Predict Chicago's 2010 population

Mr Downtown · February 6th, 2011, 04:27 AM

Block-level statistics from the 2010 Census will be coming out soon. So let's see who does best at predicting how the city has changed. Post your prediction for the total population of Chicago.

For bonus points, predict the total residential population in the Central Planning Area (roughly bounded by North Ave, Halsted, Kinzie, Paulina, Polk, I-94, 18th, Canal, I-55, in which the 2000 population was 111,742).

I'll go with
Chicago 2,821,888
Central Planning Area 166,888

The Urban Politician · February 6th, 2011, 07:06 AM

2.811,974

Central area:

157,103

If I'm right, do I win anything?

ardecila · February 6th, 2011, 01:14 PM

What a weird boundary. I wouldn't include anything south of the Ike or west of Clark, with the exception of the LaSalle Park area and the handful of buildings near the Greyhound station. In the West Loop, Paulina's way too far west. Even Ogden seems too far, but it's better. Maybe Throop? It's a pretty clear dividing line between hardcore dense Chicagoan warehouse district and Modernist Corbusian fantasyland.

On the north side, I'd omit everything north of Division, too.

bnk · February 6th, 2011, 08:55 PM

2.811,973

Central area:

157,102

The Urban Politician · February 6th, 2011, 08:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bnk

2.811,973

Central area:

157,102

^

BorisMolotov · February 7th, 2011, 06:20 AM

Is it closest without going over?

elguero · February 8th, 2011, 03:18 AM

City: 2830952

central area: 168,103

bnk · February 8th, 2011, 07:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BorisMolotov

Is it closest without going over?

That is usually how it works ala the Price is right. But if DT is closer in population in pure numbers I would accept him as a clear winner. I just thought that the numerbers were to come out soon and be lower that what TUP expects. So therefore I took an inteligent bet hoping that there were few if any other guesses.

Plus great minds think alike. In the recient past we have posted the exact same article and bolded almost the same parts of the story miniutes apart on several occasions. TUP to me is my kindred soul.

I have defended him on numerous , within the intertubes and on other occasions and he has had my back likewise.

Mr Downtown · February 8th, 2011, 04:35 PM

Closest arithmetically. Winner gets a copy of Chicago's Famous Buildings, 5th ed.

PointDuSable · February 8th, 2011, 08:57 PM

Correct me if I'm wrong, but hasn't the official 2010 census data been released? When are these block level statistics being released?

Mr Downtown · February 8th, 2011, 11:19 PM

Redistricting (block-level population) data was just released last week for Louisiana, Mississippi, New Jersey and Virginia; Arkansas, Iowa, Indiana and Maryland should be out this week.

ChitownCity · February 8th, 2011, 11:57 PM

why does it come out like that instead all being released at once?

Mr Downtown · February 9th, 2011, 04:43 AM

I presume it's released as the statistical work and cross-checking is completed.

The Urban Politician · February 15th, 2011, 04:35 AM

Tommorrow's the big day!

I can't wait to get my book, Mr D

Chicagoago · February 15th, 2011, 08:40 PM

^ Suppose to be within the next hour! I'm going to guess Chicago's population at 2,848,988

The Urban Politician · February 15th, 2011, 09:08 PM

According to Greg Hinz, who got an advanced copy of the data,

Chicago's 2010 census population is 2.695 million.

OUCH!!!!

***desertpunk*** · February 15th, 2011, 09:17 PM

uscensus.gov

Quote:

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: TUESDAY, FEB. 15, 2011

U.S. Census Bureau Delivers Illinois' 2010 Census Population Totals

The U.S. Census Bureau today released more detailed 2010 Census population totals and demographic characteristics to the governor and leadership of the state legislature in Illinois. These data provide the first look at population counts for small areas and race, Hispanic origin, voting age and housing unit data released from the 2010 Census.

The official 2010 Census Redistricting Data Summary File can be used to redraw federal, state and local legislative districts under Public Law 94-171. The census data are used by state officials to realign congressional and state legislative districts in their states, taking into account population shifts since the 2000 Census.

Data for Illinois show that the five most populous incorporated places and their 2010 Census counts are Chicago, 2,695,598; Aurora, 197,899; Rockford, 152,871; Joliet, 147,433; and Naperville, 141,853. Chicago decreased by 6.9 percent since the 2000 Census. Aurora grew by 38.4 percent, Rockford grew by 1.8 percent, Joliet grew by 38.8 percent, and Naperville grew by 10.5 percent.

The largest county is Cook with a population of 5,194,675. Its population decreased by 3.4 percent since 2000. The other counties in the top five include DuPage, with a population of 916,924 (increase of 1.4 percent); Lake, 703,462 (increase of 9.2 percent); Will, 677,560 (increase of 34.9 percent); and Kane, 515,269 (increase of 27.5 percent).

***desertpunk*** · February 15th, 2011, 09:18 PM

Expect a challenge to those numbers...

PointDuSable · February 15th, 2011, 09:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Urban Politician

According to Greg Hinz, who got an advanced copy of the data,

Chicago's 2010 census population is 2.695 million.

OUCH!!!!

