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Discussion Starter · #1 · (Edited)
Projected Population Growth (Percent): 2000 to 2030

1. Nevada = 114.29
2. Arizona = 108.79
3. Florida = 79.48
4. Texas = 59.78
5. Utah = 56.07
6. Idaho = 52.22
7. North Carolina = 51.91
8. Georgia = 46.80
9. Washington = 46.33
10. Oregon = 41.28
11. Virginia = 38.80
12. Alaska = 38.40
13. California = 37.12
14. Colorado = 34.67
15. New Hampshire = 33.23
16. Maryland = 32.58
17. Tennessee = 29.73
18. Delaware = 29.23
USA = 29.20
19. South Carolina = 28.33
20. Minnesota = 28.19
21. Arkansas = 21.20
22. Hawaii = 21.01
23. Vermont = 16.92
24. Montana = 15.82
25. New Jersey = 16.50
26. New Mexico = 15.43
27. Missouri = 14.92
28. Wisconsin = 14.67
29. Oklahoma = 13.41
30. Kentucky = 12.70
31. Indiana = 12.00
32. Maine = 10.68
33. Massachusetts = 10.44
34. Rhode Island = 9.98
35. Alabama = 9.60
36. Kansas = 9.36
37. Mississippi = 8.71
38. Connecticut = 8.31
39. Illinois = 8.16
40. Michigan = 7.60
41. Louisiana = 7.47
42. Nebraska = 6.37
43. South Dakota = 6.04
44. Wyoming = 5.91
45. Pennsylvania = 3.97
46. New York = 2.64
47. Ohio = 1.74
48. Iowa = 0.99
49. West Virginia = (4.89)
50. North Dakota = (5.55)
51. District of Columbia = (24.24)

Projected Population: 2030
USA = 363,584,435
1. California = 46,444,861
2. Texas = 33,317,744
3. Florida = 28,685,769
4. New York = 19,477,429
5. Illinois = 13,432,892
6. Pennsylvania = 12,768,184
7. North Carolina = 12,227,739
8. Georgia = 12,017,838
9. Ohio = 11,550,528
10. Arizona = 10,712,397
11. Michigan = 10,694,172
12. Virginia = 9,825,019
13. New Jersey = 9,802,440
14. Washington = 8,624,801
15. Tennessee = 7,380,634
16. Maryland = 7,022,251
17. Massachusetts = 7,012,009
18. Indiana = 6,810,108
19. Missouri = 6,430,173
20. Minnesota = 6,306,130
21. Wisconsin = 6,150,764
22. Colorado = 5,792,357
23. South Carolina = 5,148,569
24. Alabama = 4,874,243
25. Oregon = 4,833,918
26. Louisiana = 4,802,633
27. Kentucky = 4,554,998
28. Nevada = 4,282,102
29. Oklahoma = 3,913,251
30. Connecticut = 3,688,630
31. Utah = 3,485,367
32. Arkansas = 3,240,208
33. Mississippi = 3,092,410
34. Iowa = 2,955,172
35. Kansas = 2,940,084
36. New Mexico = 2,099,708
37. Idaho = 1,969,624
38. Nebraska = 1,820,247
39. West Virginia = 1,719,959
40. New Hampshire = 1,646,471
41. Hawaii = 1,466,046
42. Maine = 1,411,097
43. Rhode Island = 1,152,941
44. Montana = 1,044,898
45. Delaware = 1,012,658
46. Alaska = 867,674
47. South Dakota = 800,462
48. Vermont = 711,867
49. North Dakota = 606,566
50. Wyoming = 522,979
51. District of Columbia = 433,414

Source: Table A1
 

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Thats my wife Aaliyah.
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so they are saying new york is basically gonna freeze in time for about 25 years?
 

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I know. I have a feeling the novelty of living in Arizona and Nevada will die down eventually. 15 Million people living in the desert seems a bit high.
 

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Discussion Starter · #4 ·
Yankee BOY said:
so they are saying new york is basically gonna freeze in time for about 25 years?
New York State has the highest net out migration rate of any state. So while there are tons of people coming in, there are also tons leaving for other states. That explains why it's not expected to grow much.
 

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Discussion Starter · #5 ·
hudkina said:
I know. I have a feeling the novelty of living in Arizona and Nevada will die down eventually. 15 Million people living in the desert seems a bit high.
I doubt it. Even if immigration rates to those states slow down, Arizona and Nevada are the fourth and fifth most Hispanic states--since the Hispanic birthrate is relatively high, the states will just continue to grow by natural increase.
 

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according to who????

east coast idiots????

