus dilakukan pemerintah adalah memberikan sinyal kepada dunia usaha dan investor global adalah konsistensi dari indikator makro ekonomi nasional.

Seperti neraca pembayaran yang selalu positif, dan berupaya memperkecil defisit anggaran (APBN) dari sekitar 1,9 persen pada 2008 menjadi sekitar 1,3 persen pada RAPBN 2009.

Jika neraca pembayaran positif yaitu ekspor lebih besar dari pada impor maka "capital outflow" tidak perlu dikhawatirkan, demikian halnya dengan mata uang rupiah cenderung akan menguat.(*)

Go Ahead Eagles

October 15th, 2008, 07:53 PM

Pemerintah Batasi Impor Bahan Baku Produksi Konsumsi

Jakarta (ANTARA News) - Pemerintah memutuskan untuk membatasi impor bahan baku produksi konsumsi, terutama untuk bahan baku yang bisa diproduksi dalam negeri, untuk menghidupkan industri bahan baku dan barang modal di dalam negeri.

"Misalnya untuk membuat pupuk NPK, bahan baku nitrat-nya akan dicoret dari daftar impor," kata Deputi Kemenko Perekonomian bidang Industri dan Perdagangan, Edy Putra Irawady, di Jakarta, Rabu.

Menurut dia, kebijakan ini akan menghidupkan industri bahan baku dan barang modal di dalam negeri apalagi mengingat alokasi belanja bahan baku yang cukup besar saat ini.

Dia mencontohkan, daftar pembelian barang modal sektor pertambangan pada tahun 2008 mencapai empat miliar dolar AS, terdiri atas pembelian di dalam negeri 1,3 miliar dolar AS dan impor 2,7 miliar dolar AS.

Namun pada daftar impor, tambahnya, ditemukan sebagian besar barang sudah diproduksi di dalam negeri.

"Misalnya, mobil truk, kampas rem, sampai makanan kaleng. Itu sudah diproduksi di sini," katanya.

Selain itu, katanya, aturan pembatasan lain yang dikeluarkan adalah ketentuan bahwa pengimpor merupakan produsen produk tersebut di Indonesia sehingga pelaku impor harus memiliki pabrik di Indonesia.

Berdasarkan ketentuan tersebut, katanya, semua produk impor hanya bisa didatangkan oleh Agen Tunggal Pemegang Merek (ATPM), seperti telah diberlakukan pada impor automotif, yaitu produsen impor (PI) atau pabrik mereka yang dibuka di Indonesia.

Jika tidak memiliki PI, katanya, maka izin impor atas bahan baku produksi konsumsi tersebut akan diserahkan pada satu Importir Terdaftar (IT) yang ditetapkan Departemen Perdagangan. Umumnya hak impor diberikan pada IT atau PI yang mendistribusikan barang sejenis.

"Misalnya, telepon genggam itu diserahkan pada importir kalkulator, atau produsen merek lain," katanya.

Pemerintah, tambahnya, juga akan memberikan batas waktu tertentu, misalnya enam bulan hingga dua tahun, bagi produsen asal barang impor untuk membuat pabrik di Indonesia.

"Jika tidak, mereka akan kehilangan pasarnya di sini," kata Edy.

Menurut Edy, fokus pertama pihaknya adalah penertiban hak impor barang konsumsi dengan "end user" masyarakat umum, misalnya barang elektronik seperti telepon genggam, dan komputer.

Lebih lanjut, Edy mengatakan semua aturan pembatasan hak impor itu sedang dikoordinasikan antara Departemen Perdagangan dengan Departemen Perindustrian karena sudah disetujui di level Kementerian Koordinator bidang Perekonomian.(*)

paradyto

October 16th, 2008, 02:41 AM

RI, Malaysia sign investment and trade agreement

Kuala Lumpur (ANTARA News) - Indonesia and Malaysia had signed here on Wednesday the first Joint Investment and Trade Committee (JICT) agreement to improve trade and investment between the two countries.

The Trade Ministers of the two countries signed the agreement on behalf of their countries.

"One of the issues discussed in the meeting is the re-examination of the border trade agreement reached in 1970. Both countries had agreed to revise the agreement as soon as possible," Indonesian Trade Minister Mari Elka Pangestu said here.

Both ministers also discussed problems on trade and investment cooperation, including a regulation to inspect Malaysia`s ceramic exports to Indonesia, the Trade Minister said.

"Indonesia and Malaysia also agreed to discuss issues on countries of origin certification as long as it is based on the common effective preferential tariffs (CEPT) scheme for AFTA (ASEAN Free Trade Area)," Malaysian Trade Minister Muhyiddin Yassin said.

Both countries also talked about improving cooperation in services which benefit both countries, like tourism sector, Yassin added.(*)

VRS

October 16th, 2008, 05:20 AM

guys....oil 73.08 dollar per barel now...
kapan pemerintah kita akan turunkan harga premium...??

Go Ahead Eagles

October 16th, 2008, 09:57 AM

BEI Batalkan "Auto Rejection" 20 Persen

Jakarta, (ANTARA News) - Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) membatalkan ketentuan batasan "auto rejection" 20 persen terhadap harga penawaran tertinggi di Pasar Reguler dan Pasar Tunai atas saham yang dimasukkan ke Jakarta Automatic System Trading (JATS). Pembatalan rencana ini karena permasalahan teknis.

Dalam siaran persnya yang diterima Kamis, Dirut BEI, Erry Firmansyah mengatakan, rencana penerapan besaran persentase auto rejection saham menjadi 20 persen di atas acuan harga atau 10 persen di bawah acuan harga yang sedianya akan dilaksanakan pada 16 Oktober 2008 dibatalkan.

Ketentuan pembatasan terhadap harga penawaran tertinggi atau terendah atas saham tetap mengacu pada batasan 10 persen di atas atau di bawah harga acuan seperti ditetapkan dalam Surat Edaran Nomor SE-004/BEI.PSH/10-2001 tanggal 12 Oktober 2008. Surat edaran ini diberlakukan mulai 16 Oktober 2008 sampai dengan adanya penetapan lebih lanjut.(*)

rilham2new

October 16th, 2008, 11:22 AM

AceN

October 16th, 2008, 11:33 AM

^^ haha, do you hate him ham ? Oooo....kita sama ! hahahaha

rilham2new

October 16th, 2008, 02:59 PM

DJ_Archuleta

October 16th, 2008, 04:56 PM

the current global crisis doesn't affect indonesia at all, this news shows that the percentage of indonesians buying toyota cars increased by 42% compare to last year while other countries are tumbling down and having a decrease in their car sales :cheers::cheers:

Penjualan Toyota di Indonesia Melonjak 42 Persen

Jakarta (ANTARA News) - Penjualan mobil Toyota di Indonesia melonjak 42 persen pada periode Januari-September 2008 menjadi 151.131 unit, dibandingkan dengan periode yang sama tahun lalu yang mencapai 109.242 unit.

Siaran pers PT Toyota Astra Motor (TAM) sebagai Agen Tunggal Pemegang Merek (ATPM) Toyota di Indonesia, yang diterima ANTARA, di Jakarta, Kamis, menyebutkan pada September 2008 total penjualan mobil Toyota di Indonesia mencapai 17.067 unit atau naik 24,5 persen dibandingkan September 2007 yang mencapai 13.731 unit.

Namun penjualan pada September 2008 tersebut turun 9,1 persen dibandingkan bulan sebelumnya yang mencapai 18.802 unit, menyusul libur menjelang Idul Fitri yang membuat pendeknya hari kerja pada September.

Pada Januari- September 2008 mobil TAM masih didominasi oleh segmen non komersial baik kendaraan serba guna (MPV) maupun sport (SUV) yang mencapai 140.962 unit. Jumlah tersebut naik 36,4 persen dibandingkan periode yang sama tahun sebelumnya yang mencapai 103.365 unit.

Pada segmen non komersial penjualan tertinggi TAM didominasi MPV kecil Toyota Avanza yang penjualannya telah mencapai 60.104 atau naik 25,5 persen dibandingkan Januari-September 2007 yang mencapai 47.902 unit. Namun pertumbuhan tertinggi dialami hatchback Toyota Yaris yang naik 42,7 persen menjadi 9.213 unit dari periode sebelumnya 6.458 unit.

Pertumbuhan penjualan TAM tertinggi pada periode tersebut terjadi di segmen komersial, walaupun dari sisi volume penjualan tidak terlalu besar dibandingkan segmen non komersial dan sedan. Pada Januari-September 2008 penjualan kendaraan komersial mencapai 14.169 unit atau naik 141 persen dibandingkan periode yang sama tahun sebelumnya yang mencapai 5.877 persen.

Pada periode tersebut penjualan truk Toyota Dyna (2 ton) mencapai 9.522 unit atau naik 133 persen dibandingkan periode yang sama tahun lalu yang mencapai 4.086 persen. Sedangkan pick up Toyota Hilux naik 159 persen menjadi 4.647 unit .

Pertumbuhan penjualan TAM yang tinggi juga dialami segmen sedan, sebesar 75,4 persen. Pada Januari-September 2008 penjualan sedan Toyota mencapai 13,380 unit dibandingkan periode sebelumnya yang mencapai 7.627 unit.

Pada segmen sedan TAM memasarkan sedan mini Toyota Vios dan Limo (nama lain Vios untuk segmen taksi), sedan kecil Toyota Corolla, sedan medium Camry dan Prius, serta sedan mewah Lexus dan Toyota Crown. Penjualan sedan Toyota tertinggi di kelas sedan mini (Vios dan Limo) yang mencapai 8.145 unit atau naik 50,7 persen.

Pada Januari-September 2008 Toyota memimpin pasar mobil di Indonesia dengan penguasaan pasar sekitar 33. "Pencapaian itu mengukuhkan Toyota sebagai pemimpin pasar otomotif nasional. Kami tetap optimis menghadapi pasar mobil ke depan meskipun tantangannya semakin banyak," ujar Presdir TAM Johnny Darmawan. (*)

DJ_Archuleta

October 16th, 2008, 05:22 PM

another miraclous of indonesian economy while others are having debacles :)

Indonesia is more weather to withstand global crisis compare to other countries

JAKARTA - PAINFUL reforms launched amid the maelstrom of the 1997-1998 Asian economic downturn have put the region in good shape to weather the much deeper crisis now gripping global markets, economists said.
Indonesia, South Korea and Thailand were at the centre of the storm a decade ago when high debts, low reserves, poor regulation and currency speculation triggered economic 'contagion' that spread from Jakarta to Moscow.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) threw lifelines worth US$58 billion (S$86 billion) to Seoul, US$43 billion to Jakarta and US$17 billion to Bangkok in return for far-reaching reform as the three 'Asian tigers' teetered near bankruptcy.

How times have changed.

Now it's the United States and Europe which are leading the plunge with some of the world's most respected investment banks collapsing under the weight of trillions of dollars in bad debts.

'Astonishing events have unfolded over the past few weeks. I mean, who would have thought that the American investment banking system would have basically disappeared? It's amazing,' said IMF representative to Indonesia, Milan Zavadjil.

Economists said the turmoil of 2008 was very different to the banking and currency crisis that spread through Asia a decade earlier, but there were also similarities such as mountains of bad debt and weak government oversight.

In contrast to 1997, most Asian economies would ride out the current storm with relative ease, they said.

However, countries which export heavily to the United States and Europe, such as Singapore, the Philippines and Hong Kong, may be exceptions.

'Indonesia is deleveraged, this is the point. The government has a low debt level by international standards, Mr Zavadjil said, adding that domestic consumption would continue to fuel growth.

'The consumers have been borrowing for cars and motorcycles but it's nothing like the developed countries. Basically I think the fundamentals are very strong and it's in good shape to weather this turmoil compared to other countries.'

DJ_Archuleta

October 16th, 2008, 05:30 PM

Govt, House set growth target for 2009 at 6%

The government and lawmakers have set a "compromise" 6 percent target for next year's economic growth, as part of a revision to the 2009 budget assumptions. This reflects the global financial crisis, projecting a possible world economic downturn.

The House of Representatives' budget committee had wanted a 5.8 percent growth target, anticipating severe negative impacts from the global credit crunch on Indonesia's economy, according to vice chairman Suharso Monoarfa on Wednesday.

The 5.8 percent would have been "more credible", but the government requested the growth target be raised to 6 percent, said Suharso.

Committee member Hasto Kristianto said that as part of efforts to persuade the committee to agree to the new target, several members were summoned late on Tuesday by Vice President Jusuf Kalla.

"It violates the parliament's rights," he said.

Kalla heads the Golkar Party which holds the largest block of seats in the House.

The government is convinced that the impact of the current crisis on Indonesia's economy will be limited and that therefore a 6 percent target for next year is manageable.

Finance Ministry's head of fiscal policy Anggito Abimanyu said a slow down in exports next year would be mitigated by higher consumption given a projected lower interest rate environment.

"We expect the (central bank's interest) rate to decline as inflation will not be as high as this year's. With the rate declining, businesses are expected to be able to expand," Anggito said.

Inflation is expected to be lower next year, at 6.2 percent, supported by a decline in the prices of commodities.

Exports would probably be the first to suffer negative impacts from the current global crisis, since the United States, one of the world's largest importers, is on the brink of a recession.

However, as Indonesia will have general and presidential elections in 2009, robust consumption is expected to be triggered by the retail sector, Anggito said.

In the first half of 2008, the economy grew by 6.4 percent growth, the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) reported. BPS will release the data on the country's economic growth in the third quarter of 2008 next month.

Anticipating relatively low inflation, the central bank's interest rate has been targeted at 7.5 percent for next year. The central bank raised its rate to 9.5 percent early this month to curb inflation.

On year inflation in September stood at 12.14 percent, according to BPS.

On the budget deficit, Suharso said that with 6 percent economic growth, the deficit would be set at 1 percent of GDP. "Foreign loans will provide secondary reserves. Deficit financing will be obtained mainly from government bonds and local banks."

peseg5

October 17th, 2008, 06:30 AM

^^ Iya tuh Mr. RR kalau ngomong soal ekonomi ya ekonomi aja ... Gak usah sok2an jadi OPOSAN sama Pemerintah...

NTar juga begitu ditunjuk jadi menteri keuangan, pas ngadepin masalah yang sebenernya jadi menjilat air ludah sendiri, baru tahu kalau masalah negara ini begitu komplex..

Tuhh,, kayak Kwik Kian Gie sama Sri Mulyani ... Begitu jadi menteri, baru kaget bahwa praktek gak semudah berteori :tongue2:

Ini cerita kawan juga waktu RR baru diangkat jd Menteri ama GD, dia janji sendiri mau dia sikat itu 100 pengusaha2 "bandel".... gak tau ini 100 pengusaha yg mana, dan ternyata jg gak ada kelanjutan atau beritanya.

Sebenarnya siihh.... intinya semua rindu kursi yang empuk. Liat aja Prabowo di media menegaskan partainya (Gerindra) adalah partai Wong Cilik.

Hare gene?! Berteori memang mudah.

Go Ahead Eagles

October 17th, 2008, 10:28 AM

Bank Indonesia Tolak "Personal Guarantee"

Jakarta (ANTARA News) - Bank Indonesia memastikan bahwa pemberian fasilitas pembiayaan darurat tidak akan menerima "personal guarantee" (jaminan pribadi) sebagai agunan karena menjadi salah satu sumber penyelewengan bantuan likuiditas bank Indonesia (BLBI) 1998.

"Dulu terbuka terlalu lebar, sampai yang 'personal guarante' segala bisa dijadikan agunan. Sumbernya kan nggak masuk akal. Tapi keadaan waktu itu mungkin memaksa, kita tentunya lebih ketat," kata Gubernur Bank Indonesia Boediono di Jakarta, Jumat.

Gubernur BI memastikan tidak akan mengulangi kesalahan bantuan likuiditas BI (BLBI) 1998. Saat ini pihaknya tengah mengkaji lebih lanjut aturan perbankan tersebut yang akan dituangkan dalam PBI.

Bank Indonesia juga telah melakukan berbagai kebijakan terkait pengamanan sektor keuangan terutama perbankan.

BI mengajukan perubahan terkait agunan bagi pemberian fasilitas oleh BI dari sebelumnya hanya berupa surat berharga negara yang mudah dicairkan menjadi aset berkualitas termasuk portofolio kredit yang kolektibilitasnya lancar.

BI bersama Pemerintah juga menyiapkan kebijakan penyelamatan lembaga keuangan yang berdampak sistemik melalui Peraturan Pengganti Undang-Undang No 4 tentang Jaring Pengaman Sistem Keuangan 2008 yang diterbitkan untuk mengantisipasi dampak krisis AS.

Dalam Perppu itu BI bisa mengintervensi bank yang berdampak sitemik dan diambang kebangkrutan untuk menyelamatkan sistem keuangan. (*)

AceN

October 17th, 2008, 12:52 PM

Ini cerita kawan juga waktu RR baru diangkat jd Menteri ama GD, dia janji sendiri mau dia sikat itu 100 pengusaha2 "bandel".... gak tau ini 100 pengusaha yg mana, dan ternyata jg gak ada kelanjutan atau beritanya.

Sebenarnya siihh.... intinya semua rindu kursi yang empuk. Liat aja Prabowo di media menegaskan partainya (Gerindra) adalah partai Wong Cilik.

Hare gene?! Berteori memang mudah.

Hahaha...ternyata begitu

----------

Econit itu siapa sih ??? Apalagi si Hendri Saparini, banyak omong banget. Satu dua ama RR tuh.

DJ_Archuleta

October 17th, 2008, 01:30 PM

PLN project attracts Middle East investor

A Middle East consortium, Mine Power Holding BSC, is vying for a US$200 million coal-fired power plant project in Indonesia, state power firm PT PLN said on Thursday.

President director Fahmi Mochtar said the consortium would take part in a beauty contest organized by PLN to win the project, located in Cirenti district, Riau Province.

"The consortium is among four potential investors that have passed our pre-qualification assessment. We will further examine their proposals, in particular their financial capacity," Fahmi said.

Fahmi added the power plant, with the capacity of 200 megawatt (MW), was located near a coal concession owned by state coal mining company PT Bukit Asam.

"The investor will need about $200 million to build a power plant with that capacity," he added.

The consortium, in a joint venture with local contractor PT Ridlatama Energy, has the financial backing of the Islamic Development Bank, he added.

He did not name the other three participants but did say that the company was happy with the interest expressed.

"We are very pleased, especially under the current global financial crisis."

Indonesia is actively looking for Middle East investors for its energy projects as they are less exposed to the current financial turmoil, Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry Purnomo Yusgiantoro said on Oct. 8.

So far however, the Middle East-based investors are yet to make any investment in Indonesia's power projects, according to PLN vice president Rudiantara,

The winning bidder will become the project owner and operator as an independent power producer (IPP) that will then sell its power to PLN -- the country's sole distributor of electricity.

IPPs contribute around 14 percent to the total power supply in the country.

Fahmi said IPP development was often hampered by financial problems, even more so now that the world was having a financial crisis with liquidity drying up, making it even harder to secure financial commitments.

DJ_Archuleta

October 17th, 2008, 02:47 PM

Profit Bank Pembangunan Daerah Tumbuh 26,57 Persen

JAKARTA--MI: Profit Bank Pembangunan Daerah Seluruh Indonesia (BPDSI) selama Agustus 2007 hingga Agustus 2008 mengalami pertumbuhan sekitar 26,57 persen dari Rp3,59 triliun menjadi Rp4,54 triliun.

Sekretaris Jendral (Sekjen) Asosiasi Bank Pembangunan Daerah (Asbanda), Mulyanto dalam keterangannya yang diterima di Jakarta, Jumat, menyebutkan, peningkatan kinerja keuangan BPDSI itu tidak lepas dari berbagai upaya yang dilakukan saat ini termasuk kerjasama antar BPD.

"Berbagai terobosan terus kami lakukan, mengingat dukungan dan komitmen pemerintah untuk memberdayakan segenap komponen daerah sesuai dengan arahan 10 pesan Presiden baru-baru ini," kata Mulyanto yang juga Dirut Bank Jatim.

Menurut dia, berbagai kerjasama yang telah digalang antar BPD melalui Asbanda memberikan dampak positif bagi perkembangan usaha BPD. Per Agustus 2008, total aset BPDSI memang mengalami sedikit penurunan sebesar 1,04 persen dari Rp177,64 triliun (Agustus 2007) menjadi Rp175,80 triliun.

Namun kredit yang disalurkan tumbuh pesat hingga 32,61 persen dari Rp68,98 triliun per Agustus 2007 menjadi Rp91,48 triliun pada posisi Agustus 2008. Kredit investasi juga menunjukkan pertumbuhan hingga mencapai 56,93 persen.

Sementara untuk penghimpunan Dana Pihak Ketiga (DPK), yang walaupun mencatat penurunan 4,03 persen, namun pertumbuhan DPK dari tabungan cukup signifikan yakni dari Rp22,39 triliun pada posisi Agustus 2007 menjadi Rp28,38 triliun di posisi Agustus 2008 atau naik sekitar 26,79 persen.

Kondisi itu, menurut Mulyanto, cukup menggembirakan mengingat mengingat DPK dari Giro di BPD yang mayoritas dari dana Pemda dan menjadi andalan BPD selama ini, justru mengalami penurunan hingga lebih dari Rp12 triliun. (Ant/OL-02)

DJ_Archuleta

October 18th, 2008, 07:41 AM

Jusuf Kalla: we are a capable nation :)

Jakarta, (ANTARA News) - The general chairman of Golkar Party, Jusuf Kalla, said here on Friday that the Indonesian people was a capable nation with rich natural resources so that they would be able to overcome all the problems facing the country.

"There are no problems that cannot be solved. Problems should not be lamented but overcome. We are a capable nation and rich in natural resources," he said when opening the party`s national leadership meeting.

The event was also attended by President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, former president BJ Habibie and former Golkar Party chairman Akbar Tanjung.

Kalla, who is also the Vice President, said the impact of the financial crisis in the US had started being felt. "Growth will slow down and our exports will drop. This challenge has to be dealt with by strengthening the domestic market," he said.

He said the country would use its experience of the 1997 crisis
to overcome the current crisis.

In an era of democracy, people may express their views and opinions, but not free to lament others as they like.

He said "politics is not a commander. The commander is the aim at achieving welfare."

He said democracy was used for controlling power, while inefficient exercise of democracy would not only increase cost but would also inability to achieve goals.

Indonesia will conduct a parliamentary election next year followed a presidential election.

President Yudhoyono said he would also run for the for presidency, with Kalla as running mate.(*)

DJ_Archuleta

October 18th, 2008, 07:43 AM

Indonesia foreign exchange reserves safe until year end

Jakarta (ANTARA News) - Bank Indonesia (central bank) Governor Boediono said the amount of the country`s foreign exchange reserves were now at a level safe enough until the end of the year although the bank was always ready to use part of them to intervene in the market to safeguard the country`s currency.

"The reserves are something that must be used at the right time. They are kept safe and will be used as reuqired by the situation. We use them when a supply of foreign exchange is needed," he said.

During the past two months, the country`s foreign exchange reserves had dropped continuously. They dropped by more than two billion US dollars from US$60.563 in July 31 to US$58.356 in August 29 and continued to decline to US$57 billion in September 29.

Standard Chartered Bank economist Fauzi Ikhsan said if the Indonesian central bank only used a direct intervention method to stabilize the rupiah the reserves would be eroded too deeply.

In view of that the bank has taken steps to ease liquidity to support the currency so that it will not fluctuate too much such as reducing the foreign currency reserve requirement for banks from formerly 3.0 percent to 1.0 percent.

He said the policy supported supply of foreign currencies in banks that could be used for transactions with their customers.

Bank Indonesia senior deputy governor Miranda Goeltom earlier said the country`s foreign exchange reserves that reached 4.6 times the value of the country`s imports and overseas debts.

The rupiah strangthened at the end of this week. Early this week the middle rate of the rupiah exchange according to Bank Indonesia was recorded at Rp9,865 against the US dollar. On Friday the rupiah exhange rate was Rp9,785 against the US dollar.
(*)

DJ_Archuleta

October 19th, 2008, 06:47 PM

Buka Pasar Eskpor Baru Perlu Upaya Diplomasi Perdagangan

JAKARTA--MI: Indonesia dinilai perlu segara mengenal jaringan distribusi dan sistem pasar non tradisional negara-negara Eropa Timur dan Timur Tengah untuk kepentingan ekspor. Salah satu upaya percepatannya melalui diplomasi perdagangan dari pemerintah.

"Kita harus mencoba untuk masuk ke pasar yang non tradisional seperti itu, sehingga di waktu mendatang tidak kesulitan ketika membutuhkan diversifikasi negara tujuan ekspor," kata Dekan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Indonesia (FEUI) Bambang S Brodjonegoro di Jakarta, Sabtu (18/10).

Menurutnya, dengan sistem pasar yang bukan tradisional itu, eksportir Indonesia tidak terbiasa dengan praktik umum yang berlaku di sana. Akibatnya eksportir belum mengetahui cara masuk ke pasar Eropa Timur maupun Timur Tengah. "Meskipun mereka punya koneksi, merealisasikannya itu yang sulit," ungkapnya.

Eskportir, tambahnya, perlu mulai mengenal jaringan distribusi di negara-negara tersebut untuk mengidentifikasi potensi permintaan dan mencari jalur pemasok. Hal itu, merupakan kunci untuk mengekspor karena belum diketahui siapa yang membutuhkan barang yang akan dijual.

Meski Amerika tetap merupakan potensi pasar terbesar, ujar Bambang, dampak krisis global diharapkan justru dapat dimanfaatkan sebagai momen untuk mencari pasar baru. "Sehingga kalaupun Amerika pulih, kita masih punya pasar yang siap,".

Ia mengatakan, pasar domestik saat ini memang sedang diandalkan karena kuat. Dengan demikian, diharapkan ketergantungan sekpor bisa diturunkan. Namun Bambang berpendapat laju ekonomi tetap akan bergantung pada ekspor, sebab pasar domestik hanya dapat menjaga pertahanan ekonomi bukan untuk mendorong pertumbuhan.

DJ_Archuleta

October 19th, 2008, 06:57 PM

Investasi Timur Tengah ke Indonesia tidak Terpengaruh Krisis

JAKARTA--MI: Investasi dari para investor Timur Tengah ke Indonesia diperkirakan tidak akan terganggu meskipun dampak krisis global mengancam. Bahkan target jumlah investasi Timur Tengah yang masuk tahun 2009 diperkirakan meningkat dua kali lipat dibanding tahun ini.

"Justru banyak yang sedang berusaha mendapatkan proyek di Indonesia, ini peluang baik bagi Indonesia selagi dunia Barat krisis, kita harus pererat hubungan ekonomi denan Timur Tengah," ujar Utusan Khusus Presiden untuk Timur Tengah Alwi Shihab di Jakarta, Rabu (15/10).

Tahun ini, nilai proyek yang menjadi sasaran investasi negara-negara Timur Tengah berjumlah US$5 miliar. Nilai investasi itu dipoerkirakan meningkat dua kali lipat menjadi US$10 miliar tahun depan. "Khususnya jika investasi di sektor agro industri terealisasi," ungkapnya.

Sejumlah proyek yang sedang dikerjakan oleh investor Timur Tengah antara lain pembangkit listrik di Sumatra, Tanjung Api-api Sumatra Selatan, dan agro industri di Papua dan Sulawesi Tengah. "Pelabuhan Tanjung Api-api itu nilainya mencapai US$1,5 miliar".

Namun, menurut Alwi, birokrasi di Indonesia belum cukup mendukung masuknya investasi ke Indonesia. Masalah perijinan, salkah satunya, menjadi hambatan utama dalam p[ercepatan arus masuk investasi.

Dia mencontohkan proyek pembangunan pelabuhan Tanjung Api-api, nota kesepahaman proyek itu sempat tertunda cukup lama dan terpaksa diubah karena ketidakpastian penetapan lahan.

Hal itu juga dibenarkan perwakilan Emaar Property Anis Al-Habsyi yang mengungkapkan saat ini Indonesia juga mesti bersaing dengan China dalam menarik minat investor asal Timur Tengah.

Emaar Property saat ini memiliki proyek pengembangan kawasan pariwisata terpadu di Lombok Tengah bersama Bali Lombok Tourism Develop,emt Corporation.

