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Old July 12th, 2012, 08:12 PM   #1241
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C.K Prahalad.. He passed away recently, right?
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Old July 12th, 2012, 08:19 PM   #1242
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Will this happen?

Resurrection of gold standard



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The gold standard has a long history from times immemorial, but in the past hundred years countries have been emboldened to move to fiat (printed) money, only to come to grief.

Today’s political leaders, bureaucrats, central bankers and economists think of the gold standard as some quaint ritual from the scrap-heap of discarded causes. Advocates of the gold standard are labelled as followers of some atavistic order.

Just before the start of the 20th Century, the gold standard was a subject of fierce debate in the Presidential elections in the US.

Americans from the South and the West believed that the gold standard had harmed their interest. Riding on the crest of this belief, William Jennings Bryan fought the 1896 elections as the Democratic candidate.

Bryan, in a surcharged speech, made his famous statement “You shall not press down upon the brow of labour the crown of thorns; you shall not crucify mankind upon a cross of gold”. In the upshot, Bryan lost the election of 1896, and in 1900 the Gold Standard Act returned the US to the gold standard. As a postscript, it is worth noting that Bryan lost the Presidential elections in 1900 and 1908.

After the First World War, many countries went off the gold standard which resulted in inflation and disrupted economic activity and ultimately led to the Great Depression and deflation. As Jaques Rueff says in his Monetary Sins of the West (1972), there was catastrophic suffering till 1934, when President Franklin Delano Roosevelt raised the price of gold from $20 to $35 per ounce; this was in effect a devaluation of the US dollar! Critics of Roosevelt warned about unbridled inflation and total chaos but, to the contrary, the economy recovered.

The Bretton Woods system, introduced in 1945, was some sort of a Gold Exchange Standard. The US committed to a $35 per ounce price and other countries pegged their exchange rate to the US dollar. This eventually broke down in August 1971 when President Nixon broke the US dollar-gold link.

RESERVE CURRENCY SYSTEM

What followed was 40 years of international monetary chaos. Despite this, international monetary pundits believe that international monetary exchange rate stability can be achieved by skilful co-ordinated action by the major countries.

Financial leaders the world over are arrogant enough to refuse to see the shambles in which the international monetary system finds itself today.

The reserve currency system, which has evolved, is the source of what Rueff called “deficits without tears” — to consume without producing which damages economies irrevocably. There is an imperative need to restore real integrity to the world’s monetary system.

The Royal Institute of International Affairs’ recent Task Force Report on the role of gold in the international monetary system, did not favour a major role for gold.

The major countries whose currencies are in the SDR basket would not support the introduction of gold in the SDR basket because it would increase these countries’ liabilities when they would be most reluctant to take on larger liabilities.

The cat comes out of the bag. The countries which have a major role in the working of the IMF are precisely those which have a predominant share of gold in their total reserves. Of the global reserves, a little less than 13 per cent are in gold.

In contrast, the major countries have a very high proportion of gold in their foreign exchange reserves: US (77 per cent), Germany (74 per cent) Italy (73 per cent), France (72 per cent), the Netherlands (62 per cent) and European Central Bank (35 per cent). When fiat country currencies perform badly, it will be the countries with large gold reserves which will gain.

SWITCHING TO GOLD

Countries which have accumulated large reserves in recent years are precisely those which have a very low proportion of gold in their reserves. In recent years, these countries have built up some gold reserves but it is unfortunate that they have not been more aggressive in switching to gold.

Nobel Prize Laureate Robert Mundell predicts that “Gold will be part of the structure of the international monetary system in the 21st Century”.

Steve Hanke says that the international monetary system is characterised as being a “chaotic non-system” and he raises the pertinent question of the feasibility of countries moving to gold-based currency boards. Hanke says that gold-based currency boards could transform Professor Mundell’s prediction into a reality (Global Asia May 2012).

While the full restoration of a gold standard will take time, belated supporters of gold will progressively join the Gold Bandwagon.

What should the gold have-nots do and, in particular, what should India do? This deserves a separate dedicated examination.

