search the site
 daily menu » rate the banner | guess the city | one on oneforums map | privacy policy | DMCA | news magazine | posting guidelines

Go Back   SkyscraperCity > Asian Forums > India > South > South India Projects > Kerala



Global Announcement

As a general reminder, please respect others and respect copyrights. Go here to familiarize yourself with our posting policy.


Reply

 
Thread Tools
Old March 4th, 2016, 07:14 PM   #121
Reghu
Kollam Rising
 
Reghu's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: Kollam/Mumbai/Bengaluru
Posts: 13,146
Likes (Received): 8020

BJP + BJDS combine will ensure 5 seats for BJP and another 5 seconds in Kerala.

Palakkad and Nemom will be huge majority. There will be a surprise from Thrissur!

Quote:
Originally Posted by riva.tholoor.philip View Post
1. Nemom - Sure victory for Rajettan

2. TVM - BJP has chance if Kummanam/Suresh Gopi is candidate

3. Vattiyoorkavu - Sure victory for K. Muralidharan (Nair-Christian votes for Murali), Congress

4. Palakkad. BJP has chance. But local BJP people opposing Shobha Surendran. As of now Shafi has advantage

5. Manjeshwaram. Sure victory for IUML. Th local BJP (especially Kannada/Tulu people) opposing K. Surendran. Balakrishna Shetty, Suresh Shetty, or Narayan Bhatt had more chance.

6. Kasaragod - BJP has chance only if they field strong candidate. Otherwise, IUML has chance.

I am predicting 2-3 seats for BJP.
Reghu no está en línea   Reply With Quote

Sponsored Links
Old March 5th, 2016, 07:12 AM   #122
arjun unnikrishnan
Registered User
 
arjun unnikrishnan's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2014
Location: Palakkad
Posts: 801
Likes (Received): 306

K Surendran is going to contest from Trivandrum.(Finalised)
arjun unnikrishnan no está en línea   Reply With Quote
Old March 5th, 2016, 08:29 AM   #123
riva.tholoor.philip
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2012
Posts: 4,079
Likes (Received): 1078

Quote:
Originally Posted by Reghu View Post
BJP + BJDS combine will ensure 5 seats for BJP and another 5 seconds in Kerala.

Palakkad and Nemom will be huge majority. There will be a surprise from Thrissur!
Reghu,

BJDS cannot win even a single seat, or cannot come in 2nd in any seat. I am not sure, whether they will cross 10000 figure in any seats.

BJP can win 2-3 seats. Rajagopal sure to win Nemom. BJP can win TVM if they field Kummanam/Suresh Gopi there. However Rajasenan/Major Ravi/K. Surendran cannot win TVM.

BJP has no chance in Vattiyoorkavu.

In Palakkad, BJP has some chance. However it depends on how BJP tackle local rebellion against Shobha.

BJP can come 2nd in Aranmula only if they field Kummanam/Suresh Gopi.

If K. Surendran is BJP candidate in Manjeshwaram/Kasaragod, BJP will lose that seat to IUML.

I will give 2-3 seats to BJP. 0 for BDJS.
__________________

rajkrish liked this post
riva.tholoor.philip no está en línea   Reply With Quote
Old March 5th, 2016, 08:32 AM   #124
riva.tholoor.philip
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2012
Posts: 4,079
Likes (Received): 1078

Quote:
Originally Posted by arjun unnikrishnan View Post
K Surendran is going to contest from Trivandrum.(Finalised)
That means BJP will lose TVM too?

I heard BJP is still negotiating with Suresh Gopi on TVM.

Also on of my friend (a BJP leader) says Kummanam might contest from Ettumanoor. For Kummanam, TVM/Aranmula is better than Ettumanoor.
riva.tholoor.philip no está en línea   Reply With Quote
Old March 5th, 2016, 08:39 AM   #125
arjun unnikrishnan
Registered User
 
arjun unnikrishnan's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2014
Location: Palakkad
Posts: 801
Likes (Received): 306

If BJP conduct proper campaign in PKD and TVM by bringing Modi/Amit shah or other central leaders,they have chance of winning.
arjun unnikrishnan no está en línea   Reply With Quote
Old March 5th, 2016, 09:16 AM   #126
Malayaali
Registered Kochiite
 
Malayaali's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2011
Location: Kochi/Cochin
Posts: 19,294
Likes (Received): 7066

Malayaali no está en línea   Reply With Quote
Old March 5th, 2016, 11:38 AM   #127
thanseem
Registered User
 
thanseem's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 2,230
Likes (Received): 1575

Quote:
Originally Posted by Reghu View Post
BJP + BJDS combine will ensure 5 seats for BJP and another 5 seconds in Kerala.

