American Demographics Thread

[GunnerJacket]

Originally Posted by Yuri S Andrade

Yes, I've noticed that comparing 1999/2009 Estimates with the 2000/2010 Census. But how are they able to track the trends? Taking this Pittsburgh example, how they can ascertain this area is no longer loosing people (if that is the case) unlike the previous decades?

The estimates are developed using formulas based on the decennial census data and inputs such as housing permits, school enrollment counts, births, deaths, etc. The annual estimates are just that, mathematical estimations, whereas the decennial census counts are hard assessments of households and people. This is why many communities still showed growth leading up through 2009 but then saw sharp drops (due to the recession) with their actual counts in 2012; It takes a bit of time for the estimates to react to such social trends.

It's also why the annual estimates are often amended 2-3 years in a row.

[desertpunk]

U.S. Census data shows recession hampered Americans’ movement

Fallout from the longest economic slump since the Great Depression made Americans less likely to move and more likely to go shorter distances when they did.

Hampered by an inability to find new jobs or sell their homes, people moving from Manhattan made the Bronx their single- biggest destination. Washington, D.C., residents were most likely to relocate to neighboring Prince George’s County, Maryland, and Los Angelenos decamped for adjacent San Bernardino County, data released today by the Census Bureau show.

The 2005-09 figures were the first look at U.S. migratory patterns since the 2000 census, spanning the peak of the housing bubble and the near-collapse of the global financial system.

“Long-distance moves took a bigger hit during the recession,” William Frey, a senior demographer at the Washington-based Brookings Institution, said in an e-mail. “Shorter-distance moves tend to be safer, close to home and likely to have occurred as a result of foreclosures.”

Even in cities that suffered the steepest population declines, residents relocated only short distances. The largest share of refugees from Detroit, which lost a quarter of its population from 2000 to 2010, moved to neighboring Michigan (BEESMI) counties. Three of the most-popular destinations for people moving out of Chicago, whose population fell 6.9 percent, were the adjacent counties of DuPage, Will and Lake.

Much more: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-0...near-home.html

Speaking of which, U-Haul has come out with their Top 50 Cities For People Moving In The US. (slideshow)

[Yuri S Andrade]

It's amazing how Americans move around. In Brazil (2010 Census), only 14% of people live outside their homestate and 37% outside their hometown (municipality), and the numbers are actually going down quite fast. What are the American numbers?

While in the US recession triggered the slowdown of the movement, in Brazil I believe it's quite the opposite: the economic growth in the past decade made people less willing to leave their cities and states.

Originally Posted by GunnerJacket

The estimates are developed using formulas based on the decennial census data and inputs such as housing permits, school enrollment counts, births, deaths, etc. The annual estimates are just that, mathematical estimations, whereas the decennial census counts are hard assessments of households and people. This is why many communities still showed growth leading up through 2009 but then saw sharp drops (due to the recession) with their actual counts in 2012; It takes a bit of time for the estimates to react to such social trends.

It's also why the annual estimates are often amended 2-3 years in a row.

Thanks! It seems a very sophisticated process.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Guys, where can I find birth and death figures for both states and counties? I'd like to see how the internal migration affected those numbers.

[Yuri S Andrade]