Disclosure: This column draws heavily on the excellent work of the Lehman Institute and its publication ‘‘The Gold Standard Now’’ and the work of Ralph Benko of the American Principles Project, Washington DC. The present columnist is a member of the Gold Advisory Board of the American Principles Project.
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/...?homepage=true
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Old July 12th, 2012, 11:00 PM   #1243
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Seducing shoppers in Sticksville - India’s small towns are the next frontier

Consumer goods in India
Seducing shoppers in Sticksville
India’s small towns are the next frontier
Jul 14th 2012 | CHENGALPATTU | from the print edition

..

GROWTH in India is slowing. The economy expanded at an annualised rate of 5.3% between January and March, the slowest for seven years. Shoppers are scrimping. Sales of consumer durables fell by 10-15% in the year to March 2012, executives say. Indian factories cranked out 30% fewer air conditioners and 15% fewer colour televisions, official data show.

Yet there is a bright spot: small-town shoppers are starting to splurge. Godrej, a family-owned conglomerate, saw its sales of white goods drop by over a tenth in big cities in the past fiscal year. But sales in towns of less than 100,000 people rose by 19%, and in villages by over 40%. Bajaj, another conglomerate, says small-town and rural sales have risen handily in recent years, to a quarter of its home-appliances business. Sales of motorbikes and mopeds have decelerated more gently than cars, an urban luxury.

“As far as I am concerned, the slowdown is not having an effect,” beams C.S. Gurubaran, as he plies customers with fizzy drinks in his home-appliances shop in Chengalpattu. Two years ago Mr Gurubaran would sell a dozen washing machines a month at most in this dusty town of 64,000 people in south India. He now sells that many a week. Fridges, food processors and fans are also shifting more quickly. A bride’s parents often buy a whole set of white goods as a dowry.

Government subsidies, good monsoons, high land prices and a low reliance on credit have thus far sheltered these consumers. Chengalpattu’s shoppers are mostly farmers who benefit from government-fixed floor prices for crops. Some have also made big sums by selling fields to developers. Poorer shoppers from nearby villages make money from a government scheme that guarantees 100 days of work a year.

Such subsidies and schemes pushed up rural incomes by 12% last year, according to Kotak Institutional Equities, a broker. Rural incomes have grown more rapidly than urban ones since 2008.

Indian firms sense a fortune to be made by selling rustic folk their first fridges. Shekhar Bajaj, the head of Bajaj Electricals, the wing of the conglomerate that sells home appliances, wants to start reaching rural buyers directly and cutting out costly middlemen (such as Mr Gurubaran). Last year Mr Bajaj launched a chain, Bajaj World, mostly for rural areas. It now has 11 stores, one in a town of just 20,000 people. Mr Bajaj hopes to have 70 by next spring. “We never looked at these markets…[but] a couple of years ago we started looking at this because we need to continue to grow,” he says.

Godrej is pushing even deeper into the hinterland, trying to reach villages with as few as 5,000 people. It is also designing washing machines with manual motors and tiny fridges for homes with unreliable electricity.

Foreign firms such as Samsung and Panasonic are following suit. Mahesh Krishnan, who heads Samsung’s home-appliances division in India, hopes to increase the firm’s presence in rural shops by a fifth in time for November’s Diwali festival, a big shopping season. Foreign firms typically have skimpier distribution networks than their local rivals, but their products are more popular where they are available. A foreign brand is often a status symbol.

As India gets richer, rural folk are becoming more entwined with the national economy. Ramesh Iyer, the managing director of Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services, a rural lender, now has 2m customers, twice as many as he had in 2008. “As they move up the chain, the demand for credit will only get higher,” he says. “They are getting aspirational.”

Chengalpattu’s shopkeepers are upbeat. A motorcycle vendor says families are buying one bike per adult, rather than one for everyone to share, as they did a few years ago. Mr Gurubaran has started stocking 3D televisions that cost 95,000 rupees ($1,700) a pop. Viewers will doubtless see even more new products to crave.

