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#16341 | ||
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2011
Location: Metro Manila
Posts: 1,078
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Quote:
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I thought Russia will be supporting Vietnam.... |
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#16342 |
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leaf shinobi
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 373
Likes (Received): 171
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The bear even said they are with us for peaceful resolution of the wps dispute
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Kage Bunshin no jutsu |
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#16343 |
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Maderator
Join Date: Feb 2011
Location: Bournemouth
Posts: 22,377
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i think ww3 will be occurred in somewhere around north korea, taiwan, japan and philppine. its quite interesting tho.
china may probably think itself as a superpower or something but it still has a long way to catch up with the united states in many aspects. |
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#16344 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Pilipino city
Posts: 567
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World War 3 is unlikely. The likely scenario is the power of American military eventually decreasing with the continued pressure within by its own citizens to scale back its foreign militarist project. The new imperialist aggressor to watch out for is China.
In the absence of American military power, especially with its failure to win the war in Afghanistan (especially with the damaging confession of some of its officers assigned to assess the war that the war is being lost in all fronts), China must be prevented from pushing its weight. As we are seeing the end of a unipolar global setup and the rise of regional multipolar powers, i.e China, India, Russia, Brazil, etc., the question is will we ally with any of these powers or construct a new one such as focusing on reforming the ASEAN into a true regional formation instead of its current use simply as a free trade area.
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#16345 | |
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makabayan
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: flag capital
Posts: 2,631
Likes (Received): 293
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China is becoming a real and present danger in the Spratly's
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From the Hinterland |
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#16346 | |
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makabayan
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: flag capital
Posts: 2,631
Likes (Received): 293
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From the Hinterland |
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#16347 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 74
Likes (Received): 18
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The case of present day iraq has more to do with islamic radicalism than containing the bear. What the us is containing now is the spread of islamic radicalism who views the whole world should be islamized. That is why the us has been supporting israel despite some of its dirty work and that is why the us is hardly kicking out dictators in the middle east that are friendly to the us ... Kuwait, uae, house of saud. Unfortunately, the islamists found a way, through legal immigration. This is esp true in europe. Increasingly, the terrorists are native born. But then, the us and europe is plagued with political correctness
Today 02:34 WATCH WWW.ABNSAT.COM WACTH NYO SA YOUTUBE PANOORIN NYO ANG TOPIC REGARDING ISLAMIC JIHAD AT IBA PANG MGA ISLAMIC RADICALS KASAMA NA ANG ABUSAYAF GROUP AT JAMAAH ISLAMIYA,SUPORTADO YAN LAHAT NG LAHAT NG ISLAMIC COUNRTY KASAMA NA ANG MALAYSIA AT INDONESIA. ![]()
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#16348 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 74
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WWW.ABNSAT.COM ON YOUTUBE,DEBATE ABOUT ISLAMIC JIHAD
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#16349 | |
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makabayan
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: flag capital
Posts: 2,631
Likes (Received): 293
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Unless of course Russia will side with her Communist breathen.
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#16350 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Pilipino city
Posts: 567
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There is better chance of protecting our interest by keeping the Americans out of the issue. We don't want the conflict to sideline our sovereignty and transform this entire issue into an issue of China versus United States. Honestly, some pundits already view the conflict as that.
My humble opinion is let's scrap the entire Mutual Defense Treaty. It's old and only relevant for the Cold War. Renegotiate a new treaty where you will ensure greater benefits for us. The MDT has practically been used as a cautionary case by many countries negotiating treaties with the US. I will already profess my political leanings: I am a socialist and I am critical of American hegemony and influence in the country. However, unlike some of the vociferously anti-American authoritarian leftists (i.e. Bayan Muna, Gabriela) I am not against a newer treaty that would redefine American-Philippines relations. I admit that I prefer the foreign policy of Brazil which has given it a huge latitude to dialogue with diverse interests such as the United States, Cuba, Venezuela, Iran, and the EU. In essence my proposition would be: 1. Abrogate the MDT, draft a new and more realistic and sensible US-Philippines treaty. One that would guarantee technology transfer and military purchases with no American bases or presence in exchange. 2. Push for a stronger ASEAN. Specifically focusing on reforming it (i.e strengthening democracy in the region by calling for democratization in Burma, Malaysia, and Vietnam and linking up with other interests that are in harmony with us). Call for a permanent ASEAN flotilla or naval presence in the region. 3. Strengthen and modernize the Philippine military. The current modernization of the administration is negligible but its still double than all previous administrations have done combined. I prefer a modern BUT average sized Armed Forces. The reason for this is in number 2. A combined effort by all ASEAN countries would negate the need for ultra modern weaponry. We don't need armaments for going to war. We need them for posturing, deterrence, and bargaining. 4. Lastly, draft the Code of Conduct for the Spratlys. The proposed COC was not finished due to Chinese pressure and due to delay by their proxy country, Cambodia. A COC would make the Chinese liable for violations unlike in the current Declaration of Conduct of 2002 which is non binding.
