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Discussion Starter · #1 · (Edited)
Oman on high alert as cyclone nears



MUSCAT---Oman has called a state of emergency as a cyclone heads towards the Gulf, pushing up with it the price of the country's crude oil. Government authorities began evacuating nearly 7,000 people off one of the country's islands as cyclone Gonu was expected to make landfall on Tuesday.

General Malik bin Suleiman al-Muamri, head of the country's civil defence, said the most powerful portion of the storm was expected on Thursday. Al-Muamri said the storm, which is heading northwest through the Indian Ocean towards the east coast of Oman, was expected to send waves reaching 10m against the shores of Masira island.



About 500 people were killed on Masira when a cyclone hit in 1977.
According to Tim Roche, a meteorologist, Gonu currently has winds of 260km per hour, with gusts up to 315km per hour.

Roche said that Gonu is forecast to hit Oman with sustained winds of around 185km per hour, before moving north over the Gulf of Oman into southern Iran. With those wind speeds, the storm would be the strongest cyclone to hit the Arabian Peninsula in recorded history since 1945, he said.



Oil prices edged upwards on Monday, but Tom Kloza, chief oil analyst at the Oil Price Information Service, said he doubted the increase could really be attributed to Gonu. "I don't know if you can really attribute any of the gain to the cyclone," he said.


"It's an excuse, as opposed to a reason, for the rise in prices."

http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/3FF14754-46BD-4715-9CCD-224C883BC4B5.htm
 

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Discussion Starter · #2 ·
I really reallyyyy can't believe that Oman is prone to tropical storms, was troubly shocked to know that the last cyclone killed 700 in Masirah Island.

My Omani friends informed that Muscat is to be hit by heavy thunderstorms tomorrow afternoon.
 

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Discussion Starter · #4 ·
Oil Trades Near Two-Week High on Oman Cyclone

By Christian Schmollinger and Gavin Evans

June 5 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil was little changed near a two- week high in New York after rising yesterday on risks to supplies from the Middle East and Nigeria.

Tropical Cyclone Gonu is heading northwest at 15 kilometers per hour on a path U.S. Navy forecasters expect will take it across the Gulf of Oman, an important shipping lane for oil supplies from the Gulf. Brent crude oil climbed as high as $70.63 a barrel yesterday on the risk to tankers operating in the Gulf and the threat of further strikes in Nigeria, Africa's biggest producer.

``The impact of the cyclone is lifting Brent and the New York price is responding to it,'' said Victor Shum, senior principal at Purvin & Gertz Inc. in Singapore. ``If the Nigerian situation amounts to any real disruption, further increasing the present disruptions, then it will affect Brent more.''

Crude oil for July delivery was at $66.04 a barrel, down 17 cents, in after-hours electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 12:18 p.m. in Singapore.

The contract rose $1.13, or 1.7 percent, to $66.21 yesterday, the highest close since May 21. Futures touched $66.48, the highest intraday price since April 30.

Gonu, earlier given the maximum rating of a Category Five storm on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale, weakened slightly into a Category Four storm with winds of 249 kilometers per hour (155 miles per hour) toward the Gulf of Oman, the Navy said.

``Global market forces are playing on the U.S. crude markets again,'' said Tom Hartmann, commodity broker at Altavest Worldwide Trading Inc. in Mission Viejo, California. ``With Brent back above $70 we can't be too far behind.''

Nymex Discount

Brent crude oil for July settlement was at $70.35 a barrel, down 5 cents, on the London-based ICE Futures exchange, at 12:18 p.m. Singapore time. It rose $1.33, or 1.9 percent, to $70.40 yesterday, the highest close since May 25.

Ample U.S. oil stockpiles that accumulated as refineries shut for maintenance and accidents have kept New York futures prices at a discount to the Brent product since Feb. 28. The discount, or spread, narrowed to $4.19 yesterday. It reached a record $6.54 a barrel on May 24.