Selain itu, juga terdapat Qatar Investment Authprity (QIA), Ras Alkheimah Investment Authority (RAKIA) dalam proyek Pelabuhan Terpadu Tanjung Api-api, Saudi Bin Laden Group, Al Lama Group, Al Hayeel Group, Qatar National Bank (QNB), Dubai Drydock, Kuwait Finance House (KFH), dan PT Capital Investment International Group.

Sizter85

October 20th, 2008, 01:58 PM

Wow,.. very many articles ! Thx Archuleta for update

DJ_Archuleta

October 20th, 2008, 02:30 PM

^^ yeah you're welcome sizter :)

lombok

October 20th, 2008, 04:05 PM

Senin, 20/10/2008 18:23 WIB

RI harapkan komitmen investasi dari Timteng
oleh : Dewi Astuti

JAKARTA (bisnis.com): Indonesia berharap dapat mengantongi komitmen investasi baru dari Timur Tengah senilai lebih dari US$10 miliar pada World Islamic Economic Forum (WIEF) ke-5 di Jakarta pada Maret tahun depan.

Tanri Abeng, Co-Chairperson WIEF ke-5, mengatakan penyelenggaraan forum tersebut di Indonesia dapat menjadi kesempatan emas untuk menarik lebih banyak minat para investor asal negeri minyak.

"Kami sangat optimistis karena dalam setiap kunjungan delegasi kita ke penyelenggaraan WIEF sebelumnya, kami selalu menawarkan proyek-proyek investasi dan berhasil mengantonginya [komitmen investasi]," ujarnya hari ini dalam konferensi pers terkait penandatanganan MoU tentang Penyelenggaraan WIEF ke-5 di Ritz Carlton Pacific Place Jakarta.

WIEF merupakan forum tukar pikiran dan kerjasama pemerintah dan pebisnis negara-negara Islam yang dibentuk sejak 2003. Pada tahun depan, Indonesia terpilih sebagai tuan rumah penyelenggaran forum tersebut pada 1-4 Maret di Jakarta dengan bertema "Pangan, Energi, dan Keamanan Keuangan: Menghadang Gelombang Krisis Global".

Dalam penyelenggaraan WIEF ke-4 di Kuwait tahun ini, lanjut Tanri, Indonesia telah mengirimkan delegasi bisnis untuk mengantongi sejumlah proyek investasi senilai US$10 miliar yang tersebar untuk sektor minyak dan gas bumi, infrastruktur, agribisnis, dan pariwisata.

"Kita harapkan investasi seluruhnya dapat terealisasi paling lambat sebelum penyelenggaraan WIEF tahun depan," tambahnya. (tw)

DJ_Archuleta

October 20th, 2008, 05:52 PM

Stock bounces back, advances 2 percent

Aided by a rebound in key Asian markets, the Indonesian Stock Exchange (IDX) composite index bounced back on Monday, advancing 27.51 points or 2 percent to 1,426.94, after a three-day decline.

Shares in the country's largest telephone company, PT Telkom, rose by 9.7 percent to Rp 6,800 rupiah, while coal producer PT Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam jumped 9.9 percent to Rp 5,550, coal miner Bukit Asam gained 9.9 percent to Rp 5,550, and gas distributor Gas Negara climbed 10 percent to Rp 1,760 on hopes for strong nine-month earnings.

The losers included auto retailer PT Astra International, whose shares fell 7.5 percent to Rp 11,150. Bloomberg reported on Monday that UBS AG cut the company's price target by 22 percent
to 20,800 rupiah on concern auto-financing companies were passing on an increase in interest rates to consumers.

The IDX suspended shares in PT Bakrie Plantation, PT Bakrie Telecom and PT Bakrieland during the afternoon session after their value dropped almost 10 percent.

Trading of Bakrie shares was suspended for the second time under a new market regulation that imposes an automatic ban on trading to avoid share price fluctuations beyond the 10 percent mark. The first automatic suspension occurred on Friday.

The rupiah finished slightly higher, at 9,820 to the dollar compared to 9,855 previously. (and)

DJ_Archuleta

October 20th, 2008, 06:13 PM

Lewat Forum Ekonomi Islam, Indonesia Bidik Investasi US$10 M

JAKARTA--MI: Indonesia menargetkan perolehan Investasi Langsung Asing (<i>Foreign Direct Investment/FDI) sebesar US$10 miliar dari penyelenggaraan World Islamic Economic Forum (WIEF) 1-4 Maret 2009. Dari target itu, investasi sebesar US$3 miliar hingga US$5 miliar tinggal menunggu finalisasi untuk investasi dibidang minyak dan gas.

Hal itu diungkap dalam jumpa wartawan persiaan WIEF di Jakarta, Senin (20/10). Menurut Ketua Bersama Forum yang juga anggota panel penasihat WIEF Tanri Abeng, Presiden telah menargetkan perolehan investasi ini. Untuk itu, dia mengharapkan sebelum pelaksanaan forum target investasi bisa dicapai.

"Presiden secara langsung menargetkan perolehan FDI sebesar US$10 miliar. Dari jumlah itu yang sudah dipastikan bisa diperoleh sebesar US$3miliar-US$5 miliar melalaui sektor energi dan migas. Investasi ini tinggal menunggu finalisasinya saja," jelas Tanri.

Lebih jauh, Tanri menuturkan dalam forum yang diadakan di Jakarta Maret tahun depan ini akan ada pertemuan CEO (Chief Exective Officer) global dari perusahaan-perusahaan besar dunia. Presiden secara pribadi mengundang para CEO. Beberapa perusahaan besar yang CEO-nya diundang diantaranya dari General Electric, HSBC, dan Shell. Selain sektor energi dan migas, Indonesia juga akan menawarkan berbagai kesempatan investasi di sektor infrastruktur, agrobisnis, dan lainnya.

Meski forum ini diusung oleh forum negara-negara ekonomi Islam, namun tidak membatasi kepesertaannya. Untuk membuktikan itulah CEO yang diundang justru dari negara-negara diluar mayoritas muslim seperti Amerika, Eropa, dan China. Diharapkan, dengan pertemuan ini bisa ditemukan solusi untuk mengatasi krisis keuangan global yang terjadi sekarang ini.

Hal sama juga diungkap Ketua Umum WIEF Tun Musa Hitam. Dia mengingatkan meski negara-negara Islam banyak diasumsikan sebagai negara kaya karena limpahan minyak tapi mereka juga tidak terlepas dari 'tsunami ekonomi' global saat ini. Untuk itu, dia menegaskan bahwa forum ini justru ingin memperlihatkan keterbukaan negara Islam dalam hal ekonomi.

"Misalnya negara Timur Tengah. Mereka memang sangat kuat kekayaannya karena minyak. Namun, sekarang ini mereka tidak sekuat dulu karena banyak yang menaruh uangnya di Amerika dan Eropa yang sekarang diserang krisis keuangan," jelas Tun Musa.

Hal senada diungkap Ketua Dewan Penasihat WIEF Irman Gusman. Dia memastikan dalam forum nanti tidak akan dibahas masalah faham atau dogma keagamaan. Forum justru akan membicarakan ekonomi guna memberikan solusi bagi krisis yang melanda dunia saat ini. Di samping itu, Forum nanti akan membahas pembicaraan guna memberikan kesempatan bagi pebisnis muda dan perempuan.

Sejak dibentuk 2003, WIEF telah diselenggarakan sebanyak empat kali. Penyelenggaraan sebelumnya ialah di Kuala Lumpur sebanyak dua kali dan sisanya di Islamabad dan Kuwait. Bertepatan dengan krisis keuangan yang melanda dunia diharapkan forum bisa menawarkan solusi untuk mencegah krisis berkepanjangan. (Toh/OL-03)

DJ_Archuleta

October 20th, 2008, 06:25 PM

Miracle Economic Growth: The rise of the Indonesian middle class

The Grand Indonesia Shopping Town is likely to be the latest addition to the string of Indonesian shopping malls. But this is not just an ordinary addition. The Grand Indonesia is currently the largest and most luxurious shopping mall in the country, if not in Southeast Asia.

The complex, which includes the BCA Tower, named after Indonesia's second largest bank, Kempinsky Hotel and high rise Kempinsky Residence occupies a total space of 650,000 square meters.

The mall itself boasts a leasable space of 250,000 square meters. By comparison, Mall of America, the largest shopping mall in the United States located in Minneapolis, occupies a gross space of 405,000 square meters and leasable space of 225,000 square meters.

Shortly before that, another luxurious shopping mall also opened. Pacific Place Mall sits strategically across from the Jakarta Stock Exchange and has also become another shopping destination as well as a place to stop for coffee or meet friends. Not very long ago, two luxurious shopping malls, Senayan City and Pondok Indah Mall II, were also added to the list of high-end malls.

This phenomenon takes place alongside the sharp increase in domestic automotive sales. By the first semester 2008, domestic car sales increased by about half to almost 300,000.

Motorcycle sales also jumped by 44 percents. In fact, Indonesia in the month of June and July already ranked number one in ASEAN for monthly domestic car sales, overtaking Thailand and Malaysia.

This news contrasts sharply with the media's continual barrage that Indonesia is still economically depressed due to crises, slow growth and other negative sentiments. What phenomenon can explain that?

We can see a phenomenon of a very dynamic growth. The Central Bureau of Statistics recently issued the second quarter's macro indicators which showed a real economic growth of 6.4 percent.

This is a slight increase from the previous quarter, in fact also the previous year, which posted a growth rate of 6.3 percent.

However, people seem to overlook that beside the number, there was also a sharp increase in the nominal GDP (GDP at the current value). The first quarter's nominal GDP growth reached 22.5 percent while the second quarter of 2008 reached a growth rate of 27.8 percent.

This performance was significantly higher than the previous years; in 2005 the nominal growth was 22.5 percent, 19.8 percent in 2006 and 18.5 percent in 2007.

In the first semester of 2008, Indonesia posted a nominal GDP of Rp. 2,357 trillion. This performance seems to ensure the achievement of around Rp. 4,800 trillion GDP for the whole of 2008.

At the current U.S. dollar rate to Rupiah (assumed to be Rp. 9,200 for each U.S. dollar), the Current U.S. dollar GDP translates to around US$520 billion for the whole year, compared to around $432 billion in 2007.

Therefore, this number will exceed the prediction of the Economist Magazine which forecasted Indonesian GDP would be around $460 billion for the whole of 2008.

The dynamic growth is a result of two active drivers of growth, which is a population-based economy and a resource-based economy. The first driver pushed forward the Javanese economy, while the second has mostly taken place outside of Java. Food crop agriculture, retail sector, manufacturing, transportation and telecommunication, hotels and restaurants as well as other services contribute largely to the population-based economy, while estate crop agriculture and mining represents the resource-based economy.

The fast growth of the economy in the past few years has driven the income of all segments of the population. The average income per capita rose to $1,946 in 2007 from less than $1,000 five years ago. This year, the income per capita may rise to around $2,300 -- $2,400.

How do we define the Indonesian middle class? A.C.Nielsen, the authority in the market survey industry, defines the middle class as that which belongs to groups A and B of their consumer segment. The A class consumers spend more than Rp. 3.45 million every month. That translates to around Rp. 41 million or around $4,450. The B class spends less than Rp. 3 million every month. To be conservative, I would only classify the A class as the appropriate Indonesian middle class. With this definition, how many people fall under the category of middle class?

In 2008, with the average income per capita between $2,300 and $2,400, the top 10 percent of the population, which is 22.5 million in all, will earn around $7,000 per capita. These people certainly fall under the category of middle class.

The second 10 percent will receive an income of around $3,500. For this second group, the average income is less than $4,450 as required by the definition of a middle class.

However, the distribution of income within this group will ensure that at least half of the population in this group will receive an income which falls under the middle class category. Thus, the whole population of the middle class will amount to around 35 million people. That number is significantly larger than the whole population of Malaysia.

What are the prospects for going forward? In 2010, just two years away, Indonesian average income per capita is predicted to reach over $3,000. If this prediction is correct, there will be more than 45 million people who can be called middle class. This is certainly a significant addition to the current legions of the middle class.

If we currently see the success penetration of Starbucks, Coffee Bean, Pizza Hut and McDonald's, we can predict that businesses which cater to the high-end earners will be populated even more in the coming years.

From a quiet place two or three years ago, now Starbucks counter in Puri Indah Mall is always packed especially on the week ends. This phenomenon will continue over time with the continued increase in the number of middle class people.

For those business people with a sharp nose, they struck gold in this market. Aside from the foreign "branded" chain restaurants, we can also witness the rise of local branded ones which include Solaria, Tamani Kafe, Satay House Senayan, Gado-gado Boplo, Bengawan Solo Cafi and others. We can also see the rise of fitness clubs, cosmetic medicine (RH Clinics, for examples), Jakarta Eye Centers and many others. The list will be endless.

The Indonesian middle class is really rising. And it will rise faster.

DJ_Archuleta

October 21st, 2008, 04:06 PM

Indonesian life insurance industry income up 44.2 pct in q2

Jakarta (ANTARA News/Asia Pulse) - Indonesia's life insurance industry saw its income increase 44.2 per cent to Rp26.3 trillion (US$2.7 billion) in the seond quarter of 2008 compared to the figure in the correspoding period in 2007, a spokeperson said.

Evelina Pietruschka, chairperson of the Indonesian Insurance Companies' Association (AAJI) said here on Monday about Rp18.7 trillion of the industry's earnings came from premiums on new life insurance products.

The figure represents an increase of 57.1 per cent compared with the same period last year when income from the new products was Rp 11.9 trillion, she said.

DJ_Archuleta

October 21st, 2008, 04:48 PM

President Yudhoyono opens Trade Expo Indonesia 2008

Jakarta (ANTARA News - President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono opened the 23rd Trade Expo Indonesia 2008 at the Jakarta International Expo ground in Kemayoran, Central Jakarta, on Tuesday.

Themed "What Happens to a World without Indonesia" the Trade Expo Indonesia 2008 from October 21-25 is participated in by at least 850 small- and medium-scale (UKM) businessmen, state enterprises (BUMNs), cooperatives, and 12 provincial administrations.

In his opening address, President Yudhoyono called on his countrymen to love domestic products in accordance with the government`s policy to strengthen the domestic market and to save foreign exchange by reducing imports.

On the occasion the head of state was accompanied by First Lady Ani Yudhoyono, Trade Minister Mari Elka Pangestu, Finance Minister Sri Mulyani, Transportation Minister Jusman Syafeii Djamal, Industry Minister Fahmi Idris, State Minister for Environment Affairs Rachmat Witoelar, and Maritime Affairs and Fisheries Minister Freddy Numberi.

Before opening the expo, President Yudhoyono presented Primadiyarta awards to 27 exporters.

The award has been periodically presented by the government to outstanding exporters since 1992 but it was stopped during the monetary crisis in 1998-200, and then was reactivated in 2001.

The presentation of the awards was intended to motivate the exporters to increase non-oil and non-gas exports, and to step up the number of non-oil and non-gas exporters.

Trade Expo 2008 is expected to generate trade transactions worth up to US$220 million or up by US$20 million from US$200 million booked during the same event last year.

At least 2,300 foreign buyers from 108 countries have expressed readiness to visit Indonesia`s greatest trade promotion this year.

Indonesia`s ten main products being introduced in this year`s expo are furniture, electronics, footwear, shrimp, coffee, cacao, rubber and rubber products, automotive components, palm oil, and textiles/textile products.

More than 800 participants from various provinces across the country are also exhibiting their top quality products which are expected to attract foreign buyers. (*)

AceN

October 21st, 2008, 07:14 PM

DJ_Archuleta

October 21st, 2008, 08:19 PM

DJ, repost tuh...dulu kan u pernah ngepost itu juga http://www.skyscrapercity.com/showpost.php?p=25432496&postcount=208

oh iya yah gw malah repost artikel itu lagi..:nuts: gpp lah yg namanya manusia pasti pernah ngelakuin kesalahan :D

VRS

October 22nd, 2008, 03:55 AM

thx DJ_Archuleta = i dont need subscribe jakarta post, just read ur articles its enough for me..

peseg5

October 22nd, 2008, 06:23 AM

Good news for PT DI...

PT DI dan Eurocopter Teken Kontrak US$ 42 Juta
http://www.detikfinance.com/read/2008/10/20/173041/1023032/4/pt-di-dan-eurocopter-teken-kontrak-us$-42-juta

PT DI Bidik Pendapatan Rp 1 Triliun
http://www.detikfinance.com/read/2008/10/21/161735/1023585/4/pt-di-bidik-pendapatan-rp-1-triliun

PT DI Jadi Basis Produksi N 212
http://www.detikfinance.com/read/2008/02/06/151122/890102/4/pt-di-jadi-basis-produksi-n-212

.

lombok

October 22nd, 2008, 04:07 PM

Rabu, 22 Oktober 2008 16:58 WIB

Investor Asing Berminat Kelola Sampah di Tangerang

TANGERANG--MI: Sejumlah investor asing berminat mengelola penanganan sampah di Kabupaten Tangerang, Banten dengan menyiapkan investasi untuk modal sebesar Rp150 miliar.

"Investor asing tersebut berani mengucurkan dana miliaran untuk program penanganan sampah di Kabupaten Tangerang," kata Kepala Dinas Kebersihan dan Pertamanan (DKP) Kabupaten Tangerang, Herry Heryanto, Rabu(22/10).

Herry mengatakan program penanganan sampah yang ditawarkan pihak investor asing kepada Pemerintah Kabupaten Tangerang dengan menggunakan teknologi modern yang ramah lingkungan.

Perusahaan yang berbasis internasional tersebut sudah banyak menangani program penanganan sampah di sejumlah daerah di Indonesia antara lain Surabaya dan Bekasi.

Investor asing yang bersedia mengucurkan dana miliaran tersebut melalui program Non Governmental Organizations (NGOs) Jicco asal Jepang dan NGOs Borda dari Republik Federasi Jerman dan Prancis.

Namun Herry menuturkan di antara sekian investor asing yang berminat, NGOs Jicco Jepang terlihat sangat serius untuk menangani pengolahan sampah di Kabupaten Tangerang.

Herry menjelaskan, tawaran pengolahan sampah berbasis teknologi canggih tersebut tidak akan menggunakan anggaran negara karena kerja samanya dalam bentuk konsesi antara investor dengan pemerintah setempat.

"Penanganan pengelolaan sampah tersebut juga bertujuan untuk mengantisipasi pemanasan global," kata Herry.

Setelah programnya berjalan, investor asing tersebut akan memberikan kontribusi berupa dana kemanusian bagi masyarakat di sekitar pengolahan sampah yang rencananya di tempatkan di tempat pembuangan akhir Jatiwaringin Kecamatan Mauk, Kabupaten Tangerang. (Ant/OL-01)

tollfreak

October 22nd, 2008, 06:49 PM

Indonesia to host 5th World Islamic Economic Forum

The Jakarta Post | Tue, 10/21/2008 8:54 PM | Business
Indonesia is scheduled to host the 5th World Islamic Economic Forum (WIEF) in March next year, heralding a theme of "Food and Energy Security & Stemming the Tide of the Global Financial Crisis", an official said.

An MOU for the event was signed on Monday by former Malaysian deputy prime minister and WIEF board of trustees chairman, Tun Musa Hitam, and (Indonesian) State Minister for State Enterprises Sofyan Djalil as chairman of the organizing committee.

The forum is not exclusively for Islamic businessmen, although it was first established under the Organization of the Islamic Conference (OIC), Tun Musa said.

The WIEF was first formed in 2003 during the 10th OIC Summit, and has both corporate and individual members. WIEF organizes global and regional forums, with the aim of fostering partnership among Muslim entrepreneurs and between Muslim and non-Muslim businessmen. The 4th WIEF was held last May in Kuwait.

So far this year, Indonesia has attracted investment commitment worth US$5 billion, or half of this year's investment target from Muslim countries, said Alwi Shihab, the President's special envoy for the Middle East, on the sidelines of the MOU signing.

While the world was facing a serious economic downturn due to the U.S. liquidity crisis, Alwi said, Middle Eastern investors would not back down with their investment plans.

"But I have to stress that regional government bureaucracies play an important role here. Investments will accelerate faster if they do not slow the process down," he said. (iwp)

Mimihitam

October 23rd, 2008, 11:16 AM

Laporan dari Beijing
Bush Telepon SBY Minta Saran soal Krisis Finansial AS

Beijing - Presiden Amerika Serikat (AS) George Walker Bush ternyata telah menelepon Presiden SBY untuk curhat masalah krisis finansial yang sedang dialami oleh negara adi daya tersebut. Dalam teleponnya, Bush meminta saran kepada SBY solusi apa yang bisa diambil untuk menangani masalah ini.

"Dua hari lalu Presiden SBY mendapat telepon dari Presiden AS Bush. Beliau minta saran kepada Presiden SBY solusi apa yang bisa digunakan untuk menyelesaikan krisis finansial di AS," ujar Juru Bicara Kepresidenan Dino Patti Djalal di Hotel Peninsula, Beijing, China di sela-sela acara KTT ASEM, Kamis (23/10/2008).

Telepon Bush kepada SBY memang telah tercium wartawan sejak beberapa hari ini. Namun pihak istana baru memberikan keterangan di Beijing hari ini.

Dalam telepon tersebut, SBY memberikan saran agar masalah ini dibahas dalam pertemuan G 20 yang akan berlangsung di AS15 November nanti. Ada beberapa alasan kenapa SBY mengusulkan hal ini.

"Pertama karena pertemuan G 20 diikuti oleh negara-negara maju dan berkembang, jadi secara keterwakilan lebih memenuhi. Dan kedua pertemuan G 20 diikuti oleh negara-negara lintas benua," jelas Dino, seperti dilaporkan reporter detikcom, Anwar Khumaini.

Dengan adanya pertemuan G 20 yang juga akan membahas masalah krisis finansial dunia tersebut, lanjut Dino, diharapkan krisis ini segera mendapatkan jalan keluar.

Dalam berbagai kesempatan saat kunjungan di Beijing ini, SBY juga menekankan pentingnya kerjasama antar negara-negara di dunia dalam menghadapi krisis finansial ini. Seperti saat SBY menjadi keynote speech pada penutupanthe 11th Asian Europe Business Forum dan saat menjadi dosen tamu di Universitas Peking hari ini.

Source Sini (http://www.detikfinance.com/read/2008/10/23/142915/1024836/4/bush-telepon-sby-minta-saran-soal-krisis-finansial-as)

akhyaree

October 23rd, 2008, 11:49 AM

semua berita buruk....seburuk detikcom sendiri:banana:

=NaNdA=

October 24th, 2008, 04:34 AM

K14N

October 24th, 2008, 09:18 AM

Wah, pasar saham dilanda kepanikan lagi niyy.... :ohno:

Jumat, 24/10/2008 11:38 WIB
Sesi Siang
Rupiah dan IHSG Terjungkal
Irna Gustia - detikFinance

Jakarta - Rupiah dan Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) mengalami penurunan hebat mengikuti kepanikan yang terjadi di pasar Asia. Penurunan rupiah dan IHSG sudah masuk tahap yang cukup kritis.

Kejatuhan pasar Asia kini menjadi perhatian pelaku pasar setelah AS dan Eropa yang lebih dulu terkena krisis. Negara Asia yang banyak mengandalkan ekspor ke AS dan Eropa mulai dihantui melemahnya perekonomian karena krisis global ini.

Pada penutupan perdagangan saham sesi I, Jumat (24/10/2008) IHSG turun tajam hingga 88,076 poin (6,59%) ke posisi 1.249,128.

Sedangkan rupiah pada perdagangan valas pukul 11.30 WIB, turun 58 poin ke posisi 9.998 per dolar AS. Rupiah sudah kian mendekat ke posisi level psikologis 10.000 per dolar AS.

Perdagangan saham sesi siang di BEI berlangsung tipis dengan transaksi yang terjadi sebanyak 21.212 kali, pada volume 779,6 juta saham, senilai Rp 844,2 miliar. Hanya 6 saham yang naik harga, selebihnya 154 saham turun dan 21 saham stganan.

Saham-saham yang anjlok harganya antara lain, Telkom (TLKM) turun Rp 650 menjadi Rp 5.900, Perusahaan Gas Negara (PGAS) turun Rp 140 menjadi Rp 1.350, Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI) turun Rp 350 menjadi Rp 3.275, Bank Internasional Indonesia (BNII) turun Rp 20 menjadi Rp 450 dan Astra Internasional (ASII) turun Rp 1.000 menjadi Rp 9.000.

IHSG mengikuti pelemahan bursa-bursa Asia di tengah kegugupan di Wall Street pada perdagangan sebelumnya, meski akhirnya indeks Dow Jones ditutup menguat 172,04 poin (2,02%) ke level 8.591,25.

Pada perdagangan Jumat (24/10/2008), indeks Nikkei-225 di Bursa Tokyo merosot tajam di bawah level 8.000 untuk pertama kalinya sejak Maret 2003. Nikkei 225 menutup sesi I dengan penurunan hingga 602,18 poin (7.12%) ke level 7.858,80.

Kejatuhan Nikkei-225 terjadi karena investor makin mengkhawatirkan nasib kinerja perusahaan-perusahaan setelah Sony Corp mengumumkan proyeksi laba yang kemungkinan akan merosot. Saham Sony melorot hingga 13%.

Di Hong Kong, indeks Hang Seng juga dibuka melorot 2,1%, sementara Australia turun 1,1% dan Singapura ambles 2,15%, Korsel merosot 3,5%.(ir/qom)

tollfreak

October 24th, 2008, 01:31 PM

City invites foreign investors

Tifa Asrianti , The Jakarta Post , Jakarta | Fri, 10/24/2008 1:39 PM | City

The Jakarta administration is offering several infrastructure projects to international investors, especially in transportation and waste management.

The city's bureau of capital investment and regional monetary management (BPM PKUD) held a one-day Jakarta Business Forum on Thursday. The forum attracted 125 business people from 14 countries, including Australia, the United States, Japan, Malaysia, Singapore and South Korea.

"Our goal is to improve efficiency and performance for our expenditures, diversify and optimize city spending as well as implement regional regulations and enforce them," bureau head Hasan Basri Saleh said.

The projects offered include six inner-city toll roads, five busway corridors, a mass-transit station and a subway.

The bureau has also opened up investment opportunities in waste processing, with plans to set up seven landfills. Jakarta produces about 6,000 tons of garbage per day, but operates only one dump, the one in Bantar Gebang, Bekasi.

Another project on offer, Marunda port, has several investors already expressing interest.

David Hughes from the Australia-based property and infrastructure company Crown Project said his company has plans to invest Rp 3 trillion (US$300 million) in the port project.

"We've had an initial briefing about the project. We're now waiting for the council to approve our proposal," he said.

Hary Soesetyo, the bureau's division head for planning and promotion, said the seaport had also attracted interest from a Rotterdam-based company.

Deputy Governor Prijanto said investors should not be reluctant to invest in Jakarta because the administration had cut much red tape.

He cited specific timeframes: Anyone who want to invest in the Marunda Bonded Zone only needed three days to process the paperwork; those investing in the trade and service sector required 10 days; smaller trade and industry projects, below 5,000 square meters, would be processed in 20 days; and larger ones, above 5,000 square meters, 38 days. Paperwork used to take 196 days.

The investment bureau also provides information on how to invest in Jakarta through www.jakarta-investment-center.com.

Brian O'Gallagher, Director of Trade and Development for Australia's Northern Territory, said he was impressed with the city's efforts to provide information.

"We can now see investment requirements through websites. I'm sure that will boost the investment rate," he said.

Australian businessman Nisin Sunito said the investment process was far easier this time around because requirements about business and investment had been openly conveyed.

"We can prepare the required documents. The process has been made faster and simpler," he said.

Jakarta has seen an increase in investments year-to-year. In 2007, total investments reached Rp 66 trillion, two-thirds from foreign direct investment and one-third from local sources.

As of May this year, Jakarta has lined up investments totaling Rp 63.53 trillion, already two-thirds of the 2008 investment target of Rp 96 trillion. Foreign direct investment represents most of the inputs, with only Rp 531.5 billion from local investment.