However, rural shoppers cannot always be relied on to splurge. Their wealth often depends on handouts rather than increased productivity. A poor monsoon curbs spending for a whole year—light rains in June are causing jitters, though the forecast for the whole year is still good. Life in small-town India may be better, for now, but it is precarious.


http://www.economist.com/node/21558631
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Old July 12th, 2012, 11:11 PM   #1244
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Quote:
Originally Posted by murlee View Post
C.K Prahalad.. He passed away recently, right?
yes
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Old July 13th, 2012, 09:26 AM   #1245
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@ Murlee:

India should allow its citizens to buy & stock Gold without any limitation. That will help us in the future.

Printing paper money in excess of the reserves has ruined USA and may ruin us also.


@ Geico2000 :
Rural Retail Market Economy has always been robust & healthy in India.

e Choupal Concept is the best suited for India as it is the modern variation of our traditional Chandhai Concept with modern computers & communications.

Amul, ITC, NIRMA, Bajaj, TVS are the Indian Cos and Hind Lever benefited the most by concentrating on them. Many more may be there.

But we do not need a MNC in Rural retail distribution and we have enough local merchants / talents.
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Old July 13th, 2012, 05:13 PM   #1246
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kannan infratech View Post
@ Geico2000 :
Rural Retail Market Economy has always been robust & healthy in India.

e Choupal Concept is the best suited for India as it is the modern variation of our traditional Chandhai Concept with modern computers & communications.

Amul, ITC, NIRMA, Bajaj, TVS are the Indian Cos and Hind Lever benefited the most by concentrating on them. Many more may be there.

But we do not need a MNC in Rural retail distribution and we have enough local merchants / talents.
Kannan, With Monsoon not as excepted and with electricity problem I think we won't be having great farming season this time. Do you think the Rural Retail Market Economy will be able to sustain this effect?
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Old July 13th, 2012, 08:28 PM   #1247
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Banks' lending to TN's agri sector to rise 41% in FY13


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In a move to increase the agricultural productivity in Tamil Nadu, public sector banks have set a target to increase their lending to the agriculture sector by almost 41 per cent to Rs 51,000 crore. The significant jump is mainly due to the increase in investment credit for the farmers.

Reserve Bank of India (RBI)’s deputy governor Subir Gokarn recently said that the state had been an important source of rice and paddy and that the volatility was higher as compared to other parts of the country, mainly due to the cropping pattern.

He said that the share of agriculture in the state’s GDP was 16.7 per cent in 2000-01, which came down to 7.7 per cent in 2011-12. “It is not alarming. This was due to the resources moving to the industry and services from agriculture”. He was referring to land and human resources.

“We want to increase the productivity of agriculture in the state to support the Tamil Nadu government’s vision,” said Indian Overseas Bank (IOB)'s chairman and managing director M Narendra. It may be noted that IOB is the convenor of the State-Level Bankers’ Committee (SLBC).

According to Narendra, the banks had disbursed around Rs 36,000 crore during the last financial year and a target of Rs 51,000 has been set for the current fiscal, of which around 60 per cent will go towards crop loans.

“What we want to focus is investment credit, to boost the agriculture. Last year the investment credit disbursed by the Banks was around Rs 3,000 crore and this year we are looking at around Rs 25,000 crore. No mandate has been give, only instructions were given to the Banks.

So far, the banks were not focusing much on certain types of loans including combined harvesting, coal storage, godowns and warehousing.

According to the SLBC data, of the total 8.2 million, around 7.7 million farmers had so far availed banking credits using Kisan Credit Cards (KCC). Of this, the banks would cover around 2 million, including 500,000 repeat finance under KCC.

It may be noted that Tamil Nadu is endowed only with three per cent of the nation’s water resources, putting high stress on the irrigation water availability. The current fallow lands, which were 7.59 Lha during 2005-06, have increased to 11.17 Lha during 2009-10 while the net cultivated area, which was 52.44 Lha during 2005-06 has come down to 48.92 Lha during 2009-10.

The irrigated area in Tamil Nadu is declining steadily. The net irrigated area, which was 29.31 Lha during 2008-09, has come down to 28.64 Lha during 2009-10 and the irrigation intensity was 1.14 during 2009-10.
The 28.64 Lha of irrigated area was covered by 2,239 canals, 78 reservoirs, 41,262 tanks and 18,36,055 wells.