US Urban Areas


2010

Urban Area --- Population --- Area --- Density

1. New York --- 19,274,606 --- 10,143.5 km² --- 1,900.2 inh./km²

2. Los Angeles --- 14,083,662 --- 5,907.8 km² --- 2,383.9 inh./km²

3. Chicago --- 8,608,208 --- 6,326.7 km² ---- 1,360.6 inh./km²

4. Miami --- 5,502,379 --- 3,208.0 km² --- 1,715.2 inh./km²

5. Philadelphia --- 5,441,567 --- 5,131.7 km² --- 1,060.4 inh./km²

6. Dallas --- 5,121,892 --- 4,607.9 km² --- 1,111.5 inh./km²

7. San Francisco --- 4,945,708 --- 2,096.9 km² --- 2,358.6 inh./km²

8. Houston --- 4,944,332 --- 4,299.5 km² --- 1,150.0 inh./km²

9. Washington --- 4,586,770 --- 3,423.3 km² --- 1,339.9 inh./km²

10. Atlanta --- 4,515,419 --- 6,851.5 km² --- 659.0 inh./km²

11. Boston --- 4,181,019 --- 4,852.3 km² --- 861.7 inh./km²

12. Detroit --- 3,734,090 --- 3,463.2 km² --- 1,078.2 inh./km²



2000

Urban Area --- Population --- Area --- Density

1. New York --- 18,688,751 --- 9,888.3 km² --- 1,890.0 inh./km²

2. Los Angeles --- 13,296,303 --- 5,456.3 km² --- 2,436.9 inh./km²

3. Chicago --- 8,307,904 --- 5,498.1 km² ---- 1,511.0 inh./km²

4. Philadelphia --- 5,149,079 --- 4,660.7 km² --- 1,104.8 inh./km²

5. Miami --- 4,919,036 --- 2,890.7 km² --- 1,701.7 inh./km²

6. San Francisco --- 4,766,917 --- 2,001.7 km² --- 2,381.4 inh./km²

7. Dallas --- 4,145,659 --- 3,644.2 km² --- 1,137.6 inh./km²

8. Boston --- 4,032,484 --- 4,496.7 km² --- 896.8 inh./km²

9. Washington --- 3,933,920 --- 2,996.0 km² --- 1,313.1 inh./km²

10. Detroit --- 3,903,377 --- 3,267.1 km² --- 1,194.8 inh./km²

11. Houston --- 3,822,509 --- 3,354.7 km² --- 1,139.4 inh./km²

12. Atlanta --- 3,499,840 --- 5,083.1 km² --- 688.5 inh./km²



Growth % 2000-2010

Urban Area --- Population % --- Area %

New York --- 3.13% --- 2.58%

Los Angeles --- 5.92% --- 8.27%

Chicago --- 3.61% --- 15.07%

Miami --- 11.86% --- 10.98%

Philadelphia --- 5.68% --- 10.11%

Dallas --- 23.55% --- 26.44%

San Francisco --- 3.75% --- 4.76%

Houston --- 29.35% --- 28.16%

Washington --- 16.60% --- 14.26%

Atlanta --- 29.02% --- 34.79%

Boston --- 3.68% --- 7.91%

Detroit --- -4.34% --- 6.00%


Sources:
census.gov/geo/ua/ua_list_ua.xls
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of...es_urban_areas



I'll add more later.

Atlanta is now the second largest urban area in the US, with almost 7,000 km². Amazingly, despite the strong population growth, the urban area managed to grow even faster, droping further the overall density;

Miami surpassed Philadelphia, becoming the 4th most populated urban area in the US;

[bayviews]

Originally Posted by Yuri S Andrade

It's amazing how Americans move around. In Brazil (2010 Census), only 14% of people live outside their homestate and 37% outside their hometown (municipality), and the numbers are actually going down quite fast.

No doubt one of the biggest reasons for the higher rate of mobility within the US has been large scale immigration, which tends to push many natives from metros like NYC & LA to less populated areas.

However, it would be better, & less displacing, if declining areas like Western NY & Western PA were more open to immigration, thus reducing the "push-out" factor!

[Manitopiaaa]

New Estimates have just been released: http://www.census.gov/popest/data/me...011/index.html

Download the XLS file for "Annual Estimates of the Population of Metropolitan and Micropolitan Statistical Areas: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2011" to receive the data. I'll try to post the information later (or desertpunk or anyone else might), but have a class to attend right now

[Manitopiaaa]

Official Population Estimates for July 1, 2011

Metropolitan Area (2010 Census Population), 2011 Official Estimate
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta, GA (5,268,860), 5,359,205
Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX (1,716,289), 1,783,519
Baltimore-Towson, MD (2,710,489), 2,729,110
Birmingham-Hoover, AL (1,128,050), 1,132,264 (Ouch)
Boston-Cambridge-Quincy, MA (4,552,402), 4,591,112
Buffalo-Niagara Falls, NY (1,135,509), 1,134,039
Charlotte-Gastonia-Rock Hill, NC (1,758,038), 1,795,472
Chicago-Joliet-Naperville, IL-IN-WI (9,461,105), 9,504,753 (Based on this number, I'm guessing Chicago City is still hemorrhaging people)
Cincinnati-Middletown, OH-KY-IN (2,130,151), 2,138,038
Cleveland-Elyria Mentor, OH (2,077,240), 2,068,283
Columbus, OH (1,836,536), 1,858,464
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX (6,371,774), 6,526,548 (Yowza!!)
Denver-Aurora-Broomfield, CO (2,543,282), 2,599,504
Detroit-Warren-Livonia, MI (4,296,247), 4,285,832
Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT (1,212,381), 1,213,255
Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown, TX (5,946,839), 6,086,538
Indianapolis-Carmel, IN (1,756,241), 1,778,568
Jacksonville, FL (1,345,596), 1,360,251
Kansas City, MO (2,035,334), 2,052,676
Las Vegas, NV (1,951,269), 1,969,975 (Growth!!!)
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana, CA (12,828,837), 12,944,801 (WOW)
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN (1,283,566), 1,294,849
Memphis, TN-AR-MS (1,316,100), 1,325,605
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL (5,564,635), 5,670,125 (Miami is almost assuredly over 400,000 by now and probably over 405,000. Amazing growth)
Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, WI (1,555,908), 1,562,216
Minneapolis-Saint Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI (3,279,833), 3,318,486
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN (1,589,934), 1,617,142
New Orleans-Metairie-Kenner, LA (1,167,764), 1,191,089
New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-PA (18,897,109), 19,015,900
Oklahoma City, OK (1,252,987), 1,278,053
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL (2,134,411), 2,171,360
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD (5,965,343), 5,992,414
Pittsburgh, PA (2,356,285), 2,359,746
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA (2,226,009), 2,262,605
Providence-New Bedford-Fall River, RI-MA (1,600,852), 1,600,224
Raleigh-Cary, NC (1,130,490), 1,163,515
Richmond, VA (1,258,251), 1,269,380
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA (4,224,851), 4,304,997
Rochester, NY (1,054,323), 1,055,278
Sacramento--Arden-Arcade-Roseville, CA (2,149,127), 2,176,235
Saint Louis, MO-IL (2,812,896), 2,817,355 (Ouch)
Salt Lake City, UT (1,124,197), 1,145,905
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX (2,142,508), 2,194,927
San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos, CA (3,095,313), 3,140,069
San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA (4,335,391), 4,391,037
San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA (1,836,911), 1,865,450
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA (3,439,809), 3,500,026
Tampa-Saint Petersburg-Clearwater, FL (2,783,243), 2,824,724
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newsport News, VA-NC (1,671,683), 1,679,894
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV (5,582,170), 5,703,948