Palakkad and Nemom will be huge majority. There will be a surprise from Thrissur!
enthelum onnu adjust cheyyanam..please..

as of now Shafi has huge adv..
__________________

Malayaali, unnikuttan liked this post
thanseem está en línea ahora   Reply With Quote
Old March 5th, 2016, 01:57 PM   #128
Reghu
Kollam Rising
 
Reghu's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: Kollam/Mumbai/Bengaluru
Posts: 13,146
Likes (Received): 8020

Shafi's advantage is purely based on last Assembly elections and LS elections data. Scenario is changed now. Palakkad people know what happend in the Assembly while BJP presented the finance budget. That itself will give enough advantage for Sobha Surendran.

Quote:
Originally Posted by thanseem View Post
enthelum onnu adjust cheyyanam..please..

as of now Shafi has huge adv..
Reghu no está en línea   Reply With Quote
Old March 5th, 2016, 07:48 PM   #129
vu3nnn
Registered User
 
vu3nnn's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: Cochin
Posts: 1,800
Likes (Received): 1206

Quote:
Originally Posted by Reghu View Post
Shafi's advantage is purely based on last Assembly elections and LS elections data. Scenario is changed now. Palakkad people know what happend in the Assembly while BJP presented the finance budget. That itself will give enough advantage for Sobha Surendran.
Yeah...instead of giving 15 lakhs to everyone, BJPs finance budget is now going to take away 15 lakh from almost all working indians (tax on EPF)... and people still expect BJP to get huge majority....

BJP will at best win one seat in Trivandrum dist... nothing else. It will be a LDF sweep in most places.
__________________

kNri liked this post
vu3nnn no está en línea   Reply With Quote
Old March 5th, 2016, 09:18 PM   #130
Reghu
Kollam Rising
 
Reghu's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: Kollam/Mumbai/Bengaluru
Posts: 13,146
Likes (Received): 8020

LDF will defintely come to power in Kerala. UDF will lose miserably and the thumping win of LDF will be due to BJP's intrusion of UDF votes.

Nobody is predicting BJP will win more than 5 seats. Even a single seat is a great achievement at this stage.

Moreover, even BJP wants LDF as their opposition in future. As per my assumption, this election will ensure the decline of congress in Kerala. In future, UDF means Kerala Congress + IUML. Congress will be a third prioirity in UDF. This will be a reality in the next 10 years.

Quote:
Originally Posted by vu3nnn View Post
Yeah...instead of giving 15 lakhs to everyone, BJPs finance budget is now going to take away 15 lakh from almost all working indians (tax on EPF)... and people still expect BJP to get huge majority....

BJP will at best win one seat in Trivandrum dist... nothing else. It will be a LDF sweep in most places.
Reghu no está en línea   Reply With Quote
Old March 6th, 2016, 05:04 AM   #131
Travancore13
Travancore
 
Travancore13's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2013
Location: The Walkable City
Posts: 4,822
Likes (Received): 1711

One Projection !!

__________________
“What is past is past. Never go back. Not for excuses. Not for justification. Not for happiness. You are what you are, the world is what it is.” - The Last Don

Travancore13 no está en línea   Reply With Quote
Old March 6th, 2016, 05:57 AM   #132
unnikuttan
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: Trivandrum/kottayam
Posts: 204
Likes (Received): 55

Quote:
Originally Posted by Reghu View Post
LDF will defintely come to power in Kerala. UDF will lose miserably and the thumping win of LDF will be due to BJP's intrusion of UDF votes.

Nobody is predicting BJP will win more than 5 seats. Even a single seat is a great achievement at this stage.