The state government has set a target to treble or quadruple the farmers’ per capita income within five years and to improve the agricultural productivity by 35 per cent. The government plans to achieve this through effective dissemination of advanced technology to improve productivity, farm-based interventions for mixed farming and by convergence of schemes to ensure integrated farm development.

To implement these schemes and for other development activities, the government has allocated Rs 3,804.96 crore in the 2012-13 state Budget This will be the highest-ever allocation to the sector.
http://www.business-standard.com/ind...n-fy13/480351/
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Old July 14th, 2012, 01:05 PM   #1248
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Not sure if this has already been posted, apologize if it has!! ... I found this video interesting
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Old July 14th, 2012, 11:54 PM   #1249
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Faboulus video thanks Shiv. I am very impressed by Scientist Ponuraj and he gave very good explanation for many questions and also the interviewers questions very sensible and Kudos to APJ a great man and a visionery for India.
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Old July 15th, 2012, 08:48 AM   #1250
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Shiva.. Excellent video
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Old July 15th, 2012, 07:34 PM   #1251
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http://www.ndtv.com/article/india/in...-lateststories

ayya Mike Mohan avargalae, firstu US'la reform mudinga. ennoda veetu velai era mattenguthu. edhanaachum parthu pannunga

---------------------------------------------------------------

Investment climate in India deteriorating, time to make difficult reforms: Barack Obama

Washington: Noting that India prohibited foreign investment in too many sectors such as retail, US President Barack Obama today cited concerns over the deteriorating investment climate in the country to endorse another "wave" of economic reforms.

Still sounding positive about the Indian economy, "which continues to grow at an impressive rate," he said that to some extent, India's slower growth is a reflection of the larger slowdown in the global economy.

The US President answered a wide range of questions on the state of the Indian as well as global economy, Indo-Pak ties and American strategy in the Asia-Pacific region during an interview to PTI.

Obama was careful not to be directly critical of the negative investment climate in India but cited the concerns of the American business community to make his point.

Many in the American business community, "one of the great champions of the US-India partnership", have expressed concerns that the investment climate in India is deteriorating, he said.

"They tell us it is still too hard to invest in India. In too many sectors, such as retail, India limits or prohibits the foreign investment that is necessary to create jobs in both our countries, and which is necessary for India to continue to grow," Obama said.

Refraining from prescribing any solutions for India's economic difficulties, the President said, "It is not the place of the United States to tell other nations, including India, how to chart its economic future. That is for Indians to decide."

Obama noted that "there appears to be a growing consensus in India that the time may be right for another wave of economic reforms to make India more competitive in the global economy."

Obama then went on to add, "and as India makes the difficult reforms that are necessary, it will continue to have a partner in the United States."

"It is important, though, to put this in the context of India's incredible growth and development in recent decades," he said.

The President pointed out that India had lifted tens of millions of people out of poverty to create one of the world's largest middle classes.

"Indian innovation is an engine of the global economy. And even with the recent challenges, the Indian economy continues to grow at an impressive rate. The Indian people have displayed a remarkable capacity to meet India's challenges," he said.

Describing Prime Minister Manmohan Singh as "my friend and partner with whom I have worked closely", Obama said he valued the insights of the Indian leader at various international fora including the recent G20 meeting in Mexico.

He said, at the G20, they agreed that one of the best things they could do to get the global economy growing faster was to renew the focus on growth and job creation in their own countries.

"That's my priority in the US. Of course, one of the most effective ways we can create jobs is to continue expanding trade and investment, including between the US and India."

The President said they need to keep strengthening the pillars of the long-term economic vitality and competitiveness, including the education of the people of the two countries, science and technology, and the modern infrastructure that allows them to move goods and services faster.

"We need to keep up the fight against corruption, which stifles innovation and is one of the biggest barriers to job creation and economic growth around the world. These are some of the things we can do together as global partners," he said.
Obama said one of the reasons why he valued the G20 was that it was the only place where leaders of the world's largest economies - developed and developing - can come together and address the economic challenges that affected everyone.