Massachussetts, a state that is losing population recently is forecast to add 10%, whereas Iowa, a state that is currently GROWING, will only add 1% over the next 25 years????

are they mad???


HYSTERICAL!!!!!!!

We should move the capital to Kansas City.......or Wichita..... DC annoys....
 

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Discussion Starter · #7 ·
Rockford said:
[edited by moderation for trolling]
Massachusetts lost population one year!

Plus, take a look at the age distribution for the states. Iowa is one of the oldest states, and by 2030, the baby boomers will be dying off. States with a lot of "braindrain"--namely Iowa, West Virginia, North Dakota, and Nebraska--will have insignificant or negative growth for this reason. Additionally, these states are very White, and the White birthrate is quite low.
 

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don't look now, but Iowa is being flooded with Mexicans, as are the Dakotas.


The Census bureau has been underestimating the Midwest for decades. Nothing new here,

The Midwest will continue to add millions.....why???? because there is work, food, water, and cheap housing.
 

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the more I look at this list, the more absurd it seems.

North Dakota (largely Frago) will likely be one of the fastest growing regions by 2030, and Massachusetts will likely have shrunk by 5% by then.

Who made this ridiculous list?
 

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North Dakota mainly suffers from a lack of job growth. ND's been going through an unfortunate exodus for a few years now. If Fargo can somehow manage to attract more businesses, ND will likely have positive growth, but certainly not be one of the fastest.

According to the URL, the Census Bureau came up with this list btw..so they have a pretty good idea about demographics. Except, I strongly disagree with their city population growth estimates, but that's another story.
 

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I'm always reading something stating D.C.'s population is going to stabilize soon. I think 433,000 is way too much of a loss.
 

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Furiine said:
the Census Bureau came up with this list btw..so they have a pretty good idea about demographics.
:hahaha:

I predict that these estimates will turn out to be way off. Several states are grossly overestimated, and several others are woefully underestimated.
 

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The Census Bureau doesn't always know what it is talking about. Back in the 90's they said that Michigan wouldn't reach 10 million until around 2025. It did so in 2002...
 

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Discussion Starter · #14 · (Edited)
The Census Bureau uses a formula to calculate projections. Projection formulas have limits--they can only use what's known to predict the future. Given this, the best way to make sense of these projections is to think "If things continue at approximately the same rate as they have been, these projections will be approximately correct."

So while there's a high chance these projections will be way off for some states, if you want to know the future populations, it's a much better idea to trust these over your intuition.
 

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Hello anybody catch this... 48. North Dakota = 606,566
49. Vermont = 711,867

Then shouldnt ND be 49 and Vermont be 48???

Good for NEw Hampshire!! 15. New Hampshire = 33.23

Why is DC losing that much population?
The higherst percentage rise thats not in the south or west.
 

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1. California = 46,444,861

NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!

Its to crowded, we're going to explode! Please move to Nevada! :cry:
 

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Charing Cross Bridge said:
Massachusetts lost population one year!

Plus, take a look at the age distribution for the states. Iowa is one of the oldest states, and by 2030, the baby boomers will be dying off. States with a lot of "braindrain"--namely Iowa, West Virginia, North Dakota, and Nebraska--will have insignificant or negative growth for this reason. Additionally, these states are very White, and the White birthrate is quite low.

Being from Omaha I have to comment on the Nebraska situation. As it stands now there are only 1.7M in the whole state I don't think we'll lose as much people as it will that people in the state will move to one or two areas.

Omaha is the only place seeing signifigant growth. More than half of Nebraska population is in the Omaha area. The Metro is under 900,000 and with the adjacent Lincoln metro's 280,000 people,(were supposed to be one CSA by 2010) there are 1,118,000 people in Omaha with only about 600,000 people not living near either of the big cities. So take away Omaha from Nebraska and that's one empty ass state.

I saw on an Iowa site that they had the lowest national growth rate this year so they probably won't grow much or at all.
 

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Discussion Starter · #18 ·
Azn_chi_boi said:
Hello anybody catch this... 48. North Dakota = 606,566
49. Vermont = 711,867

Then shouldnt ND be 49 and Vermont be 48???
Yes, it should. I fixed it. :)
 

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The world can change a lot in 25 years. I think it's a bit too ambitious to try and project this far ahead. 25 years ago the demographic trends in this country were very, very different.
 

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For example ^ some predicted a long time ago, that Buffalo hitting 3 million by 2000.

I hope the estimates are wrong. Couldn't there be a huge Earthquake in California, Memphis, and The HUdson River Valley(NYC), which are capable of huge earthquakes.
There could be other natural disaster like a nuclear war, or some new diesease.
 
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