Moreover, even BJP wants LDF as their opposition in future. As per my assumption, this election will ensure the decline of congress in Kerala. In future, UDF means Kerala Congress + IUML. Congress will be a third prioirity in UDF. This will be a reality in the next 10 years.
I don't think single seat win is a achievement for BJP, since it is a national party. Also backed by largest religious organisation RSS.
Even independent candidate can win from Kerala , then why not BJP?
Your assumption about congress in kerala is absolutely wrong, but may be true for kollam district alone.
INC will regain its 39 seats.
INC will lose 4/5 seats in TVM district, but they will compensate it from other districts..
If K . Sudhakarn cotests from Uduma they will get it.
Kannur, Irikoor, Peravoor,
Mananthavady/ sulthanbathery
beypoor
Nilamboor, vandoor, Thavanoor
Thrithala,pattambi,Palakkad,chitoor,mannarkad/kongad
Vadakkanchery,manaloor,ollur,trissur, kodungallor(if T N Prathapan),Chelakkara
Angamaly,Paravoor,Aluva,kunnathunadu,ernakulam,kochi,trikkakara,perumbavoor,vypin.
udumbanchola/peerumed
vaikom,puthupally,kottayam
harippad,chenganoor,kuttanad
konni,aranmula
no seats from kollam
varkala,aruvikkara,vattiyoorkav,nedumangad/neyyatinkara
unnikuttan no está en línea   Reply With Quote
Old March 6th, 2016, 09:58 AM   #133
riva.tholoor.philip
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2012
Posts: 4,079
Likes (Received): 1078

UDF Seats:

TVM: Neyyatinkara, Parassala, Kattakada, Kovalam, Aruvikkara, Vattiyoorkavu, Kazhakkoottam, Vamanapuram, Varkala

Kollam: Eravipuram, Chavara, Chathannur, Karunagapally, Kunnathur, Kottarakara (if Balakrishna Pillai is LDF candidate),

Pathanamthitta: Konni, Aranmula, Adoor, Thiruvalla (if Puthussery is candidate), Ranni (if Ringoo is candidate),

Alappuzha: Chengannur, Haripad, Kuttanad, Aroor, Kayamkulam

Kottayam: Changanacherry, Kanjirapally, Kottayam, Ettumanoor, Kaduthuruthy, Palai, Puthupally, Poonjar (if PC George contests as LDF rebel. If Francis George is LDF candidate then LDF will win)

Idukki - Idukki, Thodupuzha, Devikulam

EKM: Kochi, Ernakulam, Thrikkakara, Kalamassery, Aluva, Angamali, Perumbavoor, Piravam, Muvattupuzha, Kothamangalam, Kunnathunadu

Thrissur - Guruvayoor, Kunnamkulam, Chalakudi, Irinjalakuda, Ollur, Thrissur, Manalur (if Sudheeran contests), Kodungallur (if Prathapan contests),

Palakkad: Palakkad (80%), Chittur, Pattambi, Thrithala, Mannarkkad

Malappuram - UDF will win all 16 except Ponnani

Kozhikode - Koduvally, Thiruvambadi, Vadakara, Koilandy

Wayanad - Kalpetta, Mananthavady, Sulthan Bathery

Kannur - Kannur, Azhikode, Koothuparambu, Peravoor, Irikkur

Kasaragod - Manjeshwaram, Kasaragod, Uduma

Main Losers: VD Satheesan, VS Sivakumar, MK Muneer, K Babu

Total: 89-95

Last edited by riva.tholoor.philip; March 6th, 2016 at 10:13 AM.
riva.tholoor.philip no está en línea   Reply With Quote
Old March 6th, 2016, 10:11 AM   #134
unnikuttan
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: Trivandrum/kottayam
Posts: 204
Likes (Received): 55


I cant' see any 'UDF wave'
UDF may get 67 seats
INC - 39
IUML - 15
KC - 9
JD(U) - 2
RSP -1
KC (JACOB) -1
unnikuttan no está en línea   Reply With Quote
Old March 6th, 2016, 10:17 AM   #135
Reghu
Kollam Rising
 
Reghu's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: Kollam/Mumbai/Bengaluru
Posts: 13,146
Likes (Received): 8020

In Kollam, LDF will sweep all the 11 seats. I predict another 5 ministers from Kollam (LDF) this time.

Kollam going to see another developmental period during the 2020 time!.