That's what I was thinking! Yikes -- so we are losing people!?!? Not what I wanted to hear, especially since I've been bragging on about Chicago recently to some friends who were visiting from Dallas and Houston - in regards to their comments about population growth. Damn

bnk · February 15th, 2011, 10:05 PM

Looks like I win the book. Thanks Mr D.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr Downtown

Closest arithmetically. Winner gets a copy of Chicago's Famous Buildings, 5th ed.

I heard on the radio that the population of whites and asians increased, hispanics stayed about the same and the blacks lost numbers big time.

February 6th, 2011, 04:27 AM	#1
Mr Downtown Urbane observer Join Date: Aug 2006 Location: Chicago Posts: 1,532 Likes (Received): 0	Predict Chicago's 2010 population Block-level statistics from the 2010 Census will be coming out soon. So let's see who does best at predicting how the city has changed. Post your prediction for the total population of Chicago. For bonus points, predict the total residential population in the Central Planning Area (roughly bounded by North Ave, Halsted, Kinzie, Paulina, Polk, I-94, 18th, Canal, I-55, in which the 2000 population was 111,742). I'll go with Chicago 2,821,888 Central Planning Area 166,888

February 6th, 2011, 07:06 AM	#2
The Urban Politician The City Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 5,968 Likes (Received): 0	2.811,974 Central area: 157,103 If I'm right, do I win anything? __________________ It is humanly impossible to walk through Chicago's core and not consider it one of the world's great cities unless you are inwardly angry at the place for somehow threatening or robbing your hometown of its vitality or integrity.

February 15th, 2011, 04:35 AM	#14
The Urban Politician The City Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 5,968 Likes (Received): 0	Tommorrow's the big day! I can't wait to get my book, Mr D __________________ It is humanly impossible to walk through Chicago's core and not consider it one of the world's great cities unless you are inwardly angry at the place for somehow threatening or robbing your hometown of its vitality or integrity.

February 15th, 2011, 08:40 PM	#15
Chicagoago Registered User Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 1,669 Likes (Received): 44	^ Suppose to be within the next hour! I'm going to guess Chicago's population at 2,848,988 __________________ It was twelve noon...of course I was drunk

February 15th, 2011, 09:08 PM	#16
The Urban Politician The City Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 5,968 Likes (Received): 0	According to Greg Hinz, who got an advanced copy of the data, Chicago's 2010 census population is 2.695 million. OUCH!!!! __________________ It is humanly impossible to walk through Chicago's core and not consider it one of the world's great cities unless you are inwardly angry at the place for somehow threatening or robbing your hometown of its vitality or integrity.

February 6th, 2011, 01:14 PM	#3
ardecila Jack-Of-All-Trades Join Date: Jul 2005 Location: New Orleans/Chicago Posts: 1,392 Likes (Received): 0	What a weird boundary. I wouldn't include anything south of the Ike or west of Clark, with the exception of the LaSalle Park area and the handful of buildings near the Greyhound station. In the West Loop, Paulina's way too far west. Even Ogden seems too far, but it's better. Maybe Throop? It's a pretty clear dividing line between hardcore dense Chicagoan warehouse district and Modernist Corbusian fantasyland. On the north side, I'd omit everything north of Division, too.

February 6th, 2011, 08:55 PM	#4
bnk Registered User Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 1,104 Likes (Received): 39	2.811,973 Central area: 157,102

February 7th, 2011, 06:20 AM	#6
BorisMolotov Registered User Join Date: Dec 2006 Location: Madison, WI Posts: 354 Likes (Received): 0	Is it closest without going over?

February 8th, 2011, 03:18 AM	#7
elguero Registered User Join Date: Oct 2009 Location: Chicago/DF Posts: 38 Likes (Received): 0	City: 2830952 central area: 168,103

February 8th, 2011, 04:35 PM	#9
Mr Downtown Urbane observer Join Date: Aug 2006 Location: Chicago Posts: 1,532 Likes (Received): 0	Closest arithmetically. Winner gets a copy of Chicago's Famous Buildings, 5th ed.

February 8th, 2011, 08:57 PM	#10
PointDuSable Registered User Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 56 Likes (Received): 0	Correct me if I'm wrong, but hasn't the official 2010 census data been released? When are these block level statistics being released?

February 8th, 2011, 11:19 PM	#11
Mr Downtown Urbane observer Join Date: Aug 2006 Location: Chicago Posts: 1,532 Likes (Received): 0	Redistricting (block-level population) data was just released last week for Louisiana, Mississippi, New Jersey and Virginia; Arkansas, Iowa, Indiana and Maryland should be out this week.

February 8th, 2011, 11:57 PM	#12
ChitownCity Registered User Join Date: May 2010 Location: CGO, IL Posts: 1,354 Likes (Received): 1	why does it come out like that instead all being released at once?

February 9th, 2011, 04:43 AM	#13
Mr Downtown Urbane observer Join Date: Aug 2006 Location: Chicago Posts: 1,532 Likes (Received): 0	I presume it's released as the statistical work and cross-checking is completed.

February 15th, 2011, 09:18 PM	#18
*desertpunk* Whiskey Tango Foxtrot Join Date: Oct 2009 Location: ELP ~ ABQ Posts: 29,651 Likes (Received): 1374	Expect a challenge to those numbers... __________________ We are floating in space...

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