I'll post nuggets of data as well here:
1. We now have New York City's official population for 2011: 8,244,910
2. We now have New Orleans's official population for 2011: 360,740 A wonderful number and solid growth for a such a great city
3. We now have Baltimore's official population for 2011: 619,493 Note: Washington, DC had 617,996 for 2011 so Baltimore has one more year of being the largest city in the Washington-Baltimore Combined Statistical Area
4. We now have Philadelphia's official population for 2011: 1,536,471
5. We now have Anchorage's official population for 2011: 295,570
6. We now have San Francisco's official population for 2011: 812,826
7. We now have Saint Louis' official population for 2011: 318,069

[Yuri S Andrade]

Very interesting! I posted on the international forum the data for the CSAs, comparing with Brazilian and Canadian metro areas:

Originally Posted by Yuri S Andrade

The Americans released their data:

Metropolitan Area --- Population 2011

1 - São Paulo, SP --- 22,611,857

2 - New York, NY-NJ-CT-PA --- 22,214,083

3 - Los Angeles, CA --- 18,081,569

4 - Rio de Janeiro, RJ --- 12,605,911

5 - Chicago, IL --- 9,729,825

6 - Washington-Baltimore, DC-MD-VA-WV --- 8,718,083

7 - Boston, MA-RI-NH --- 7,601,061

8 - San Francisco, CA --- 7,563,460

9 - Dallas, TX --- 6,887,383

10 - Toronto, ON --- 6,660,294

(...)

Anyway, I'm still looking through the figures and I'd like to highlight Pittsburgh, which posted population gain for the first time since the 1960's. That's really a milestone. I hope that's just the beginning of a full recovery process. Breaking the 2,500,000 barrier on 2020? Who knows?

[desertpunk]

NY Times

Population Growth in New York City Is Outpacing 2010 Census, 2011 Estimates Show


http://www.jaredplatt.com/2010/10/28...new-york-city/

By SAM ROBERTS
Published: April 5, 2012

New York City gained nearly 70,000 residents in the 15 months ended July 1, 2011, almost matching the growth of the 1990s, when an influx of foreigners set annual records, according to census estimates released on Wednesday. The apparent population rebound resulted from a combination of continued immigration and higher birthrates among the newcomers, along with fewer New Yorkers leaving the city.

The estimates also appeared to indicate faster growth than had been suggested by the 2010 census, which recorded gains of only 175,000 for the entire decade and a decline from 2009 population estimates. City officials insisted that the 2010 figures undercounted about 50,000 people in Brooklyn and Queens, but their challenge was rejected last week. “We are pleased that the Census Bureau has begun to recognize this growth, but we continue to believe the real population is over 8.3 million based on our demographers’ scientific work and the historic track record of undercount among hard-to-enumerate populations in big cities,” said Joseph J. Salvo, director of the population division in the city’s Planning Department.

In the estimates by the Census Bureau for July 1, 2011, the biggest gains were recorded in Brooklyn and Queens. Brooklyn had gained nearly 28,000 people since April 1, 2010, and Queens had gained more than 17,000. Those gains, combined with increases in every other borough, boosted the city’s population by 69,777, to 8,244,910. Even the population of the Bronx grew at a faster rate than did the populations of Nassau or Suffolk Counties. Brooklyn was the fastest-growing borough. The city’s gains accounted for 80 percent of the state’s growth. Brooklyn, which is home to large numbers of Hispanic and Asian immigrants as well as Hasidic Jews, recorded the highest rate of natural increase, or births over deaths, in the state. The Bronx was second. Queens registered the highest percentage increase in foreign-born residents.

The city gained more people than the counties that include Dallas, Miami and San Diego in the Sun Belt, and nearly as many as Maricopa County, which includes Phoenix and has often been ranked as the fastest-growing county in the United States. The one-year gain of nearly 60,000 people, from July 1, 2010, to July 1, 2011, was higher than most annual estimates in the 2000s, and higher than the average annual increase of about 17,000 in the previous decade, comparing the 2000 and 2010 censuses.

In every borough, more people left for other parts of the country than moved in, and a similar pattern was recorded in the counties that surround New York City. The Bronx recorded the biggest loss through migration (more people leaving than moving in) over all. Manhattan was the only borough that showed a gain from combined domestic and international migration. The overall population increase was due largely to higher birthrates.

Over all, the population of the New York metropolitan area increased by nearly 119,000. The area ranked fourth in gains nationally, behind Dallas, Houston and Washington, and ahead of Los Angeles and Miami. “Based upon this new round of estimates, it appears that New York City has returned to quite robust growth,” said Andrew A. Beveridge, a sociologist at Queens College. “The demographic effects of the financial crisis may be starting to wane.”

[...]

[desertpunk]

Exurbs lose appeal as Americans gravitate to cities

America's romance with sprawl may not be completely over, but it's definitely on the rocks

------

Population growth in fringe counties nearly screeched to a halt in the year that ended July 1, 2011. By comparison, counties at the core of metro areas are growing faster than the nation as a whole.

A USA TODAY analysis shows:

•All but two of the 39 counties with 1 million-plus people -- Michigan's Wayne (Detroit) and Ohio's Cuyahoga (Cleveland) -- grew from 2010 to 2011.

•Twenty-eight of the big counties gained faster than the nation, which grew at the slowest rate since the Great Depression (0.73%). The counties' median growth rate was 1.3% (half grew faster, half slower).

Those 28 -- including California's Alameda and Contra Costa counties, Florida's Broward and Hillsborough, Texas' Harris and Dallas -- generated more than a third of the USA's growth. Before the recession and housing bust, when people flocked to new development on farmland, they contributed just 27%.