Quote:
Originally Posted by unnikuttan View Post

I cant' see any 'UDF wave'
UDF may get 67 seats
INC - 39
IUML - 15
KC - 9
JD(U) - 2
RSP -1
KC (JACOB) -1
Reghu no está en línea   Reply With Quote
Old March 6th, 2016, 10:18 AM   #136
unnikuttan
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: Trivandrum/kottayam
Posts: 204
Likes (Received): 55

Quote:
Originally Posted by riva.tholoor.philip View Post
UDF Seats:

TVM: Neyyatinkara, Parassala, Kattakada, Kovalam, Aruvikkara, Vattiyoorkavu, Kazhakkoottam, Vamanapuram, Varkala

Kollam: Eravipuram, Chavara, Chathannur, Karunagapally, Kunnathur, Kottarakara (if Balakrishna Pillai is LDF candidate),

Pathanamthitta: Konni, Aranmula, Adoor, Thiruvalla (if Puthussery is candidate), Ranni (if Ringoo is candidate),

Alappuzha: Chengannur, Haripad, Kuttanad, Aroor, Kayamkulam

Kottayam: Changanacherry, Kanjirapally, Kottayam, Ettumanoor, Kaduthuruthy, Palai, Puthupally, Poonjar (if PC George contests as LDF rebel. If Francis George is LDF candidate then LDF will win)

Idukki - Idukki, Thodupuzha, Devikulam

EKM: Kochi, Ernakulam, Thrikkakara, Kalamassery, Aluva, Angamali, Perumbavoor, Piravam, Muvattupuzha, Kothamangalam, Kunnathunadu

Thrissur - Guruvayoor, Kunnamkulam, Chalakudi, Irinjalakuda, Ollur, Thrissur, Manalur (if Sudheeran contests), Kodungallur (if Prathapan contests),

Palakkad: Palakkad (80%), Chittur, Pattambi, Thrithala, Mannarkkad

Malappuram - UDF will win all 16 except Ponnani

Kozhikode - Koduvally, Thiruvambadi, Vadakara, Koilandy

Wayanad - Kalpetta, Mananthavady, Sulthan Bathery

Kannur - Kannur, Azhikode, Koothuparambu, Peravoor, Irikkur

Kasaragod - Manjeshwaram, Kasaragod, Uduma

Main Losers: VD Satheesan, VS Sivakumar, MK Muneer, K Babu

Total: 89-95
V D Satheesan will win from paravoor, while other 3 will lose
unnikuttan no está en línea   Reply With Quote
Old March 6th, 2016, 11:41 AM   #137
aravindshivshetty
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2015
Posts: 104
Likes (Received): 37

Quote:
Originally Posted by riva.tholoor.philip View Post
UDF Seats:

TVM: Neyyatinkara, Parassala, Kattakada, Kovalam, Aruvikkara, Vattiyoorkavu, Kazhakkoottam, Vamanapuram, Varkala

Kollam: Eravipuram, Chavara, Chathannur, Karunagapally, Kunnathur, Kottarakara (if Balakrishna Pillai is LDF candidate),

Pathanamthitta: Konni, Aranmula, Adoor, Thiruvalla (if Puthussery is candidate), Ranni (if Ringoo is candidate),

Alappuzha: Chengannur, Haripad, Kuttanad, Aroor, Kayamkulam

Kottayam: Changanacherry, Kanjirapally, Kottayam, Ettumanoor, Kaduthuruthy, Palai, Puthupally, Poonjar (if PC George contests as LDF rebel. If Francis George is LDF candidate then LDF will win)

Idukki - Idukki, Thodupuzha, Devikulam

EKM: Kochi, Ernakulam, Thrikkakara, Kalamassery, Aluva, Angamali, Perumbavoor, Piravam, Muvattupuzha, Kothamangalam, Kunnathunadu

Thrissur - Guruvayoor, Kunnamkulam, Chalakudi, Irinjalakuda, Ollur, Thrissur, Manalur (if Sudheeran contests), Kodungallur (if Prathapan contests),

