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Discussion Starter · #1 ·
Not MSA's or CSA's, actual Cities...

Which major cities are most likely to have a population of 3 million people?

Heres a table of recent Census estimates
(sorry, if they're not the most recent, or are incorrect)

Rank City State Population
1 New York City, New York- 8,363,710
2 Los Angeles, California- 3,833,995
3 Chicago, Illinois- 2,853,114
4 Houston, Texas- 2,242,193
5 Phoenix, Arizona- 1,567,924
6 Philadelphia, Penn.- 1,447,395
7 San Antonio, Texas- 1,351,305
8 Dallas, Texas - 1,279,910
9 San Diego, California- 1,279,329
10 San Jose, California- 948,279

Chicago is a shoe in, and Houston would probably make it.
But what about other cities?

And when would these cities reach 3 million?
If you don't think a city could reach this level, what's stopping them?

Thanks to Azia, for "inspiring" me after their thread on the next 10 million cities. I know there's similar threads, but this one is for the whole country, and how each city compares to another city.
 

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Chicago may actually already be at 3 million. It depends how bad the undercount was in the 2000 census. Our highest peak was 3.6 million back in 1950. We may get to up to 3.2or 3.3 million by 2030 according to the projections.... we will see.

http://www.goto2040.org/

Either way ONLY Chicago and later on this century Houston will top 3 million.
 
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You know what I still don't get. How Miami has so much more density and high rise buildings than like San Jose, CA or Houston, TX and yet our population is still around 427,000 whereas San Jose and Houston has like doubled the amount.
 

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The oil collapse.
 

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We will defitnetly see Houston overtake Chicago in our lifetimes. I mean who ever thought that LA would overtake Peoria?
 

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Discussion Starter · #10 ·
You know what I still don't get. How Miami has so much more density and high rise buildings than like San Jose, CA or Houston, TX and yet our population is still around 427,000 whereas San Jose and Houston has like doubled the amount.
Miami covers a tiny 55 sq. miles, while Houston covers 601 sq. miles., and San Jose covers 178 sq. miles.

BTW, Houston has significantly more than double the population of Miami.
 

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Miami covers a tiny 55 sq. miles, while Houston covers 601 sq. miles., and San Jose covers 178 sq. miles.

BTW, Houston has significantly more than double the population of Miami.
Thats why city populations are used much less than metro population. Comparing The City of Miami to Houston is almost baseless. Comparing the metropolitan areas, the two are toe in toe when it comes to population numbers.
 

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You know what I still don't get. How Miami has so much more density and high rise buildings than like San Jose, CA or Houston, TX and yet our population is still around 427,000 whereas San Jose and Houston has like doubled the amount.
And yet the population density of Miami is only 6,558.2/sq mi versus 5,758.1/sq mi for San Jose. Hell, Miami is surrounded by other municipalities while San Jose expands into wilderness. The big difference in building heights is an ocean view.
 

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Discussion Starter · #17 ·
LA surpassed 4 million a while ago. And San Jose has over a million as of earlier this year.
cool that means all of our top 10 cities are over 1 million
 

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We will defitnetly see Houston overtake Chicago in our lifetimes.

I don't know about our lifetime..... I'm going to be 37 in a couple of months:)

If current trends continue Houston may take over the number 3 spot (city population wise) in the middle of this century.

Houston population projection
2030: 2,798,278
2040: 3,073,268
2050: 3,349,540
2060: 3,626,591

http://www.hfd.ci.houston.tx.us/planning/Demographics/demographics/PopProjections.htm

chicago population projection 2030: 3,260,897
http://www.nipc.org/2030_forecast_endorsed_093003.htm


Hey if current trends continue, it may even take over the number 2 spot by the end of this century!



After all Chicago city limits is only 228sq miles, Houston is tripple well over 600 sq miles the area and thus much more room to grow. Seriously the city of Houston is almost as large as Cook County.... :nuts:



I mean who ever thought that LA would overtake Peoria?
Same could be said with L.A. over taking Peoria. L.A. is 500 sq miles in size and Peoria is not even 18 sq miles. :)

Who know's Peoria may again be the next boom town.... :D



All kidding aside, L.A. grew for many different reasons. Houston is growing for a number of the same reasons, but primarily because it has so much room to grow....




LA surpassed 4 million a while ago. And San Jose has over a million as of earlier this year.

That depends who's population estimates you want to believe. The US Census claims that L.A has 3.833 million people as of 2008 while the California Dept of Finance claims L.A. is just over 4 million.


http://www.census.gov/popest/cities/SUB-EST2008-4.html
http://www.laalmanac.com/
 

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make it so...
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houston has a ton of land but a huge chunk of that is either undeveloped or under developed. the neighborhood i was in yesterday for a party was downright rural looking. from what i saw of chicago, it looked pretty filled out.
 

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Discussion Starter · #20 ·
I don't know about our lifetime..... I'm going to be 37 in a couple of months:)

If current trends continue Houston may take over the number 3 spot (city population wise) in the middle of this century.

Houston population projection
2030: 2,798,278
2040: 3,073,268
2050: 3,349,540
2060: 3,626,591

http://www.hfd.ci.houston.tx.us/planning/Demographics/demographics/PopProjections.htm

chicago population projection 2030: 3,260,897
http://www.nipc.org/2030_forecast_endorsed_093003.htm


Hey if current trends continue, it may even take over the number 2 spot by the end of this century!



After all Chicago city limits is only 228sq miles, Houston is tripple well over 600 sq miles the area and thus much more room to grow. Seriously the city of Houston is almost as large as Cook County.... :nuts:
Im confident Houston can catch up with Chicago, maybe even surpass it.
but what really interests me is Houston and L.A.

L.A. has 498 sq miles compared to Houston's 601 sq. miles, that means it definitely has the room to grow, so i wonder if it can surpass LA as well. It would take a long long long time, but seems possible with current trends.
 
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