•Central metro counties accounted for 94% of U.S. growth, compared with 85% just before the recession.

[desertpunk]

US CEnsus Bureau: http://www.census.gov/newsroom/relea...n/cb12-55.html

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: 12:01 A.M. EDT, THURSDAY, APRIL 5, 2012

Census Estimates Show New Patterns of Growth Nationwide


First Metro/Micro Area and County Population Estimates Since 2010 Census

Among the 50 fastest-growing metro areas over the last decade, only 24 of them were also among the 50 fastest growing since the 2010 Census. This is according to the first set of U.S. Census Bureau metropolitan statistical area, micropolitan statistical area and county population estimates to be published since the official 2010 Census population counts were released a year ago.

“Our nation is constantly changing, and these estimates provide us with our first measure of how much substate areas have grown or declined in total population since Census Day, April 1, 2010,” Census Bureau Director Robert Groves said. “We're already seeing different patterns of population growth than we saw in the last decade.”

According to the new July 1, 2011, population estimates released today, the relative growth of many of the nation's 366 metro areas in the 15-month period from April 2010 to July 2011 differed markedly from that observed between 2000 and 2010. One such example was Palm Coast, Fla., which was the fastest-growing metro area between 2000 and 2010, but fell to 55th place between 2010 and 2011. Similarly, Las Vegas, the third fastest-growing metro area between 2000 and 2010, fell to 151st place. Some metro areas showed less change: St. George, Utah, the second fastest-growing metro area between 2000 and 2010, dropped only to 11th place.

Conversely, New Orleans, which experienced the greatest percentage loss between 2000 and 2010, was 35th in metro area percentage growth between 2010 and 2011. Besides New Orleans, there were nine metro areas that were not among the 100 fastest growing between 2000 and 2010 but were among the 50 fastest growing from 2010 to 2011: Hinesville-Fort Stewart, Ga.; Columbus, Ga.-Ala.; Odessa, Texas; Fayetteville, N.C.; Oklahoma City, Okla.; Bismarck, N.D.; Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, Fla.; Gulfport-Biloxi, Miss.; and Hattiesburg, Miss.

Kennewick-Pasco-Richland, Wash., and Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, Texas, were the nation's two fastest-growing metro areas between 2010 and 2011, with population increases of 4.3 percent and 3.9 percent, respectively.

Solid Growth in Texas Continues

Although new patterns of growth have emerged since the 2010 Census, some trends persist from the last decade. One such example is the growth in Texas. There were five large metro areas (2011 populations of at least 1 million) among the 20 fastest growing from 2010 to 2011. Four of them were in Texas: Austin (second), San Antonio (16th), Dallas-Fort Worth (17th) and Houston (18th). (Raleigh-Cary, N.C., was the fifth such area).

Looking at numeric growth, Dallas-Fort Worth and Houston added more people between 2010 and 2011 than any other metro area (155,000 and 140,000, respectively). These two metro areas were the biggest numeric gainers during the 2000 to 2010 period (with Houston gaining more than Dallas-Fort Worth over the decade).

Another trend that persisted: nearly all of the fastest-growing metro areas from 2010 to 2011 (46 of 50) were located either entirely or partially in the South or West.

North Dakota and New Mexico Now Home to Many High-Growth Micro Areas

The nation's fastest-growing micro area between April 1, 2010, and July 1, 2011, was Williston, N.D., which grew by 8.8 percent. Two other North Dakota micro areas, Dickinson (fourth) and Minot (eighth), also were among the 10 fastest growing. New Mexico contained more micro areas among the 50 fastest growing (six) than any other state: Gallup (11th), Portales (12th), Alamogordo (13th), Clovis (15th), Grants (34th) and Los Alamos (42nd).

None of these nine North Dakota and New Mexico micro areas was among the 50 fastest growing between 2000 and 2010. (Overall, only 18 of the 50 fastest-growing micro areas nationwide between 2010 and 2011 were also among the 50 fastest growing between 2000 and 2010).

Midwestern Counties Among 10 Fastest Growing

Of the 10 fastest-growing counties in the nation between April 1, 2010, and July 1, 2011, two were in the upper Midwest: Williams, N.D., which ranked third, and Dallas, Iowa, which was seventh. Another was in the Pacific Northwest: Franklin, Wash., which was fifth. Two county equivalents in Virginia, the independent cities of Manassas Park and Fredericksburg, checked in at fourth and sixth, respectively.

The presence of St. Bernard (second) and Orleans (ninth) in Louisiana among the 10 fastest-growing counties provides evidence that the New Orleans area continues to rebound from the effects of Hurricane Katrina. Rounding out the top 10 were Charlton, Ga. (first); Hoke, N.C. (eighth) and Williamson, Texas (10th). None of these 10 counties was among the 10 fastest growing from 2000 to 2010.

The top 10 numeric gainers were all in the Sun Belt, with four in Texas: Harris, Dallas, Bexar, and Tarrant. Another four were in Southern California: Los Angeles, Riverside, Orange and San Diego. Rounding out the list were Maricopa, Ariz. and Miami-Dade, Fla.

Other highlights:

Metro areas

•As of July 1, 2011, the nation's 366 metro areas contained 261.1 million people -- 83.8 percent of the total population.
•Houston surpassed the 6 million population mark between 2010 and 2011.
•Six metro areas increased their populations by more than 100,000 people from 2010 to 2011: Dallas-Fort Worth (155,000), Houston (140,000), Washington, D.C. (122,000), New York (119,000), Los Angeles (116,000) and Miami-Fort Lauderdale (105,000).
•The most populous metro areas on July 1, 2011, were New York (19.0 million), Los Angeles (12.9 million) and Chicago (9.5 million). Fourteen metro areas had populations of 4 million or more.

