Washington state weather & meteorology thread - Page 75

Capitol Hill · July 14th, 2012, 08:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jiggawhat?

It was cool up here in bellingham last evening but nothing since... Can we expect more joos?

I drove from Capitol Hill to Bellingham yesterday. Once you got north of Skagit county, it was nice.

jiggawhat? · July 16th, 2012, 01:42 AM

ya it was super nice yesterday up there! Joos whats it looking like for tonight and tomorrow for seattle?

Joosanova · July 16th, 2012, 04:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jiggawhat?

ya it was super nice yesterday up there! Joos whats it looking like for tonight and tomorrow for seattle?

What you see outside right now is what you'll see until Wed night at the earliest, Welcome back to Seattle " Summer "

Area of Low pressure dropping down out of BC will result in shitty typical cloudiness interspersed with occasional showers, and muckiness.

Enjoy!!!

Joosanova · July 16th, 2012, 05:24 AM

OK, well here's hoping the clouds break further this evening as tonight looks to be our best chance of seeing the aurora, Kp index is currently a "6" and forecast to briefly go as high as an "8" which is SUPER RARE for us but in any event, IF the clouds continue to break and the Kp index goes higher I highly suggest you go outside after dark and look for and enjoy the aurora if you can.

jiggawhat? · July 16th, 2012, 05:31 AM

Hmm
The news said tomorrow should be like Friday?

Joosanova · July 16th, 2012, 07:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jiggawhat?

Hmm
The news said tomorrow should be like Friday?

Out of the blue the T-storm threat tonight and tomorrow has jumped from 15% to 80% with several T-storm cells NOW popping up along the west crest of the cascades moving from East to West just like Friday, and one cell just moved through my place here in W. Sea moments ago with a couple lightning strikes, cell is rapidly intensifying as it moves WEST towards Bremerton. Do NOT be suprised if you are awaken later this evening with more T-storms developing.

shotsy · July 16th, 2012, 08:49 AM

Looks like a massive cell is heading toward Tacoma right now.

jessejb · July 18th, 2012, 06:01 PM

NOOOOOOO What happened to the forecast?
Me and my friends might have to cancel our beach party on Saturday.

jm31828 · July 18th, 2012, 06:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jessejb

NOOOOOOO What happened to the forecast?
Me and my friends might have to cancel our beach party on Saturday.

The national weather service is saying sunny and a high of 72 on Saturday, so it may not be really hot but it'll still be nice sunny weather for the beach!

jessejb · July 18th, 2012, 06:50 PM

Woo I hope so! Sounds like forecasting confidence has been really low lately so you never know what youll get. Its like Christmas every day.

Joosanova · July 19th, 2012, 05:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jessejb

NOOOOOOO What happened to the forecast?
Me and my friends might have to cancel our beach party on Saturday.

Likely a VERY good bet Jesse, New WRF - GFS has a new ULL sitting right on top of us ALL weekend, Below normal and rainy.

Joosanova · July 19th, 2012, 05:44 PM

ALSO....

Looking at the newest output this AM, The ULL over the Ore/CA border is finally kicking out of the area but as it does ( moving NE ) into E. Wa, it will enhance CAPE over the area and LI's over -5 and DP's ( dewpoints ) in the mid 60's to lower 70's, we are likely going to be seeing a WIDESPREAD threat of T-storms this evening and overnight ( bordering on Severe ) especially after sunset... Similar to last Friday although earlier time frame.

We could be looking at a pretty spectacular light show across much of the area later this evening and into tomorrow.

jessejb · July 19th, 2012, 08:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Joosanova

Likely a VERY good bet Jesse, New WRF - GFS has a new ULL sitting right on top of us ALL weekend, Below normal and rainy.

I personally take responsibility for the bad weather. Girlfriend's parents are visiting from back east AND sun-smug friends are flying in from AZ for the weekend too. Naturally it will be murky and below-normal temps.

jessejb · July 19th, 2012, 08:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Joosanova

ALSO....

Looking at the newest output this AM, The ULL over the Ore/CA border is finally kicking out of the area but as it does ( moving NE ) into E. Wa, it will enhance CAPE over the area and LI's over -5 and DP's ( dewpoints ) in the mid 60's to lower 70's, we are likely going to be seeing a WIDESPREAD threat of T-storms this evening and overnight ( bordering on Severe ) especially after sunset... Similar to last Friday although earlier time frame.

We could be looking at a pretty spectacular light show across much of the area later this evening and into tomorrow.

DAYUM! mid 60-low 70 dewpoints here??? And that starts later today??

