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#5381 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Pitesti, RO // Helsinki Final Act 1975, Point 3) Inviolability of frontiers
Posts: 1,380
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Quote:
In fact the biggest number of km of highways are inaugurated at the end of the 4 years mandate term. Other colleagues have observed that during the last months the pace of organizing tenders for new highways has decreased, so in 2014 - 2015 we will surely have less km of new highways to open. Also the parties in the current govt. (which have clearly won the elections) have spent a lot public money for social gifts (increasing salaries and pensions) and those social costs must be sustained in the next years, without a very big economic growth (estimates). During last days some programs financed by EU (includin POS-Transport) have been un-blocked, but with 'corrections' = less money given by EU. In 2012 most of the highways builders have worked on credit (with EU programs put on hold) and next months they expect the state pays its debts. We have the recipe for a stagnation or reduction in highways building in the next 2 years. ---------------------- I believe that whatever parties would have won the elections, the highways program would have been reduced, under such economic circumstances. Last edited by danielstan; December 11th, 2012 at 12:56 AM. |
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#5382 |
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Pitesti, RO // Helsinki Final Act 1975, Point 3) Inviolability of frontiers
Posts: 1,380
Likes (Received): 37
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#5383 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 3,742
Likes (Received): 364
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Quote:
- Comrnic - Brasov - Craiova - Pitesti - Ploiesti - Buzau - Focsani - Bucharest Ring South, from A1 to A2
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Construim Romania ========================================= Campania împotriva privatizării CFR Marfă Semnează petiția on-line împotriva privatizării CFR Marfă |
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#5384 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 3,742
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Construim Romania ========================================= Campania împotriva privatizării CFR Marfă Semnează petiția on-line împotriva privatizării CFR Marfă |
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#5385 | |
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In the brig
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 30,478
Likes (Received): 325
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1) Comarnic-Brasov works (A3) were tendered yesterday for a PPP (second time after 2009 if I remember well) for ~ cost of EUR 1 billion. The project is very difficult: 35 bridges and 18 tunnels for 75% of the total lenght of the section (58 km) 2) published tender announcement for Ploiesti-Focsani motorway on A5 (133 km on C IX) also for a PPP - estimated price EUR 1,1 billion 3) published tender announcement for Craiova-Pitesti (A16 ?) motorway (100 km) also PPP - at ~ EUR 600 million 4) published tender announcement for A0 south (50 km) also PPP together with maintenance works for A2 And I am not joking. ![]() Let's see if they sign anything of that by early next year. PS: There is clearly no more budget money for non-EU funded projects so we'll clearly see more PPPs. The Road Company is yet to annouce winners for almost 100 more motorway km on A1, lots which were tendered in September if I remember well. Last edited by Le Clerk; December 11th, 2012 at 08:49 AM. |
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#5386 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: Izabelin
Posts: 396
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![]() your calculation says you need at least 2,6 billion. I believe the most important factor is: how to manage a PPP. this is not easy these days to tempt organisations to invest this kind of money. lets see. as usual everything depends on conditions ... |
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#5387 |
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In the brig
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 30,478
Likes (Received): 325
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These are all PPPs, so the money should be brought by investors, not by the Gov. Comarnic-Brasov was very close to be signed as PPP in 2009 with Vinci, but the economic crisis stopped everything.
If they manage to sign 2 of the 4 projects next year, and it's still a huge accomplishment. And I am politically not very fond of this Gov, and Baiazid knows it. But I am interested more in infrastructure development, than in who is in charge.
Last edited by Le Clerk; December 11th, 2012 at 09:51 AM. |
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#5388 |
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Join Date: Apr 2008
Posts: 1,302
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#5389 | |
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Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 3,742
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Quote:
Currently I'm pretty convince that the new tender for Comarnic - Brasov is dedicated to Vinci. And as much as we'd like to split politics and infrastructre, I'm sure this tender has to do with the fact that Vinci is French, and France is led by the socialists, and our PM needs the France support in the political battles ahead. So the tender will be awarded to Vinci in order to "stregthen" the Romanian - French "friendship". Which by the way was brutally shaken by the termination of the Colas contract. Even if it was well justified...