Palakkad: Palakkad (80%), Chittur, Pattambi, Thrithala, Mannarkkad

Malappuram - UDF will win all 16 except Ponnani

Kozhikode - Koduvally, Thiruvambadi, Vadakara, Koilandy

Wayanad - Kalpetta, Mananthavady, Sulthan Bathery

Kannur - Kannur, Azhikode, Koothuparambu, Peravoor, Irikkur

Kasaragod - Manjeshwaram, Kasaragod, Uduma

Main Losers: VD Satheesan, VS Sivakumar, MK Muneer, K Babu

Total: 89-95
Bold predictions. I wonder if Oommen Chandy even believes of such an outcome. With anti-incumbency against the LDF and all polls predicting a UDF wave, UDF could only barely get through with 71 seats. And now when the UDF is at its worst with anti-incumbency against it, not to mention all the scams, it would be a big shock if UDF crosses 50 seats.
__________________

vu3nnn liked this post

Last edited by aravindshivshetty; March 6th, 2016 at 11:46 AM.
aravindshivshetty no está en línea   Reply With Quote
Old March 6th, 2016, 12:01 PM   #138
RajeshVR
Registered User
 
RajeshVR's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 4,870
Likes (Received): 4880

Quote:
Originally Posted by unnikuttan View Post

I cant' see any 'UDF wave'
UDF may get 67 seats
INC - 39
IUML - 15
KC - 9
JD(U) - 2
RSP -1
KC (JACOB) -1

Muslim league 20+ (fixed deposit)
RajeshVR no está en línea   Reply With Quote
Old March 6th, 2016, 12:07 PM   #139
RajeshVR
Registered User
 
RajeshVR's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 4,870
Likes (Received): 4880

Mamata to campaign in Kerala to ‘expose’ Congress, CPI(M)

hile strongly underscoring that an opposition alliance would not affect ruling Trinamool Congress (TMC) in Bengal’s forthcoming Assembly election in any way, the party chairperson and the Chief Minister came down heavily against her emerging new rivals in the State - the Left-Congress alliance.

On Friday, while releasing the first and final list of candidates, Ms Banerjee reiterated that the alliance is introducing “unethical” politics in the States where Communist Party of India (CPI-M) is a force, West Bengal and Kerala.

She stated that she would tour Kerala, besides Bengal, to expose the “lack of morality” of Congress and the Communists in Bengal.

Congress and the Left Front have entered into an “informal seat sharing” arrangement in Bengal, the leaders have said.

I willl certainly go to Kerala to expose the CPI-M and the Congress and their unethical alliance in Bengal…because I want to give a message to people of Kerala about the lack of morality of the two parties,” Ms Banerjee said. She further argued that the CPI-M and the Congress entered into “a joint venture” thus turning “Kerala election into a farce.”

http://www.thehindu.com/news/cities/...cle8315832.ece
RajeshVR no está en línea   Reply With Quote
Old March 6th, 2016, 12:29 PM   #140
vu3nnn
Registered User
 
vu3nnn's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: Cochin
Posts: 1,800
Likes (Received): 1206

Quote:
Originally Posted by unnikuttan View Post
Angamaly,Paravoor,Aluva,kunnathunadu,ernakulam,kochi,trikkakara,perumbavoor,vypin.
A lot depends on the candidates, but at this point of time you can strike off Angamaly, Perumbavoor, and Vypeen from the UDF list. The LDF MLAs there have won repeatedly, beating anti-incumbency and pro-UDF waves in the past, and theres no reason why they shouldnt win this time round as well.

Even Thrikkakara is in doubt for UDF, thanks to Benny Behanan's antics. Likewise, if Dominic Presentation is the candidate again from Kochi, and LDF fields an acceptable candidate, UDF will lose Kochi as well.

Only Ernakulam is a sure seat for Congress in EKM district. All the other seats can go either way, depending on candidate selection.
vu3nnn no está en línea   Reply With Quote


Reply

Thread Tools

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Related topics on SkyscraperCity


All times are GMT +2. The time now is 08:04 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11 Beta 4
Copyright ©2000 - 2017, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
Feedback Buttons provided by Advanced Post Thanks / Like (Pro) - vBulletin Mods & Addons Copyright © 2017 DragonByte Technologies Ltd.

vBulletin Optimisation provided by vB Optimise (Pro) - vBulletin Mods & Addons Copyright © 2017 DragonByte Technologies Ltd.

SkyscraperCity ☆ In Urbanity We trust ☆ about us | privacy policy | DMCA policy

Hosted by Blacksun, dedicated to this site too!
Forum server management by DaiTengu