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Old February 12th, 2011, 03:51 PM   #41
GregPz
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If SA Express took over the DUR-GRJ route I'm sure it would encourage growth. It's primarily a leisure route and currently too expensive with Airlink's jetstream aircraft. Most people heading to the Garden Route from Durban fly to CPT then hire a car.
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Old February 12th, 2011, 03:53 PM   #42
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Kruger Mpumalanga Airport (Nelspruit) showing very good growth:

December: 19 998 pax +16.8%

2010 Total: 239 292 +14.6%

January 2011: 17 716 +30.1%
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Old February 12th, 2011, 03:56 PM   #43
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GregPz View Post
If SA Express took over the DUR-GRJ route I'm sure it would encourage growth. It's primarily a leisure route and currently too expensive with Airlink's jetstream aircraft. Most people heading to the Garden Route from Durban fly to CPT then hire a car.
Those who are determined enough to go... i for one could not be bothered with the current prices and dont even include it my potential visitation list, unless i was prepared to drive down from Durban
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Old February 13th, 2011, 09:27 PM   #44
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Greg, do we have details on the number of flights between city pairs in SA per week? i.e. Dur-Cpt etc...
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Old February 14th, 2011, 04:15 PM   #45
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Quote:
If SA Express took over the DUR-GRJ route I'm sure it would encourage growth. It's primarily a leisure route and currently too expensive with Airlink's jetstream aircraft. Most people heading to the Garden Route from Durban fly to CPT then hire a car.
Quote:
Those who are determined enough to go... i for one could not be bothered with the current prices and dont even include it my potential visitation list, unless i was prepared to drive down from Durban
It's suppose to be primarily a leisure route, but at these prices it isn't and mostly get used by the limited amount of business travellers. Only over holiday periods the leisure side that can afford it increases. Although not operated by Jetstream aircraft (luckily not!), but the Embraer RJ, it still makes it uneconomical to charge lower prices throughout. And room for expansion/growth is limited due to the big gap in Airlink's fleet between the 37-seat ERJ and 83-seat AR8.
Thus I agree, if no other competitor can enter the market yet, it could be better if SA Express is to take it over and use the 50-seat CRJ. Although still not the best economical aircraft, it would leave room open for slightly lower fares and still they have 70-seat aircraft that can be used as substitute for higher demand periods.

Currently there is special fares of between R500-R550 one-way for travel up to 6 March (although I believe very little of these are left) and also again between 1 May and 15 June. So they are trying to give the route a boost in the quieter periods, and take the financial knock then, while making up over busier periods.
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Old February 17th, 2011, 04:22 PM   #46
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In 2010 JNB moved up 2 places on the global ranking to 74th busiest. It overtook Washngton (DCA), Dublin and Manchester and was overtaken by Moscow (SVO).

CPT moved down from 171 to the 176th spot. It overtook Dallas-Love Field but was overtaken by St Petersburg, Zhengzhou, Urumqi, Istanbul-Sabiha Gökçen, Hurghada and Sharm el Sheikh.

DUR moved up 267 to 264th. It overtook Palermo, Newcastle, Belfast, Rome-Ciampino, Burbank, Providence and East Midlands. It was overtaken by Bucharest, Campinas, Fortaleza, Brussels-Charleroi.

With the strong growth at the Red Sea airports it also means for the first time in many years CPT in no longer 3rd in Africa but now 5th.
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Old February 22nd, 2011, 12:43 PM   #47
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Here's traffic figures for January. Excellent results for DUR!



And the totals for the last 12 months

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Last edited by GregPz; February 23rd, 2011 at 09:50 AM.
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Old February 22nd, 2011, 03:25 PM   #48
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Thanks for posting. I think, thjough, that the second table should be Feb '10 - Jan '11 (not Feb '10 - Jan '10).
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Old February 22nd, 2011, 04:20 PM   #49
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Changed it.
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Old February 22nd, 2011, 04:54 PM   #50
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I've also updated the December figures with the final stats for DUR.
https://www.skyscrapercity.com/showpo...3&postcount=33
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Old February 22nd, 2011, 08:14 PM   #51
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17% is a massive month for Durbs. come on with the extra international flights
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Old February 23rd, 2011, 07:29 AM   #52
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Okay I need some help here with the international figures for Durban.
If emirates fly every day of the week... that is 365 flights with 278 seats which give a total of 101470 passengers for the year.

Mauritius fly twice a week... that is 104 flights with 275 seats which give you a total of 28600.