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Construim Romania ========================================= Campania împotriva privatizării CFR Marfă Semnează petiția on-line împotriva privatizării CFR Marfă |
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#5390 |
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In the brig
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 30,478
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I frankly hope we don't have another "Bechtel case", contract which was BTW also awarded based on an intergovernmental favour in 2004 (when the Government was also Socialist-led). I do not want to make any connection, but even if the contract will be awarded to Vinci, I hope at least it will not be as bad as the contract with Bechtel.
As for Vinci-Aktor, what I know is that Aktor was owned by Greek Gov which had just been declared bankrupt internationally, and so no bank in its right minds would have lent money to Vinci/Aktor consortium for an extremely difficult project in Romania, as no bank is currently insane enough to lend money to Greek Gov. And so I hope at least no Greek company will join this project. Last edited by Le Clerk; December 11th, 2012 at 01:23 PM. |
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#5391 | |
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In the brig
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 30,478
Likes (Received): 325
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#5392 |
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In the brig
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 30,478
Likes (Received): 325
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#5393 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 3,742
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The financing was not the issue in 2011 for the fail of the tender for Comarnic - Brasov.We can't have a "Bechtel-type" contract anymore, since now we're EU member and the rules are diffrent now. Beside that, beeing a French, thus european group, Vinci can not have the same "I don't give a fuck" attitude that Bechtel had in the past 8 years.
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Construim Romania ========================================= Campania împotriva privatizării CFR Marfă Semnează petiția on-line împotriva privatizării CFR Marfă |
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#5394 | ||
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In the brig
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 30,478
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Quote:
Greece had at the moment of the tender award a turnover of about EUR 300 billion (about 8 times more than Vinci) BUT had the rating of an insolvent, which is the worst rating possible. No bank would loan Greece or Greek state-owned companies at that moment, as no bank would loan Greek Gov today (that's why they are bailed out on and on by powerful EU states, not banks). This is also why no bank would finance the PPP agreement entered into by the Vinci/Aktor consortium. The awful insolvent rate of Aktor would spread like cancer to its partner Vinci, and remove any possibility of a loan, let alone a good loan (low interest) for that particular project. This is what led to its failure. Quote:
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#5395 | |
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Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 3,742
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![]() Anyway, it doesn't matter. We'll see about that. Fact is that we have now a new ongoing procedure. We'll have to see how it goes on.
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Construim Romania ========================================= Campania împotriva privatizării CFR Marfă Semnează petiția on-line împotriva privatizării CFR Marfă |
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#5396 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: Neuchâtel
Posts: 25
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Vinci actual rating:
S&P: BBB+/A-2, stable outlook (investment grade) (An obligor rated 'BBB' has adequate capacity to meet its financial commitments. However, adverse economic conditions or changing circumstances are more likely to lead to a weakened capacity of the obligor to meet its financial commitments.) (A-2: is susceptible to adverse economic conditions however the obligor's capacity to meet its financial commitment on the obligation is satisfactory) Moody's: Baa1/P2, stable outlook (investment grade) (Baa1:Rated as medium grade, with some speculative elements and moderate credit risk.) (P2:High ability to repay short term debt) Fitch: BBB+, stable outlook (investment grade) (BBB: medium class companies, which are satisfactory at the moment) |
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#5397 |
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In the brig
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 30,478
Likes (Received): 325
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Thanks. Looks like Vinci is in good standing. Do you have similar data for Aktor?
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#5398 |
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Pitesti, RO // Helsinki Final Act 1975, Point 3) Inviolability of frontiers
Posts: 1,380
Likes (Received): 37
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If Aktor has problems of solvency, Vinci could find another associate.
Problem solved. |
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#5399 |
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In the brig
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 30,478
Likes (Received): 325
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Vinci doesn't need to have a tender associate in the first place, if they are so experienced and financially powerful.
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#5400 | |
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In the brig
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 30,478
Likes (Received): 325
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