Mimihitam

October 24th, 2008, 02:10 PM

MARINHO

October 25th, 2008, 12:29 AM

JAKARTA -(Dow Jones)- Indonesia's parliament late Thursday gave the green light to Bank Indonesia to inject IDR7 trillion ($703 million) into its Amsterdam-based wholly-owned subsidiary, Indonesische Overzeese Bank NV, or Indover.

"We support Bank Indonesia and the government to take steps to save Indover," said Endin Soefihara, a member of the government committee tasked to oversee the financial sector.

Bank Indonesia Governor Boediono said that the central bank still plans to sell Indover after the capital injection, as mandated by Indonesia's laws.

A Netherlands court Oct. 7 froze all operations of Indover Bank as the current global credit crunch exacerbated Indover's liquidity problems.

The Indover bailout is aimed at minimizing disruption of overseas fund inflows into Indonesia, said Bank Indonesia.

Soefihara said that parliament has ordered an investigation into alleged abuses in the bank.

Indover has been active in trade finance. It has a branch in Hamburg, wholly- owned subsidiaries in Hong Kong and Singapore, and a representative office in Jakarta

http://img.fd.nl/10367303/550/0/-1
Indover Amsterdam

DJ_Archuleta

October 25th, 2008, 02:03 PM

Indonesia aims for 6 pct growth despite crisis

JAKARTA - Indonesia aims to maintain economic growth of at least 6 percent this year, despite the global credit crisis, in a bid to help reduce poverty and unemployment, President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono said on Tuesday.

Yudhoyono, who is seeking reelection next year, told a trade exhibition he expected growth in Southeast Asia's biggest economy to continue to be driven by resilient consumption, higher government spending as well as exports.

Indonesia was the hardest hit by the Asian financial crisis a decade ago due in part to large corporate foreign debt. But the economy has largely recovered in recent years, posting 6.3 percent GDP growth in 2007, the highest since the Asian crisis.

"We have to maintain economic growth of at least six percent," Yudhoyono said, adding that such growth levels will allow the government to "accelerate poverty reduction and reduce unemployment".

Milan Zavadjil, the International Monetary Fund's senior representative in Indonesia, said last week growth in Indonesia was much more reliant on consumption and it was not as exposed to potential slowdowns in exports to markets such as the United States and Europe, in contrast to Singapore and the Philippines.

The government has said it expects domestic demand in a country of 240 million people and steady demand from emerging economies such as China and India for the country's commodities such as rubber and palm oil to help sustain economic growth.

"What the government must do is improve regulation and policies, reducing the high economic costs, strengthen the bureaucracy and improve governance," Yudhoyono said.

Hadi

October 26th, 2008, 08:42 AM

http://www.yourwonder.com/Asia/Indonesia.aspx#

Vote Indonesia Please Become The Most Beautiful Country In The World. Thx. Click +1 in that website.

DJ_Archuleta

October 26th, 2008, 04:18 PM

Biz Talk Interview – Mari Elka Pangestu, Indonesian Minister of Trade

Mari Elka Pangestu has been Indonesia’s Minister of Trade since October 2004. She gained Bachelor and Master of Economics degrees at the Australian National University in Canberra, followed by a Ph.D in International Trade and Finance at the University of California, Davis. She spoke to BizChinaUpdate at the opening of the 2008 Trade Expo Indonesia exhibition in Jakarta, before heading to Beijing to attend the Asia-Europe leaders summit.

Can you summarise Indonesia’s trade relationship with China, and how do you see it developing?

M.P.: Indonesia and China agreed a strategic partnership between the two nations, with a target for total trade of USD20 bn by the end of 2008, and USD30 bn by 2010. At the moment, there are differing numbers on each side. China says the balance on trade between the two nations is USD20 bn, our figures say it is between USD16-17 bn. So, from the Chinese figures, we have already surpassed the 2008 bilateral target.

Most of our exports to China are in natural resources, such as gas, coal, oil, rubber, minerals and palm oil, and we import machinery and manufacturing products. We’d like to rebalance in future, and export more processed foods and manufactured goods to China.

As manufacturing costs rise in China, what are the opportunities for Indonesian manufacturers?

M.P.: Footwear is definitely an opportunity that we see coming back. Before the 1997 Asian Crisis, Indonesia was ahead of Vietnam and just behind China in footwear manufacturing, before a lot of footwear brands left for China. Toys is another area; China has suffered some quality and safety issues, and we are seeing a lot of interest from foreign brands. We’re also hopeful for our garments industries, and electronics – although, unfortunately, we’ve not seen the interest we would like coming back yet. It’s an industry that needs a fast turnaround, so we need to improve our roads, ports and infrastructure.

In the automotive sector, we are quite competitive on parts and family cars, which we are already exporting. ASEAN and China will create more trade in components and specialised multi-purpose vehicles, which Toyota is already producing here. China will increasingly get into the game, and there are two Chinese automakers that have set up joint ventures in Indonesia, as well as motorcycle manufacturers.

China has suffered damaging domestic and overseas product quality scandals. How will Indonesia try to avoid similar problems?

M.P.: We must try to ensure that our manufacturers understand the regulations at home and abroad. To do this, we will improve testing, certification and enforcement in the market. For example, we are creating a taskforce to increase supervision of food and beverage products, both for domestic and overseas consumption. It’s also important to educate consumers and make sure they know what signs to look out for. The recent melamine scandal in Chinese dairy products has definitely had an effect, it has made consumers much more aware.

A buzz phrase at the 2008 Trade Expo Indonesia is “market diversification.” Why is this so important?

M.P.: Indonesia is relatively well insulated from the global slowdown, as exports account for only around 20 per cent of our total GDP. But, our traditional export markets are the United States, Europe and Japan, so we must find new ways to remain competitive in a global age. This means reaching out to new export markets.

China and Korea are both growing export markets for Indonesia, and are becoming more important to our economy. Now, our exporters need to explore the Middle East, Russia, Eastern Europe, Africa and Latin America. We’ve seen growth in markets like Nigeria, South Africa and Brazil – and are focusing on the Central Asian republics that were formerly part of the Soviet Union, such as Kazakhstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan. These are resource-rich countries with a lot of purchasing power. We see opportunities to increase our exports of furniture, household accessories, consumer products and automotive parts to those nations.

You have said that tourism is a potential growth sector for Indonesia. How will you promote Indonesia as a tourism destination in China?

M.P.: We have identified China, India and Russia as high-growth tourism arrival markets for Indonesia, as all three countries have definable and growing middle classes that increasingly wish to travel. We feel there will be a slowdown for tourism from Europe, the United States and Japan next year. However, having our country removed from the U.S. travel warning was very important for showing Indonesia as a tourism destination.

We have direct flights from China with Garuda, and have had visa-on-arrival for two years now. Chinese travellers need to have a visa before they leave the country, and we’ve been trying to work around that. Singapore has a good system whereby Chinese travellers can use a credit card to go there, and we are seeing if we can become involved in some way.

We need to be more aggressive on tourism and promotional tours in China. We’ll be trying harder to raise our profile to Chinese tourists, especially leading up to the 2010 World Expo in Shanghai. We are currently in the process of finalising the design for our Expo pavilion.

K14N

October 27th, 2008, 08:55 AM

Guys, USD sudah 10,700, busett.... SGD 7,100.....

IHSG anjlok lagi seperti biasa..... sekarang di 1162.41, turun 82.46 (6.62%). Dr awal tahun di 2800, sudah anjlok 58.5%, ckckck :nuts:

AceN

October 27th, 2008, 09:23 AM

^^ bentar lagi masuk ah..udah banyak yang undervalue ... :D

Mas peseg, gimana ? waktu itu jadi masuk ? saya blum brani sampe skarang. Rasa-rasanya dalam 1-2 bulan ke depan baru mau masuk :)

K14N

October 27th, 2008, 12:59 PM

IHSG BEI Kembali Terpuruk

Jakarta, (ANTARA News) - Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG), Kamis, kembali terpuruk dan berada di level terendah sejak awal 2006.

IHSG BEI ditutup melemah 78,455 poin atau 6,30 persen menjadi 1.166,409, level ini terendah sejak penutupan 3 Januari 2006 di 1.170,089 atau turun jauh dari level tertinggi yang pernah dicapai 2.830,262 pada 9 Januari 2008.

Sedangkan indeks LQ45 terkoreksi 16,709 poin atau 7,12 persen ke posisi 217,824, yang merupakan level terendah sejak pertengahan 2005.

Analis Riset PT Paramitra Alfa Sekuritas Pardomuan Sihombing, kepada ANTARA di Jakarta, mengatakan, penurunan indeks ini lebih disebabkan oleh sentimen dari anjloknya bursa regional.

"Memang masih dipengaruhi global, tetapi ada juga dari domestik, yakni kasus Bank Indover juga menjadi penambah senntimen negatif pasar saham," kata Pardomuan.

Dia juga menegaskan bahwa para pelaku pasar masih menunggu hingga situasi yang kondusif, jika ada hanya pelaku jangka pendek.

Ia masih yakin bahwa para pelaku pasar belum hilang kepercayaan kepada pasar saham. "Ini kan hanya siklus sedang turun, kalau kita lihat bahwa para pelaku jangka panjang masih bertahan kok, bahkan ini dijadikan kesempatan untuk ambil barang (beli saham)," jelasnya.

Untuk itu, dia berharap pemerintah melakukan hal positif dengan menjaga terus berjalannya sektor riil dan Bank Indonesia (BI) segera menrunkan BI-rate-nya pada bulan depan (November 2008).

"Jika dua mesin ini berjalan, saya yakin bursa saham akan kembali positif," tambahnya.

Dia juga menegaskan bahwa penurunan indeks BEI ini lebih didominasi oleh penurunan bursa global, terutama bursa Hongkong dengan indeks Hang Seng yang anjlok 12,70 persen (1.602,54 poin) menjadi 11.015,83.

Kondisi inilah yang membuat pergerakan saham di BEI didominasi saham yang turun sebanyak 162 dan saham naik hanya 14, sedangkan 19 tidak bergerak dan 265 tidak diperdagangkan.

Penurunan indeks BEI dipimpin turunnya berapa saham-saham unggulan, diantaranya Antam yang terkoreksi Rp90 menjadi Rp850, Bank BRI turun Rp325 ke posisi Rp2.950, Telkom anjlok Rp550 ke level Rp5.350, Gas Negara negatif Rp130 ke Rp1.220, Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam terkikis Rp450 ke harga Rp4.150, Bank Mandiri melemah Rp140 ke Rp1.340, Astra Internasional turun Rp900 ke level Rp8.100 dan Bank BCA terjun Rp225 menjadi Rp2.200.(*)

VRS

October 27th, 2008, 02:47 PM

luar biasa america..semua mata uang dipaksa melemah terhadap dollar america...
termasuk seluruh bursa saham regional melemah dipaksa utk dijual ...
saya juga dipaksa utk menerima kenyataan suku bunga tinggi di jakarta ....*sedih

DJ_Archuleta

October 27th, 2008, 04:33 PM

-edited-

AceN

October 27th, 2008, 05:41 PM

^^ Bukan DJ, maksud dia mau nunjukin doank berita hari ini. Gapapa kok, kan emang keadaan pasarnya emang lagi begitu adanya. Kecuali kalo isinya terus-terusan cuma kritikan dari Rizal Ramli kek, Dradjad Wibowo kek, Econit kek, Amien Rais kek ( duh, kaya ngerti.. ) , Megawati ( yang ini apalagi... ), Pramono Anung, etc etc baru itu distracting. Kalo emang beritanya faktual ya gapapa :)

----------------

Rumornya, index mau dibawa terus ke level 600an. Tapi itu pun kalo Dow Jones nya jatoh ke 4000-an. Eh, China malah dengan sengaja membiarkan indeksnya turunnnn, biar ntar BUMN nya bisa memborong saham2 di lantai bursa dengan murmer... :nuts:

DJ_Archuleta

October 27th, 2008, 05:51 PM

^^ okay i understand now.. -case solved-

hellothere123

October 27th, 2008, 05:52 PM

Guys, USD sudah 10,700, busett.... SGD 7,100.....

IHSG anjlok lagi seperti biasa..... sekarang di 1162.41, turun 82.46 (6.62%). Dr awal tahun di 2800, sudah anjlok 58.5%, ckckck :nuts:

he?? SGD 7,100?? :omg::omg:

data per 27 oktober 10:51pm, SGD 6600 kok.. :) rupiah justru menguat..

DJ_Archuleta

October 27th, 2008, 06:13 PM

New overseas markets for RI can replace falling exports

While Indonesian exports to traditional markets like the United States, Europe and Japan show some signs of slowing down due to the global financial crisis, buyers from other countries representing potential new non-traditional markets have expressed interest in buying more Indonesian goods.

Businesspeople from several countries in the region have also expressed willingness to put their money into Indonesia.

Barry Helberg of the New Zealand Retailers Association and David J. Catty, the director of the ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) and New Zealand Combined Business Council, expressed their amazement during a discussion at the recent 23rd Jakarta International Trade Exhibition, on the quality and design of Indonesian furniture.

"These are top quality goods. It is the kind of furniture New Zealand top end consumers are looking for," Catty said.

Barry, meanwhile, expressed his optimism that Indonesia's furniture, footwear and apparel products would be accepted by his country's consumers.

"You see, New Zealanders, who have money to spend, are placing increased emphasis on quality and durability. I think Indonesian products still have potential to penetrate New Zealand markets," he said.

Total two-way trade between Indonesia and New Zealand currently reached US$2 billion, the Indonesian Ambassador to New Zealand Amris Hassan said.

New Zealand's furniture, apparel and footwear markets, worth a total of $1.4 billion, were dominated by China and Vietnam. Indonesia's total exports to New Zealand for the three sectors was only $30 million last year, he said.

"How can we lose to Vietnam?. I think we can no longer view New Zealand markets as a leftover from Australia's. That's why we have proposed that we should have our own trade office in Auckland to increase our exports. I will do my utmost to help our businesspeople willing to export their products to the country," he said.

Meanwhile, President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono's special envoy to the Middle East Alwi Shihab said that there was a surplus of $1.6 trillion among the Middle Eastern countries. Indonesia could look to these countries as markets for its products and also seek to attract investment funds.

He said that some investors from the Middle East, including the Emar Group and the Capital Investment Group, have now entered Indonesia to set up businesses.

Alwi said that Emar was ready to build tourism sites worth up to $1 billion in Lombok, West Nusa Tenggara while investors from Oman would sign an MOU worth $400 million on a joint investment in an oil and gas field with an Indonesian business group.

In addition, Capital Investment Group from the United Arab Emirates just launched its branch office in Jakarta, ready to invest in real estate, sea ports and other infrastructure sectors, he said.

Alwi, however, criticized the country's bureaucrats who have held up permit processes for foreign investment, pointing to the example of a two-year delay in negotiations between investors from Qatar and Bahrain with a local state-owned company.

Rector of Paramadina University Anies Baswedan said that the crisis had provided momentum for Indonesia to look to alternative markets and sources of investment in Asia and the Middle East to reduce dependence on Western countries and to lessen the negative impact of the financial crisis on Indonesia.

peseg5

October 27th, 2008, 07:24 PM

^^ bentar lagi masuk ah..udah banyak yang undervalue ... :D

Mas peseg, gimana ? waktu itu jadi masuk ? saya blum brani sampe skarang. Rasa-rasanya dalam 1-2 bulan ke depan baru mau masuk :)

Hehe masuk gak ya??? Iya nih udah pada UV... Yg pasti gw udah siapin 1-1,5 juta cen buat investasi, maklum lah buat investor pemula. Justru gw yg pengen minta pendapat elo, kira2 bagusnya masuk mane dulu neh? Rencana gw mo keep paling tidak 3-4 thn soalnya..

AceN

October 27th, 2008, 08:36 PM

^^ mas, ada YM tak ? :D PM ya.. :)

G juga pemula mas. Ni nyambi belajar juga. ANTM udah UV bngt th. trakhir closing kalo ga salah 900. Banyak banget mas yang UV. ELTY, BTEL, BNBR, BUMI, smuanya propsektif. Mungkin akan ada pergantian kepemilikan, tapi dari sisi fundamental saham grup Bakrie smuanya ga ada yang bermasalah.

Sbenernya mnurut para analis di BEI ga ada perusahaan yang bermasalah dari sisi fundamental, pelemahan harga hanya gara2 broker2 asing kebutuhan likuiditas yang cukup gede. Makanya mereka banyak pasang posisi Sell smua. Dan pelaku pasar lokal malah ikut-ikutan panik.

G jg mau keep 3-4 tahun, sampe lulus kuliah lah ;)

K14N

October 28th, 2008, 05:05 AM

he?? SGD 7,100?? :omg::omg:

data per 27 oktober 10:51pm, SGD 6600 kok.. :) rupiah justru menguat..

Masa sich?

Ini dapat dari sini, pagi ini pas saya buka USD 1 = IDR 11700 (09.28am)

http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/currencies/asiapac_currencies.html

USD 1 = SGD 1.5124. Dengan konversi langsung, kira2 pagi ini SGD 1 malah sudah IDR 7736.05 :nuts:

Mimihitam

October 28th, 2008, 02:34 PM

Monday, October 27, 2008
Indonesia, paling penting di ASEAN

http://www.scbd.com/images/vision.jpg

Indonesia, the new booming power in Asia

Saat ini, Indonesia dapat memberi banyak hal bagi pembahasan tentang bagaimana dunia dapat menghadapi krisis yang sedang berlangsung dan menghindari ketidakstabilan pada masa mendatang.

Indonesia adalah negara ekonomi terbesar di Asia Tenggara dan pemimpin di ASEAN. Indonesia mengalami reformasi perekonomian seusai krisis keuangan Asia sepuluh tahun lalu. Dipimpin Presiden Yudhoyono dan tim ekonominya, Indonesia berhasil bertahan dan layak mendapat tempat pada pertemuan tingkat tinggi pasar uang mendatang di Washington.

Krisis keuangan global

Saat ini adalah momen sulit dan di luar dugaan perekonomian dunia. Kondisi pasar keuangan dunia benar-benar tertekan. Pertumbuhan perekonomian dunia menghadapi risiko serius. Negara-negara ekonomi terbesar dunia amat merasakan dampak itu. Di Amerika Serikat, pasar keuangan kami mengalami tantangan luar biasa dan hal ini kian menambah tekanan lebih besar pada perekonomian kami yang memang sudah melambat.

Perkembangan ini memengaruhi dunia. Indonesia dan negara-negara dengan pasar yang terus berkembang, telah mengambil langkah mengesankan beberapa tahun terakhir dalam memperkuat fundamentalnya, mempercepat pertumbuhan ekonomi, dan melindungi diri terhadap guncangan dari luar.

Namun, seperti terlihat beberapa pekan terakhir ini, negara-negara dengan pasar yang terus berkembang pun tidak kebal terhadap tekanan krisis keuangan global. Bahkan, pasar keuangan yang tidak langsung berhubungan dengan risiko aset kredit perumahan pun menjadi kian tidak stabil akibat semakin rendahnya kepercayaan pasar, melambatnya pertumbuhan ekspor, dan berbagai perusahaan disubsidi secara berlebihan.

Kita harus bekerja sama mengatasi ketidakstabilan ini dan memulihkan kondisi perekonomian dunia karena semua terpengaruh krisis ini. Dan, itulah mengapa Presiden Bush mengundang Indonesia untuk menghadiri KTT Keuangan Global 15 November di Washington. KTT akan meninjau kemajuan yang telah dicapai guna mengatasi krisis yang sedang terjadi dan mengupayakan kesepakatan tentang prinsip-prinsip reformasi yang dibutuhkan untuk menghindari terjadinya ketidakstabilan serupa.

Peran penting Indonesia

Indonesia akan berperan penting dalam KTT ini. Sebagai satu-satunya negara ASEAN dalam G-20, Indonesia dapat berbagi pengalaman tentang hikmah yang dapat diambil dari krisis keuangan Asia 10 tahun lalu. Indonesia juga dapat menawarkan sudut pandang Asia Tenggara tentang bagaimana menangkal persoalan saat ini dan mencegah terulang lagi.

Tindakan Presiden Yudhoyono dan tim ekonominya yang diketuai Menko Perekonomian Sri Mulyani Indrawati dan Gubernur Bank Indonesia Boediono sungguh luar biasa. Hal ini akan memberi pemahaman mendalam tentang bagaimana pasar yang sedang berkembang menghadapi dampak krisis keuangan global. Tim perekonomian Indonesia mampu meredam gejolak pasar saham akibat rumor tidak jelas.

Krisis yang kini terjadi menunjukkan pentingnya kerja sama antara negara-negara perekonomian besar secara berkelanjutan melalui forum, seperti KTT di Washington mendatang, G-20, APEC, dan lembaga-lembaga keuangan internasional. Penting bagi pemerintah mengambil tindakan perseorangan maupun kelompok guna menyediakan bantuan likuiditas yang diperlukan, memperkuat lembaga keuangan, meningkatkan stabilitas pasar, dan mengembangkan solusi peraturan yang komprehensif. Kita juga harus erat mengoordinasi upaya-upaya dalam kerangka lebih umum guna memperkuat sistem secara keseluruhan.

Dibanding masa lalu, kini pertumbuhan dan kesejahteraan suatu negara lebih bergantung pada kondisi negara lain. Para pemimpin dunia perlu waspada terhadap tuntutan proteksi yang tidak dapat dihindari selama tekanan krisis keuangan global. Percepatan perdagangan dan investasi akan mengantar kita keluar dari krisis. Melalui kerja sama dengan komponen utama perekonomian global, Amerika Serikat dan Indonesia harus menerapkan liberalisasi perdagangan dan investasi guna mendorong pertumbuhan dan pemulihan ekonomi secara lebih cepat dari resesi perekonomian dunia.

Cameron Hume
US Ambassador for Indonesia

http://akhyari.blogspot.com/2008/10/indonesia-paling-penting-di-asean.html

Maju terus!

DJ_Archuleta

October 28th, 2008, 05:46 PM

^^ Indonesian GDP nominal per capita will surpass USD 3,000 in 2010:cheers:
keep going onward Indonesia, Majulah Indonesia :cheers:

DJ_Archuleta

October 28th, 2008, 05:46 PM

Indonesia gets creative

Indonesia plans to diversify export earnings away from commodities to tourism and creative industries.

Indonesia is preparing to diversify its exports away from commodity dependence just as the world’s leading economies look set to plunge into recession. Opening the Trade Expo Indonesia 2008 in Jakarta on October 21, President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono identified three sectors with potential for growth: tourism, creative industries and migrant workers’ remittances.

The annual trade promotion event in the capital, supplemented by similar displays to match local suppliers with international buyers in other major cities such as Yogyakarta in central Java, showed a large variety of non-commodity export-ready products and services. Stalls represented most of the 14 sub-categories of creative industries listed by the ministry of trade. These ranged from traditional Batik textiles and up-market furniture to animation and information technology.

More than 1,000 buyers flew in from 22 countries, and officials expected that agreements would be signed which would surpass the $200 million worth of deals last year.

Currently, creative industries make up just 6% of Indonesia’s GDP and 9% of its exports. And despite ambitions for diversification, Indonesia’s foreign exchange earnings remain highly reliant on the primary sector. The country is the world’s largest palm oil and South Seas pearl producer, the second biggest gelatin producer and the third biggest cacao producer.

In an interview with FinanceAsia, minister of trade Dr Mari Pangestu argued that small- and medium-sized enterprises could be a new source for the country’s economic growth, emphasising that they are labour intensive, not low-skilled businesses. While traditional handicrafts would always have a reliable market, the products themselves as well as the manufacturing, marketing and distribution processes would need to be modernised. In addition, education and training to instill a “creative mindset” in the population was essential and a blue-print had been drawn up.

The minister said there is a draft bill prepared to set up an Export Credit Agency to augment limited export guarantees and insurance already in place. She stressed that no import tariffs or quotas would be imposed to protect domestic industries, as Indonesia fully intended to adhere to its World Trade Organisation and bilateral trade agreements.

Meanwhile, Indonesia has cut its overall export growth target for next year to 11.9% because of sluggish demand from Japan, the United States and Europe, which account for about one-third of the country’s export revenues. This would mark the second year in a row that export growth has slowed, despite an increase in Chinese demand for Indonesian commodities, particularly coal. Export growth is expected to come in at about 12.5% this year, the slowest for five years despite 31.4% growth in the first quarter according to the official statistics bureau.

Official GDP growth forecasts for 2009 have been downgraded from 6.3% earlier in the year to between 5.5% and 6%, but inflation fears that were prominent earlier this year are subsiding as the oil price has plunged.

The rupiah has recently hit a three-year low against the US dollar, having fallen more than 6% this month already, as the US and European credit crisis has spread to emerging markets. A weaker currency could, of course, provide the most immediate tonic to Indonesian exporters while the country prepares its secondary and tertiary sectors for international competition in better times ahead.

iForce

October 28th, 2008, 06:45 PM

^^ Hebat DJ.. slalu dapet good news no matter what! :okay:
Keep on posting.. you move people :cheers1:

DJ_Archuleta

October 28th, 2008, 08:10 PM

^^ Hebat DJ.. slalu dapet good news no matter what! :okay:
Keep on posting.. you move people :cheers1:

Thank you, I knew that there must be some indonesian good news come up everyday :cheers:

DJ_Archuleta

October 28th, 2008, 08:14 PM

Ekonomi RI 2008 vs 1998

Tentu saja, jika dibandingkan dengan kondisi tahun 1998 silam, kondisinya sudah jauh berubah. Perekonomian Indonesia, tentu saja sudah jauh lebih kuat dibandingkan 10 tahun silam.

Berikut perbandingan data perekonomian di tahun 1998 dan tahun 2008 dari hasil riset Optima Securities, Selasa (28/10/2008).

Tahun 1998:

* Inflasi 77,60%
* PDB -13,13%
* PDB per kapita US$ 600
* Deposito 3 Bulan 40%
* Cadangan Devisa US$ 22 miliar
* Ekspor -13%
* Impor -30%

Tahun 2008

* Inflasi 12%
* PDB 6,30%
* PDB per kapita US$ 2300-2400
* Deposito 3 Bulan 10%
* Cadangan Devisa US$ 56 Miliar
* Ekspor 30%
* Impor 45%.

Dalam data tersebut, inflasi selama Januari hingga September 2008 jauh lebih rendah dari tahun 2007 yang mencapai 77,6%.

Sementara perekonomian masih bisa tumbuh di kisaran 6,3% dengan cadangan devisa mencapai US$ 56 miliar yang cukup memenuhi kebutuhan 3 bulan kali impor.

Ekspor dan impor masih positif dengan masing-masing mencatat tumbuh 30% dan 45% dibandingkan sepuluh tahun lalu yang mengalami pertumbuhan negatif.

lombok

October 28th, 2008, 09:21 PM

Indonesia Tempat Investasi Terbaik
[JAKARTA] Kendati indeks harga saham gabungan (IHSG) di Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) nyaris menyentuh level psikologis baru, 1.000, dan nilai tukar rupiah mencapai Rp 11.800 per dolar AS, Indonesia tetap menjadi tempat investasi paling aman dan menguntungkan. Krisis finansial global membuat investasi negara lain tidak sebagus Indonesia.

"Investasi di Indonesia lebih aman dan menjanjikan dibandingkan negara lain," kata penasihat Certified Wealth Managers Association (CWMA) Herris B Simanjuntak, Senin (27/10).

Hal senada diungkapkan Head Treasury BNI Securities, Moh Fendi Susiyanto. Menurut dia, langkah antisipatif yang diambil pemerintah sudah cukup baik dalam mengontrol efek krisis tersebut. Untuk itu, nasabah atau pemilik dana dapat bersikap rasional dan tidak panik.

Fendi menambahkan, dengan pusat krisis di AS dan telah menjalar ke Eropa, serta beberapa negara Asia, membuat tidak ada tempat lagi bagi pemilik modal menempatkan dananya di negara tersebut. Dia menyarankan, pemilik modal mempertahankan dananya di Indonesia.

Terkait hal itu, ekonom Bank Mandiri, Martin Panggabean berpendapat, langkah prioritas yang harus dilakukan pemerintah adalah menjamin penuh simpanan masyarakat di perbankan nasional, baik simpanan rupiah maupun valuta asing. "Selain itu, harus dicari sumber-sumber pelemahan rupiah. Kalau hanya karena spekulasi, seharusnya bisa diatasi," ujarnya.

