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#61 |
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Ой Ламьо - ПаPе нEма
Join Date: May 2007
Location: DxB > 3028
Posts: 1,632
Likes (Received): 11
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not really, as i said its a win-win
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#62 |
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In the brig
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 30,478
Likes (Received): 325
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I started this debate as I just wanted to understand better the PROs and CONs of this proposed plant. I hope that Bulgaria will build this plant because, as I said, the more NPPs in the region, the safer the electricity suply. The electricity consumption will grow fast in the coming years both in Romania and Bulgaria but also in the other Balkan countries and they all will need the NPP. Romania will probably buy electricity from the Bulgarian plant, as the Romanian other NPP will come a lot later on than the Bulgarian one, and last year for example, during the summer heat wave, Romania had to buy electricity from Ukraine because of the hike in electricity consumption due to the use of ACs.
But equally important is the safety of the plant. And, to be frank, the EU Commission or other organisation may always look between the lines and come up with an argument that some plant is not safe etc and require to be shut down. That's why I think Bulgaria must think very well about the location of the NPP. This is, as some mentioned here, a huge investment for the next 60 years. It must be flawless so that it doesn't get derailed by some people looking around for reasons to take it out from the market.
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#63 | |
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In the brig
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 30,478
Likes (Received): 325
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Just a small and a bit offtopic related news:Quote:
Our seismologists expect (a result of a cyclical evidence) a 7.6 (at least!) earthquake in the coming years. The Cernavoda NPP (and the big electricity and gas networks) have implemented a Japanese safety system which stops the NPP a few seconds after the quake is registered in the triggering spot by means of an electronical system. This means that whenever the electronical system registeres a certain scale of magnitude, it completely shuts down the NPP or the other energy systems before the waves of shock hit them. I do not fear of these systems, because they are all in all safe, especially the NPP is away from the shock wave, but I fear that many lives will be lost. In Japan, a few persons died (as recently posted in the news) following this quake. I do not want to imagine what will happen at a 7.6 or more quake in Bucharest, Iasi or Chisinau for that matter.
Last edited by Le Clerk; June 14th, 2008 at 10:57 AM. |
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#64 |
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High roller
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Sofia / Seattle
Posts: 11,313
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![]() What about if the hypocenter of an eventual future earthquake in Romania is located under the NPP at less than 20 km depth? Do you think that your Japanese system will have the time to stop the reaction inside the NP reactors for less than one-fifth of a second? Have you changed your mind yet?
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#65 |
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In the brig
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 30,478
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Romania registers earthquakes since the 1950s and all of them had as a triggering center the Vrancea region. The fault line goes from Vrancea up NE (by the E side of Carpathians) to Iasi and Chisinau, and SW to Bucharest, Craiova and beyond the Danube river. As you noticed on the map, the faultline does not go through Dobrogea. That's why the NPP was placed there. PS: The Romanian Earthquakes Institute has the most advanced technologies and measurement techniques for earthquakes, since they were all bought on big bucks from Japan. They know very well where's the epicentre and where the faultline goes to. It takes for example the shock waves about 3 minutes to travel from Vrancea to Bucharest. In the meanwhile, the electronic safety system (which reaches Bucharest for ex. in a matter of seconds) shots down the main energy sources in the area. |
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#66 |
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dRusenec :)
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Sofia/Ruse
Posts: 8,479
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I remember a quake whose center was in Romania when I was a kid (I was living in Ruse back then). Scary...one of the strongest ones I've witnessed. It was in the second half of the 80s I think...
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#67 |
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High roller
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Sofia / Seattle
Posts: 11,313
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Yes, I have noticed on the map, that the faultline does not go through Dobrogea but this faultline may be occured from just one single epicenter which is expected to create a seismic waves from Vrancha/Vrancea area.
What about if near the NPP occure a new one? A nearer one? An underneath focused one? It`s getting funny then... ![]() Somebody says: Being that I live in Balkans, should I be afraid of earthquakes? I say: Of course you should! Last edited by ВОДА; June 15th, 2008 at 10:43 AM. |
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#68 | |
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In the brig
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 30,478
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Quote:
![]() BUt it cannot be, because the epicenter's locations have been scientifically proven and there are none in Dobrogea or Transilvania (with the exception of the Banat area, where Timisoara is, but that epicenter triggers lighter earthquakes). So it cannot be that Dobrogea will witness an earthquake.
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#69 | |
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In the brig
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 30,478
Likes (Received): 325
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Quote:
We are talking about this on a light note, but mark my words: Bucharest will witness a disaster with many building collapsed and dead people in the hundreds. The distructions are estimated at 10 billion EUR in Bucharest alone, if a 7.6 earthquake hits. Some of the old buildings are undergoing structural improvements, but not all of them will be finished by that dramatic moment!
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#70 |
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High roller
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Sofia / Seattle
Posts: 11,313
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Dobrudzha/Dobrogea is not the safest place on the world after all.
Don`t forget the map! ![]()
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#71 |
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In the brig
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 30,478
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Yes, but the yellow colour is pretty safe. The Cernavoda NPP is located in the yellow colour. The intense red colour is dangerous. And I am not sure how precise this map is because S Romania should all be in red. And Dobrogea should all be yellow because the earthquake in Vrancea hardly sends shock waves in Dobrogea.
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#72 |
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High roller
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Sofia / Seattle
Posts: 11,313
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![]() The yellow area is not that dangerous for occuring a strong intensity epicenters but it still dangerous for the seismic waves caused by them in the red one/ones. |
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#73 |
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In the brig
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 30,478
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Yes, that's true, but the quake in the intense red area gets seriously diminished in the yellow areas. Probably a 7.6 quake reaches Constanta as a 6 one, but Bucharest or Craiova, which are much further away from Vrancea than Constanta is, may witness a 7.5 earthquake. That's because of the direction of the faultline.
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#74 |
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dRusenec :)
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Sofia/Ruse
Posts: 8,479
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BTW is Belene located on the yellow or in the orange area? Can't figure out..
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#75 |
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High roller
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Sofia / Seattle
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#76 | ||
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In the brig
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 30,478
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It can't be in yellow, I told you that S Romania should be all red. IN 1977, Zimnicea (which is just accross Belene) was almost entirely wiped out. Look at what happened to Svishtov (near Belene):WIKIPEDIA: Quote:
![]() Quote:
Last edited by Le Clerk; June 14th, 2008 at 12:22 PM. |
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#77 |
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High roller
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Sofia / Seattle
Posts: 11,313
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![]() I know all of this pretty well but while we were talking a strong 7.0 earthquake hit Japan. ![]() http://news.ibox.bg/news/id_1292753998 |
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#78 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Nikolaev/Moscow/The Hague
Posts: 1,497
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Quote:
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#79 | |
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In the brig
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 30,478
Likes (Received): 325
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Quote:
In any case, good earthquakes is something that we can export to Russia to balance our trade account! ![]() I think Russia will send help to Bucharest if the 7.6 one hits. BTW: Romania offered help to Russia to clean away the oil spill in N/E Black Sea a year or so ago, but Russia refused it
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#80 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Nikolaev/Moscow/The Hague
Posts: 1,497
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Russia Tower has a very stable triangular structure and a wide base, so it should be fine. And I am sure Russia will help in case of earthquake too, like it helped Balkan nations with extinguishing forest fires last summer. A great way to spread soft power and a good PR opportunity too
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