Micro Areas

•As of July 1, 2011, the nation's 576 micro areas contained 31.0 million people — 10 percent of the total population.
•Twenty-one of the 50 fastest-growing micro areas between 2010 and 2011 were in the South, 17 in the West, 11 in the Midwest and one in the Northeast.
•Four micro areas were both among the 10 fastest growing and the 10 highest numeric gaining between 2010 and 2011: The Villages, Fla.; Dunn, N.C.; Statesboro, Ga.; and Minot, N.D.
•The most populous micro area was Seaford, Del., with a 2011 population of 200,000, followed by Hilton Head Island-Beaufort, S.C., and Torrington, Conn. (190,000 and 189,000, respectively). Overall, 47 micro areas had 2011 populations of 100,000 or more, compared with 45 as of 2010.

Counties

•Among the 50 fastest-growing counties from 2010 to 2011, 38 were in the South, with the remaining 12 split equally between the Midwest and West. Texas contained more of these counties than any other state, with 12. Georgia was next, with nine, followed by Virginia (seven), and North Dakota and North Carolina (tied with three apiece).
•Texas was home to eight of the 25 counties with the highest numerical gains and California to six. All but two were in the South or West: Kings, N.Y. (Brooklyn) and Cook, Ill. (Chicago).
•The three fastest-growing counties from 2000 to 2010 were Kendall, Ill.; Pinal, Ariz.; and Flagler, Fla. Between 2010 and 2011, they ranked 236th, 171st and 207th, respectively.
•Los Angeles was the most populous county, with 9.9 million residents on July 1, 2011.

In the coming months, the Census Bureau will release 2011 estimates of the total population of incorporated places, as well as national, state and county population estimates by age, sex, race and Hispanic origin.

- x -

The Census Bureau develops county, metro and micro area population estimates by measuring population change since the most recent census. The Census Bureau uses births, deaths, administrative records and survey data to develop estimates of population. For more detail regarding the methodology, see <http://www.census.gov/popest/methodology/>.

All geographic boundaries for the July 1, 2011, population estimates series are defined as of Jan. 1, 2011. The Office of Management and Budget's statistical area definitions (for metro and micro areas) are those issued by that agency in December 2009. Metro areas contain at least one urbanized area of 50,000 or more population and micro areas contain at least one urban cluster of at least 10,000 (but less than 50,000) population. Both metro and micro areas consist of one or more whole counties or county equivalents. Some metro and micro area titles are abbreviated in the text of the news release. Full titles are shown in the tables. The 2010 to 2011 comparisons use the April 1, 2010 population estimates base, while the 2000 to 2010 comparisons use the April 1, 2010 Census count. The April 1, 2010, population estimates base reflects changes to the 2010 Census population from the Boundary and Annexation Survey and other geographic program revisions.

The 10 Fastest Growing Metro Areas from April 1, 2010, to July 1, 2011

Percent ....... ...... ...... ..... ..... Increase

1. Kennewick-Pasco-Richland, Wash. . . . . . . 4.3

2. Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, Texas . . . .3.9

3. Hinesville-Fort Stewart, Ga. . . . . . . . . . . .3.4

4. McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, Texas . . . . . . . . 3.0

5. Raleigh-Cary, N.C. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.9

6. Warner Robins, Ga. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.9

7. Provo-Orem, Utah . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.7

8. Charleston-N. Charleston-Summerville, S.C. . 2.6

9. Myrtle Beach-N. Myrtle Beach-Conway, S.C. . 2.6

10. Yuma, Ariz. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.6

The 10 Metro Areas with the Largest Numeric Increase from April 1, 2010, to July 1, 2011

Numeric . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .Increase

1. Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, Texas . . . . .. .154,774

2. Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown, Texas . . . . . .139,699

3. Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, D.C.-Va.-Md.-W.Va.

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . .. . . 121,911

4. New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, N.Y.-N.J.-Pa.

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .118,791

5. Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana, Calif. . . .115,964

6. Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, Fla. . . 105,490

7. Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta, Ga. . . . . . . 90,345

8. Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, Calif. . . . . 80,146

9. Phoenix-Mesa-Glendale, Ariz. . . . . . . . . . . . 70,349

10. Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, Texas . . . . .67,230


The 10 Fastest Growing Micro Areas from April 1, 2010, to July 1, 2011

Percent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Increase

1. Williston, N.D. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.8

2. The Villages, Fla. . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.6

3. Andrews, Texas . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.5

4. Dickinson, N.D. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.0

5. Dunn, N.C. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.0

6. Statesboro, Ga. . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.8

7. Heber, Utah . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.8

8. Minot, N.D. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.6

9. Tifton, Ga. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.3

10. Guymon, Okla. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .3.3


The 10 Micro Areas with the Largest Numeric Increase from April 1, 2010, to July 1, 2011

Numeric . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .Increase

1. Dunn, N.C. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,578

2. Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, Ala. . . . . 4,452

3. The Villages, Fla. . . . . . . . . . . . .4,336

4. Seaford, Del. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3,185

5. Hilton Head Island-Beaufort, S.C. . .2,869

6. Statesboro, Ga. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,664

7. Minot, N.D. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,527

8. Lexington Park, Md. . . . . . . . . . . . 2,333

9. Gallup, N.M. . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . .2,172

10. Moses Lake, Wash. . . . . . . . . . . 2,145


The 10 Fastest Growing Counties (or Equivalents) from April 1, 2010, to July 1, 2011