Mengutip pendapat Daniel Kahneman, peraih Nobel Ekonomi 2002, Anggota Dewan pendiri CWMA Maikel Sajangbati mengatakan, keputusan ekonomi justru lebih ditentukan oleh pertimbangan jangka pendek yang irasional ketimbang rasional. Kenaikan dan penurunan harga saham tidak mencerminkan kondisi fundamental perusahaan, melainkan lebih sebagai dapak dari kepanikan.

Sementara itu, dolar AS kembali menguat terhadap hampir sebagian besar mata uang dunia pada perdagangan Selasa (28/10). Penguatan dolar bahkan menekan rupiah hingga mendekati level 12.000. Hingga pukul 11.00 WIB, kurs terus tertekan dan hingga ke Rp 1.800 per dolar AS.

"Efek psikologis dari kekhawatiran perlambatan pertumbuhan ekonomi membuat hot money keluar dari emerging market termasuk Indonesia, sehingga rupiah melemah," kata analis pasar uang dari Integral Investama, Toni Maryano.

Sementara itu, pantauan di tempat penukaran uang, PT Ayu Masagung di Jalan Kwitang Raya, Jakarta Pusat, Selasa pagi menunjukkan terjadi peningkatan jumlah nasabah yang menukarkan uangnya.

"Kira-kira ada peningkatan 50 sampai 100 nasabah dalam dua hari terakhir ini. Kalau biasanya sekitar 300 nasabah per hari, maka dalam beberapa hari terakhir ini, naik kira-kira 350 sampai 400 nasabah," ujar Jumali, karyawan di perusahaan tersebut.

Perdagangan saham di BEI juga masih diwarnai panic selling, sehingga IHSG melemah 72,106 poin (6,18 persen) ke level 1.094,303 pada pukul 11.00 WIB. [P-12/RRS/RBW/J-9/A-17]

VRS

October 29th, 2008, 04:19 AM

itu picture rendering dari mimihitam, old design SCBD?? cause i saw bapindo tower hah..

kaki_langit

October 29th, 2008, 05:09 AM

^^ Indonesian GDP nominal per capita will surpass USD 3,000 in 2010:cheers:
keep going onward Indonesia, Majulah Indonesia :cheers:

Jangankan USD3,000 .... lebih dari itupun bisa ... Kalau kita mau GDP (Nominal) per capita sebesar USD4,000 di tahun 2008 ... syaratnya bisa nggak kita bikin USD1 = IDR 4,500 ... :banana::banana::banana:

hellothere123

October 29th, 2008, 07:12 AM

^^ kalo USD1 = IDR 4500, orang2 uda berlomba buat beli pulau.. uda ga zaman lagi beli rumah :lol::lol::lol:

AceN

October 29th, 2008, 10:00 AM

^^ iya, tapi export anjlok-jlok-jlok-jlok.... :|

=NaNdA=

October 29th, 2008, 10:44 AM

AceN

October 29th, 2008, 12:26 PM

^^ ikut apa nan ?

DJ_Archuleta

October 29th, 2008, 03:43 PM

Jangankan USD3,000 .... lebih dari itupun bisa ... Kalau kita mau GDP (Nominal) per capita sebesar USD4,000 di tahun 2008 ... syaratnya bisa nggak kita bikin USD1 = IDR 4,500 ... :banana::banana::banana:

Our current GDP (nominal) per capita is around USD 2,300-2,400
if ever the exchange rate was IDR 4,500 to one dollar, I believe the gdp per capita would jump up to at least USD 4800 by now :cheers:

DJ_Archuleta

October 29th, 2008, 08:35 PM

RI will be more stable than India, Malaysia and Thailand in 2009

With concern setting in about the declining rupiah and share prices, there is good news yet: Indonesia next year will be much more stable than regional peers India, Malaysia and Thailand, a Hong Kong-based political risk consultancy said Monday.

"Indonesia is much more stable today than it was when the regional financial crisis hit in 1997-98. The coming election campaign is likely to see the present government return, with (President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono) winning the presidency and keeping Jusuf Kalla as his vice president," the Political & Economic Risk Consultancy (PERC) said in a report, whose executive summary is available on PERC's website.

Following a massive crackdown on alleged terrorist group Jamaah Islamiyah in recent years, coupled with improving social conditions, Indonesia seems almost guaranteed of stability. But the threat of terrorism is still a factor, PERC warned.

"There is still a possibility of more terrorist incidents, but overall social conditions are more stable now than at any time in a decade," it said.

PERC assessed 16 countries in its Asian Risk Prospects -- 2009 on factors such as the risk of racial and communal tensions, struggle for power, the threat posed by social activism, and vulnerability to policy changes by other governments.

Indonesia, Southeast Asia's biggest economy, rated as the fourth least stable country in the region, with a score of six on a scale of 10, in which zero represents the best socio-political conditions and 10 the highest risk.

South Asian behemoth India topped the table with the highest political and social risk, scoring 6.87, mainly because of internal and external instability. PERC cited fears over Pakistan, a major player in the global war on terror.

"India faces some of the biggest risks in 2009 because of uncertainties surrounding the coming general election, rising communal violence and terrorism incidents.

"The biggest risk is that a deterioration in political and economic conditions in neighboring Pakistan could aggravate social unrest in India further and hurt national security," PERC
said.

Thailand is pegged to be the next least stable country in Southeast Asia next year, scoring 6.28, as the current political mayhem and the separatist violence looks set to run into 2009.

Surprisingly, Malaysia, which escaped much of the wrath of the 1997 financial crisis, will be the third least stable in the region, with the report noting the political wranglings were aggravating racial and religious tensions.

"The status quo is changing in ways that will see a stronger political opposition than in the past and UMNO (the ruling party) forced to share more power with non-Malay groups," the report
said.

But these three countries could be relatively immune to the global financial fallout.

"India, Thailand and Malaysia are not so much vulnerable to negative fallout from the global financial crisis as they are to factors that are mainly internal," Robert Broadfoot, PERC managing director, told Reuters on Tuesday.

"For these countries, the coming global economic storm is only going to make a bad situation worse," he said.

The tightly controlled city-state of Singapore was ranked the most stable country, boasting an extremely low political risk in 2009, though its economy is expected to take a big hit from the financial crisis as it heads toward recession.

This is expected to mirror the current situation in the United States, badly weakened economically and psychologically.

"It is a humbling experience that, coinciding with a change in government, is likely to see the U.S. become less aggressive in pushing its views on other countries," PERC said.

With a score of 5.33, China will have a tough year economically in 2009 but not a disastrous one.

PERC is a consulting firm specializing in strategic business information and analysis for companies doing business in East and Southeast Asia.

http://i144.photobucket.com/albums/r197/daryl_dav/RImorestablethanmalaysia.jpg

DJ_Archuleta

October 30th, 2008, 12:56 PM

Pump priming the domestic economy to survive the financial crisis

Cyrillus Harinowo, Jakarta

Chinese President Hu Jintao recently reaffirmed his country's
determination to promote the domestic economy while keeping the
external accounts balanced. This kind of strong statement is
greatly needed amid the uncertainty arising from the financial
crisis that is expected to lead to a global recession.

Asian countries will certainly be affected by the global
downturn. Exporting companies in the region are already feeling
the pinch from the imminent global recession. The only way for
the countries in the region to mitigate the impact is through
the promotion of the domestic economy.

Concerted efforts by Asian countries will create a region where
economic activities can be decoupled from the global downturn,
but at the same time will also lead into higher import demands
from the rest of the world. The strong reserves of the region,
which have been accumulated over many years, can now be
mobilized to increase the financing of the imports badly needed
to strengthen the domestic economy.

Indonesia has the advantage of being rich in natural resources.
A country with a population of 225 million people and with a
rising per-capita income can form a strong domestic economy. So
how strong is the Indonesian domestic economy?

In 2008, the country may reach a per-capita income of between
$2,300 and $2,400 depending in the GDP in the fourth quarter. Up
to September, the Indonesian economy seemed to be doing well.
Reports from various companies indicate that many of them
exceeded their production or revenue targets.

Bank Indonesia recently predicted that the third quarter GDP may
have grown by 6.3 percent, slightly higher than their first and
second quarter predictions. If this proves accurate, then in the
first three quarters of this year the Indonesian GDP produced a
growth rate of over 6.3 percent compared to the same period last
year. Therefore, a slightly less impressive growth rate in the
fourth quarter will probably still lead to over 6.0 percent
growth, year-on-year, during the whole of 2008. Despite the
recent problems this positive outcome is now widely predicted.

Indonesia is also experiencing growth in the size of the middle
class. Based on the distribution of income, 22.5 million people
-- almost the same as the whole population of Malaysia -- earned
an average of $7,000 in 2008 -- higher than the 2006 average
per-capita income of Malaysia. Another 22.5 million people
earned an average of $3,500, while 22.5 million people earn
around $2,300.

In total, 67.5 million people -- slightly more than the entire
population of Thailand -- earned an average income of $3,700,
slightly higher than Thailand's 2006 average per capita income.

While some people have been badly affected by the financial
crisis, such as by losing their accumulated wealth via the now
bankrupt Lehman Brothers or losing the value of their stocks,
their recurrent income will continue to rise if the economy
continues to post positive growth. Therefore, ensuring continued
growth in the economy is an urgent task for the government,
which can be facilitated by the promotion of the domestic
economy.

In 2009, the new Indonesian income tax law will release around
Rp 40 trillion for companies and individuals through tax reforms
and liberalization. This total estimated reduction in the tax
burden represents one form of fiscal stimulus that can be spent
on further expansion or on consumer spending.

In the meantime, the decision to accelerate project
implementation, for example for infrastructure projects, will
create broader activities that can stimulate employment. A
number of projects, such as the MRT in Jakarta, the East Flood
Drain (BKT) and the construction of toll roads in various
places, as well as other government development projects will
start in 2009.

It is hoped that fast implementation of such projects can be
done on the same lines as the rapid construction of the
Cengkareng Airport toll road that is currently being built at a
brisk pace.

The declining oil price in the recent weeks may also help the
implementation of fiscal stimulus.

This means a lower requirement for fuel subsidies as well as
helping to make available more fuel supplies for the government.
Funds saved from energy subsidies can be pooled to finance the
development of infrastructure projects such as highways as well
as production of non fossil fuel (or renewable) energy.

If the oil price continue to fall, then there is a one time
chance for the government to start considering the collection of
a carbon tax.

For example, currently the subsidized gasoline price was set at
Rp. 6.000. If the oil price continues to decline, the value of
"subsidized" gasoline could reach a level of Rp. 5,000. If the
price continues to be fixed at Rp. 6,000, the government could
start collecting revenue of Rp. 1,000 for each liter of
"subsidized" gasoline.

This temporary revenue could be set as a carbon tax. If the oil
price continued to decline even further, then for example, the
"subsidized" value could reach Rp. 4,000 per liter, then the
Government could decide to reduce the official price or leave it
as an additional revenue on top of the carbon tax.

On the other hand, if the value of the "subsidized" gasoline
increases to Rp. 6,000 (while the proposed carbon tax is set at
Rp. 1,000) then the Government starts subsidizing the gasoline
as planned, while at the same time the carbon tax continues to
be collected at Rp. 1,000 per liter.

Time is running out fast to make use of this "roller coaster"
oil price. Therefore the government has to stand ready to take
advantage of such conditions. With such an instrument, the
promotion of the domestic economy can be made more effective.

Mimihitam

October 30th, 2008, 01:13 PM

Morgan Stanley remains upbeat on RI, opens local branch

Ika Krismantari , The Jakarta Post , Jakarta | Tue, 10/28/2008 10:30 AM | Business

Against the backdrop of the global financial crisis, the United States financial giant Morgan Stanley has officially opened its doors in Indonesia in a decision which reflects investor confidence toward the country's economy in general.

Morgan Stanley Asia Indonesia president director Inghie Kwik announced Monday the opening of the company's local branch after it had secured licenses from the country's stock market regulator (Bapepam) in July.

"This (decision to open a branch) is a long term investment for us...compared with Thailand, the Philippines, and Vietnam Indonesia is a very big country, its population and its associated industries, such as retail, consumer goods and telecommunications are examples that the country's potentials remain promising despite the global financial crisis," Inghie said.

The decision, he said was also part of the company's long term strategy in expanding its operation in Southeast Asia's emerging markets.

The Jakarta office is the fifth Morgan Stanley branch operating in the Southeast Asia region.

Morgan Stanley's presence in Indonesia dates back to the 1990s, when the company supported local companies in international fund raising and in advising on merger and acquisition plans.

As its confidence grew on the economy, the company established a supporting office in 2005 and it then sought a brokerage and underwriting license from the regulator.

Inghie said the Jakarta office would focus on providing services related to capital market businesses, including bond issuance and initial public offerings (IPOs) and also on mergers and acquisitions.

"We believe the stock market will be normal again, but we don't know yet if the recovery curve is going to take an L shape, a U or a V," he said when asked his view on the local bourse, which has felt the impact of the global financial crisis.

Next year, Morgan Stanley has been given a mandate to underwrite four IPOs worth about U$600 million in total, Inghie said.

The company, whose largest shareholder is now Japan's Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, was the financial advisor to the country's second largest IPO, that of Adaro Energy worth $1.3 billion in July.

It was also the sole financial advisor for the selling of the local bank Buana to Singaporean UOB and the merger of Lippo Bank and Bank Niaga.

Aside from capital market services, the company will remain open to opportunities for expanding its business to other sectors such as commodities or real estate, the two sectors where Morgan Stanley has enough experience consider expansion.

The company will host a reception in Jakarta next week to market the formal opening of Morgan Stanley's office in Indonesia.

Morgan Stanley, with 600 offices in 35 countries, had $736 billion of assets under management worldwide as of Aug. 31 this year.

http://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2008/10/28/morgan-stanley-remains-upbeat-ri-opens-local-branch.html

DJ_Archuleta

October 31st, 2008, 07:43 AM

2009 state budget to provide room for emergency measures

Legislators approved Thursday a “responsive” state budget for 2009 that provides room for the government to adjust to the impact of the global financial crisis.

In Article 23 of the budget, the government, under certain conditions, will be allowed to allocate new spending not stated in the budget, or shift spending allocations between programs or government agencies to protect the economy.

The government is also authorized to save spending while maintaining priority programs such as education.

If the government is in dire need of financing, it will be allowed to withdraw standby loans from bilateral or multilateral creditors and issue bonds of a higher value than stipulated in the budget.

However, such measures will only be allowed in “emergency” situations, including if economic growth falls 1 percent below the targeted 6 percent and if other macroeconomic indicators fall 10 percent short of their expected values.

Other emergency conditions include a rush on banks, indicated by a sudden drop in banks’ third-party funds, and a rise in bond yields by 300 basis points, or 3 percent, in a single month.

The lack of offers two times running for government benchmark bonds will also be considered an emergency.

“The article allows the government to take steps (to save the economy) without violating regulations,” said Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati after the plenary session.

“The risk of the economy growing less than 6 percent is very real. The two main indicators can be seen in the oil price and the currency.”

World oil prices now hover just above US$60 per barrel, a huge drop from the record $147 in July. The rupiah now stands at 10,675 per dollar, compared to about 9,200 in early 2008.

The Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle’s (PDI-P) House faction said economic growth of 6 percent was far too optimistic.

“The figure of 6 percent is an example of overoptimism with no consideration of the government’s poor fiscal management,” said Nursyirwan Soejono when delivering the party’s final assessment on the budget.

He said that the government had spent only 35.4 percent of its budget in the first half of 2008, thus failing to truly stimulate the economy.

Mulyani said the government had asked for Rp 10 trillion ($936.77 million) to cushion the real sector from the turmoil in the financial sector.

“If the real sector is pressured by the (depreciating) currency or other prices, it may need room to breathe. The fund is there, which we’ll see selectively,” she said, without elaborating which sectors might be hit in 2009.

The fuel subsidy was set at Rp 103 trillion for 2009, far lower than the Rp 126.86 trillion provided in the 2008 budget. Mulyani said the amount was the maximum allocation for the subsidy, hinting the government might take measures stipulated in Article 23 if oil prices soared.

The government has maintained an expansive budget overall, despite the looming global financial crisis. Spending will reach Rp 1,037.1 trillion, the first time it has gone beyond
Rp 1,000 trillion. State revenue has been set at Rp 985.7 trillion.

BUDGET ASSUMPTIONS

Indicators 2008 Budget 2009 Budget
Growth (%) 6.4% 6.0%
Inflation 6.5% 6.2%
BI Rate 7.5% 7.5%
Exchange Rate (Rp/$) 9,100 9,400
Oil Price ($ per barrel) 95 80
Oil Output (barrel per day) 927,00 960,000

Source: House of Representative

yudz83

November 1st, 2008, 02:56 AM

Lowongan Kerja ke Malaysia dan Abu Dhabi Dicuekin

BEKASI, SABTU - Program kesempatan menjadi tenaga kerja Indonesia (TKI) di luar negeri yang disiapkan oleh Dinas Tenaga Kerja Kota Bekasi ternyata tidak diminati. Buktinya, tidak ada warga yang mendaftar untuk melamar menjadi TKI ke Malaysia dan Abu Dhabi.

Demikian dikatakan Kepala Dinas Tenaga Kerja Kota Bekasi, Agus Darma, Jumat (31/10). Menurut dia, pihaknya pernah berniat melakukan pelatihan kepada masyarakat dan memberikan kesempatan kerja ke Malaysia dan Abu Dhabi, tetapi ketika Pemkot Bekasi membuka lowongan tersebut tak satu pun warga yang mendaftar.

"Karena itulah tahun ini kami memaksimalkan kegiatan bursa kerja di Kota Bekasi untuk menyalurkan ribuan warga yang masih menganggur," tuturnya.

Dipaparkan pula, selain membuka bursa kerja yang rencananya akan dilakukan dua kali dalam setahun, pihaknya saat ini juga masih menggelar kegiatan pelatihan dan magang bekerja untuk menciptakan tenaga kerja siap pakai. "Kami tetap membuka pelatihan kerja untuk warga, baik untuk disalurkan ke perusahaan di dalam negeri maupun di luar negeri," kata Agus.

Sementara itu dalam kegiatan bursa kerja yang digelar Kamis (30/10) dan Jumat (31/10) kemarin, ada sebuah perusahaan penyalur tenaga kerja ke luar negeri yang ikut ambil bagian, yakni PT Mitrakarya Sarananusa. Menurut salah seorang sales promotion girl (SPG) perusahaan tersebut, saat ini pihaknya tengah membuka lowongan pekerjaan ke luar negeri seperti Malaysia, Hongkong, Singapura, dan Taiwan.

"Bagi yang berminat nanti akan disalurkan ke sejumlah restoran, pabrik, perkebunan, dan perumahan. Khusus untuk perumahan akan disalurkan sebagai pembantu rumah tangga," ujarnya.

DJ_Archuleta

November 1st, 2008, 07:38 AM

^^ why is that? kenapa orang menganggur malah menolak utk ditawari kerja di luar negri? daripada mereka nganggur ga kerja sama sekali...:nuts:

DJ_Archuleta

November 1st, 2008, 07:39 AM

Stock extend gains for third day, up 7%

The stock market main index extended gains Friday for the third day this week, hovering above 1,200 on the back of good sentiment from global markets and the better-than-expected financial results of several top companies.

The Composite Index market jumped 7.1 percent -- the highest rise in more than 10 months, according to Bloomberg -- to close at 1,256.70 points, extending a 5.4 percent and 2.23 percent rallies on Thursday and Wednesday, respectively.

This means the index has risen 1 percent this weak.

Head of research at Bhakti Securities Budi Ruseno said Friday the gains were the result of good sentiment in regional markets after the U.S. Fed cut its interest rate by half a percentage point to 1 percent.

"The Fed's decision gives global and regional markets good sentiment," he said.

On the domestic front, the good performance of several top companies with big capitalizations in the market over the first nine months this year also helped push up the main index.

Among those are the country's biggest publicly traded company by sales, PT Astra International, whose nine-month profit rose 61 percent due to higher car and motorcycle sales and an increase in palm oil prices.

Its shares soared 19.87 percent to Rp 9,350 (8.6 U.S. cents).

Another big gainer is the country's third largest bank by assets, Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BRI), whose shares skyrocketed 18.97 percent to close at Rp 3,450, following announcement that its nine-month profit jumped by 17 percent to Rp 4.2 trillion.

Bank Danamon, the fourth largest lender, and Bank Mandiri, the largest, gained 18 percent and 20 percent respectively to close at Rp 2,600 and Rp 1,560.

Heavy equipment company United Tractors rose 20 percent to Rp 3,150, after it announced another solid third quarter performance. State gas distributor PT Perusahaan Gas Negara (PGN) climbed 15 percent to Rp 1,400.

Overall, Friday's trading saw 116 shares rise, 52 decline and 43 unchanged.

Budi also said the stock market authority to change the upper limit of shares trading to 20 percent, from 10 percent initially, helped the shares to move forward.

The regulator retained the lower limit of trading at 10 percent.

When asked about the projection of trading next week, Budi said the positive mood would still cloud the market, with the index estimated to range between 1,150 and 1,330.

Among events to be watched domestically is the release of the inflation rate Monday by the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) and a decision on interest rates by the central bank.

At present, the central bank's key interest rate stands at 9.5 percent.

DJ_Archuleta

November 1st, 2008, 07:48 AM

Indonesian shares seen rebounding

Jakarta (ANTARA News) - Indonesian shares should continue to rebound early next week ahead of an decision on interest rates by the central bank, dealers said.

Most dealers are looking for a rate cut to help prop up the falling rupiah, but Gundy Cahyadi, an economist at Singapore-based IdeaGlobal, said he expected a more cautious stance on monetary policy.

"I think Bank Indonesia will keep rates unchanged and monitor growth developments going forward," he was quoted by AFP as telling Dow Jones Newswires.

Bank Indonesia's benchmark policy rate is currently at 9.5 percent.

Dealers said October inflation figures due for release on Monday would set the early tone for the market.

The dollar has risen 13 percent against the rupiah this month alone, which will likely have an impact on the inflation reading in November. Price growth was running at 12.14 percent in September.

The Jakarta Composite Index rose 82.84 points to 1,256.70 on Friday on volume of 6.6 billion shares worth 6.7 trillion rupiah (629.8 million dollars).

The rupiah ended at 11,000 to the dollar, down from 10,800 the previous day. (*)

=NaNdA=

November 1st, 2008, 08:25 AM

^^ ikut apa nan ?

itu... pada maen saham kan ya? :D

OshHisham

November 2nd, 2008, 06:34 AM

^^ why is that? kenapa orang menganggur malah menolak utk ditawari kerja di luar negri? daripada mereka nganggur ga kerja sama sekali...:nuts:

biasanya, caj bayaran yang dikenakan utk TKI mendaftar bagi agensi di Indonesia terlalu mahal. tak logik bagi seorang yang miskin yang mahu mencari rezeki di luar dikenakan caj ratusan ribu rupiah. makanya, mereka lebih suka masuk secara 'illegal'.....

VRS

November 2nd, 2008, 02:31 PM

my question= why must be expensive....??
jk money tak terlalu mahal bagi TKI utk work permit at malaysia or singapore, tentu para TKI tsb akan happy lewat legal utk bisa bekerja..

F-ian

November 2nd, 2008, 04:45 PM

^^ why is that? kenapa orang menganggur malah menolak utk ditawari kerja di luar negri? daripada mereka nganggur ga kerja sama sekali...:nuts:

ih lu dukung org jadi TKI? gw pikir sebaiknya stop aja kirim TKI...biar negara tetangga aja pakai pembantu dr rakyat misikin di negaranya (kyk gak ada orang miskinnya aja ppff ):|.....mending bikin usaha apa gitu..buka warung kek...jualan kek... kan ada PM Mandiri :D yg di gencar2

yudz83

November 2nd, 2008, 05:16 PM

^^

perlu untuk digerakkan dan di kembangkan pusat ekonomi baru terutama di luar pulau jawa seperti batam, medan, pekanbaru, palembang, banjarmasin, balikpapan, samarinda ato makassar agar penyebaran dan peluang kerja merata, jadi cukup untuk memenuhi kebutuhan 230 juta rakyat sehingga TKI ke luar negeri terutama malaysia bisa diminimalisir dan dikurangi secara bertahap, kita alihkan basis devisa kita ke sektor riil seperti industri kreatif ,makanan minuman, pariwisata, pertanian dan otomotif,, kita perluas pasar.. begitu kira2.. :cheers:

DJ_Archuleta

November 2nd, 2008, 06:13 PM

ih lu dukung org jadi TKI? gw pikir sebaiknya stop aja kirim TKI...biar negara tetangga aja pakai pembantu dr rakyat misikin di negaranya (kyk gak ada orang miskinnya aja ppff ):|.....mending bikin usaha apa gitu..buka warung kek...jualan kek... kan ada PM Mandiri :D yg di gencar2

well masalahnya pemerintah ada kemauan kuat ga utk menyetop pengiriman tki?? ngurangin pengangguran aja susahnya minta ampun :ohno:

F-ian

November 2nd, 2008, 06:23 PM

<<< gak juga aku rasa jaman skrg asal ada kemauan semua org nganggur bisa berkecukupan...kan ada yg namanya microcredit...bikin usaha2...pernah liat kan iklan yang ada Mat solar/bang Bajuri bikin usaha gorengan? :)

edit: eh microcredit buat poverty yah :nuts: yaaa sama aja...nganggur jg bisa...

Make money work for you not you Work for Money ;)

DJ_Archuleta

November 2nd, 2008, 06:48 PM

^^ well after all it depends on the people theirself wheter if they want to be success or not, working hard to earn money or just simply build a small "usaha" kayak yg lo bilang,, oh ya i heard the unemployment rate in indonesia down to 8.5% in february 2008?

DJ_Archuleta

November 2nd, 2008, 06:53 PM

Ekonomi RI Diyakini Masih Tumbuh di Tengah Tekanan Krisis

Jakarta - Krisis finansial global diperkirakan menekan perekonomian Indonesia selama triwulan IV-2008. Namun diyakini perekonomian RI masih bisa tumbuh 6,1-6.5% selama triwulan IV-2008.

Sebanyak 48,6% responden mengemukakan opini mereka bahwa pertumbuhan ekonomi pada triwulan IV-2008 akan berada pada kisaran 6,1-6,5% atau relatif sama dengan realisasi pada periode yang sama tahun sebelumnya (6,25%).

Tingkat inflasi secara tahunan diperkirakan akan berada pada level 11,1-12,0%, lebih tinggi dari asumsi APBN-P 2008 (6,5%). Menurut responden faktor ekspektasi kenaikan harga, faktor pergerakan nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dolar AS dan faktor kebijakan pemerintah di bidang harga dan pendapatan merupakan faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi inflasi di tahun 2008.

Terpaan badai krisis keuangan yang melanda Amerika Serikat dan Eropa diperkirakan memberikan dampak pada nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dolar AS. Sebanyak 44,3% responden memperkirakan rupiah masih akan mampu bertahan pada kisaran Rp 9.251-9.500/US$, namun sebanyak 47,1% responden lainnya memperkirakan nilai tukar akan tertekan lebih dalam yaitu lebih dari Rp 9.500/US$.

Demikian hasil survei persepsi pasar (SPP) yang dikutip detikFinance dari situs BI, Sabtu (1/11/2008).

Mulai turunnya harga minyak dunia diperkirakan akan membawa angin segar bagi kondisi keuangan pemerintah, dimana 49,2% responden memperkirakan defisit fiskal (% PDB) akan berkurang dan berada pada kisaran 1,1-1,5% pada tahun 2008.

Pada bagian neraca perdagangan, impor barang diperkirakan masih akan lebih tinggi dari ekspor barang dan tingkat pengangguran diperkirakan akan relatif sama dengan kondisi tahun sebelumnya yaitu berada pada level 9,1-10,0%.

Dengan melihat perkembangan ekonomi makro hingga triwulan III-2008, sebagian besar responden SPP menyatakan bahwa kondisi ekonomi makro pada tahun 2009 diperkirakan akan lebih baik dibandingkan tahun 2008, dimana tingkat inflasi diperkirakan berkisar antara 6,6-7,0%, jauh lebih rendah dibandingkan perkiraan tahun 2008 (11,1-12,0%).