``In the short-term, as the refinery problems in the U.S. Midwest continue'' the discount will remain, said Purvin & Gertz's Shum. ``This spread problem will work itself out over time.''

Senior workers in Nigeria's oil and gas industry are likely to back a proposed general strike by the country's main labor union to protest increases in the price of fuel and value-added tax, Bayo Olowoshile, secretary general of the Petroleum and Gas Senior Staff Association of Nigeria, said yesterday. The group will vote on the proposal June 8.

Nigerian Output

Nigerian output, disrupted by militant attacks and strikes the past 18 months, fell 150,000 barrels a day in May from a month earlier to average 2 million barrels a day, the lowest since October 2002, based on a Bloomberg survey of oil companies and analysts.

U.S. oil inventories held 342.2 million barrels on May 25, 7.2 percent more than the five-year average for the period, the Energy Department reported last week.

The department's weekly report tomorrow will probably show stockpiles gained an extra 250,000 barrels last week, according to a Bloomberg News survey of 11 analysts. Inventories unexpectedly fell the week before.

Analysts are split on the direction of inventories, with five expecting no change or a drop. A second decline may be enough to propel the market higher, Altavest's Hartmann said.

``Crude looks ready for another move up'' if it can close above $67, he said. Nymex oil futures last closed above $67 on Sept. 7. Oil was well-supported around that level in May and early June, Hartmann said.

Gasoline for July delivery fell 1.6 cents, or 0.7 percent, to $2.2220 a gallon.

Fuel Stockpiles

U.S. stockpiles of the motor-fuel probably increased by 1.6 million barrels last week, the fifth weekly gain, as refiners increased production, according to the analyst survey. Supplies held 198 million barrels on May 25, 6.7 percent less than the five- year average for the period.

Heating oil for July delivery was at $1.9639 a gallon, after rising 2.2 percent to $1.9646 yesterday, the highest close since Sept. 1.

The 4.8 percent gain in the past week may reflect traders taking positions on rising demand for diesel, which doesn't have its own futures contract, Altavest's Hartmann said.

U.S. demand for distillates, including heating oil and diesel, averaged 4.18 million barrels a day in the four weeks ended May 25, up 2.9 percent from a year earlier, the Energy Department said last week. Gasoline demand averaged 9.4 million barrels a day, up 1.4 percent from a year earlier.
 

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Discussion Starter · #7 ·
^^ But Shawarma, it's very strange ! A tropical storm to hit desert and sand-dunes ??? A lil bit ridiculous . That's the power of Mother Nature @ God.
 

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but the cyclone storm is connected to the indian ocean water cycle, not to the land
and south east asia gets a lot of typhoons right?
all the water currents of the world are going crazy because the ice is melting and interupting the world currents of hot and warm water flows.
 

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Discussion Starter · #10 ·
^^ In Southeast Asia only Philippines and Vietnam have typhoons, but here in Malaysia we never get any, you can ask Insanedriver , she's from the Philippines.
 

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well it says "in recorded history since 1945" .. thats not a lot of recorded history, we know there are natural events that take place every hundred, thousand or even million of years.. just because we are living here now doesnt also mean its the first time ever.

most of the middle east was just recently (in earth timeline) all covered in snow..
 

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Its probably more of a sandstorm, we started seeing winds pick up for the past couple of days in Doha and Bahrain.
 

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but as seen on bahrain tv a messege said that it wont effect bahrain at all , also on alzazzera it said it will move from oman passing near the uae and into iran and thats it but who knows it might go down and reach saudi arabia lol thats a new one the cyclonic desert
 

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Oh no, i think its the rise of the global warming, here in rained in Qatar some few weeks ago which is summer (very rare!). I hope the rain bands reach Qatar so it rains!!:banana: but should have weak winds so no damage.