Percent . . . . . . . . . . .Increase

1. Charlton, Ga. . . . . . . . 10.3

2. St. Bernard, La. . . . . .. 10.2

3. Williams, N.D. . . . . . . . . 8.8

4. Manassas Park, Va. . . . . 7.4

5. Franklin, Wash. . . . . . .. 6.8

6. Fredericksburg, Va. . . .. . 5.8

7. Dallas, Iowa . . . . .. . . . . 5.0

8. Hoke, N.C. . . . . . . . . . . 4.9

9. Orleans, La. . . . . .. . . . . 4.9

10. Williamson, Texas . . . . . 4.8


The 10 Counties with the Largest Numeric Increase from April 1, 2010, to July 1, 2011

Numeric . . . . . . . . . . . . Increase

1. Harris, Texas . . . . . . .. ..88,452

2. Los Angeles, Calif. . . . . . 70,451

3. Maricopa, Ariz. . . . . . . . 63,127

4. Miami-Dade, Fla. . . . . . . 58,331

5. Riverside, Calif. . . . . . . . 49,979

6. Dallas, Texas . . . . . . . . 47,875

7. Orange, Calif. . . . . . . . . 45,513

8. San Diego, Calif. . . . . . . 44,756

9. Bexar, Texas . . . . . . . . .41,376

10. Tarrant, Texas . . . . . . .40,776

_______________________________________________

[Manitopiaaa]

Los Angeles Metro Area was the one that shocked me. I had thought that area would actually lose people but it gained 110,000+ which is Atlanta-Dallas-Houston levels. Super surprised by that one. Pittsburgh did post growth. Hopefully it's in the city proper and not the "suburbs". I also think New Orleans' numbers are incredibly good news. It looks like New Orleans might top 400,000 by 2020 at this rate. I'm also shocked New York City's appeal failed. They had a very convincing case. Irrespective, at this rate New York will come close to topping 9,000,000 in 2020 and I wouldn't bet against that.

[Sean in New Orleans]

New Orleans will top 400,000 easily by 2020...likely within 3 years. There are some very significant business, commercial, and residential projects occurring in the city proper that will greatly boost inner city population in 2014. That is when you will see the signficant "bump," in New Orleans population...until then, you'll see continuous, sustained growth in the city and metro area.

[Yuri S Andrade]

Guys, why the Census Bureau keep letting Bridgeport and San Bernardino apart fr0m New York and Los Angeles MSAs (the same for San Francisco-Oakland and San Jose)? I've read somewhere that once you have a continuously built up area, the commute checkings were no longer necessary. In any case, it's quite hard to believe those counties don't attend the commuting requirements to be part of the neighbouring MSAs.

[Yuri S Andrade]

The CSAs over 5,000,000 inhabitants. I'll post the rest later:

Metropolitan Area --- Pop. 2011 --- Pop. 2010 --- Growth

1 - New York, NY-NJ-CT-PA --- 22,214,083 --- 22,085,649 --- 0.58% --- 128,434

2 - Los Angeles, CA --- 18,081,569 --- 17,877,006 --- 1.14% --- 204,563

3 - Chicago, IL --- 9,729,825 --- 9,686,021 --- 0.45% --- 43,804

4 - Washington-Baltimore, DC-MD-VA-WV --- 8,718,083 --- 8,572,971 --- 1.69% --- 145,112

5 - Boston, MA-RI-NH --- 7,601,061 --- 7,559,060 --- 0.56% --- 42,001

6 - San Francisco, CA --- 7,563,460 --- 7,468,390 --- 1.27% --- 95,070

7 - Dallas, TX --- 6,887,383 --- 6,731,317 --- 2.32% --- 156,066

8 - Philadelphia, PA-NJ-DE-MD --- 6,562,287 --- 6,533,683 --- 0.44% --- 28,604

9 - Houston, TX --- 6,191,434 --- 6,051,363 --- 2.31% --- 140,071

10 - Atlanta, GA-AL --- 5,712,148 --- 5,618,431 --- 1.67% --- 93,717

11 - Miami, FL --- 5,670,125 --- 5,564,635 --- 1.90% --- 105,490

12 - Detroit, MI --- 5,207,434 --- 5,218,852 --- -0.22% --- -11,418



--- New York with very strong numbers reversing the poor first decade of the century;

--- It's becoming harder and harder for Los Angeles to take over New York as the most populated metro area of the country. On this pace, only in 2070;

--- Chicago continues to post very shy growth. Very different from the 1990's;

--- Washington growing faster and faster, now on the same category of Dallas, Houston or Atlanta. To me, it's not healthy at all, as it indicates the country is getting more and more dependent of the State;

--- Boston, and especially San Francisco, way better than they were in the past decade;

--- Dallas heading to reach the 8 million milestone by 2018. One more megacity in North America?

--- It seems Philadelphia is no longer working as a proxy to New York as it did on the past decade;

--- Houston to reach the 7 million mark by 2017;

--- Atlanta, after being the number 1 in growth in the 1990's and early 2000's, ahead of its competitors Dallas and Houston, is slowing down in a very fast pace. We can no longer put Dallas, Houston and Atlanta on the same league;

--- Miami booming again, growing faster than Atlanta and might actually take over it by 2015;

--- Detroit losing population in an even faster pace and could fall under the 5,100,000 mark by 2020. Let's if they can reverse this trend along this decade.