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#16351 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Pilipino city
Posts: 567
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Don't fear North Korea. The country can't even launch a rocket much less feed their population. The country is being used by the propaganda arm of both the US and China. US exaggerates the fear of NoKor to defend its presence in Japan, South Korea and the Pacific. China uses North Korea as a bargaining chip against Japan, South Korea and the US arguing that it is the only power that can talk with the regime and hence the other countries should support Chinese efforts.
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#16352 | ||
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PDF Police
Join Date: Jul 2010
Location: Disputed Islands
Posts: 502
Likes (Received): 4
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Military industry is an important business in the United States, one cannot just ask them to lower down their prices now that they are suffering from economic problems. Quote:
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#16353 |
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leaf shinobi
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 373
Likes (Received): 171
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ASEAN and COC are a problem, IMO. Not sure of the COC has been signed by CHINA but reports say they did. As for ASEAN, I'm afraid a united ASEAN is a bit far fetch. China has invested a lot in this countries so our "neighbors" seem to have a hard time speakig out against China. Latest news is even the Thai PM praised China for its role in ASEAN.
If ever hostility breaks out, you know our neighbors will merely save their asses.
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#16354 |
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El Arcángel
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Atlanta, Georgia on My Mind
Posts: 4,112
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@demented
points # 1. Why lower your defenses and leave an already stripped to the bone & emaciated Philippine military even more vulnerable to the Chinese. Or is that the real intent again? Can a leopard change its spots?Been there, done that. We already gave it your way when you guys yakked to high heavens for the removal of the bases. Things had not improved since 1991. Reality check. As an economically weaker country compared to either Brazil or the US, the Phils. has fewer options. TANSTAAFL = There aint no such thing as a free lunch. 2. Reality check. ASEAN mainland members are falling all over each other slobbering up to the Red Dragon. Who's gonna tell them to behave like a sober ASEAN member state? 3. Looks good on paper, but reality check. The Phil military refuses to abandon its time honoured traditions of plunder and corruption. All for the benefit of the generals and their families. 4. Who is going to recognize and honour that Code of Conduct? It would be futile if China smells it out and refuses to.
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#16355 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Pilipino city
Posts: 567
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Well there are some ASEAN members who are supportive of Chinese interest such as Cambodia and Burma. However some, such as Malaysia, Vietnam, Burma, Thailand, and Indonesia do not usually tend to favor Chinese interests.
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#16356 | |
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leaf shinobi
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 373
Likes (Received): 171
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If the US is serious about containing China, they will eventually have to make their equipments available to us. A strong Philippines is a strong buffer. US presence will also be critical. Military execises, IMO, should be more frequent and longer. Interoperability is important incase hostilities do break out. It is more economical in the long run for the US to make Military resources for us. That said, it is better for us and the US to be able to catch up with the equipment we have. The US will not have to have maintain a base here, maybe just troops for interoperability. On the other hand, we will be able to have a strong defense.
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#16357 | |
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leaf shinobi
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 373
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Vietnam, yes. It's very obvious. The rest you mentioned, they are likely to be "tikom bibig" rather than helping maintain the WPS as international waters. I'm not sure if I read it here but China once propose to build a canal in the Isthmus.
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#16358 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Pilipino city
Posts: 567
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1. The removal of the bases did not achieve abrogating the MDT. A new treaty is needed. To assume that calling for a new treaty is calling for "emaciating or stripping" Philippine military defense is as an absurd position taken by far-left groups like BAYAN arguing that any form of military purchase to modernize the military is to kowtowing to American interests. 2. If China refuses to sign it, it strengthens our claim over the area. That's what you call diplomacy. 3. I don't understand if you want to strengthen the military. You want the american bases but don't want to modernize the military? Sorry that's absurd. Also, that position fails to consider efforts by many soldiers to reform the institution. case in point was Bangit being the ONLY AFP chief to not receive a pabaon. that wasn't because of his kindheartedness but because of a growing influence of a faction of the military that believes in defending our country against external threats over other factions in the military such as those like ex-AFP chief Esperon who view that increasing military interference in the elections is one way to strengthen its position or another faction that believes in waging an all-out war against all Left groups regardless if those left groups are vocal critics of the NPA themselves.
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#16359 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Pilipino city
Posts: 567
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its not a one size fits all. some countries have no interest in the COC. thats understood because some like Indonesia have no claim. However, diplomacy and bargaining can be inserted to entice them to join. Basically you can convince them to join in exchange for the Philippines supporting their position in other matters. For example Indonesia and the Philippines both have big migrant worker populations in Hong Kong. Indonesia can sign the COC and at the same time the Philippines can support Indonesian efforts in protecting their own migrant workers. (By the way, according to many migrant organizations, and Im not talking about the communist Migrante, many concede that the Philippines is already two decades ahead of other labor exporting countries in the field of protecting its migrant workers. The Philippines is the only country that has protection of migrant workers as one of its pillar of foreign policy. Although more is still to be desired and much more improvement is needed.)
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#16360 |
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leaf shinobi
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 373
Likes (Received): 171
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So what do you propose as an exchange for transfer of technology since you do not favor even american presence. I doubt that they will accept that without any exchange unless we can pay their arms industry with really huge sums.
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