Joosanova · July 19th, 2012, 08:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jessejb

DAYUM! mid 60-low 70 dewpoints here??? And that starts later today??

Yup, and the MM5 was even more bullish with the DP's showing mid to upper 70's ( I'm not buying that ) due to the poor resolution but if the DP's are in fact in the above aforementioned range then we could be looking at some big and long lived storms tonight and overnight.

Joosanova · July 19th, 2012, 08:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jessejb

I personally take responsibility for the bad weather. Girlfriend's parents are visiting from back east AND sun-smug friends are flying in from AZ for the weekend too. Naturally it will be murky and below-normal temps.

I don't know whether to laugh or feel sorry for you?

jessejb · July 20th, 2012, 12:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Joosanova

I don't know whether to laugh or feel sorry for you?

Out of towners showing up and the weather turns for the worse:

I win their hearts and minds with local FOOD and WINES.

Joosanova · July 20th, 2012, 01:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jessejb

Out of towners showing up and the weather turns for the worse:

I win their hearts and minds with local FOOD and WINES.

That MAY be BUT we're still stuck with the shitty Wx after they leave, So it's a no win sitiation

jessejb · July 20th, 2012, 07:27 AM

Its really comfortable tonight though. With the clouds coming in from the S it really kept temps moderate so dining al fresco with the ladies was fun. And went too long. And I spent too much. ugh.

Joosanova · July 20th, 2012, 07:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jessejb

And I spent too much. ugh.

And that's why I'm single.... NOT b/c I'm cheap but b/c women just have this knack to pick out the most expensive place known to man.

July 16th, 2012, 05:24 AM	#1484
Joosanova Resident Meteorologist Join Date: Feb 2009 Location: West Seattle Posts: 1,003 Likes (Received): 20	OK, well here's hoping the clouds break further this evening as tonight looks to be our best chance of seeing the aurora, Kp index is currently a "6" and forecast to briefly go as high as an "8" which is SUPER RARE for us but in any event, IF the clouds continue to break and the Kp index goes higher I highly suggest you go outside after dark and look for and enjoy the aurora if you can. __________________ SSC Resident Meteorologist

July 19th, 2012, 05:44 PM	#1492
Joosanova Resident Meteorologist Join Date: Feb 2009 Location: West Seattle Posts: 1,003 Likes (Received): 20	ALSO.... Looking at the newest output this AM, The ULL over the Ore/CA border is finally kicking out of the area but as it does ( moving NE ) into E. Wa, it will enhance CAPE over the area and LI's over -5 and DP's ( dewpoints ) in the mid 60's to lower 70's, we are likely going to be seeing a WIDESPREAD threat of T-storms this evening and overnight ( bordering on Severe ) especially after sunset... Similar to last Friday although earlier time frame. We could be looking at a pretty spectacular light show across much of the area later this evening and into tomorrow. __________________ SSC Resident Meteorologist

Thread Tools
Show Printable Version Email this Page
Display Modes
Linear Mode Switch to Hybrid Mode Switch to Threaded Mode

July 16th, 2012, 01:42 AM	#1482
jiggawhat? Registered User Join Date: Nov 2004 Posts: 816 Likes (Received): 2	ya it was super nice yesterday up there! Joos whats it looking like for tonight and tomorrow for seattle?

July 16th, 2012, 05:31 AM	#1485
jiggawhat? Registered User Join Date: Nov 2004 Posts: 816 Likes (Received): 2	Hmm The news said tomorrow should be like Friday?

July 16th, 2012, 08:49 AM	#1487
shotsy Registered User Join Date: Apr 2005 Posts: 260 Likes (Received): 22	Looks like a massive cell is heading toward Tacoma right now.

July 18th, 2012, 06:01 PM	#1488
jessejb Registered User Join Date: Oct 2007 Location: Seattle Posts: 2,695 Likes (Received): 104	NOOOOOOO What happened to the forecast? Me and my friends might have to cancel our beach party on Saturday.

July 18th, 2012, 06:50 PM	#1490
jessejb Registered User Join Date: Oct 2007 Location: Seattle Posts: 2,695 Likes (Received): 104	Woo I hope so! Sounds like forecasting confidence has been really low lately so you never know what youll get. Its like Christmas every day.

July 20th, 2012, 07:27 AM	#1499
jessejb Registered User Join Date: Oct 2007 Location: Seattle Posts: 2,695 Likes (Received): 104	Its really comfortable tonight though. With the clouds coming in from the S it really kept temps moderate so dining al fresco with the ladies was fun. And went too long. And I spent too much. ugh.