[Yuri S Andrade]

The ones over 2 million:

Metropolitan Area --- Pop. 2011 --- Pop. 2010 --- Growth

1 - New York, NY-NJ-CT-PA --- 22,214,083 --- 22,085,649 --- 0.58% --- 128,434

2 - Los Angeles, CA --- 18,081,569 --- 17,877,006 --- 1.14% --- 204,563

3 - Chicago, IL --- 9,729,825 --- 9,686,021 --- 0.45% --- 43,804

4 - Washington-Baltimore, DC-MD-VA-WV --- 8,718,083 --- 8,572,971 --- 1.69% --- 145,112

5 - Boston, MA-RI-NH --- 7,601,061 --- 7,559,060 --- 0.56% --- 42,001

6 - San Francisco, CA --- 7,563,460 --- 7,468,390 --- 1.27% --- 95,070

7 - Dallas, TX --- 6,887,383 --- 6,731,317 --- 2.32% --- 156,066

8 - Philadelphia, PA-NJ-DE-MD --- 6,562,287 --- 6,533,683 --- 0.44% --- 28,604

9 - Houston, TX --- 6,191,434 --- 6,051,363 --- 2.31% --- 140,071

10 - Atlanta, GA-AL --- 5,712,148 --- 5,618,431 --- 1.67% --- 93,717

11 - Miami, FL --- 5,670,125 --- 5,564,635 --- 1.90% --- 105,490

12 - Detroit, MI --- 5,207,434 --- 5,218,852 --- -0.22% --- -11,418

13 - Seattle, WA --- 4,269,349 --- 4,199,312 --- 1.67% --- 70,037

14 - Phoenix, AZ --- 4,263,236 --- 4,192,887 --- 1.68% --- 70,349

15 - Minneapolis, MN-WI --- 3,655,558 --- 3,615,902 --- 1.10% --- 39,656

16 - Denver, CO --- 3,157,520 --- 3,090,874 --- 2.16% --- 66,646

17 - San Diego, CA --- 3,140,069 --- 3,095,313 --- 1.45% --- 44,756

18 - St. Louis, MO-IL --- 2,882,932 --- 2,878,255 --- 0.16% --- 4,677

19 - Cleveland, OH --- 2,871,084 --- 2,881,937 --- -0.38% --- -10,853

20 - Orlando, FL --- 2,861,296 --- 2,818,120 --- 1.53% --- 43,176

21 - Tampa, FL --- 2,824,724 --- 2,783,243 --- 1.49% --- 41,481

22 - Sacramento, CA-NV --- 2,489,230 --- 2,461,780 --- 1.12% --- 27,450

23 - Pittsburgh, PA --- 2,450,281 --- 2,447,393 --- 0.12% --- 2,888

24 - Charlotte, NC-SC --- 2,442,564 --- 2,402,623 --- 1.66% --- 39,941

25 - Portland, OR-WA --- 2,262,605 --- 2,226,009 --- 1.64% --- 36,596

26 - San Antonio, TX --- 2,194,927 --- 2,142,508 --- 2.45% --- 52,419

27 - Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN --- 2,179,965 --- 2,172,191 --- 0.36% --- 7,774

28 - Kansas City, MO-KS --- 2,122,908 --- 2,104,853 --- 0.86% --- 18,055

29 - Indianapolis, IN --- 2,103,574 --- 2,080,782 --- 1.10% --- 22,792

30 - Columbus, OH --- 2,093,185 --- 2,071,052 --- 1.07% --- 22,133

31 - Las Vegas, NV --- 2,013,326 --- 1,995,215 --- 0.91% --- 18,111



--- Both Seattle and Portland with very strong numbers, on Atlanta's levels;

--- Phoenix decelerating very very fast;

--- Minneapolis adding almost as much as people as Chicago;

--- Denver reaching Texan levels;

--- San Diego recovering the strong growth, after two not so good decades;

--- St. Louis replacing Cleveland on the 18th position, with very weak growth though;

--- Cleveland doing very bad. When the shale gas will start to change the trends in northeastern Ohio?

--- Tampa catching up Orlando in terms of growth. It's interesting to note, unlike the common trend for the state, the largest metropolitan areas of Florida is growing very fast while the smallest are doing very bad;

--- Sacramento losing space. As in the New York-Philadelphia, the city is no longer working as a proxy for San Francisco;

--- Pittsburgh has already been discussed: gaining population for the first time since the 1960's;

--- Charlotte, as Atlanta, slowing down. No longer in the "fast-growing league";

--- San Antonio, and specially Austin (to be posted, 3.84% growth, 67,597 more people), WOW! What's "wrong" with Texas?

--- Cincinnati struggling while Indianapolis and Columbus with strong growth. Nothing new here. Kansas City, same as usual too;

--- And Las Vegas, WOW! Growing less than Los Angeles!!! Free fall.

[chicagogeorge]

Thanks for the data. Unreal, Dallas and Houston continue to explode. Interesting that L.A. County and OC saw more growth than the Inland Empire of San Bernadino/Riverside.... Either way L.A. finally cracked the 18 million mark.

Chicago's 43,000+ if maintained for a decade would result in around 440,000 growth. Between 2000-2010 the growth was 480,000. At this rate Chicago's CSA won't crack the 10 million mark until about 2017-2018. No big surprise here considering Illinois' economic climate and overly burdensome taxes.