Sementara itu, pertumbuhan ekonomi diperkirakan akan tetap berada pada kisaran 6,1-6,5%, nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dolar AS berada dalam kisaran Rp 9.251–9.500.

yudz83

November 3rd, 2008, 09:57 AM

5 Tahun Lagi Tak Ada Pengiriman PRT ke Luar Negeri

JAKARTA, SENIN — Badan Nasional Penempatan dan Perlindungan TKI (BN PPTKI) bertekad akan menyetop pengiriman tenaga pembantu rumah tangga (PRT) ke luar negeri. Sebab, banyaknya tindak kekerasan yang dialami PRT akhir-akhir ini.

BB PPTKI akan lebih memprioritaskan pada sektor pekerjaan yang lain. Menurut Ketua BNPPTKI Jumhur Hidayat, dari sekian banyak sektor pekerjaan di luar negeri, PRT adalah posisi pekerjaan yang rawan tindak kekerasan.

"Bisa dikatakan 90% kasus tindak kekerasan dan masalah yang terjadi di luar negeri, akibat tindakan yang dilakukan atau dialami oleh PRT," ujar Jumhur Hidayat seusai dialog kebangsan ke-8 yang diselenggarakan Front Persatuan Nasional di Jakarta, Senin (3/11).

Namun lanjutnya, penghentian pengiriman TKW itu tidak akan dilakukan dalam waktu dekat, meskipun jumlah PRT yang bekerja di luar sudah banyak. "Untuk saat ini belum. Mungkin dalam waktu 5-10 ke depan. Saat ini BNPPTKI masih menerapkan proses pengetatan izin kepada perusahaan pengerah tenaga kerja yang memberangkatkan PRT ke luar negeri," katanya.

"Muaranya, pengalihan kepada sektor pekerjaan yang lain, seperti buruh pabrik yang masih ada peluang," kata Jumhur. Dia mencontohkan, dua yang lalu BNPPTKI telah memberangkatkan 1.000 orang buruh pabrik ke Korea Selatan. "Mereka bukan tenaga ahli, tapi buruh biasa yang bisa bekerja di perusahaan otomotif. Dengan begitu, risiko tindak kekerasan yang akan dialami lebih kecil daripada yang akan dihadapi oleh seorang PRT," katanya.

Karena itu Jumhur berharap, adanya peningkatan kualitas dan kemampuan dari para TKI yang akan berangkat bekerja di luar negeri.

yudz83

November 3rd, 2008, 09:58 AM

Inflasi Palangkaraya Tertinggi, Tarakan Terrendah

PALANGKARAYA, SENIN - Dari 66 kota yang menghitung indeks harga konsumen (IHK) di seluruh ibukota provinsi ditambah beberapa ibukota kabupaten/kota di Indonesia pada Oktober 2008, Kota Palangkaraya mengalami inflasi tertinggi, yakni 1,71 persen. Adapun inflasi terendah terjadi di Palu, yakni 0,03 persen.

"Komoditas yang harganya naik dengan andil inflasi tertinggi adalah ikan patin, daging ayam ras, kacang panjang, beras, dan ikan mas," kata Kepala Badan Pusat Statistik Kalimantan Tengah, Dantes Simbolon di Palangkaraya, Senin (3/11).

Dari 8 kota IHK di Kalimantan, secara berurutan inflasi terjadi di Palangkaraya sebesar 1,71 persen, Banjarmasin 1,39 persen, Samarinda 1,03 persen, Balikpapan 0,96 persen, Sampit 0,78 persen, Pontianak 0,24 persen, Singkawang 0,20 persen, dan Tarakan -0,61 persen.

yudz83

November 3rd, 2008, 10:01 AM

Perdagagan Indonesia Surplus 1,09 Miliar Dolar Pada September

Jakarta (ANTARA News) - Indonesia mencatat surplus perdagangan pada September 2008 sebesar 1,09 miliar dolar AS.

Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) mencatat nilai ekspor Indonesia pada September 2008 sebesar 12,3 miliar dolar AS atau mengalami penurunan sebesar 2,15 persen dibandingkan ekspor pada Agustus 2008.

Ekspor nonmigas mencapai 9,80 miliar dolar AS atau naik 2,45 persen dibanding pada bulan Agustus 2008. Dibandingkan dengan ekspor September 2007, terjadi kenaikan sebesar 31,72 persen.

Kepala Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS), Rusman Heriawan, di Jakarta, Senin, mengatakan, turunnya ekspor disebabkan penurunan yang tajam pada ekspor migas.

Impor Indonesia pada September 2008 mencapai 11,21 miliar dolar AS atau turun 5,53 persen dibandingkan Agustus 2008 yang terdiri dari impor migas dan nonmigas. (*)

yudz83

November 3rd, 2008, 10:17 AM

Sektor Industri Dapat Rp 10 Triliun

JAKARTA, SENIN- Sektor industri, seperti sektor padat karya, elektronika, industri angkut, dan makanan, akan menjadi prioritas sasaran alokasi dana Rp 10 triliun dalam Anggaran Pendapatan dan Belanja Negara (APBN) 2009.

"Itu untuk pengalokasian PPn dan biaya masuk yang akan kita tanggung," kata Deputi Menko Perekonomian Bidang Industri dan Perdagangan Eddy Putra Irawady di gedung Bappenas, Jakarta, Senin (3/11).

Alokasi dana tersebut dilakukan secara konvensional, yakni sektor industri langsung mengajukan ke Menteri Keuangan (Menkeu). Nantinya, Menkeu akan mengeluarkan Surat Keputusan (SK) yang menyatakan bahwa biaya masuknya sektor ini di tanggung negara seperti tahun lalu.

"Kalau dulu bisa langsung pake SK 35, sekarang diusulkan Menkeu menerbitkan SK nya dan komoditi mana yang dapat," ujarnya. Setelah SK keluar, proses berlanjut ke ke kantor pajak.

Menurut Eddy, pembagian alokasi dana yang digunakan untuk insentif masing-masing sektor riil itu relatif kecil. Rata-rata, satu sektor akan mendapat Rp 1,5 triliun untuk berbagai programnya, termasuk program pangan murah.

Untuk sektor energi, khususnya BBM, menurut Eddy, ada alokasi khusus dan dibahas secara terpisah. "Dibahas secara khusus karena mandatori obligasinya 10 persen," ujarnya.

Hal ini menandakan bahwa APBN 2009 bersifat kharismatik karena dalam APBN 2009 karena pemerintah diberikan keleluasaan untuk membuat penjaminan pemerintah dan insentif. "Kita memiliki ruang gerak untuk penjaminan ketika dalam keadaan darurat," tutur Eddy.

yudz83

November 3rd, 2008, 10:17 AM

Ekspor CPO Melesat Akibat Penurunan Pajak

Jakarta - Ekspor minyak kelapa sawit mentah (CPO) kembali mencatat kenaikan. Penurunan pungutan ekspor CPO diyakini menjadi salah satu faktor yang mempengaruhi kenaikan ekspor CPO.

Hal tersebut disampaikan Kepala Badan Pusat Statistik Rusman Heriawan dalam jumpa pers di Gedung BPS, Jalan Dr Sutomo, Jakarta, Senin (3/11/2008).

"Ekspor terbesar di bulan September tetap CPO yang memainkan peranan. Jadi dalam 5 bulan terakhir, naik turunnya ekspor itu, karena CPO sebab kan terjadi fluktuasi harga CPO. Kemudian kebijakan penurunan pajak ekspor CPO juga berpengaruh terhadap kenaikan ekspor CPO pada bulan September," ujarnya.

Pada bulan September, pajak ekspor CPO diturunkan menjadi 10 persen, kemudian di bulan Oktober pajak ekspor ditetapkan sebesar 7,5 persen. Setelah itu di bulan November ini, pajak ekspor CPO ditetapkan sebesar 0 persen.

"Saya kira kalau CPO bisa diterapkan 0 persen bisa lebih kencang lagi ekspornya, jadi naik turunnya ekspor masih ditentukan oleh CPO sampai saat ini," ujarnya.

Pada bulan September, berdasarkan catatan BPS memang ekspor non migas khususnya untuk lemak dan minyak hewan nabati mengalami peningkatan terbesar US$ 303 juta.

Di sisi lain, penurunan harga minyak justru mengurangi ekspor produk minyak dan bahan bakar mineral. Penurunan terbesar terjadi pada ekspor bahan bakar mineral sebesar US$ 191,2 juta.

"Itu karena penurunan harga minyak dimana ekspor minyak mentah itu turun 14,5 persen menjadi US$ 1,011 miliar," ujarnya.

Eksopr hasil minyak juga turun 39,05 persen menjadi US$ 234,7 juta. Ekspor gas juga mengalami penurunan 13,23 persen menjadi US$ 1,187 miliar pada bulan September 2008.

"Hal ini dikarenakan harga minyak mentah Indonesia di pasar dunia turun dari US$ 115,56 per barel di Agustus menjadi US$ 99,06 per barel di September 2008.

yudz83

November 3rd, 2008, 10:19 AM

Ekspor RI Tembus US$ 107 Miliar

Jakarta - Nilai ekspor Indonesia sepanjang Januari hingga September 2009 sudah menembus US$ 100 miliar, tepatnya US$ 107,65 miliar. Ekspor ke AS, yang kini sedang terkena krisis sejauh ini juga masih aman.

BPS mencatat, nilai ekspor kumulatif selama 9 bulan pertama 2008 itu berarti meningkat 29,69% dibandingkan periode yang sama tahun 2007.

"Secara kumulatif sudah mencapai US$ 107,65 miliar, untuk tahun ini dalam 9 bulan saja sudah tembus US$ 100 miliar, tahun lalu 10 bulan baru US$ 100 miliar," urai Kepala BPS Rusman Heriawan dalam konferensi pers di kantor pusat BPS, Jalan DR Sutomo, Jakarta, Senin (3/11/2008).

Sementara khusus untuk nilai ekspor selama September tercatat US$ 12,23 miliar atau turun 2,15% dibandingkan ekspor Agustus. Namun jika dibandingkan ekspor September 2007 berarti meningkat 28,53%.

"Ekspor turun tajam karena ekspor migas, bukan non migas. Jadi ekspor non migas walau komoditas yang berbasis sumber daya alam turun harganya, tapi ekspornya tetap naik. Jadi ekspor ini turun karena harganya turun. Memang kita tahu, disatu pihak dengan harga minyak yang turun, beban produksi turun tapi ekspor kita juga turun nilainya," jelasnya.

BPS juga mencatat ekspor RI ke AS selama September mencapai US$ 1,227 miliar, meningkat dibandingkan bulan Agustus sebesar US$ 1,085 miliar. Sementara secara kumulatif, ekspor RI ke AS dari Januari sampai September tercatat sebesar US$ 9,743 miliar, meningkat dibandingkan periode yang sama tahun 2007yang sebesar US$ 8,379 miliar.

"Ekspor ke AS tetap terjadi kenaikan. Ini bisa jadi karena kontrak ekspor itu telah disepakati 2 atau 3 bulan sebelum puncak krisis terjadi," jelas Rusman.

"Tapi ekspor 2008 saya kira masih aman, karena kita tidak kena first round effect dari krisis global. Namun untuk 2009, target ekspor saya kira perlu direview karena dikhawatirkan ada second round effect dari krisis global yang terjadi," imbuhnya.

Neraca Perdagangan RI Surplus US$ 1,02 Miliar

Untuk nilai impor Indonesia selama September 2008 mencapai US$ 11,21 miliar atau menurun 5,53 persen dibanding Agustus 2008 yang terdiri dari impor migas sebesar US$ 2,52 miliar (22,49 persen) dan impor nonmigas sebesar US$ 8,69 miliar (77,51 persen).

Sedangkan selama Januari-September 2008 nilai impor Indonesia mencapai US$ 101,09 miliar dengan impor migas sebesar US$ 25,90 miliar (25,62 persen) dan impor nonmigas sebesar US$ 75,19 miliar (74,38 persen).

Dengan posisi tersebut, maka neraca perdagangan Indonesia untuk September mencatat surplus US$ 1,02 Miliar. Surplus ini lebih besar dari surplus perdagangan pada Agustus yang sebesar US$ 635 juta. (qom/ir)

DJ_Archuleta

November 3rd, 2008, 01:22 PM

Emerging-Market Stocks Extend Record Rally, Led by Indonesia

By Laura Cochrane

Nov. 3 (Bloomberg) -- Emerging-market stocks gained, extending last week's record rally, after India cut interest rates and central banks in China and South Korea sought to protect their economies from the worsening credit crisis.

Indonesia's Jakarta Composite index rose as much as 8.7 percent, heading for its biggest increase in more than nine years, on speculation the nation's central bank will follow the global trend toward lower interest rates. Thailand's SET Index increased 6.8 percent. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index advanced 2.2 percent, adding to a record 20 percent surge last week.

India cut interest rates for the second time in two weeks on Nov. 1 and lowered the amount of money lenders must keep in government bonds, the first reduction in 11 years. China's central bank removed temporary controls over loans and South Korea announced a $10.8 billion economic stimulus plan.

India's Sensitive Index rose 4.7 percent and Korea's Kospi Index gained 1.5 percent. Korea's won increased 2.2 percent against the dollar and India's rupee climbed 1.4 percent.

The extra yield investors demand to own developing nations' bonds instead of U.S. Treasuries fell 9 basis points to 6.2 percentage points, the lowest since Oct. 15, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co.'s EMBI+ Index. The so-called spread has fallen from a peak of 8.65 percentage points since Oct. 25.

DJ_Archuleta

November 3rd, 2008, 01:50 PM

Saudi BinLadin Group to Invest USD 4.3 Bln in Rice Farming

Jakarta, - Saudi BinLadin Group plans to invest at least $4.3 billion in Indonesia's agriculture sector, a senior Indonesian official said on Tuesday.
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Alwi Shihab, the President's special envoy to the Middle East, told reporters that the group was interested in investing in the rice-farming sector in Papua province.

"They need at least 500,000 hectares of land and the total cost for investment based on the preliminary study is $43 million for every 5,000 hectares, which means the total cost would be $4.3 billion," Shihab said.

"This is no longer in the preliminary stage. The investment will be realised in the near future," he added, but gave no further details.

DJ_Archuleta

November 3rd, 2008, 01:51 PM

Indonesia Revises 2008 Rice Output Up Again

Jakarta, Nov 3 - Indonesian rice production this year is likely to be higher than earlier estimates, according to a new government forecast on Monday, cutting the prospect of any need for imports.
Daily News Alerts

In its third of three annual crop estimate, Indonesia said it expected to produce 60.28 million tonnes of unmilled grains this year, or up 0.66 percent from the second forecast of 59.88 million tonnes made in July.

The forecast marked an increase of 5.5 percent from 57.16 million tonnes in 2007.

"Rice output has increased because of lower harvest failures," Rusman Heriawan, the head of the state statistics agency, told reporters, adding that the actual acreage had not increased.

Indonesia, the world's fourth most populous nation, normally imports some rice but officials have said it may not need to this year as production should be sufficient to meet domestic demand.

Attempts by authorities in Southeast Asia's biggest economy to increase rice production, the main staple for its 226 milion people, have been hampered by a lack of good quality seeds and sufficient fertiliser and intense competition for land.

The country's corn output is expected to rise by 13.9 percent to 15.86 million tonnes this year, compared with 13.29 million tonnes in 2007. The figure also represents a 6.8 percent increase from the second forecast of 14.85 million tonnes made in July.

Soybean output is forecast to reach 761,210 tonnes this year, up 28.4 percent from 592,530 tonnes in 2007. The figure was also up 5.2 percent from the second forecast of 723,540 tonnes in July.

VRS

November 3rd, 2008, 01:58 PM

DJ_Archuleta

November 3rd, 2008, 02:00 PM

Rupiah strengthens on profit-taking and expected drop of inflation

Jakarta (ANTARA News) - The rupiah strengthened against the US dollar in the Jakarta inter-bank spot market on early Monday, as market players were optimistic that the inflation rate in October expected to be announced soon, tended to drop compared with a month earlier, a money market observer said.

The rupiah rose 225 points to Rp10,750/10,850 per dollar from Rp10,975/10,995 per dollar in the last week-end close.

The rupiah strengthened due to profit-taking by market players, President Director Financ Corpindo Edwin Sinaga said here on Monday.

"We are optimistic that they will continue to release dollars, so the rupiah might strengthen further in the afternoon," he said.

Besides, the market players would also wait whether Bank Indonesia (BI, the central bank), would again raise the BI Key Rate which is currently 9.50 percent.

If the central bank did not raise the key rate, the currently-tight economic growth might get better, he said.

The banking and business sectors also expected BI to refrain from increasing the key rate, especially when the inflation tendency of October 2008 was rather loose, he said.

Central banks in a number of countries tended to cut its key rates to boost the economic growth due to the market tight liquidity, he said.

However, Indonesia is still considered a potential market currently, as foreign investors are expected to invest their capital in the domestic market.

Despite a high balance of the rupiah and dollar interest rate, the Indonesian economy continued to growth although it tended to be lower than a year earlier, he said. (*)

DJ_Archuleta

November 3rd, 2008, 07:43 PM

Deindustrialisasi RI Belum Terbukti

Jakarta - Kekhawatiran terjadinya deindustrialisasi (pengurangan jumlah industri) di Indonesia tampaknya belum terbukti. Data Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) justru mencatat produksi industri pengolahan besar dan sedang terus tumbuh.

BPS mencatat, Produksi Industri Pengolahan Besar dan Sedang pada Triwulan III Tahun 2008 naik sebesar 1,60 persen dibandingkan Triwulan III Tahun 2007 (y-on-y).

Industri penyumbang utama kenaikan tersebut adalah industri alat angkutan selain kendaraan bermotor roda empat atau lebih sebesar 48,03 persen serta industri furnitur dan pengolahan lainnya sebesar 43,43 persen.

Namun dibandingkan triwulan II-2008 atau secara quarter to quarter (q to q), maka produksi industri pengolahan besar dan sedang tercatat naik 3,30%. Kenaikan tersebut terutama karena kontribusi dari kenaikan Industri Radio, Televisi, dan Peralatan Komunikasi, serta Perlengkapannya sebesar 15,21 persen, Industri Makanan dan Minuman sebesar 10,39 persen, dan Industri Pengolahan Tembakau sebesar 9,10%.

"Jadi dengan angka-angka itu, kekhawatiran deindustrialisasi dan penurunan produksi di sektor industri tidak terlihat karena nyatanya produksi industri pengolahan besar dan sedang pada triwulan III-2008 naik 1,6% dibandingkan periode yang sama tahun 2007," jelas Kepala BPS Rusman Heriawan dalam konferensi pers di kantor pusat BPS, Jalan DR Sutomo, Jakarta, Senin (3/11/2008).

Khusus untuk bulan September 2008, produksi Industri Pengolahan Besar dan Sedang mengalami penurunan produksi sebesar 1,79 persen dari bulan Agustus 2008 (m-to-m). Begitu juga produksi industri pada bulan September 2008 menurun sebesar 0,85 persen dari bulan September 2007 (y-on-y).

Namun pertumbuhan produksi industri dari suatu bulan ke bulan berikutnya (m-to-m) selama Januari sampai dengan September Tahun 2008 relatif berfluktuasi.

yudz83

November 4th, 2008, 05:53 AM

Berburu iPod Murah di Negara Mana Ya?

Krisis finansial dan kacaunya nilai tukar berbagai mata uang di dunia berdampak pada harga iPod. Australia pun menjadi negara yang menjual iPod nano termurah di dunia. Ini dipicu anjloknya nilai tukar mata uang Australia.

Menurut laporan yang dilansir Commonwealth Securities, akibat turunnya nilai tukar mata uang dolar Australia sebesar 30 persen, iPod 8GB dijual setara US$ 131,95 di Australia. Harga ini merupakan harga terendah di antara 62 negara yang menjual iPod nano.

Bagaimana dengan Indonesia? Ternyata Indonesia menjadi negara termurah kedua yang menjual iPod.

Dikutip detikINET dari Bloomberg, Selasa (4/11/2008), di Indonesia, iPod generasi keempat ditawarkan di kisaran harga US$138,47. Hal ini disebabkan karena nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dolar mengalami penurunan sekitar 16 persen.

Sementara itu, masih menurut laporan yang sama, di Korea Selatan, iPod nano dijual pada kisaran US$139,72, dan Kanada senilai US$138,73. Saatnya berburu iPod?

yudz83

November 4th, 2008, 03:30 PM

Ada 9.398 Lowongan Kerja di Kalbar

PONTIANAK, SELASA- Bingung mencari pekerjaan di Kalimantan Barat? Datangi saja Pameran Kesempatan Kerja (Job Fair) yang digelar Dinas Tenaga Kerja dan Transmigrasi Pemerintah Provinsi Kalbar, Selasa-Rabu (4-5/11), di Asrama Haji Pontianak di Jalan Letjen Sutoyo.

Dalam pameran kesempatan kerja yang dibuka Wakil Gubernur Kalbar Christiandy Sanjaya, Selasa siang, tersedia 9.398 lowongan pekerjaan di 35 perusahaan.

Saat membuka pameran tersebut, Christiandy mengatakan, dari 4,2 juta jiwa warga Kalbar, ada sekitar 1,98 juta jiwa angkatan kerja. Dari jumlah itu, 154.058 jiwa atau 7,7 persen masih menganggur.

Kepala Dinas Tenaga Kerja dan Transmigrasi Kalbar Maksum Jauhari mengatakan, penduduk Kalbar yang masih menganggur tersebut sekitar 60 persen di antaranya hanya tamat SD, 30 persen tamat SLTP-SLTA, dan 7,8 persen tamat perguruan tinggi.

Bursa lowongan kerja itu menarik minat para pencari kerja. Hingga sore hari, para pencari kerja masih berdatangan.

DJ_Archuleta

November 4th, 2008, 06:30 PM

Indonesia to be self-sufficient in rice this year: BPS

Jakarta (ANTARA News) - The Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) predicted that Indonesia would achieve self-sufficiency in rice in 2008 because based on the estimate its rice production this year would increase by 3.12 million tons of unhusked rice (GKG) or about 5.56 percent of the production in 2007.

Head of BPS Rusman Heriawan said here on Monday that the increase by five percent based on the estimate would raised national rice production to 60.28 million tons of GKG.

"With the estimate it is projected that Indonesia would become self-reliant in rice in 2008," he said adding that the 5.46 percent increase was something that happened rarely because usually the high increase was noted at three percent at the most.

He said that in the two consecutive years Indonesia`s rice production had been increasing extraordinarily where last year its rice production was recorded at 57.15 million tons of GKG. In 2006 it was only recorded at 54.45 million tons GKG.

Therefore, he said, it could be ascertained that Indonesia would become a rice self-reliant country this year if the big rice production realized and it no longer needed to import rice in the coming two years.

Heriawan said that Indonesia`s rice production increased because the acreage of harvestable rice increased by 195.98 thousand hectares or 1.16 percent and the rice productivity also increased by 170 kg per hectare or about 3.78 percent.(*)

yudz83

November 5th, 2008, 12:06 PM

Malaysia Siap Tiru Kebijakan Mandatori BBN Indonesia

Jakarta - Malaysia berniat mengikuti kebijakan mandatori penggunaan bahan bakar nabati (BBN) Indonesia yang akan diterapkan mulai Februari 2009 sebesar 5%. Untuk itu Indonesia dan Malaysia akan segera menandatangani MoU untuk proses pembelajaran penerapan mandatori BBN.

Demikian disampaikan Dirjen Migas Evita Legowo usai mendampingi Menteri Perkebunan, Industri dan Komoditi Malaysia Datuk Peter Chin Fah Kui bertemu dengan Menteri ESDM Purnomo Yusgiantoro di Gedung Departemen ESDM, Jakarta, Rabu (5/11/2008).

"Dia (Malaysia) minta tandatangan MoU untuk bagaimana kejasama biofuel, karena mereka juga akan menerapkan mandatori BBN 5% di Februari 2009. Jadi mereka mau belajar dari kita," katanya.

Besaran mandatori yang akan diterapkan Malaysia pun sengaja disamakan dengan mandatori yang akan berlaku di Indonesia. Alasannya, menurut Evita, adalah agar tidak terjadi pergeseran perdagangan bahan baku BBN terutama CPO.Pasalnya, kedua negara merupakan produsen CPO terbesar di dunia.

"Mereka bilang akan ikut kita saja. Kalau kita 5% mereka ikut 5%. Kalau kita 10% mereka juga 10%. Supaya tidak terjadi pergeseran perdagangan," ujarnya.

Staff Ahli Menteri ESDM Bidang Teknologi dan SDM Luluk Sumiarso menambahkan, ada perbedaan yang cukup signifikan untuk penerapan mandatori BBN di Malaysia.

"Kalau kita, Pertamina kan dibawah pemerintah juga. Sementara disana sepertinya lebih berdiri sendiri-sendiri," katanya.

Usai menemui Menteri ESDM, rombongan Menteri Perkebunan Industri dan Komoditi Malaysia melanjutkan kunjungan ke Depo Plumpang untuk melihat proses blending BBN dengan BBM.

DJ_Archuleta

November 5th, 2008, 12:13 PM

^^ hahaha siap tiru meniru lagi ... :lol:

rilham2new

November 5th, 2008, 12:24 PM

rilham2new

November 5th, 2008, 12:29 PM

lalu=terciptalah pengangguran banyak di dalam negri...
banyak jg jasa2x pengiriman TKI yg bangkrut..
padahal malaysia sudah banyak membantu kita....
1. disaat kita kekurangan lapangan pekerjaan=malaysia yg bantu masalah kita
2. disaat kita tidak mengurus pulau2x kecil=malaysia yg mengurus sampai bagus.
3. disaat kita tidak pernah peduli dgn budaya tarian sendiri=malaysia peduli dgn memperkenalkan budaya tarian daerah kita..

jd yg salah adalah, kenapa kita tidak mengurus dalam negri secara serius dalam semua sektor terlebih dahulu...

betul, banyak desa2 di Jawa yang rumahnya kelihatan bagus2 .. padahal penduduk nya nganggur.. Setelah ditilik dan diteliti, ternyata beberapa anggota keluarga mereka jadi TKI gitu ke luar negeri.

Aku pernah nonton liputannya di Metro TV, waktu kasus penganiayaan PRT di Malaysia beberapa bulan yang lalu .....

rilham2new

November 5th, 2008, 12:32 PM

^^ hahaha siap tiru meniru lagi ... :lol:

MEniru, tapi kemungkinan besar akan menerapkannya dalam kerangka yang lebih bagus dan bebas korupsi.

Udah banyak contohnya..

Mulai dari PLN, PT. TELKOM, PERTAMINA...

Mau bandingin sama TNB, TelekomMalaysia, dan PETRONAS ??? Duhh,,, beda banget lah :nuts: ..

Pengalaman aku tinggal di Malaysia, di sini ini banyak banget sistem yang ambil dan mengadopsi dari Indonesia.. tapi di sini lebih banyak kisah suksesnya :nuts: ..

yudz83

November 5th, 2008, 12:36 PM

MEniru, tapi kemungkinan besar akan menerapkannya dalam kerangka yang lebih bagus dan bebas korupsi.

Udah banyak contohnya..

Mulai dari PLN, PT. TELKOM, PERTAMINA...

Mau bandingin sama TNB, TelekomMalaysia, dan PETRONAS ??? Duhh,,, beda banget lah :nuts: ..

Pengalaman aku tinggal di Malaysia, di sini ini banyak banget sistem yang ambil dan mengadopsi dari Indonesia.. tapi di sini lebih banyak kisah suksesnya :nuts: ..

indonesia itu menang ide.. tapi implementasi.. payah

NATO = nol action, talk only

DJ_Archuleta

November 5th, 2008, 12:43 PM

MEniru, tapi kemungkinan besar akan menerapkannya dalam kerangka yang lebih bagus dan bebas korupsi.

Udah banyak contohnya..

Mulai dari PLN, PT. TELKOM, PERTAMINA...

Mau bandingin sama TNB, TelekomMalaysia, dan PETRONAS ??? Duhh,,, beda banget lah :nuts: ..

Pengalaman aku tinggal di Malaysia, di sini ini banyak banget sistem yang ambil dan mengadopsi dari Indonesia.. tapi di sini lebih banyak kisah suksesnya :nuts: ..