Airlink have 156 flights with 29 seats which give you a total of 4611

If you add them you get: 134 681

Where did the other 45 000 come from?
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Old February 23rd, 2011, 08:16 AM   #53
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GregPz View Post
I've also updated the December figures with the final stats for DUR.
https://www.skyscrapercity.com/showpo...3&postcount=33
I think that table should read Dec '10, not Dec '11, unless you can see into the future.
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Old February 23rd, 2011, 09:31 AM   #54
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Quote:
Okay I need some help here with the international figures for Durban.
If emirates fly every day of the week... that is 365 flights with 278 seats which give a total of 101470 passengers for the year.

Mauritius fly twice a week... that is 104 flights with 275 seats which give you a total of 28600.

Airlink have 156 flights with 29 seats which give you a total of 4611

If you add them you get: 134 681

Where did the other 45 000 come from?
The figures is arriving and departing pax added together.

Btw, the Air Mauritius flights is mostly done with A319 aircraft, I believe around 120 seats.

Airlink Maputo flights currently operate 5x weekly, will be back to 6x weekly from next week. So that's around 260 flights a year.

EK 365 flights @ 278 seats = 101 470 (one way) x 2 = 202 940
MK 104 flights @ 120 seats = 12 480 x 2 = 24 960
SA 260 flights @ 29 seats = 7 540 x 2 = 15 080

Total: 242 980 both ways
That gives you roughly a load factor of 74%

Ofcourse do keep in mind that Air Mauritius does sometimes operate a few extra flights and larger aircraft over holiday periods. Airlink's MPM flights did also fluctuate a lot the last year, between 4 and 6x weekly and mostly on public holidays it doesn't operate. Also the figure can also include some flights during the World Cup which was by other airlines as scheduled and not chartered.
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Old February 23rd, 2011, 12:55 PM   #55
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Okay. That makes sense. Was trying to work out the load factor. That's not bad at 74% but could it sustain another international flight? I don't think so unless a flight from JHB moves to DUR, like a London flight...
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Old February 23rd, 2011, 03:55 PM   #56
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74% is above average so yes, it inidcates that it could sustain more international flights.
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Old February 23rd, 2011, 04:11 PM   #57
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also dont forget that the vast majority of international travellers still go through joburg because most people like to fly direct not via the desert.
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Old February 24th, 2011, 02:25 PM   #58
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Here's the change in the actual number of pax

Jan'11 (last 12 Months)

JNB 128 303 (1 056 861)________Dom 78 602 (435 871)__Intl 49 380 (546 687)

CPT 36 618 (412 856)__________Dom 37 766 (403 896)__Intl -1 255 (-15 871)

DUR 57 305 (485 773)__________Dom 55 944 (366 449)__Intl 859 (104 418)

PLZ 4 541 (75 997)

ELS 3 742 (2 702)

GRJ 3 698 (-15 023)

BFN 2 953 (11 186)

KIM -215 (940)

Note the domestic and intl figures don't add up to the total as they don't include unscheduled traffic.
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Old March 13th, 2011, 01:14 PM   #59
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dysan1 View Post
Greg, do we have details on the number of flights between city pairs in SA per week? i.e. Dur-Cpt etc...
One way flight from OAG for the top 20 but frequecies (particularly JNB/GRJ) do vary seasonally.

1 CPT-JNB 307
2 DUR-JNB 216
3 CPT-DUR 93
4 JNB-PLZ 71
5 CPT-PLZ 65
6 BFN-JNB 54
7 DUR-PLZ 46
8 GRJ-JNB 45
9 ELS-JNB 38
=10 CPT-HLA (Lanseria) 37
=10 JNB-MQP (Nelspruit) 37
12 JNB-RCB (Richards Bay) 36
13 DUR-HLA 35
14 JNB-KIM 34
15 CPT-ELS 32
16 BFN-CPT 26
17 DUR-ELS 25
18 JNB-PZB (Pietermaritzburg) 24
19 CPT-GRJ 18
20 JNB-PTG (Polokwane) 15
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Last edited by GregPz; March 13th, 2011 at 06:48 PM.
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Old March 13th, 2011, 01:18 PM   #60
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More interestlingly here's the annual one way capacity for the top 20 routes from OAG. Note this is based on current capacity so for seasonal services this will vary.

1 CPT-JNB 2 530 000
2 DUR-JNB 1 617 500
3 CPT-DUR 615 500
4 JNB-PLZ 482 000
5 CPT-HLA 313 000
6 DUR-HLA 292 000
7 GRJ-JNB 271 500
8 CPT-PLZ 214 500
9 ELS-JNB 211 000
10 BFN-JNB 204 000
11 DUR-PLZ 138 500
12 JNB-MQP 129 500
13 BFN-CPT 94 500
14 JNB-RCB 94 000
15 JNB-KIM 88 500
16 CPT-ELS 85 000
17 JNB-PZB 67 500
18 DUR-ELS 52 000
19 CPT-GRJ 41 500
20 CPT-MQP 30 500
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Last edited by GregPz; March 13th, 2011 at 06:48 PM.
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