He said the global economy continued to face a number of challenges. Global growth, including growth in emerging economies like India, has slowed.

The situation in Europe has, of course, been a concern, Obama said. The G20 summit in Mexico was therefore an opportunity for them to hear directly from European leaders on the progress they were making and on their next steps.

The President said, "In our global economy, we can't just have a few leaders of the most advanced economies making decisions that touch the lives of billions of people around the world.

"That's why we made the G20 the leading forum for global economic decision-making, to give developing and emerging nations, like India, a larger voice. It's why we increased the role of India and other emerging economies in international financial institutions. These institutions are stronger because of India's active participation."

Obama said he believed that the European leaders would grasp the seriousness of the situation and were committed to holding the Eurozone together with the steps they have taken in the recent weeks.

"All of us have a profound interest in Europe's success and the US will continue to support our European friends as they work through this challenge."
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Old July 15th, 2012, 08:17 PM   #1252
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kongutamizhan View Post
http://www.ndtv.com/article/india/in...-lateststories

ayya Mike Mohan avargalae, firstu US'la reform mudinga. ennoda veetu velai era mattenguthu. edhanaachum parthu pannunga
yenga.. avare kindal adikkara alavukku namma "Proxy" ruling odikittu irukku.
Jokes apart...
I am seeing lot of condos at a dead cheap price 150k onwards here...nothing but 75 lakh rs gentleman..when i look at those houses, their infra, i am wondering the "nanganallur" 70lakh "flat" is too far behind on the comfort factors.(even on basic water facilities, garbage disposal and "Parking")
one guy who bought 650k house in NJ in 2005 and now it is 350k only. the loss is just 300k us$ only and he went back to India.
Lot of Desi guys got stuck on these "appreciation" mayai.
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Old July 15th, 2012, 08:21 PM   #1253
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300k US$ is 'just' ah?? How much do u guys earn there??

Or, are u being sarcastic?
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Old July 15th, 2012, 08:24 PM   #1254
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300k US$ is 'just' ah?? How much do u guys earn there??

Or, are u being sarcastic?
the loser has to tell "just" only and no choice.
Earning is different on different category.
poor offshore travel guy will get 60k/year, works for 20 hrs and deploy the code. and a consultant "qa" gets 100k, do the testing for 4 hrs and browsing for 4 hrs....

PS:with that 350k capital he invested india and would have got that 300k back...
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Old July 15th, 2012, 08:27 PM   #1255
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the loss is just 300k us$ only and he went back to India.
Lot of Desi guys got stuck on these "appreciation" mayai.
just 300k va? thalaiva, edhaachum vela pottu kudunga. enakku yearly just $200k sambalam kudutheenganna podhum. oru varusham kalichi fire panneenganna kooda paravaillai
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Old July 15th, 2012, 08:35 PM   #1256
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. enakku yearly just $200k sambalam kudutheenganna podhum.
Romba santhosama irukku...
5 Rs ku vazhi ellathe annan kitte 500rs Kadan kettengale...
Romba perumaiya irukku
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Old July 15th, 2012, 09:44 PM   #1257
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vayila vada sudum bothu even 2 million will look very small.
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Old July 15th, 2012, 09:50 PM   #1258
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that was true incident. can not share further details here. (300k loss). there are quite few live in u.s and their property value is reduced by 100k, 150k loss. most of them bought at during 2004-2005.
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Old July 15th, 2012, 10:48 PM   #1259
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Kris, $100-200K loss is nominal (example my own and several of my friends and relatives are around 90-110k loss bracket). I know few in bay-area who have lost about 200-225k

Unless you own a million dollar home (or atleast > $750000) 300k loss is little fetched. (Not saying it is not possible, but depends)
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Old July 16th, 2012, 05:11 AM   #1260
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India United slams Barack Obama for ‘advise’

http://www.deccanchronicle.com/chann...a-‘advise’-899

Yea boy...why don't you just stick to getting re-elected and leave the "must-dos" of Indian economy to the Indians? ...
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