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Champagne Socialist
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Discussion Starter · #1 ·
You're going to get boned if you go to the Derby on Saturday:

http://www.theage.com.au/environmen...just-24-hours-20101028-174ld.html?autostart=1

Prepare for one month's rain in just 24 hours
Thomas Hunter and Will Brodie
October 28, 2010 - 11:46AM

The weather for Friday is forecast to be the hottest this month, followed by a wet, cool and windy Derby Day.

Heavy rain forecast for Victoria over the weekend could dump the state's monthly rainfall in less than 48 hours, with some areas being warned to brace for flooding, says the weather bureau.

The approaching storms are also an uncomfortable prospect for race-goers, with the worst of the prolonged downpour expected during Victoria Derby day on Saturday.

The rain-laden cold front will sweep into Victoria early Saturday morning to dump 40 to 60 millimetres of rain through metropolitan Melbourne and the catchment areas, said senior forecaster Scott Williams.

''It's a lot of rain. It's enough given that some storages are full,'' he told The Age.

''Some areas of the state are likely to get closer to 100 millimetres - the higher country in the north east, the north central and the western ranges around Ballarat. Those areas are likely to get even more than our catchments.

''Given we have only had a week of dry weather, there could be some flood problems as a result of the extensive rain,'' he said, adding that flood watches could be issued as early as this afternoon.

Melbourne has had 78 millimetres so far in October, compared with a long term average of 66 millimetres, but Mr Williams the city could end up with 100 millimetres for the month, which is more than 50 per cent above the average.

''Friday night into Saturday is just when the rain starts,'' said Mr Williams.

''It will gradually pick-up through Saturday, starting as light patchy rain in the early hours of Saturday morning and end up as fairly substantial rain Saturday night.

''It will then be easing during Sunday. So there's quite a long period where there's bands of rain that don't ease off until lunch time Sunday. Then there will be showery bouts after that.

Melbourne has had 78 millimetres so far in October, compared with a long term average of 66 millimetres.

''We might get 100 millimetres for the month, which is more than 50 per cent above the average,'' Mr Williams said.

Flemington track manager Mick Goodie said he was confident his team could prepare a safe surface for the spring carnival despite the likelihood of heavy rain this weeekend.

The Flemington track, redeveloped three years ago, was beset by grass-munching cockchafer beetles in May, which caused serious damage to the root system of the turf, and trainer Danny O’Brien criticised the surface after trackwork on Tuesday, saying the track was in “very bad condition”, had “chopped up” and horses were “running on sand.”

But Goodie pointed out this morning that trackwork was conducted on a specific six-metre strip of the 30-metre wide track, and most of the surface was in much better condition.

Most courses confine trackwork to the very outside of their track, but Flemington conducts sprint races down its famous straight six track, so a six-metre strip is left pristine on the grandstand side of the track.

Goodie said trainers of group one racehorses would be “yelling and screaming” if they did not get to work their horses at Flemington. Eighty horses have worked at Flemington each Tuesday for the past eight weeks.

He said the beetle infestation, the first in 30 years, was followed by the “wettest, coldest winter in 13 years”, during which races continued to be conducted at headquarters.

The track was in “as good a shape as it can be,” he said this morning, reminding the public that the VRC had “got on the front foot” to inform the racing industry “not to expect the world out of it (the track) straight away" given its travails in the past six months.

Goodie will not be watering the track ahead of Saturday’s Derby meeting, with a deluge forecast for Friday night and Saturday morning. He said usual routines would not be altered, but the anticipated 50mm of rain meant he may leave the grass a little longer.

The policy on fine days in recent years has been to start the track at a dead 4 rating. As the track dries out during the meeting, it hopefully achieves the desired good 3 rating for feature races, usually scheduled later in the day.

International trainers such as Dermot Weld have complained that Flemington’s track has been too firm for the Melbourne Cup, demanding it is watered more in the lead-up to feature race days. Local trainers have complained that the international raiders are being favoured by the new watering regimes. European horses race on consistently softer surfaces than Australian thoroughbreds.

Goodie predicted the yearly calls for more water would come on Monday, when he expected the track to get back to a dead rating.

Heavy rain and a slow track would conceivably take some pressure off Goodie, and please more of the competing interests that make his job at this time of year a “catch-22”, but he was not doing any rain dances.

‘‘I don’t want the rain because it’s going to ruin a lot of people’s days. It’s going to make my staff’s job a lot harder.”
 

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Dam, was supposed to be a the Melbourne Cup this year with some clients..... Instead I'm stuck in **** bag Canberra
 

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derp
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its a copy/paste from an article about the NE Rail Line, slightly altered to fit horse racing
 

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Champagne Socialist
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Discussion Starter · #7 ·

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That would be right, oh well, at least we're in the Hill Stand under cover. It will make punting a tougher task with a wet track, the European horses should be suited to the conditions.
 

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Champagne Socialist
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Discussion Starter · #12 ·
hahah, good luck with that :p

The grey clouds just rolled in and its looking nasty.
 

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so you think will this years cup. shocking will also be up there.
others maluckyday and descardo
 

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So You Think looks very, very good. I've backed him and won in both the Cox Plate and the Mackinnon, don't see any reason to stop following him now. Americain, Descarado and Maluckyday to fight out the placings.
 

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8 americain.24 maluckyday, 3 ,so you think
 

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So You Think looks very, very good. I've backed him and won in both the Cox Plate and the Mackinnon, don't see any reason to stop following him now. Americain, Descarado and Maluckyday to fight out the placings.
Pretty good picks there Aussie Bhoy. Good win by Americain, just too good and a good run by Maluckday for 2nd.

I was at both the Cup and Deby Day and shame about the weather but both days were fantastic events. I got the privilage to go through the stables of Bart's on the Sunday and see So You Think in person as well as his other horses including past champion Saintly, very surreal to pat $70mill worth of horse.
 

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In the sweetspot
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Lost my win bet, but got a good profit by picking the trifecta.
+1.

I put $31 all up on win/Place bets and $30 on a 5 horse Allway Trifecta. (horses were 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th and 8th)

So - a profit of about $90. As a bonus - I forgot I parked in a 2 hour zone all day and was 10 minutes into the Clearway, but no fine. All the parking inspectors must have been on the sauce!
 
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