Gonu Weakening, Closing In On Oman

By AccuWeather.com Meteorologist Lisa Wieser

As of Tuesday morning, EDT, powerful Tropical Cyclone Gonu was centered near 21.5 north and 61.6 east; roughly 265 miles to the southeast of Muscat, Oman. Winds were sustained above 120 mph and movement was to the northwest at about 8 mph. Although the storm has weakened a bit compared to its category 5 strength from yesterday, it is still quite a powerful storm, and it is still looking like its headed for eastern Oman. The general consensus is that the storm will brush by the east coast of Oman and curve to the north, towards southeastern Iran. There is, however, the chance that Gonu could take a northwesterly track towards the UAE and into the Persian Gulf.
 

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Oh no, i think its the rise of the global warming, here in rained in Qatar some few weeks ago which is summer (very rare!). I hope the rain bands reach Qatar so it rains!!:banana: but should have weak winds so no damage.



Gonu Weakening, Closing In On Oman

By AccuWeather.com Meteorologist Lisa Wieser

As of Tuesday morning, EDT, powerful Tropical Cyclone Gonu was centered near 21.5 north and 61.6 east; roughly 265 miles to the southeast of Muscat, Oman. Winds were sustained above 120 mph and movement was to the northwest at about 8 mph. Although the storm has weakened a bit compared to its category 5 strength from yesterday, it is still quite a powerful storm, and it is still looking like its headed for eastern Oman. The general consensus is that the storm will brush by the east coast of Oman and curve to the north, towards southeastern Iran. There is, however, the chance that Gonu could take a northwesterly track towards the UAE and into the Persian Gulf.
OMG !!!!!!!!! No plz noooooo we dont want damge in qatar , bahrain and uae !!!
 

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Cyclone reaches Omani coast

Dubai: A powerful cyclone began buffeting Oman on Tuesday, forcing the evacuation of thousands of people from Masirah Island in the Arabian Sea and closing the country's main gas export terminal.

A weather service official told Oman state television Tropical Cyclone Gonu, which earlier reached the equivalent of a maximum-force Category Five hurricane, was expected to be worse than a destructive one that hit the island in 1977.

As winds of up to 260 kmh and waves as high as 12 metres battered Oman's eastern coast, the state news agency forecast thunder storms and heavy rainfall in the oil producing country. The weather service offical expected floods.

"It's quite common to have heavy rains at this time of year in Oman," said a Western executive based in Muscat.


"But this weather is quite unusual and they're calling it the worst in Oman's modern history."

A shipping agent told Reuters Oman's Sur export terminal, which handles 10 million tonnes per year of liquefied natural gas exports had been closed because of the storm and the Mina al Fahal oil terminal, that ships all Oman's 650,000 barrels per day of oil exports, was likely to shut soon,

The Sultan Qaboos port, which handles vehicles and containers, was also closed, another shipping source said.

A shipping agent for the UAE said on Monday no warning had been issued there. Operations at the port of Fujairah were continuing as normal.

A Dubai-based shipping agent also said no official warning had been sent to his company.


Oman's civil defence has mobilised 7,000 personnel to handle any emergency situation in the aftermath of Gonu making landfall on the eastern coast.

After passing Oman, it expects the storm to head toward Iran across the Gulf of Oman, a major shipping channel for Gulf crude oil exports.

Brigadier Dr. Jamal Al Marri, Deputy Director of the Crisis and Disaster Management Committee, told Gulf News, "There are teams working on following up various developments and the areas to which the cyclone is expected to reach."

He said the preliminary precautionary procedures have already begun to cover the precautionary side of it.

"There is a direct follow up for various developments on the cyclone, its directions, speed and what will accompany it. The follow up has been going on for the last three days. The primary information we have imply that it will not affect the normal life," he said.

However, he said with the cyclone nearing the Eastern areas, especially south Oman, the things have taken a different way regarding preparedness.

A spokesperson from Dubai Civil Defence told Gulf News, "We have increased preparedness level and we are constantly following up the issue."
 
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