At anyrate, the fact that people cant sell their homes right now is a large contributing factor as to why Cook County has seen a small gain in population, but I'm pretty sure the city is still bleeding residents, especially lower income. There is no reason to believe that Chicago wont lose an additional 200,000 or so residents (mainly Blacks, but by 2020, I'm sure Hispanics will see a net loss as well). Gentrification wont bring Chicago's population back up to 3 million anytime soon.





On the otherhand, if a growth of 22,000 is sustained annually for the entire decade, that would push Cook County's population to over 5.4 million which is more than it's 2000 census figure. Cook County's historical maximum population was reached in 1970 at 5.5 million people.

STUCK IN THEIR HOMES'







When Jill and Paul Syftestad's oldest daughter was ready to start school four years ago, they put their South Loop townhouse on the market and planned to move to the suburbs.
One offer fell through at the last minute and a second was well below their asking price. “We had our hearts set on moving,” says Ms. Syftestad, an IT project manager at a nursing association. “We were devastated. We pulled it off the market and decided to stay.”
The recession dramatically slowed the number of people making the trek to the suburbs for bigger houses, safer neighborhoods and better schools. Unable or unwilling to leave the city, a small but growing group of middle-class families are turning to Chicago's public and private schools, a development that holds both potential and peril for Mayor Rahm Emanuel and his efforts to improve the school system.
“I've had lots of clients who thought they would be able to sell their condo and can't. So they are now trying to make it work” in city schools, says Christine Whitley, an education consultant who helps families through the Chicago Public Schools selection process. “They bought their condo way before they had kids and didn't really factor schools into the equation. They figured they could sell and move to a better neighborhood or move to the suburbs. Now they can't sell it, so they're trying to figure out options” in the city.

The total number of people staying in the city who otherwise would have moved isn't huge: perhaps 5,000 to 10,000 a year over the past few years. But it's a big change in the trend line: CPS enrollment dropped significantly in the middle of the last decade but largely has been stable at about 400,000 since 2007-08, when the recession hit. Enrollment at the 10 largest suburban districts, which had been growing quickly, also generally has been flat since the recession began, according to data from the Illinois Board of Education.

During the last quarter-century, thousands of people flooded annually into suburban DuPage and Will counties, making them among the fastest-growing jurisdictions in the country. But when the recession hit, housing prices fell and job losses rose.
The number of people leaving Cook County for the collar counties dropped by an average of 35 percent between early 2007 and 2010, according to Internal Revenue Service data.
From the real estate market peak in 2005-06 until 2009-10, those moving from Cook to DuPage dropped by 25 percent, according to IRS data compiled for Crain's by Geoffrey Hewings and Chenxi Yu of the Regional Economics Application Laboratory at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.
Movement to Kane County dropped by 37 percent, Lake County 38 percent, Will County 53 percent, McHenry County 54 percent and Kendall County 56 percent. After nearly quadrupling from 1997 to 2007, enrollment at Plainfield Schools in Will County flattened out, then dropped the past two years.
“People still want to move” to the suburbs, says Larry Reedy, an agent at L.W. Reedy Real Estate in Elmhurst. “But there are a lot of people stuck in their homes. For a large chunk of people, they just can't bring money to the closing table” to cover the difference between their loan amount and the lower sales price on their house.
There also is an increase in residents who want to stay in the city. Chicago, like other big cities, saw its population rise from 1990 to 2000 as 20- to 29-year-olds moved in search of nightlife, jobs and short commutes. But Chicago was the only one of the 10 largest U.S. cities to see its population fall between 2000 and 2010, dropping by 6.9 percent, Brookings Institution researcher William Fry said last week. Many big urban counties in the U.S. regained momentum at the end of the decade, outgrowing nearby suburban areas as the recession hit. The same general pattern can be seen for Cook County, though suburban growth here still remained slightly higher at the end of the decade.
“I have always said we'd stay in the city so long as the schools were working,” says Julie Kraft, a banker who works downtown and lives on the North Side and whose children go to Louis J. Agassiz School in Lakeview. “At this point, I could see myself staying in the city throughout their education. We never said outright that as soon as they go to school we'd have to be in the suburbs.”
Parochial schools are benefiting, too. Enrollment at Catholic elementary schools in Chicago is up in each of the past two school years, the first time that's happened since 1965. Suburban enrollment fell by 5.3 percent over two years, according to the Archdiocese of Chicago, mirroring a national decline in Catholic school enrollment.
One of the fastest-growing schools is Old St. Mary's in the South Loop, where the Syftestads' daughter Olivia is a third-grader. She started kindergarten in a CPS school but transferred because of large class sizes, Ms. Syftestad says, highlighting one of the challenges facing the mayor.
“We're OK through elementary school. We'll stay in the city as long as we can, provided we can navigate through CPS” for high school, she says. “If not, we'll have to make the move. It's a question we talk about all the time. We have about three years to figure it out.”

“I think after the recession ends, migration picks up again, but it won't be as exuberant as it was the previous decade,” says Ken Johnson, a demographer at the University of New Hampshire who spent several years at Loyola University Chicago. “This is an advantage for the city right now.”

Read more: http://www.chicagobusiness.com/artic...#ixzz1rI8xTojr



But remember, this is only a one year estimate. We can't deduce a trend just yet....

[WeimieLvr]

I predict that Atlanta will be back up above 2% as the economy continues to improve. People will again start to relocate, and the trend toward the warm-weather states will revive.

[mhays]

Depends. With an improving economy, gas prices will probably rise. Also, Atlanta apparently has fairly serious growth pains, starting with traffic.

[-Corey-]

Im in shock with this figures, I'm glad New York City is recovering . So what's the total population? 315 million?