Disini yg ditiru ama Malaysia bukannya lebih sukses malah tambah jeblok.. boro2 mau maju kedepan ..:nuts:

DJ_Archuleta

November 5th, 2008, 01:49 PM

BI: Pertumbuhan Ekonomi 2008 Capai 6,2 Persen

Jakarta (ANTARA News) - Deputi Gubernur Bank Indonesia (BI) Hartadi A Sarwono mengatakan, pertumbuhan ekonomi hingga akhir tahun 2008 diperkirakan sekitar 6,1 - 6,2 persen.

"Secara keseluruhan tahun ini kita masih bisa di sekitar 6,1 - 6,2 persen untuk tahun 2008," katanya di Jakarta, Rabu.

Menurut dia, kegiatan ekonomi pada triwulan III masih yang mencapai pertumbuhan 6,4 persen cukup tinggi. Namun demikian pada triwulan IV diperkirakan akan menurun. Sisa dua bulan ini menurut dia, penurunan perekonomian akan terasa.

"Kita perkirakan dampak penurunan ekonomi dunia akan mempengaruhi kegiatan ekonomi di Indonesia, sehingga maksimum yang didalam best line skenario mungkin di triwulan IV hanya 5,9 persen," katanya.

Menurut dia, neraca berjalan khususnya transaksi berjalan masih mengalami defisit sangat besar, karena harga komoditi dunia mulai turun, permintaan turun sehingga membuat ekspor turun.

"Namun triwulan IV ada sedikit kabar baik, di tengah permintaan dunia yang turun drastis, kita masih lihat ekpor kita masih bertahan, tidak seburuk dari yang kami perkirakan semula," katanya. Ia menambahkan penurunan ekspor baru akan terasa pada 2009.

Sementara itu,menurut dia, impor telah mengalami penurunan yang cukup tinggi sehingga defisit di triwulan IV pada neraca berjalan (current account) telah menurun. (*)

kaki_langit

November 5th, 2008, 04:50 PM

Menurut kajian ekonom ... secara "intrinsik" sebenarnya ekonomi Indonesia dapat tumbuh normal sebesar 5%-5.5% per tahun dari tahun 2004 hingga 2009 walaupun tanpa ada intervensi pemerintah ...

Jadi kalau ekonomi tumbuh tahun lalu tumbuh 6.4% dan tahun ini diperkirakan tumbuh 6.2% ... maka sebenarnya nilai tambah yang dibuat oleh tim ekonomi SBY "sangat kecil" terhadap perkembangan ekonomi kita ... Seharusnya jika Tim Ekonomi SBY-JK bekerja dengan "Bagus" dan "Sungguh-sungguh".. GDP kita seharusnya bisa tumbuh min. 7% - 7.5% per tahun sebab potensi untuk itu tersedia dan masih "iddle" hingga kini ....

Yang paling mengkhawatirkan ternyata hingga kini SBY-JK lebih berpihak kepada pihak kreditor asing dan pengusaha besar saja .... sedangkan komitmennya kepada rakyat kecil dan UKM ternyata sifatnya hanya "ad hoc" ( kompensatif doang .. bukannya "firm policy" pemihakan) saja ... Contohnya BBM naik lalu dikeluarkan kompensasi berupa BLT ....

Jadi gue ketawa ngakak jika selama ini SBY-JK mengklaim pertumbuhan ekonomi yang hanya tumbuh 6.2% tahun ini sebagai prestasi/hasil kerja mereka ...

yudz83

November 5th, 2008, 05:41 PM

^^

hehe.. iya era demokrasi emang berat.. mo kebijakan ini.. yang itu nentang,, keberhasilan ini.. selalu aja ada yang mempertanyakan.. BBM dinaikkan banyak yg demo padahal itu untuk menyelamatkan anggaran negara.. banyak loh yang mampu2 malah beli bbm subsidi.. kebanyakan subsidi bbm di masyarakat banyak terbuang ke aliran yg konsumtif..

pertumbuhan 5,5 %, klo sistemnya otoriter kaya golkar era orde baru ato umno nya malay kita bisa tumbuh 8 - 9 % ekonomi kaya dulu.. kebijakan ekonomi lancar.. contoh riilnya aja pembangunan jalan tol masalah pembebasan lahan beres...

trouble maker.. kaya si megaloman n konco2nya dikirim ke pulau terpencil semua beres.. lancar.. masyarakat damai.. dan tambah makmur gak ada ribut2 demo.. brita2 gak bener............. hidup tenang dan fokus bekerja membangun ekonomi.................................................. mungkin sisi positif era "dulu" ini yah hehehe :D

bagi saya pertumbuhan 6,4 % di era "democrazy" ini.. prestasi bagus... namun memang sepatutnya sisi buruh, petani, nelayan yang merupakan mayoritas harus diberi kebijakan yg mendorong kemajuan kesejahteraan mereka dan mendukung juga otonomi daerah agar dapat mandiri dan berkembang sehingga GDP bisa merata ngga hanya numpuk di jakarta n sekitarnya aja... ini demi ketahanan ekonomi nasional... :)

AceN

November 5th, 2008, 06:55 PM

Menurut kajian ekonom ... secara "intrinsik" sebenarnya ekonomi Indonesia dapat tumbuh normal sebesar 5%-5.5% per tahun dari tahun 2004 hingga 2009 walaupun tanpa ada intervensi pemerintah ...

wah..ekonom nya diajukan ke SBY deh kalau bener begitu. Biar dia diangkat jadi Menteri Keuangan sekalian :) nanti 2009-2014 pertumbuhan rata2 7% pertahun, dibilang sebenarnya dapat tumbuh normal 6 % setahun tanpa intervensi pemerintah. Eh ternyata gampang jadi ekonom ;)

itu kajian Econit ? atau Rizal Ramli tuh ? biasanya ga jaoh2..

rilham2new

November 6th, 2008, 04:33 AM

^^ Rizal Ramli .... :rofl: ..masih idup juga bapak itu :D

peseg5

November 6th, 2008, 06:00 AM

^^ Wajar, gelombang "suara2 sumbang" semakin nyaring terdengar menjelang 2009....

SEMUA ITU SATU KUNCI:

KEKUASAAN!

Itulah kenapa mereka ngotot mempertahankan 2,5% electoral treshold... Idealnya 5% atau 10% lebih bagus, biar partai gak kebanyakan. Toh mereka baju doang beda, isi sama.

kaki_langit

November 6th, 2008, 12:58 PM

wah..ekonom nya diajukan ke SBY deh kalau bener begitu. Biar dia diangkat jadi Menteri Keuangan sekalian :) nanti 2009-2014 pertumbuhan rata2 7% pertahun, dibilang sebenarnya dapat tumbuh normal 6 % setahun tanpa intervensi pemerintah. Eh ternyata gampang jadi ekonom ;)

itu kajian Econit ? atau Rizal Ramli tuh ? biasanya ga jaoh2..

Ekonomnya yang pasti bukan RR ... Hehehehe ... Tapi ini pernah didiskusikan secara terbuka di LPEM - UI ...

Tahukah anda berdasarkan UU Rencana Pembangunan Jangka Menengah ... pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia dari tahun 2004 hingga 2009 diproyeksikan sebesar rata-rata 6.6% per tahun (ternyata nggak pernah tercapai) ... sedangkan untuk tahun 2009 - 2014 targetnya malah lebih tinggi yaitu rata-rata 7.5% per tahun ..

Untuk apa ? .... tentu saja untuk mengurangi tingkat pengganguran (tenaga kerja lama + yang baru lulus dari sekolah) ....

Satu lagi masalah serius yang hingga kini nggak bisa di monitor oleh pemerintah/BPS yaitu aktivitas ekonomi "bawah tanah" (underground economy) yang nilainya bisa mencapai 20-30% dari GDP kita ...

Apa itu? Coba tebak .....pokoknya berupa aktivitas ekonomi yang nggak pernah bisa dicatat oleh BPS karena didanai dari sumber-sumber "Tersembunyi dan Illegal" ... Hehehehe ..

DJ_Archuleta

November 6th, 2008, 06:53 PM

Indonesia's vehicle sales up 74 pct in Oct

JAKARTA, Nov 6 (Reuters) - Indonesia's vehicle sales in October soared 74 percent to 54,500 from a year ago, largely due to slow sales in the previous year, Toyota Astra Motor said on Thursday.

The company, joinly owned by Toyota Motor Corp, and PT Astra International Tbk, said it sold 18,262 units last month.

Indonesia's vehicle sales this year are set to break a historic high set in 2005, thanks to a fall in interest rates early this year and strong commodities prices.

However, rising inflation, which prompted the central bank to hike interest rates, and a liquidity squeeze in the domestic financial system, might hurt automotive sales next year.

=NaNdA=

November 7th, 2008, 05:04 AM

^^ anybody knows? penjualan mobil tahun 2008 ini sedang menuju angka 600.000 unit,,,

terbesar dalam sejarah Indonesia.. :D bahkan sebelum krisis pun ga sampe segitu.. :cheers:

Sizter85

November 7th, 2008, 06:00 AM

Jumat, 7 November 2008
Premium Turun Rp 500
Mulai Berlaku 1 Desember

JAKARTA – Teka-teki penurunan harga bahan bakar minyak (BBM) bersubsidi akhirnya terjawab. Pemerintah kemarin (6/11) mengumumkan penurunan harga BBM jenis premium sebesar Rp 500. Sehingga harga premium yang semula Rp 6.000 turun menjadi Rp 5.500.

Pengumuman tersebut disampaikan oleh Plt Menko Perekonomian Sri Mulyani didampingi oleh Menteri ESDM Purnomo Yusgiantoro dan Juru Bicara Presiden Andi Mallarangeng. ’’Harga baru itu berlaku mulai 1 Desember 2009 dan akan diterbitkan keputusan menteri ESDM,’’ kata Sri Mulyani usai rapat kabinet terbatas di kantor presiden, kemarin (6/11).

Menurut Sri Mulyani, penurunan harga ini menunjukkan komitmen pemerintah untuk betul-betul mengurangi beban masyarakat dengan berbagai instrumen maupun sumber daya yang dimiliki. Penurunan harga BBM jenis premium tersebut, lanjut Sri Mulyani, diambil untuk menyikapi perkembangan harga minyak mentah internasional yang terus menurun dalam beberapa bulan terkahir ini, bahkan mencapai USD 65 per barel.

’’Kami juga menangkap aspirasi yang berkembang di masyarakat, baik itu di DPR, pelaku usaha, pengamat, masyarakat umum, terutama mereka yang selama ini merasakan beban ekonomi akibat kenaikan harga komoditas yang terjadi selama 10 bulan pertama ini,’’ kata menteri keuangan itu.

Menurut Sri Mulyani, hanya premium yang mengalami perubahan harga. Sedangkan BBM bersubsidi lainnya, yakni solar, tidak mengalami perubahan. ’’Saya ingin menekankan bahwa harga premiun Indonesia dibandingkan semua negara di kawasan Asia masih yang termurah,’’ kata Sri Mulyani.

Penurunan harga premium diharapkan dapat meningkatkan dan memperbaiki daya beli masyarakat dan menggairahkan dunia usaha. Juga menjadi alat untuk melakukan counter siklus dari perekonomian yang diperkirakan melemah karena adanya krisis ekonomi dunia.

Harga premium ini akan dipantau dan dievaluasi setiap bulannya. Pemerintah akan terus memperhatikan berbagai faktor yang memengaruhi harga premium, yakni harga minyak mentah, nilai tukar rupiah, serta perkembangan volume konsumsi BBM masyarakat dan dunia usaha.

Dengan penurunan harga premium tersebut, kata Sri Mulyani, tidak akan mengubah jumlah subsidi BBM di APBN 2009. ’’Karena sifatnya asumsi, tidak ada perubahan masih Rp 57,6 triliun,’’ kata Sri Mulyani.

Mengenai alokasi subsidi BBM pada APBN 2009, akan dikonsultasikan lagi dengan DPR RI. ’’Kita upayakan untuk bersifat netral artinya tidak akan menyebabkan postur APBN 2009 mengalami perubahan,” kata Sri Mulyani.

Berbagai program yang terkait dengan subsidi BBM, kompensasikenaikan BBM sebelumnya, kata Sri Mulyani, juga tidak ada perubahan. Termasuk program bantuan langsung tunai (BLT). ’’BLT pada 2009 sudah disepakati tetap diberikan. Karena masyarakat bawah masih perlu dibantu,’’ katanya.

SESUAIKAN ANGGARAN

Keputusan pemerintah untuk memberlakukan penurunan harga premium per 1 Desember semata-mata dilakukan untuk menyesuaikan dengan ketersediaan anggaran. ’’Anggaran yang tersisa tahun ini hanya cukup untuk menurunkan harga premium mulai 1 Desember 2008,’’ ujar Dirjen Migas Departemen ESDM Evita H. Legowo.

Menurut dia, realisasi anggaran subsidi BBM tahun 2008 sampai Oktober sudah mencapai Rp 130 triliun atau melampaui pagu APBN Perubahan 2008 sebesar Rp 126 triliun. Dengan diturunkannya harga premium, anggaran subsidi BBM bertambah hingga Rp 3 triliun.

Langkah pemerintah menurunkan harga BBM jenis premium merupakan yang pertama kali dalam sejarah bangsa Indonesia. Namun, penurunan harga BBM pernah dilakukan pemerintahan Megawati Soekarnoputri. Saat itu, pada 21 Januari 2003 Megawati menurunkan harga beberapa jenis BBM nonpremium yang sebelumnya dinaikkan pada 2 Januari 2003.

BBM yang turun harga pada waktu itu adalah solar dari Rp 1.890 menjadi Rp 1.650 per liter dan minyak diesel dari Rp 1.860 menjadi Rp 1.650 per liter. Bahkan, saat itu pemerintah juga memberikan potongan 2,5 persen untuk tagihan rekening listrik bulanan pelanggan golongan bisnis dan industri yang berlaku untuk penggunaan listrik Januari-Desember 2003. Langkah tersebut dilakukan akibat memanasnya suhu politik buntut maraknya demonstrasi menentang kenaikan harga BBM per 2 Januari 2003.

Kebijakan pemerintah menurunkan harga premium diapresiasi positif pengamat perminyakan Kurtubi. ’’Ini cukup bagus, tapi masih kurang,’’ ujarnya tadi malam. Menurut dia, jika misi pemerintah adalah untuk men-drive sektor riil, penurunan harga premium Rp 500 per liter belum cukup. ’’Kalau ingin memberi dorongan bagi sektor riil, seharusnya solar juga diturunkan,’’ katanya.

Sebab, lanjut dia, solar lah yang banyak berhubungan langsung dengan aktivitas perekonomian. Seperti angkutan barang dan jasa, serta jutaan nelayan. ’’Karena itu, premium dan solar mestinya diturunkan, dan tidak usah menunggu sampai 1 Desember,’’ terangnya.

Anggota Komisi VII DPR Tjatur Sapto Edy menilai, penurunan harga premium memang sudah seharusnya dilakukan. ’’Sebab, harga keekonomian sudah di bawah Rp 6.000 per liter,’’ ujarnya. Namun, penurunan harga premium tidak menunjukkan usaha pemerintah untuk menyubsidi rakyat.

Menurutnya, harga BBM bersubsidi periode Desember dihitung berdasar harga patokan minyak Singapura (MOPS) periode November yang diperkirakan maksimal USD 71 per barel. Jika ditambah dengan margin untuk Pertamina, harga premium sebenarnya ada di angka Rp 5.327 per liter.

’’Kalau Desember nanti diturunkan menjadi Rp 5.500 per liter, itu artinya pemerintah masih tidak mengeluarkan subsidi,’’ katanya.

Karena itu, lanjut dia, jika memang pemerintah berkeinginan mendorong sektor riil, seharusnya penurunan harga premium dilakukan awal November. ’’Selain itu, harga solar harus ikut turun,’’ pungkasnya.(tom/owi/oki/jpnn)

" Yee,.. Finally ! Awal yang baik walau hanya 500 perak !"

=NaNdA=

November 7th, 2008, 06:09 AM

mudah2an harga minyak dunia ga naik sebelum 1 desember.. :angel:

rilham2new

November 7th, 2008, 09:13 AM

^^ anybody knows? penjualan mobil tahun 2008 ini sedang menuju angka 600.000 unit,,,

terbesar dalam sejarah Indonesia.. :D bahkan sebelum krisis pun ga sampe segitu.. :cheers:

Gawat banget ,,,,,,,, memang udah kerasa kok Impactnya di mana-mana :nuts:

Jalanan makin macet (pemerintahnya diam saja :nuts: )

Aku dengar pemerintah akan menerapkan Pajak Kendaraan bervariasi tergantung dimana mobil itu didaftarkan.

Dan katanya lagi direncanakan pula plafon Hukum supaya harga mobil di setiap daerah bisa dijual dengan harga berbeda-beda , tergantung kondisi lalu lintas di kawasan tersebut. Dari bunyi2nya sih, kayaknya Pajak Mobil Baru di JKT bakal naik drastis :D

yudz83

November 7th, 2008, 09:23 AM

Poll: Indians, Indonesians most positive in Asia in face of slump

Hong Kong (ANTARA News/dpa) - India and Indonesia have Asia's highest levels of consumer confidence in the face of the global economic slump, according to a survey published Friday.

India ranked first in the global survey of consumer confidence conducted in September and October while Indonesia finished third behind Denmark, the South China Morning Post reported.

Australia ranked fifth in the survey of 52 countries and territories while New Zealand was joint eighth, Vietnam ninth and mainland China joint 10th.

The survey was conducted by the market research company Nielsen and ranked consumer confidence on a scale of one to 200. India scored 114, Denmark 112 and Indonesia 110, compared with an average of 84.

Other countries in the top 10, which included 18 countries because of a high number of tied positions, were the United Arab Emirates, Norway, Brazil, the Philippines, the Netherlands, Switzerland, Canada, Columbia and Venezuela. (*)

yudz83

November 7th, 2008, 09:25 AM

hellothere123

November 7th, 2008, 09:33 AM

^^ kalo buat mobil yg berkapasitas 2000cc ke atas, pajak ny uda dinaikin dari tahun 2006..

CMIIW

K14N

November 7th, 2008, 10:08 AM

^^ Tarif parkir juga mau dinaikkan gila2an... denger2 mau jadi 3000-5000 per jamnya

kaki_langit

November 7th, 2008, 10:33 AM

Gawat banget ,,,,,,,, memang udah kerasa kok Impactnya di mana-mana :nuts:

Jalanan makin macet (pemerintahnya diam saja :nuts: )

Aku dengar pemerintah akan menerapkan Pajak Kendaraan bervariasi tergantung dimana mobil itu didaftarkan.

Dan katanya lagi direncanakan pula plafon Hukum supaya harga mobil di setiap daerah bisa dijual dengan harga berbeda-beda , tergantung kondisi lalu lintas di kawasan tersebut. Dari bunyi2nya sih, kayaknya Pajak Mobil Baru di JKT bakal naik drastis :D

Maunya sih begitu .. Tapi susah untuk diterapkan karena adanya tekanan dari industri otomotif yang di dukung penuh oleh pemerintah jepang kepada pemerintah kita ... Mau nggak mau terpaksa kita terima karena kita semua bisa susah kalau Jepang nggak mau kasih pinjaman lagi kita kita ...

Jalanan yang semakin macet menurut gue juga bukan salahnya pemilik kendaraan dan industri otomotif ..... tapi juga salahnya pemerintah daerah (Contoh DKI: Tiap tahun dapat PKB sebesar Rp 7 trillion .. tapi yang dialokasikan untuk pembangunan infrastruktur jalan + angkutan umum hanya Rp 800.0 milyar per tahun)... Nah untuk menghindari hal ini maka DPR telah menyetujui tahun ini UU yang mewajibkan Pemda mengalokasikan mayoritas PKB yang mereka terima untuk pembangunan infrastruktur jalan + angkutan umum .. bukan untuk keperluan yang lain...

So, Kesimpulannya ?

peseg5

November 7th, 2008, 12:22 PM

Maunya sih begitu .. Tapi susah untuk diterapkan karena adanya tekanan dari industri otomotif yang di dukung penuh oleh pemerintah jepang kepada pemerintah kita ... Mau nggak mau terpaksa kita terima karena kita semua bisa susah kalau Jepang nggak mau kasih pinjaman lagi kita kita ...

Jalanan yang semakin macet menurut gue juga bukan salahnya pemilik kendaraan dan industri otomotif ..... tapi juga salahnya pemerintah daerah (Contoh DKI: Tiap tahun dapat PKB sebesar Rp 7 trillion .. tapi yang dialokasikan untuk pembangunan infrastruktur jalan + angkutan umum hanya Rp 800.0 milyar per tahun)... Nah untuk menghindari hal ini maka DPR telah menyetujui tahun ini UU yang mewajibkan Pemda mengalokasikan mayoritas PKB yang mereka terima untuk pembangunan infrastruktur jalan + angkutan umum .. bukan untuk keperluan yang lain...

So, Kesimpulannya ?

Begonya lagi apa, ada contoh kasus oleh propinsi yang rekor penjualan kendaraannya tertinggi di RI: subsidi TransJakarta yang cuman Rp 200 M.... (cuman 2% dari Rp 7 T) masih diributin oleh DPRD dan pemerintah dan dianggap terlalu banyak. Mereka betul2 tidak paham filosofi transportasi!!! Transportasi umum untuk pelayanan publik ternyata masih dianggap sapi perahan (objek pendapatan). Dan sedihnya, masih banyak eksekutif dan legislatif di negeri ini yang berpikiran seperti itu. Yg legislatif mempeributkan besaran subsidi, yang eksekutif melakukan apa yang tidak diamanat UU, yaitu menjadikan bisnis transportasi sebagai objek income, bukan investasi.. Kebalik2 kan?!

Mereka lupa dalam UU bahwa transportasi itu vital (backbone) ekonomi, dan sudah menjadi kewajiban pemerintah. Mereka tidak menganggap transportasi sebagai investasi seperti pos anggaran pendidikan atau kesehatan. Jadi subsidi yg 2% dari PKB itu masih dianggap beban. Mereka lupa, amanat UU itu untuk kebutuhan dasar WNI. Jadi mereka tutup mata, kalau orang yang gak punya mobil/motor, kalau naik angkutan umum, biaya transportnya malah lebih mahal daripada yg naik motor. Alhasil penjualan motor bisa eksponensial...

Inilah mengapa pengembangan transportasi umum di RI relatif lambat ketimbang penjualan otomotif kendaraan pribadi (mobil dan motor)...

Sedih memang, tapi yah begini adanya..

gliazzurra

November 7th, 2008, 12:53 PM

Begonya lagi apa, ada contoh kasus oleh propinsi yang rekor penjualan kendaraannya tertinggi di RI: subsidi TransJakarta yang cuman Rp 200 M.... (cuman 2% dari Rp 7 T) masih diributin oleh DPRD dan pemerintah dan dianggap terlalu banyak. Mereka betul2 tidak paham filosofi transportasi!!! Transportasi umum untuk pelayanan publik ternyata masih dianggap sapi perahan (objek pendapatan). Dan sedihnya, masih banyak eksekutif dan legislatif di negeri ini yang berpikiran seperti itu. Yg legislatif mempeributkan besaran subsidi, yang eksekutif melakukan apa yang tidak diamanat UU, yaitu menjadikan bisnis transportasi sebagai objek income, bukan investasi.. Kebalik2 kan?!

Mereka lupa dalam UU bahwa transportasi itu vital (backbone) ekonomi, dan sudah menjadi kewajiban pemerintah. Mereka tidak menganggap transportasi sebagai investasi seperti pos anggaran pendidikan atau kesehatan. Jadi subsidi yg 2% dari PKB itu masih dianggap beban. Mereka lupa, amanat UU itu untuk kebutuhan dasar WNI. Jadi mereka tutup mata, kalau orang yang gak punya mobil/motor, kalau naik angkutan umum, biaya transportnya malah lebih mahal daripada yg naik motor. Alhasil penjualan motor bisa eksponensial...

Inilah mengapa pengembangan transportasi umum di RI relatif lambat ketimbang penjualan otomotif kendaraan pribadi (mobil dan motor)...

Sedih memang, tapi yah begini adanya..

wahh senang sekali rasanya ada peseg di forum ini.. bener2 pencerahan nih.. vote peseg for DPR!! or gubernur!!

rilham2new

November 7th, 2008, 12:58 PM

DJ_Archuleta

November 7th, 2008, 03:05 PM

^^ anybody knows? penjualan mobil tahun 2008 ini sedang menuju angka 600.000 unit,,,

terbesar dalam sejarah Indonesia.. :D bahkan sebelum krisis pun ga sampe segitu.. :cheers:

itu tandanya indonesia makin makmur, kaya, maju.. believe it or not indonesia now is entering the age of prosperity.. abad kemakmuran sudah ada dihadapan, with our current gdp per capita which is around $2300, car sales jump 74% and this is happening while there is global crisis.. bayangkan kalau ga ada krisis, maybe an increase by 100% :cheers::cheers:

DJ_Archuleta

November 7th, 2008, 03:06 PM

Indonesia's Oct consumer confidence highest in '08

JAKARTA, Nov 7 (Reuters) - Indonesia's consumer confidence strengthened to its highest level this year, a central bank survey showed on Friday, amid expectations of an easing in inflation due to lower food and fuel price pressure.

Indonesia will hold parliamentary and presidential elections next year, when the government's economic track record will come under scrutiny.

A central bank survey of 4,600 households in 18 cities across Indonesia showed the consumer confidence index rose to 94.8 in October, from 93.5 in September. This was the highest level since December 2007 when it reached 99.1.

A reading below 100 means consumers are pessimistic. The last time the index was above 100 was in November 2007, the central bank said on its website (www.bi.go.id)

A separate survey of 1,700 households across six provinces by the state-run Danareksa Research Institute also showed improving sentiment, with the index rising to 80.3 in October from 79.1 in September.

'Along with the tumbling commodity prices, inflationary pressures can be expected to ease further if the government proceeds with plans to reduce prices of subsidised fuel,' Danareksa said.

The government said on Thursday it would cut subsidised gasoline prices by about 8 percent to 5,500 rupiah (49.60 U.S. cents) a litre, with effect from Dec. 1, a move which is expected to boost consumer purchasing power. However, diesel fuel prices will remain unchanged at 5,500 rupiah a litre.

Annual inflation eased to 11.77 percent in October, from 12.14 percent in September, as pressures from food and fuel prices came off.

The central bank expects annual inflation to fall to 6.5-7.5 percent at the end of next year, from an estimated 11.5-12.5 percent this year.

kaki_langit

November 7th, 2008, 04:42 PM

Any comments?

Kelihatan bener kalau SBY-JK "back-up" Bakrie Group sebagai tanda "balas budi" ...
----
Mulyani, SBY at odds over Bumi Trading
The Jakarta Post, Jakarta

The Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) on Thursday lifted its trading suspension on PT Bumi Resources, the Bakrie Group's most valuable firm, amid speculation the finance minister had protested to President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono.

Finance Minister Sri Mulyani reportedly protested against the move overturning her decision to end the one-month halt on trading in Bumi, allegedly to help protect the interests of the Bakrie family.

Bumi shares plunged by 9.2 percent to Rp 1,975 after trading resumed, as investors sold to meet margin calls on the stock.

A margin call is an act in which brokers force the investor to either sell the stock or add more cash to their account.

As the drop neared the 10 percent threshold, Bumi's hammering was automatically paused by the IDX.

The queue of investors wanting to sell their shares in Bumi was the largest in IDX history, with some 1.91 billion shares, or 10.11 percent of Bumi's entire stake, being offered for sale.

A source at the Finance Ministry said the decision to lift the trading suspension was made after Mulyani met with the President at the Presidential Palace late Wednesday to protest against his decision to put the Bakrie firms' interest above that of the public.

"Mulyani was devastated by the interference of her bosses in the Bakrie problem," the source said.

Presidential spokesman Andi Mallarangeng on Wednesday denied Yudhoyono had intervened.

Mulyani refused to comment on the incident, including on speculation she had tendered her resignation that same night.

The IDX said Wednesday it would lift the Bumi suspension after hearing the explanation from parent firm PT Bakrie & Brothers about a deal to sell its 35 percent stake in Bumi to Northstar Pacific.

This decision is supported by Mulyani, whose ministry regulates the capital market.

However, an hour later the IDX reversed the decision following a request from the government. The bourse refused to identify which office demanded the suspension be maintained.

Capital Market and Financial Institution Supervisory Agency (Bapepam-LK) chairman Fuad Rahmani said the government had to reverse the decision to lift the suspension to protect the market.

"The lifting of the suspension was canceled because there was important information that we needed to clarify, or else it could have created a systemic adverse effect," Fuad said.

The IDX suspended trading in shares of Bakrie & Brothers, Bumi and PT Energi Mega Persada -- all part of the Bakrie Group of companies -- on Oct. 7, after their value fell sharply following reports Bakrie was having trouble paying debts.

Bakrie & Brothers, the nation's largest publicly listed investment firm, announced on Nov. 1 that Northstar, a local unit of U.S. buyout giant Texas Pacific Group, had agreed to pay US$1.3 billion for its 35 percent stake in Bumi.

Northstar, believed to be teaming up with state mining firms, must wrap up the deal within 28 days.

Analysts say lifting the suspension would have harmed the deal, with the Bumi stake expected to be heavily devalued as investors promptly sold their shares over worries their value could drop further because of continuing uncertainty over Bakrie's debt arrangements.

Help from the government will mean a lot for the Bakrie family, headed by Coordinating Minister for the People's Welfare Aburizal Bakrie, given its role as a key financier of Yudhoyono's 2004 presidential campaign.

Aburizal Bakrie's spokesman Lalu Mara Satriawangsa denied allegations the minister had asked the President, as a special favor, to cancel the decision to continue trading or grant any other protection for the family's business empire.

"Pak Ical (Aburizal Bakrie) is part of the government. He is focusing on his job. Anything related to Bumi is a corporate affair which has nothing to do with him," he said. (hwa)

peseg5

November 7th, 2008, 07:34 PM

Saya akan membeli mobil dengan Plat REGISTRASI kawasan PAPUA atau NTT ,,, supaya kawasan mereka terbangun infrastrukturnya , :lol:

J/K ...

Tapi itu angka Rp 7 T dapat darimana ?? Angka itu bener2 HOT MONEY mustahil Jakarta gak bangun apa2 dari duit Rp 7 T itu ??? Apa busway nya bangunnya masih NGUTANG ??? Apa semua FLyover dan Underpass yang baru siap semuanya masih NGUTANG ?? Apa Waterway yang kurang berguna itu juga masih NGUTANG ???

Ambil contoh Jakarta aja paling gampang. Kita pake itung2an kasar, kalau ada jumlah mobil 3 juta, anggap aja PKB nya minimal 1,5 juta.... Berarti pertahun = 3 juta x Rp1 juta = Rp 4,5 T... Ditambah motor 5 juta, anggap aja PKB nya minimal Rp 200 ribu berarti pertahun = 6 juta x Rp200ribu = Rp 1,2 T.

Jadi kasarnya dengan begitu bisa terkumpul kurang lebih Rp 5,7 T/tahun. Ini cuman itungan kasar doang. Kalau realnya mungkin PKB nya bisa lebih dari itu, karena setiap tahun kan naik.

Yang jelas APBD DKI itu tembus Rp 20 T ham... Dan PKB adalah salah satu penyumbang yang cukup besar. Rasionya bisa lebih dari 15%. Kalau Busway, underpass, flyover, waterway itu gak ngutang ham, itu dianggarkan dari APBD. Yang ngutang contohnya proyek supermasif seperti MRT, BKT, jalan tol.

Yang konyol adalah DPRD tuh masih aja ngeributin subsidi 7 koridor busway yang besarnya cuman 1% dari APBD DKI (200 Milyar banding 20 Trilyun!!). Lalu solusi mudahnya kata DPRD dan eksekutif naikin aja tarif, maksud kata daripada APBD "rugi" 1%, meningan dibebanin ke masyarakat aja "kerugian" nya. Masyarakat kan juga terima2 aja, kata mereka. Dan terbukti opini2 mereka itu berhasil menggiring sebagian masyarakat untuk setuju hal tersebut, padahal itu salah kaprah.

Logikanya kalau subsidi berkurang tapi ditutup kenaikan tarif, dimana anggaran plusnya untuk meningkatkan kualitas layanan? Kalau subsidi tetap, tarif naik, masih masuk akal karena penambahan anggaran datang dari kenaikan tarif. Tp alasan mereka menaikkan tarif kan dari awal untuk ngurangin subsidi, jadi penambahan anggarannya malah jadi tidak ada bukan?! Alias layanan tetap seperti sekarang. Tapi di media mampu dipelintir "untuk meningkatkan kualitas layanan".

Nah, kan kalau cara pikirnya gini, susah mengharapkan angkutan bisa bersaing dengan kendaraan pribadi. Pikirnya anggaran transportasi masih dianggap beban, ketimbang investasi. Jadi gak heran dong AHM, Suzuki, Yamaha, Bajaj semakin laris di lapangan, wong jauh lebih murah dan efisien kok daripada naik angkutan umum....

DJ_Archuleta

November 7th, 2008, 08:05 PM

Indonesia expects record investment in 2008-09

Indonesia's chief investment agency said it expects foreign and domestic investment to hit a new record this year and in 2009, driven by demand for new infrastructure including power plants and toll roads. Writing By Muhammad Al Azhari and Harry Suhartono, editing by Sara Webb/Sugita Katyal/Rory Channing in Reuters.

Muhammad Lutfi, who heads the agency, said he is optimistic that total domestic and foreign direct investment would rise 15 percent to nearly $16 billion in 2008, from a record $13.8 billion in 2007, and surge to $20 billion next year.

Southeast Asia's biggest economy badly needs billions of dollars of investment, especially in infrastructure, to push economic growth and reduce high unemployment.

"We are certain that we will meet the 15.2 percent target of investment (growth)" for 2008, Lutfi told a gathering of foreign correspondents in Jakarta on Wednesday.

"We had a good number in the first quarter. Next year is a challenge because of the slowdown of the economy, that's what we feel."

A combination of political stability and an improving economic outlook helped to attract a record foreign direct investment last year, although the agency, known as BKPM, does not provide details of the investments.

Some analysts warn that political uncertainty ahead of next year's parliamentary and presidential elections, and a slowdown in economic growth could hurt investment.

The government's decision to hike subsidised fuel prices by an average of nearly 30 percent in May is expected to lead to weaker consumer spending. The government expects GDP growth of 6-6.4 percent this year, compared with 6.3 percent in 2007.

However, Indonesia still lags countries such as China in attracting foreign investment because of perceived legal uncertainties and graft, and a complicated bureaucracy.

The country ranks 123rd out of 178 countries in terms of ease of doing business, according to a World Bank survey last year.

KEY INFRASTRUCTURE

Despite such challenges, Lutfi said several infrastructure projects are likely to materialise next year and help boost investment. The agency will encourage investment in key infrastructure areas such as electricity, toll roads, ports and airports within the next two years, he said.

Only 64 percent of Indonesian households currently have access to electricity, he said, adding that the government has invited the private sector to finance its programme to build 10,000 MW of coal-fired power plants in Java, Sumatra and Bali.

The agency is promoting investment in resource-rich regions, including Sumatra, Java, Sulawesi, and Papua, where there are opportunities to invest in the crude palm oil, coal, nickel, and pulp and paper industries, Lutfi said.

Lutfi, who has been in charge of promoting investment in Indonesia since May 2005, was an economic adviser and spokesman for President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono during the 2004 election campaign.
He previously headed the Mahaka Group, a conglomerate with interests including electricity, luxury apartment development, commodity trading, and media.

DJ_Archuleta

November 7th, 2008, 08:09 PM

Indonesia textile product exports up 6.16 %

Pacitan, E Java (ANTARA News) - Indonesia`s textile and textile product exports in the first seven months of 2008 rose 6.17 percent to US$6.06 billion from US$5.71 billion in the same period last year, an Industry Ministry official said.

Textile and textile product exports contributed 22.38 percent of the country`s non-oil/non-gas exports and 14.45 percent of industrial product exports over the period, the ministry`s director of industrial and mining product exports, Hartojo Agus Tjahjono said here on Friday.
In the past five years, textile and textile product exports contributed 12.45 percent of the non-oil/non-gas exports and 14.81 percent of the industrial product exports annually, he said.

He said improving productivity, efficiency and competitiveness was a key to penetrating the increasingly competitive global market for textiles and textile products.

Hartojo Agus was here to present 75 sewing and embroidering machines worth Rp250 million from the ministry to small and medium enterpreneurs at Gayuhan village.

“This assistance is aimed at supporting SMEs to produce textile products of high quality,” he said.

The aid was symbolically handed over to Pacitan district head H Sujono.

“Making an efficient and optimum use of sewing and embroidering machines will help improve the quality of SMEs` products, increase their capacity and production which will eventually boost the nearby people`s economy,” he said.

kaki_langit

November 8th, 2008, 02:25 AM

kaki_langit

November 8th, 2008, 02:35 AM

@peseg5:

Lebih baik lihat aja perincian APBD DKI tahun 2008 yang baru disetujui oleh DPRD bulan September 2008 ini (APBD 2008 baru disetujui oleh DPRD setelah Wapres JK ikut turun tangan ...)

Satu lagi yang anda perlu tahu ... Fauzi Bowo ternyata Gubernur yang paling "Parah" dalam memimpin DKI ini ... Nggak punya wibawa sama sekali dihadapan DPRD dan aparat bawahannya ...makanya banyak pihak di DKI mengharapkan agar Wakil Gubernur Prijanto tampil lebih tegas untuk menyelesaikan masalah Jakarta yang nggak pernah tuntas semenjak Fauzi Bowo terpilih menjadi Gubernur ...

Mungkinkah ini adalah "Hadiah" yang memang harus diterima warga Jakarta akibat mereka memilih Gubernur yang lebih mengandalkan "KUMIS"-nya ? ... Hehehehe ...

=NaNdA=

November 8th, 2008, 05:18 AM

peseg5

November 8th, 2008, 11:47 AM

@ peseg5 : sebenernya jaringan MRT sendiri yang kurang luas jaringannya yang
bikin orang masih naik kendaraan pribadi..tapi sekarang mulai banyak yang sadar macaet koq.. hehe..

coba cek tempat penitipan motor di stasiun2 kereta deh..
atau terminal / terminal bayangan kaya UKI..gila bbrapa tahun belakangan
penuh banget.. dulu gw inget ga serame itu..tapi mungkin yang punya kendaraan pribadi juga makin banyak.. :D
udah gitu mulai banyak feeder busway, dan kayanya penumpang busway juga meningkat..

btw, kenapa yang 1 % jadi masalah buat busway ya?
emang busway bukan salah satu prioritas APBD DKI?
emang prioritas lain apa?jelas2 bis kurang, halte mulai amburadul..
yang gw liat cuma petugasnya ganti seragam aja kemarin..hehe :tongue2:

Yup orang sadar macet, makanya jalanan Jakarta itu dari pagi ampe malam jarang sepi. Permasalahannya perkembangan MRT(KRL)/busway/angkutan umum yang stagnan atau pertumbuhannya terlalu lambat tidak mampu mengimbangi jumlah kendaraan yang tiap tahun terus menciptakan rekor penjualan baru.

Percaya gak nan, kalau KRL jabodetabek itu kapasitasnya bisa ditingkatkan 3 kali lipat dari keadaan sekarang. Artinya kalau banyak mobil pribadi yang mau beralih, tempat penitipan mobil yang sekarang tidak akan cukup, malah perlu dibangun gedung parkir (bukan lahan parkir lagi).

Busway juga gitu nan, kapasitasnya sebenarnya bisa digandakan berlipat2, hanya perangkat pendukungnya saja minim seperti SPBBG, jumlah bus, dan setoran subsidi. Untuk KRL perangkat pendukungnya juga minim, bentuk stasiun, akses ke stasiun, fasilitas parkir, dll. Tempat penitipan mobil malah lebih banyak datang dari inisiatif warga sekitar yang pintar menangkap peluang, bukan kebijakan pemerintah.

Jadi sekarang itu sebenarnya angkutan umum sedang balapan vs penjualan kendaraan bermotor. Semakin pemerintah tidak cepat tanggap, semakin macet jalanan. Karena penduduk dan komuterpun tiap tahun bertambah. Kapasitas angkutan jika tidak pernah ditambah, akan mengalami kesemrawutan, kalau itu terjadi bisa2 orang2 kembali menggunakan kendaraan pribadi.

Akhirnya menghadapi situasi kemacetan ini, malah lebih banyak warganya yang berinisiatif ketimbang pemerintahnya. Muncullah feeder busway pemukiman (ini awalnya tidak ada dalam masterplan transportasi pemerintah), muncullah tempat penitipan parkir dekat stasiun dll, muncullah angkutan plat hitam yang malah membuat runyam angkutan plat kuning, dll. Kalau pemerintah terlalu lambat, akhirnya warganya yg berinisiatif.

Anggaran 1% itu dipermasalahin, karena mereka masih pakai pola pikir lama nan. Jaman sebelum ada busway APBD DKI itu tidak ada namanya pos subsidi untuk transportasi angkutan darat. Gak ada ceritanya angkot/metromini disubsidi (sampai sekarang). Angkutan darat kan malah mendatangkan pendapatan dari retribusi/pajak usaha, nah sekarang karena busway kebalik tuh malah DKI yg musti ngeluarin duit. Dulu dari mikrolet/metromini/dll DKI dapet duit, sekarang ada busway malah DKI yg musti ngeluarin duit.

Itulah pola pikir yang sudah tertanam sekian lama, sulit untuk menerima kenyataan yang baru ini. Jadi biar 1% pun menurut mereka masih berat rasanya. Kan jadi lucu, pembuat UU tapi tidak mengerti isi UU yg dibuat sendiri.

DJ_Archuleta

November 8th, 2008, 02:48 PM

@DJ_Archuleta:

Simak baik-baik beritanya sekali lagi .... Apakah itu investasi yang sudah disetujui atau yang memang sudah betul-betul direalisasikan?

Gue sendiri udah paham ama teknik tipu-tipu seperti ini ke publik ... Hehehehe..

That's foreign direct investment that flow to indonesia this year and next year but still it's just a prediction. For year 2007 we have achieved it :)

DJ_Archuleta

November 8th, 2008, 02:49 PM

Standard & Poor's retains stable outlook on Indonesia's debt rating

Global rating agency Standard & Poor's (S&P) has maintained its outlook on Indonesia' debt rating as stable, thanks partly to a declining level of debt and improvements in monetary policy management.

The agency affirmed Monday the country's foreign currency debt rating BB-, which is still third level below investment grade.

A stable rating outlook means the agency will be more inclined to retain or even raise its rating for Southeast Asia's largest economy.

A rating upgrade would mean lower borrowing costs for the government and the private sector.

Central bank governor Boediono welcomed Friday the agency's move, especially as the world is being hit by a devastating financial crisis which has now raised the prospect of a global economic recession.

"Bank Indonesia sees this as a positive news in particular amid the ongoing turmoil in the global financial system, which has caused international rating agencies to downgrade ratings of both corporations and sovereigns," Boediono said in a statement.

He said that the affirmation of the rating was down to S&P's favorable opinion on the declining debt level and improvement in monetary policies, in particular those in relation to the country's flexible foreign exchange regime.

The flexible forex regime allows the central bank to maintain enough liquidity to cushion external shocks.

The rupiah gained after the agency's announcement.

The rupiah climbed 0.3 percent to 10,900 per dollar as of 5 p.m. in Jakarta, from 10,938 Thursday, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. It fell as low as 11,225 Friday.

yudz83

November 8th, 2008, 04:03 PM

List of countries by future GDP (nominal) estimates

urutan sesuai peringkat

Country ↓ 2008 ↓ 2009 ↓ 2010 ↓ 2011 ↓ 2012 ↓ 2013 ↓ Estimate as of ↓
World 60,109.392 63,353.964 67,452.048 72,006.191 76,857.837 81,978.052 2008
European Union 19,195.080 19,338.531 20,214.992 21,256.067 22,390.739 23,624.153 October 2008
United States 14,334.034 14,571.382 15,091.614 15,859.113 16,604.845 17,310.369 October 2008
People's Republic of China 4,222.423 4,772.362 5,349.820 6,004.780 6,738.704 7,562.213 October 2008
Japan 4,844.362 4,803.336 4,907.599 5,106.639 5,287.130 5,439.098 October 2008
Germany 3,818.470 3,773.305 3,896.589 4,034.600 4,194.663 4,376.392 October 2008
Russia 1,778.693 2,066.900 2,440.306 2,831.916 3,256.112 3,725.493 October 2008
France 2,978.121 3,011.101 3,134.883 3,296.831 3,467.251 3,646.606 October 2008
United Kingdom 2,787.371 2,734.161 2,887.849 3,076.246 3,278.848 3,491.205 October 2008
Italy 2,399.287 2,407.263 2,474.789 2,554.757 2,642.598 2,742.648 October 2008
Spain 1,683.232 1,703.406 1,779.639 1,877.840 1,995.598 2,131.792 October 2008
Brazil 1,664.662 1,587.725 1,690.077 1,793.835 1,904.001 2,020.933 October 2008
India 1,237.445 1,350.265 1,482.923 1,631.998 1,796.242 1,977.569 October 2008
Canada 1,564.078 1,570.387 1,646.577 1,744.309 1,842.431 1,933.075 October 2008
Mexico 1,142.629 1,192.224 1,268.033 1,354.045 1,445.376 1,539.105 October 2008
South Korea 953.489 1,019.455 1,103.445 1,191.184 1,282.622 1,378.885 October 2008
Australia 1,069.335 1,080.604 1,117.754 1,165.174 1,218.514 1,274.648 October 2008
Netherlands 909.465 930.883 972.798 1,016.571 1,061.639 1,109.784 October 2008
Turkey 798.863 789.072 828.487 874.266 920.654 968.203 October 2008
Saudi Arabia 528.322 568.853 637.020 701.827 771.386 848.562 October 2008
Poland 567.413 601.951 645.148 693.062 744.682 802.151 October 2008
Indonesia 496.826 552.328 606.748 662.623 722.439 787.626 October 2008
Iran, Islamic Republic of 382.328 442.635 508.050 569.962 633.708 704.493 October 2008
Belgium 530.613 539.299 565.334 595.246 625.791 657.376 October 2008
Sweden 512.889 508.571 535.355 564.875 594.171 623.004 October 2008
Republic of China 424.061 443.311 479.257 524.850 575.832 609.786 October 2008
Norway 481.148 466.541 480.045 494.447 510.414 527.370 October 2008
Austria 432.404 438.243 457.493 480.062 503.783 526.855 October 2008
Switzerland 492.553 480.010 487.508 491.370 496.863 502.772 October 2008
Argentina 338.721 395.056 430.673 473.553 519.353 583.562 October 2008
Greece 373.516 387.036 409.750 434.862 463.357 493.890 October 2008
Venezuela 331.765 379.709 455.467 520.127 581.247 677.913 October 2008
Romania 213.891 256.802 300.495 349.860 401.250 460.801 October 2008
South Africa 300.397 326.898 353.126 383.833 416.432 449.508 October 2008
United Arab Emirates 269.956 293.526 329.442 364.641 401.868 434.947 October 2008
Denmark 369.583 376.104 384.878 396.645 411.165 426.603 October 2008
Nigeria 220.309 256.482 303.247 347.213 386.974 418.419 October 2008
Thailand 272.143 295.125 317.460 341.411 367.963 396.810 October 2008
Republic of Ireland 285.018 283.786 299.883 321.028 342.948 366.722 October 2008
Colombia 249.773 262.987 283.288 304.656 324.728 349.444 October 2008
Finland 287.621 292.341 304.642 318.260 332.288 347.281 October 2008
Malaysia 214.734 231.105 251.095 272.815 296.414 322.054 October 2008
Philippines 181.255 203.009 236.108 261.595 290.723 321.880 October 2008
Egypt 158.764 191.938 241.350 277.064 294.962 318.403 October 2008
Portugal 255.483 257.762 267.379 278.810 291.085 304.004 October 2008
Ukraine 198.006 218.457 234.428 247.452 267.254 303.972 October 2008
Hong Kong 215.215 226.060 240.460 257.000 276.048 302.778 October 2008
Czech Republic 192.765 209.523 227.123 247.030 268.610 294.823 October 2008
Kazakhstan 141.152 157.346 176.630 196.495 219.124 245.669 October 2008
Israel 188.746 198.454 208.920 220.800 232.670 245.146 October 2008
Singapore 172.348 183.111 195.216 209.300 225.041 242.196 October 2008
Pakistan 160.897 171.538 180.076 193.333 208.363 225.163 October 2008
Chile 181.464 171.219 181.732 191.286 201.372 217.286 October 2008
Hungary 164.339 170.051 179.388 190.246 201.365 213.009 October 2008
Algeria 171.286 171.070 181.262 190.383 200.228 211.009 October 2008
Kuwait 159.730 163.245 175.141 186.417 197.589 210.597 October 2008
Peru 117.382 132.944 141.397 150.822 161.198 178.587 October 2008
New Zealand 135.725 132.191 137.648 143.484 149.340 155.405 October 2008
Morocco 90.470 97.680 106.594 116.169 126.684 138.206 October 2008
Bangladesh 80.509 87.328 95.550 105.284 115.954 127.706 2008
Vietnam 81.328 91.444 103.727 116.598 131.012 146.156 2008
Slovakia 88.941 98.616 109.168 119.375 130.229 141.482 2008
Qatar 98.260 114.421 133.961 149.889 166.678 182.527 2008
Libya 78.886 88.359 98.564 107.523 114.603 122.079 2008
Angola 88.464 105.692 118.112 118.704 123.708 126.882 2008
Croatia 60.129 65.006 70.833 77.226 84.255 91.954 2008
Luxembourg 56.950 60.276 64.306 68.681 73.347 78.307 2008
Ecuador 49.797 56.370 62.052 71.305 83.864 92.862 2008
Sudan 53.950 68.605 77.611 86.378 95.864 101.879 2008
Slovenia 53.257 56.723 61.115 66.033 71.404 77.197 2008
Belarus 53.258 61.453 70.214 79.922 90.518 101.947 2008
Oman 50.504 54.392 58.042 62.176 66.781 69.921 2008
Guatemala 35.729 38.254 40.894 43.658 46.519 49.549 2008
Dominican Republic 37.698 38.710 41.427 44.474 47.155 49.513 2008
Serbia 52.183 58.828 66.865 75.574 84.672 94.259 October 2008
Syrian Arab Republic 41.923 43.369 45.033 46.676 48.664 51.072 2008
Tunisia 39.244 43.476 47.128 51.299 56.002 61.090 2008
Bulgaria 49.307 55.900 62.981 71.070 79.873 89.359 2008
Lithuania 48.132 54.487 60.314 66.024 72.735 79.800 2008
Sri Lanka 34.787 38.318 42.053 46.268 51.162 56.485 2008
Kenya 30.343 33.044 36.588 41.001 46.130 51.898 2008
Lebanon 26.775 29.103 31.745 34.365 37.175 40.103 2008
Turkmenistan 31.730 2004
Costa Rica 31.564 34.940 37.057 39.704 42.564 45.920 2008
Trinidad and Tobago 24.951 27.013 29.110 31.291 33.538 35.826 2008
Azerbaijan 49.033 63.458 74.227 86.005 99.204 115.839 2008
Latvia 35.820 39.746 42.947 46.016 49.571 53.644 2008
Uruguay 26.607 30.347 32.797 35.086 37.403 39.874 2008
Yemen 26.607 30.347 32.797 35.086 37.403 39.874 2008
Cameroon 23.978 25.302 27.045 29.311 31.710 34.414 2008
El Salvador 21.824 23.243 25.017 26.927 28.983 31.196 2008
Cyprus 24.513 26.217 28.026 30.028 32.195 34.530 2008
Côte d'Ivoire 22.656 24.633 26.622 29.119 31.589 34.019 2008
Panama 22.863 25.781 28.893 32.301 35.917 39.826 2008
Iceland 19.666 19.162 19.423 20.045 20.988 22.039 2008
Estonia 25.431 27.579 30.101 32.796 35.935 39.257 2008
Uzbekistan 26.325 31.017 35.780 41.347 47.768 54.909 2008
Bahrain 24.395 25.442 26.405 27.226 28.326 40.792 2008
Jordan 18.508 20.855 23.062 25.354 27.699 30.098 2008
Ethiopia 23.534 25.694 28.588 31.759 34.733 38.029 2008
Myanmar 13.031 12.516 12.055 11.397 10.132 8.812 2008
Ghana 16.827 19.214 21.595 23.927 26.586 29.432 2008
Tanzania 19.835 22.106 24.695 27.629 30.775 34.127 2008
Brunei Darussalam 14.927 15.304 15.578 16.056 16.567 17.057 2008
Bosnia and Herzegovina 17.831 19.081 20.473 22.090 23.988 26.103 2008
Zambia 12.608 13.162 13.613 13.969 14.751 15.306 2008
Bolivia 16.699 20.492 23.313 25.761 27.969 31.035 2008
Botswana 13.439 13.782 14.657 15.861 17.094 18.322 2008
Jamaica 12.824 13.956 15.142 16.247 17.337 18.034 2008
Uganda 12.932 14.683 16.171 17.734 19.489 20.795 2008
Senegal 12.859 14.008 15.271 16.625 17.859 19.541 2008
Equatorial Guinea 13.540 13.765 14.154 14.441 14.175 14.144 2008
Albania 11.967 13.088 14.402 15.864 17.510 19.202 2008
Gabon 14.360 14.859 15.053 15.553 16.151 16.715 2008
Honduras 13.779 14.977 15.971 16.878 17.763 18.646 2008
Paraguay 12.076 12.825 13.642 14.547 15.497 16.664 2008
Congo, Democratic Republic of 11.777 13.790 15.785 17.676 20.021 22.085 2008
Afghanistan 11.238 13.248 15.003 16.890 18.821 20.848 2008
Nepal 10.466 11.385 12.378 13.404 14.515 15.719 2008
Georgia (country) 13.535 16.634 19.443 22.052 24.894 27.446 2008
Congo, Republic of 10.473 12.140 13.907 9.884 10.933 11.566 2008
Mozambique 8.383 9.237 10.189 11.170 12.246 13.426 2008
Cambodia 9.916 11.131 12.403 13.764 15.276 16.815 2008
Chad 8.759 8.894 9.143 9.410 9.740 9.988 2008
Armenia 9.331 10.555 11.806 12.952 14.075 15.162 2008
Mauritius 7.860 9.202 10.540 11.982 13.547 15.141 2008
Namibia 7.682 8.180 8.791 9.456 10.241 11.062 2008
Republic of Macedonia 8.772 9.672 10.722 11.797 12.918 14.214 2008
Bahamas, The 7.011 7.445 7.889 8.353 8.843 9.362 2008
Mali 7.302 7.914 8.788 9.332 10.026 11.243 2008
Malta 8.442 8.932 9.485 10.116 10.806 11.563 2008
Burkina Faso 8.306 9.115 10.001 10.954 12.007 13.001 2008
Zimbabwe 5.020 2005
Madagascar 8.951 10.004 11.423 12.816 14.176 15.658 2008
Nicaragua 6.523 7.094 7.312 8.400 9.058 9.768 2008
Benin 5.936 6.481 7.095 7.715 8.389 9.121 2008
Haiti 6.183 6.743 7.169 7.605 8.021 8.461 2008
Papua New Guinea 6.363 6.635 7.146 7.467 7.697 8.010 2008

kaki_langit

November 8th, 2008, 04:29 PM

That's foreign direct investment that flow to indonesia this year and next year but still it's just a prediction. For year 2007 we have achieved it :)

Yang diberitakan bukan FDI .. tapi total investasi PMA + PMDN ..

FYI ... nggak semua investasi melalui BKPM yaitu misalnya untuk sektor perbankan/keuangan dan migas ...

DJ_Archuleta

November 8th, 2008, 04:33 PM

quite interesting that Indonesia growth is faster than any other SEA countries, yuds have you got the nominal gdp per capita estimates??

DJ_Archuleta

November 8th, 2008, 04:37 PM

Yang diberitakan bukan FDI .. tapi total investasi PMA + PMDN ..

FYI ... nggak semua investasi melalui BKPM yaitu misalnya untuk sektor perbankan/keuangan dan migas ...

well at least investment had significantly increase in indonesia :)

DJ_Archuleta

November 8th, 2008, 04:39 PM

gliazzurra

November 8th, 2008, 04:51 PM

^^ kyk nya vietnam lebih cepat de..

DJ_Archuleta

November 8th, 2008, 04:55 PM

^^ but yet their gdp still much lower than us :)

Hadi

November 8th, 2008, 05:20 PM

yudz83

November 8th, 2008, 05:25 PM

Republic of China 424.061 443.311 479.257 524.850 575.832 609.786 October 2008

dengan

People's Republic of China 4,222.423 4,772.362 5,349.820 6,004.780 6,738.704 7,562.213 October 2008

bedanya apa?
sama2 china kan??

kayanya yang satunya itu taiwan, republic of china itu taiwan, klo yang people's republic of china, china yg komunis..

yudz83

November 8th, 2008, 05:29 PM

quite interesting that Indonesia growth is faster than any other SEA countries, yuds have you got the nominal gdp per capita estimates??

klo per capita sudah melibatkan jumlah penduduk kita peringkat 5 di asia tenggara di bawah singapura, brunai, malaysia, thailand

bayangin aja dibagi 230 juta penduduk sedangkan malaysia aja cuman 27 juta penduduk, klo misalnya penduduk kita cuman 100 juta gt.. mungkin kita sudah highly middle class economy...

china aja yg gdp gede tp dibagi 1 milyar penduduk jatuh2nya gdp perkapitanya US$ 2000 an

DJ_Archuleta

November 8th, 2008, 06:03 PM

klo per capita sudah melibatkan jumlah penduduk kita peringkat 5 di asia tenggara di bawah singapura, brunai, malaysia, thailand

bayangin aja dibagi 230 juta penduduk sedangkan malaysia aja cuman 27 juta penduduk, klo misalnya penduduk kita cuman 100 juta gt.. mungkin kita sudah highly middle class economy...

china aja yg gdp gede tp dibagi 1 milyar penduduk jatuh2nya gdp perkapitanya US$ 2000 an

jadi gdp per kapita indonesia skrg brapa yudz?? sudah mencapai USD 2,500 kah?
klo dibanding se asia tenggara, kita memang di belakang singapura, brunai, malaysia dan thailand but we are ahead of philippines, vietnam and the rest of asean countries..

lo emng bener bgt, karna kita punya penduduk 230 juta so pastinya gdp per capita jauh lebih kecil dibanding malaysia yg cuma 27 juta, if ever our population is just 100 millions, our current gdp/cap would be around USD 4000-5000 by now which is just close behind malaysia

china emng menang di total gdpnya tp klo di bagi 1.3 m kurang lebih sama kayak indonesia which is around USD 2000

ASEAN GDP per capita

1) singapore

2) brunei

3) malaysia

4) thailand

5) indonesia

6) philippines

7) vietnam

and the rest are those poorer nations..

kaki_langit

November 8th, 2008, 10:19 PM

Indonesia

2008: USD496.826 Bn (N/A)
2009: USD552.328 Bn (+ 11.17%)
2010: USD606.748 Bn (+ 9.85%)
2011: USD662.623 Bn (+ 9.21%)
2012: USD722.439 Bn (+ 9.03%)
2013: USD787.626 Bn (+ 9.02%)

The projection above is considered "pessimistic" ... Based on study by our Bank's economist ... The nominal value of our GDP in 2008 should be USD 580.0 Bn and is projected to grow further to USD 1,200 Bn in 2013 (moderate scenario) ... Consequently, our GDP per capita (nominal) is projected to increase from USD 2,500 in 2009 to USD 4,800 in 2013 ...

DJ_Archuleta

November 9th, 2008, 08:03 AM

The projection above is considered "pessimistic" ... Based on study by our Bank's economist ... The nominal value of our GDP in 2008 should be USD 580.0 Bn and is projected to grow further to USD 1,200 Bn in 2013 (moderate scenario) ... Consequently, our GDP per capita (nominal) is projected to increase from USD 2,500 in 2009 to USD 4,800 in 2013 ...

That's what i thought too, our total GDP by the end of 2008 should be at least USD 550 Bn and if projected to reach at USD 1,200 Bn in 2013 then it would be AMAZING!!! we will lead ASEAN till the end of time :cheers: if our gdp per capita will reach USD 4,800 in 2013 means there will be an increase of at least USD 500 in our per capita ever year :cheers: and could you show us the resource of this kaki langit??

kaki_langit

November 9th, 2008, 12:26 PM

^^ Koreksi .... GDP sebesar USD580.0 billion bukan tahun 2008 .. tapi seharusnya tahun 2009 ... (Tahun ini diproyeksikan kita sudah bisa menyalib Taiwan ...)

DJ_Archuleta

November 9th, 2008, 01:19 PM

^^ Koreksi .... GDP sebesar USD580.0 billion bukan tahun 2008 .. tapi seharusnya tahun 2009 ... (Tahun ini diproyeksikan kita sudah bisa menyalib Taiwan ...)

oh kirain gw USD 580 billion buat 2008 .. itu mah terlalu cepet yah.. :lol:
then tahun ini proyeksi gdp per capita berapa? lo pnya source economist yg memprediksi gdp per capita indonesia akan mencapai USD 4,800 pada thn 2013?

gliazzurra

November 10th, 2008, 09:12 AM

That's what i thought too, our total GDP by the end of 2008 should be at least USD 550 Bn and if projected to reach at USD 1,200 Bn in 2013 then it would be AMAZING!!! we will lead ASEAN till the end of time :cheers: if our gdp per capita will reach USD 4,800 in 2013 means there will be an increase of at least USD 500 in our per capita ever year :cheers: and could you show us the resource of this kaki langit??

lol.. mana mungkin sih GDP bisa tumbuh hampir 3 kali lipat dalam 5 taon?? yg bener aja lah..

i'm not trying to be pessimistic here.. i agree we have great future in front of us, as long as we work hard, those dreams are not impossible.. namun di sisi lain kita harus realistis juga.. pertumbuhan ekonomi, bisa 7-8% di situasi skrg aja uda bagus banget, dan rada ga mungkin juga, ga usah muluk2 lah GDP bisa tumbuh 200% dalam 5 tahun, itu mah kaga mungkin..

kaki_langit

November 10th, 2008, 10:01 AM

^^ Perhitungan GDP yang tumbuh 7-8% itu dihitung dengan menggunakan metoda "Constant Price 2003" .. sedangkan perhitungan nominal GDP sudah memperhitungkan faktor inflasi, nilai tukar dan lainnya ...

Jadi jangan heran jika GDP kita hanya tumbuh sebesar 6.3% tahun lalu .. tapi Nominal GDP per capita kita bisa tumbuh sebesar 19.8% ... malahan tahun-tahun sebelumnya lebih tinggi ...

Tahun 2008 ini jika kita bisa tumbuh 6.2% dan aktual inflasi 12% maka seharusnya Nominal GDP per capita bisa tumbuh lebih tinggi daripada tahun 2007 .. tapi kemungkinan nggak bisa karena rata-rata nilai tukar Rupiah kita anjlok (terutama untuk perhitungan GDP Q4 2008) ...

AceN

November 10th, 2008, 12:32 PM

pertumbuhan ekonomi, bisa 7-8% di situasi skrg aja uda bagus banget, dan rada ga mungkin juga, ga usah muluk2 lah GDP bisa tumbuh 200% dalam 5 tahun, itu mah kaga mungkin..

pertumbuhan GDP beda dengan metode penghitungan pertumbuhan nominalnya...bener sperti yang kaki langit bilang..

Zorobabel

November 10th, 2008, 12:51 PM

Nominal growth statistics really serve no purpose because they don't take into account inflation or real growth in wages and living standards. That is why no countries post their nominal growth, but instead calculate real GDP growth. Nominal growth, for example, in Indonesia's poor provinces like NTT and Papua generally run around 15%, but once inflation is factored in the real growth drops to 5-6%.

DJ_Archuleta

November 10th, 2008, 12:58 PM

AceN

November 10th, 2008, 01:08 PM

^^ mungkin. tapi bisa juga terbentuk equilibrium baru...

Alvin

November 10th, 2008, 03:39 PM

Hey guys...the true measure of economic growth is real GDP growth, not nominal GDP growth....Nominal GDP can be growing at 20% per annum, but if inflation is 30% p.a., the economy is in fact shrinking by 10% each year..

rilham2new

November 10th, 2008, 03:49 PM

Ya, ambil pake PDRB yang tetapan Harga Konstan (jangan pake yang tetapan harga berlaku) :tongue2: ...

Kalau ada data MIGAS dan NON-MIGAS nya malah lebih bagus lagi :D hehehehe, I believe tanpa MIGAS ,, PDRB Indonesia jatuh banget :tongue2: , lebih baik lagi kalau dibagi dengan per capitanya :D hehehe

DJ_Archuleta

November 10th, 2008, 04:01 PM

so what is the estimation of indonesia gdp per capita this year ???

AceN

November 10th, 2008, 07:35 PM

^^ US $ 35,336 .. :lol:

DJ_Archuleta

November 10th, 2008, 07:52 PM

lol seriously you must be dreaming now :lol: is it going to reach USD 2,500??

kaki_langit

November 11th, 2008, 06:14 AM

Kita sudah banyak bicara masalah makro ekonomi .. tapi sayang nggak banyak yang membahas mengenai masalah mata uang negara kita -- Rupiah atau IDR ..

Coba bandingkan dengan mata uang negara lain ... kenapa IDR kita sering nggak mengikuti trend umum yang terjadi .. atau sering bersikap "Anomoli" terhadap pasar uang ...

Ketika USD "Menguat" .... maka IDR umumnya cenderung melemah ...
Sedangkan ketika USD "Melemah" .... sering terjadi IDR ikut melemah juga ...

Mengapa ? Mari kita diskusikan !!!

F-ian

November 11th, 2008, 06:47 AM

^^ iya...ama kesel juga kenapa Rupiah ampir kyk Vietnam Dong... 1 US = 9000 pdhl Phlpine Peso 1 = 400 or something like tht...and cadangan devisa Indo jg lebi besar drpd filipina kan??

Rupiah emang pisang yang aneh..kesel kalo beli mobil hrs Rp.100jtan bukan Rp.20jtan kyk neg lain(singapur misalnya) S$20 ribuan bukan S$100,000...Orang Indo knp hrs kerja keras...:(

Rupiah mungkin nama yang sial...perasaan gw agak synoymous to sampah (eh itu rubbish ya :D)

=NaNdA=

November 11th, 2008, 07:23 AM

makanya SBY pernah ngusulin satu mata uang untuk asia.. :D

DJ_Archuleta

November 11th, 2008, 10:53 AM

the govt should drop all the 000's in rupiah, for example $ 1 = IDR 9
instead of IDR 9,000 but the thing is why wouldn't the govt change the format into like that :ohno:

VRS

November 11th, 2008, 11:07 AM

its not simple like that donk...its not easy like that....
dont u think if 1 $ = Rp. 9 how about our export valuable ?? disaster lah...
the main important its stability kurs...

peseg5

November 11th, 2008, 11:20 AM

its not simple like that donk...its not easy like that....
dont u think if 1 $ = Rp. 9 how about our export valuable ?? disaster lah...
the main important its stability kurs...

Kalau 000 dipotong itu revaluasi? Itu bukannya tetap tidak merubah keadaan? Karena nilai Rp 1.000.000 menjadi Rp 1.000, dan Rp 1.000 menjadi Rp 1. Hanya nominalnya saja yang disederhanakan.

Jika,
1$ = Rp 9.000 dan 1Yen = Rp 200, maka dengan revaluasi 1.000,
1$ = Rp 9 dan 1Yen = Rp 0,20 atau 100Yen = RP 2.

Begitu juga dengan cadangan devisa, misalnya kita punya Rp 1000 Trilyun, maka setelah revaluasi 1.000, cadangan devisa kita menjadi Rp1Trilyun?

Begitu bukan?

DJ_Archuleta

November 11th, 2008, 12:48 PM

its not simple like that donk...its not easy like that....
dont u think if 1 $ = Rp. 9 how about our export valuable ?? disaster lah...
the main important its stability kurs...

they should just change the value then..let say the govt make a new currency called perak or other names and simply make 1 perak to be equivalent to 1000 rupiah.. once it released, all indonesians would have to use two different currency which is rupiah and perak ( 1 perak = 1000 rupiah ) ... once the people got used to it, the govt then could easily swap the main indonesian currency from rupiah to perak .. and this would helps our currency to be much stronger than before.. 1 dollar would be equivalent to 9 perak :cheers::cheers:

DJ_Archuleta

November 11th, 2008, 12:50 PM

Bank Indonesia `Open to Possibility' of Cut in Rates

By Shamim Adam

Nov. 11 (Bloomberg) -- Indonesia's central bank is ``open'' to the possibility of reducing interest rates to boost the economy as global growth slows and inflation eases, Deputy Governor Miranda Goeltom said.

Bank Indonesia kept its key rate unchanged at 9.5 percent this month, after six increases since May, amid lower-than- expected consumer price gains. Policy makers still need to monitor inflationary pressures before making any decisions on borrowing costs, Goeltom told Bloomberg News yesterday in Sao Paulo where she attended a meeting of central bank officials.

Central banks in Asia and around the globe have slashed interest rates and governments are boosting spending as the world battles the threat of a prolonged slowdown. The International Monetary Fund last week predicted the first simultaneous recession in the U.S., Japan and euro region in the post-World War II era next year.

``We've already seen that the slowing down of the world economy and demand will eventually have an effect on our growth,'' Goeltom said. ``While the central bank is still targeting lower inflation for the future, we're not immune to the increasing need of addressing the issues of a future slowing down of productive capacities.''

Consumer prices in Indonesia increased 11.8 percent from a year earlier in October, after gaining 12.1 percent in September. The central bank expects to keep inflation between 11.5 percent and 12.5 percent this year, and for price gains to be no higher than 7.5 percent in 2009.

`Any Possibility'

Policy makers will consider ``going further than only pausing'' on interest rates as it did at its most recent meeting, Goeltom said.

``If inflationary pressures have started to go down as early indications that we have seen, we are open to any possibility of responding to it timely,'' she said. ``We don't want to be seen as over-reactive to the inflation numbers that came out this month because we have to see the longer-term picture.''

The central bank is also battling a declining currency because of a scarcity of U.S. dollars in the market. The rupiah has dropped 11.3 percent in the past month making it the worst performer among Asia's 10 most traded currencies. It fell 0.8 percent to 11,188 against the dollar at 1:09 p.m. in Jakarta.

``I think early in the first quarter of next year will be the right time for Bank Indonesia to cut rates given heavy pressure on the rupiah at the moment,'' said Destry Damayanti, an economist at PT Mandiri Sekuritas in Jakarta.

Slowing Growth

Indonesia's economy may expand as little as 5 percent next year as the world tilts toward a recession, Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati said on Nov. 9, adding that inflationary pressures are easing as commodity prices decline.

Should the U.S. and Europe not recover from recession next year it may ``affect our industry,'' Indonesia's Vice President Jusuf Kalla said in a speech in Jakarta today. Revenue at companies is falling, which means the government's tax collections will decline and affect the ability to develop infrastructure projects, he said.

``It is very important to have credible decisions,'' Goeltom said. ``Credible monetary policy is even more so important when the market is so uncertain.''

DJ_Archuleta

November 11th, 2008, 01:42 PM

Wapres Optimis Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Capai 8 Persen

Jakarta (ANTARA News) - "Kita percaya tahun depan hingga 2011 jika tidak ada sesuatu yang terjadi pada krisis ini,maka pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia bisa mencapai 8 persen per tahun," kata Wapres Yusuf Kalla dalam pidato pembukaan pertemuan UNDP di Jakarta, Selasa.

Menurut wapres hal itu dapat diraih dengan kerja keras dan pengembangan sistem yang dapat mereduksi besarnya subsidi BBM.

"30 persen APBN kita digunakan untuk mensubsidi BBM di dalam negeri. Oleh karenanya, jika kita mampu mengembangkan sistem dan teknologi untuk mengembangkan bahan bakar nabati yang dapat mengurangi ketergantungan terhadap minyak,maka subsidi dapat dihemat," katanya.

Wapres berharap Amerika Serikat dan Eropa mampu mengatasi krisis yang terjadi sehingga dunia usaha dikedua kawasan tersebut dapat kembali bergairah dan mampu menampung ekpor dari Indonesia.

"Krisis ini telah memukul industri komoditi dalam negeri hingga 50 persen karena turunnya permintaan dari pasar Eropa dan Amerika. Untuk itu,kita harapakan negara-negara di Eropa dan Amerika mampu keluar dari krisis," ungkapnya.

Menurut Wapres pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia mengalami perbaikan dari tahun ke tahun hingga mencapai 6,4 persen setelah krisis tahun 1998.

"Setelah 10 tahun keluar dari krisis pertumbuhan ekonomi kita mencapai 6,4%.Ini baik untuk kita," tegas Wapres.

AceN

November 11th, 2008, 06:16 PM

they should just change the value then..let say the govt make a new currency called perak or other names and simply make 1 perak to be equivalent to 1000 rupiah.. once it released, all indonesians would have to use two different currency which is rupiah and perak ( 1 perak = 1000 rupiah ) ... once the people got used to it, the govt then could easily swap the main indonesian currency from rupiah to perak .. and this would helps our currency to be much stronger than before.. 1 dollar would be equivalent to 9 perak :cheers::cheers:

Wah...se enggaknya g masih lebih bersyukur ama Rupiah. Dibanding Zimbabwe sih... :tongue2:

F-ian

November 11th, 2008, 06:24 PM

the govt should drop all the 000's in rupiah, for example $ 1 = IDR 9
instead of IDR 9,000 but the thing is why wouldn't the govt change the format into like that :ohno:

it would be better if its $1.00 = Rp. 9.00 :yes:

tp ya sama aja....

yudz83

November 11th, 2008, 06:26 PM

sebenarnya klo menurut pandanganku mata uang ngaruhnya di ekspor - impor, yah palig nggak dengan pelemahan ini,, lebih digenjot ato shock theraphy untuk produk buatan lokal hehe..

besaran mata uang kayanya ngga mencerminkan maju ato nggaknya perekonomian suatu negara.. sebagai contoh :

1 US$ = 99 yen

1 US$ = 1333 won korea

1 US$ = 35 bath thailand

1 US$ = 3.5 ringgit

apakah tu berarti thailand atau malaysia lebih makmur dari jepang ataupun korea?? rasanya tidak..

btw 1US$ = 5050 dolar zimbabwe loh.. brarti mereka lebih makmur ya? rasanya ngga juga..

keterangan lebih lanjut bisa dilihat di www.bloomberg.com

K14N

November 12th, 2008, 04:58 AM

^^ Tapi di JPN dan KOR, itu kayak INA, ga ada uang 1 yen atau 1 won gt kan. Terkecilnya 100 kayak rupiah. Jadi USD 1 = JPY 100 pun sama2 nominal terkecil di Jepang. Lah di Indo, USD 1 = IDR 10,000, padahal nominal terkecil kita 100?? :nuts:

the govt should drop all the 000's in rupiah, for example $ 1 = IDR 9
instead of IDR 9,000 but the thing is why wouldn't the govt change the format into like that :ohno:

they should just change the value then..let say the govt make a new currency called perak or other names and simply make 1 perak to be equivalent to 1000 rupiah.. once it released, all indonesians would have to use two different currency which is rupiah and perak ( 1 perak = 1000 rupiah ) ... once the people got used to it, the govt then could easily swap the main indonesian currency from rupiah to perak .. and this would helps our currency to be much stronger than before.. 1 dollar would be equivalent to 9 perak :cheers::cheers:

Gw setuju sama pandangan DJ. Ini namanya Sanering, bukan revaluasi. INA sudah pernah melakukan ini kan di tahun 60-an, membuang 3 angka 0, 1,000 jadi 1. Nah dulu itu dampaknya gimana yah? kan namanya tetep rupiah tuh, ga pake new2an... Tapi nilainya semua disesuaikan donk, harga barang, ekspor dll juga menggunakan nilai yg baru. Ga berarti harta kita 1 juta menjadi 1,000 tp harga barang2nya tetep 1 juta, bangkrut itu mah :nuts:

Turki juga kan baru2 ini membuang 6 angka 0 di Lira-nya dan namanya diubah jadi New Turkish Lira. Dulu baca di koran atau denger di TV, pemotongan angka 0 gini membuat rakyat Turki lebih semangat kerja dll. Efek psikologis lah karena selama ini misalnya mau jalan2 ke negara lain butuh misalnya EUR 1,000 = Lira Turki lama 1,000*2,000,000 = 2 milyar!! (misal aja EUR 1 = 2,000,000 Lira Turki lama)

Setelah sanering, nilai EUR kira2 cuma 2 New Turkish Lira (NTL). Itu artinya jalan2-nya jadi cuma butuh 2,000 NTL, ini membuat rakyat lebih termotivasi karena merasa 2,000 ga terlalu besar, ga kayak 2M! Mungkin efek yang sama bisa kita pakai di rupiah, kita buang 3 angka 0, jadinya USD 1 = IDR 10 lah saat ini. Mungkin kita juga akan lebih enak kli yah, harga mobil jadi 100,000, jalan2 ke Singapore dengan kurs SGD 1 = IDR 7. Ga kayak sekarang kan 0-nya bnyk bgt, hehe....

Mungkin usulan sanering ini bisa dipertimbangkan kali yah...?

AceN

November 12th, 2008, 05:24 AM

Mungkin usulan sanering ini bisa dipertimbangkan kali yah...?

G juga setuju sih. Emang efek psikologisnya bikin smangat karne kliatan jadi kecil :D

Btw, 1 USD itu 660an Trillion Zimbabwean Dollar..... kalo ga salah 5151 itu setelah revaluasi menjadi third dollar zimbabwe. Bentar lagi bakal ganti lagi jadi 4th dollar zimbabwe kayanya. Secara inflasi 231 juta persen.... :nuts:

kalo ga salah, 100.000.000.000 ( 100 Milyar ) dollar zimbabwe cuma bisa buat beli 3 biji telor doank..

peseg5

November 12th, 2008, 06:03 AM

G juga setuju sih. Emang efek psikologisnya bikin smangat karne kliatan jadi kecil :D

Btw, 1 USD itu 660an Trillion Zimbabwean Dollar..... kalo ga salah 5151 itu setelah revaluasi menjadi third dollar zimbabwe. Bentar lagi bakal ganti lagi jadi 4th dollar zimbabwe kayanya. Secara inflasi 231 juta persen.... :nuts:

kalo ga salah, 100.000.000.000 ( 100 Milyar ) dollar zimbabwe cuma bisa buat beli 3 biji telor doank..

^^

Berarti disana QUIZ Who Wants to be a Millionaire dijamin gak bakal laku...!!

(sorry OOT)

kaki_langit

November 12th, 2008, 07:18 AM

Mengapa ? Mari kita diskusikan !!!

Nah karena nggak ada yang jawab/diskusikan ... maka akan saya coba paparkan salah satu "Teori" sbb:

Beda dengan negara lain dimana nilai mata uangnya selalu dikaitkan dengan "fundamental" ekonomi negara ybs ... maka khusus untuk Indonesia (IDR) kasusnya amat beda ...

Berdasarkan data "empiris" ... Nilai tukar IDR terhadap USD selalu dikaitkan dengan ketersediaan USD di pasar .. sedangkan ketersediaan USD selalu berkaitan dengan Cash Inlow maupun Cash Outflow dari pemain asing di sini ...

Nilai IDR cenderung menguat jika terjadi Cash Inflow akibat mereka menjual USD untuk mendapatkan IDR .. sedangkan Nilai IDR melemah (seperti saat ini) karena adanya Cash Outflow (mereka membeli USD) ...

Berbeda dengan negara lain .. peran BI (selaku bank sentral) amat terbatas dalam melakukan intervensi nilai tukar IDR kita mengingat jumlah cadangan devisanya yang amat terbatas ...

Mengapa cadangan devisa China demikian besarnya ? sebab China selama ini mewajibkan eksportirnya menyerahkan seluruh valas yang diterima ke Bank Sentralnya .. Sedangkan kita (BI) nggak pernah melakukan itu ... Selama ini hasil surplus perdagangan berupa valas lebih banyak diparkir di Singapura atau negara lain .. bukan kembali ke Indonesia ...

Kombinasi dari Rezim Devisa Bebas (yang sebebas-bebasnya) + Ketidak-percayaan eksportir untuk mengembalikan valas hasil ekspornya ke Indonesia + Cash Inflow/Outflow Pemain/Investor Asing + Jumlah Cadangan Devisa yang tebatas ---> itulah yang selama ini menjadi penyebab utama "Gonjang-Ganjing" IDR yang aneh selama ini ....

K14N

November 12th, 2008, 10:35 AM

Mudah2an salah.... Kalau sebagian forumer pasti bilang, halah sumbernya detik.. Tapi substansinya Direktur Corporate Network sekaligus pakar Economist Intelligence Unit (EUI) Justin Wood itu tuh yang ngomong....

Rabu, 12/11/2008 15:07 WIB
Pertumbuhan Ekonomi RI 2009 Terancam Hanya 3,7%
Angga Aliya ZRF - detikFinance

Jakarta - Perekonomian Indonesia akan mendapat pukulan keras dari krisis keuangan yang melanda dunia saat ini. Pertumbuhan ekonomi tahun depan pun diprediksi akan tergilas hingga tinggal 3,7%.

Hal tersebut diungkapkan oleh Direktur Corporate Network sekaligus pakar Economist Intelligence Unit (EUI) Justin Wood dalam siaran pers di acara Economist Conference di Hotel Shangrila, Jakarta, Rabu (12/11/2008).

"Kondisi perekonomian Indonesia akan memburuk, dengan prediksi pertumbuhan turun drastis ke 3,7% pada tahun 2009. Semakin jelas terlihat bahwa tidak ada satu negara pun yang kebal krisis keuangan global yang menlanda dunia," katanya.

Ia menambahkan, pertumbuhan pesat dalam investasi aset tetap yang telah dinikmati Indonesia sejak 2007 akan menurun seiring dengan ketatnya likuiditas global. Artinya ketersediaan sumber pendanaan pun akan semakin sulit. Di sisi lain, penurunan atas ekspor Indonesia juga akan berdampak kepada perekonomian.

Pada Oktober lalu, EUI menerbitkan sebuah laporan yang mengkaji resiko bisnis di Indonesia. Selain adanya penurunan pertumbuhan ekonomi, laporan tersebut juga memperkirakan adanya aliran modal keluar dari Indonesia pada tahun depan. Jika ini benar-benar terjadi, bisa mengakibatkan perusahaan-perusahaan mengalami kesulitan pendanaan karena cadangan valuta asing menipis.

Laporan kajian tersebut juga memperingatkan akan adanya masa-masa sulit yang akan dihadapi Indonesia dalam waktu mendatang, yang terlihat dari pasar modal dan hutang yang sudah mulai terpengaruh krisis global, bersamaan dengan resiko yang muncul karena sejumlah besar surat hutang negara yang dipegang oleh investor-investor asing.

"Nilai rupiah terhadap dolar Amerika telah turun secara drastis dalam beberapa
minggu terakhir, meskipun kejatuhan mata uang atau krisis neraca pembayaran tidak akan terjadi pada tahap ini. Bank Indonesia telah memperketat kebijakan keuangan tahun ini demi menjaga inflasi dengan menjaga suku bunga tinggi dalam. Namun, kebijakan tersebut akan mengurangi pembelanjaan konsumen dan investasi yang pada akhirnya akan memperlambat perekonomian di Indonesia," jelasnya

Namun ia menegaskann, Indonesia sendiri telah membuat perbaikan-perbaikan penting bagi perekonomian di tahun-tahun terakhir ini yang akan membantu Indonesia untuk bertahan dalam menghadapi krisis finansial dan ekonomi.

"Hutang sektor publik telah diturunkan besar-besaran sejak tahun 2000 silam. Hal ini memberi keleluasaan pemerintah untuk melakukan stimulus fiskal di masa mendatang," katanya.(ang/lih)